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MSM Stock Forecast: MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$120
+1.79% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $140 — +16.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 94 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$6.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
94 / 100
Median analyst target
$140
Analysts covering
10
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.2%
1M
−5.2%
YTD
+46.4%
1Y
+43.0%
From 52W high
−5.9%
From 52W low
+51.8%
$79
$127
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MSM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
94 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
95
Revisions
88
Momentum
87
Issuance
81
Quality
80
Growth
68
Value
62
Accruals
56
Size
20

Volatility (95): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (56): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (20): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MSM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MSM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120$140$160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MSMHigh $155Median $140Low $67

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says10 analysts
3 Buy6 Hold1 Sell
Low $67Median $140High $155

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 July 2026Rothschild & CoInitiatesBuy$155
2 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
2 July 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
16 June 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesBuy—
2 June 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
27 Apr 2026KeybancUpgradeOverweight—
6 Feb 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
24 Oct 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
15 Oct 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
8 Oct 2025Wolfe ResearchDowngradePeer Perform—
2 July 2025BairdMaintainsNeutral—
2 July 2025Loop CapitalMaintainsHold—
2 July 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
27 May 2025JP MorganUpgradeOverweight—
4 Apr 2025BairdMaintainsNeutral—
4 Apr 2025Loop CapitalMaintainsHold—
16 Jan 2025Wolfe ResearchInitiatesOutperform—
4 Dec 2024Stephens & Co.DowngradeEqual-Weight—
25 Oct 2024JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
16 Oct 2024BairdMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MSM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

MSM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.0%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
28.9×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.8×

Cheaper than 57% of US stocks

Price / book
4.7×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.2×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.8%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
41.4%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Gross margin
41.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Operating margin
10.2%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Net margin
5.9%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.3%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.7%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.9%

Higher than 64% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MSM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelIndustrial Distribution
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.$6.7B
94
POOLPool Corp.$7.0B
54
CNMCore & Main, Inc.$8.8B
74
XMTRXometry, Inc.$4.6B
60
SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.$4.2B
56
WSOWatsco, Inc.$12.7B
40
AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.$12.9B
95

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MSM news & analysis

Invesco Small Cap Value Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Activity

Seeking Alpha · 20 Aug 2026neutral

Invesco Small Cap Value Fund discussed its Q2 2026 portfolio activity, noting Teleflex management efforts to simplify the business and return capital to shareholders, the sale of Orion stock after recent strength to fund other opportunities, and MKS stock's strong performance driven by AI investment demand and advanced computing infrastructure spending.

Why it matters — MSM watchers would care because the fund manager's assessment of small-cap value opportunities, capital allocation, and sector trends may signal broader investor sentiment relevant to small-cap industrial companies like MSM, though MSM is not directly mentioned.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MSM stock

What is the MSM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $140, with estimates ranging from $67 to $155. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MSM stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. 94 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MSM?

As at 22 Aug 2026, MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. ranks 94 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (95 of 100).

Will MSM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +16.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. 94 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MSM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MSM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $67 to $155 over the next 12 months.

How has MSM stock performed over the past year?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. returned +43.0% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. do?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. is a leading distributor of metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services.

What is the latest news on MSM?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 20 Aug 2026): "Invesco Small Cap Value Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Activity". Invesco Small Cap Value Fund discussed its Q2 2026 portfolio activity, noting Teleflex management efforts to simplify the business and return capital to shareholders, the sale of Orion stock after recent strength to fund other opportunities, and MKS stock's strong performance driven by AI investment demand and advanced computing infrastructure spending.

Company

About MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. is a leading distributor of metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services. The company primarily serves manufacturers of industrial products, from small businesses to large corporations, across North America. It operates by offering an extensive selection of products, including cutting tools, abrasives, fasteners, and welding supplies. The catalog features hundreds of thousands of stock items sourced from thousands of suppliers, positioning MSC Industrial Direct as a key link in the supply chain for industrial customers. With a focus on improving operational efficiencies for its clients, the company offers additional value through specialized solutions like inventory management, technical support, and supply chain optimization. MSC Industrial Direct plays an essential role in maintaining industrial production and operational continuity, aiding various industries such as aerospace, automotive, construction, and government sectors. As a publicly traded company, its performance and direction provide insight into economic health and industrial activity levels across the regions it serves.

CEO Ms. Martina McIsaac · 7,077 employees · United States · https://www.mscdirect.com