WSOIndustrials · Industrial DistributionThe 14 Wall Street analysts covering Watsco, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $368 — +23.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 38 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Watsco, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (81): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Momentum (27): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (14): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WSO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +23.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Overweight | $485 |
| 30 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $385 → $330 |
| 28 July 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 28 July 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $460 → $420 |
| 10 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $370 → $405 |
| 16 June 2026 | DA Davidson | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 19 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 Jan 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Jan 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 5 Jan 2026 | UBS | Reinstates | Neutral | $390 → $370 |
| 6 Nov 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Oct 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 15 Oct 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 15 Oct 2025 | William Blair | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 8 Oct 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. WSO appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Watsco, Inc. returned −25.3% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 25% of US stocks
Cheaper than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Watsco, Inc. has a market value of $12.4B and an enterprise value of $12.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $7.3B. The latest quarter grew 2.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $560.5M, a 7.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $10.75.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $697.1M, after $36.1M of capital spending.
Watsco, Inc. spent $5.1M on share buybacks and $499.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 25.7×; forward P/E: 22.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 4.38%, paying out 105% of earnings.
Watsco, Inc. employs 6,950 people — $1.0M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Watsco, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Watsco's Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $3.30 per share on its Common and Class B common stock, payable on October 30, 2026 to shareholders of record as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends to shareholders for 52 consecutive years.
Why it matters — This confirms Watsco's continued long-running dividend record, which is a notable factor for income-focused WSO shareholders.
The article expresses a preference for hyperscalers like Amazon and Alphabet over their suppliers, citing AI infrastructure delays and financing risks that may slow mid-term growth. It also highlights contrarian value in select high-quality cyclicals and REITs like Getty Realty if rates ease.
Why it matters — WSO watchers would care as the piece discusses broader market positioning across cyclicals and rate-sensitive sectors, though it does not mention Watsco directly.
A 24/7 Wall Street article highlights three "boring" stocks that share a common trait: non-discretionary demand that cannot be postponed. Using examples like a busted furnace in January or a cracked water main, the piece notes that these businesses are tied to emergencies that do not wait for economic conditions to improve.
Why it matters — For WSO watchers, the article underscores that demand for heating and cooling products like those Watsco distributes is steady and recession-resistant because emergencies must be addressed immediately.
24/7 Wall Street published a feature highlighting five industrial distributors that possess competitive advantages rooted in deep integration with customers' factories and procurement systems, noting that such entrenched relationships make cheaper rivals less of a threat.
Why it matters — WSO watchers would care because the piece discusses the structural moats that can underpin an industrial distributor's market position, a relevant factor for evaluating WSO's competitive standing.
Watsco, Inc. presented at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference, with a transcript of the presentation published by Seeking Alpha. The item covers the company's remarks at the investor conference.
Why it matters — WSO watchers would care because the conference presentation offers insight into the company's strategy and outlook directly from management.
The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Watsco, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $368, with estimates ranging from $330 to $485. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 14 analysts covering Watsco, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 10 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Watsco, Inc. 38 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 2 Oct 2026, Watsco, Inc. ranks 38 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (81 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +23.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Watsco, Inc. 38 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Watsco, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WSO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $330 to $485 over the next 12 months.
Watsco, Inc. returned -25.3% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Watsco Inc. is a leading distributor of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, along with the related parts and supplies used to install, maintain, and service HVAC/R systems.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 1 Oct 2026): "Watsco Declares $3.30 Quarterly Dividend". Watsco's Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $3.30 per share on its Common and Class B common stock, payable on October 30, 2026 to shareholders of record as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends to shareholders for 52 consecutive years.
Watsco Inc. is a leading distributor of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, along with the related parts and supplies used to install, maintain, and service HVAC/R systems. Watsco Inc. serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers through a broad network that supports contractors, dealers, and service professionals across North America, Latin America, and the Caribbean. Its product range includes air conditioners, furnaces, refrigeration units, compressors, evaporator coils, motors, thermostats, refrigerants, ductwork, insulation, tools, and other installation supplies. The company also provides value-added support such as technical training and digital ordering tools that help streamline equipment sourcing and aftermarket replacement needs. Watsco Inc. plays an important role in the HVAC/R supply chain by connecting manufacturers with the professionals who depend on timely access to critical climate-control and refrigeration products.
CEO Mr. Albert H. Nahmad · 6,950 employees · United States · https://www.watsco.com
