WSOIndustrials · Industrial DistributionThe 14 Wall Street analysts covering Watsco, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $333 — +6.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 11 Nov 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Watsco, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (80): The share price has been relatively steady.
Momentum (28): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (13): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WSO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +6.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $350 → $325 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $370 → $330 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Overweight | $485 |
| 30 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $385 → $330 |
| 28 July 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 28 July 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $460 → $420 |
| 10 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $370 → $405 |
| 16 June 2026 | DA Davidson | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 19 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 Jan 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Jan 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 5 Jan 2026 | UBS | Reinstates | Neutral | $390 → $370 |
| 6 Nov 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Oct 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
WSO appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 11 Nov 2026, Watsco, Inc. returned −8.2% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 28% of US stocks
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Cheaper than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Watsco, Inc. has a market value of $13.0B and an enterprise value of $12.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $7.3B. The latest quarter grew 7.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $560.5M, a 7.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $10.75.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $697.1M, after $36.1M of capital spending.
Watsco, Inc. spent $5.1M on share buybacks and $499.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 27.1×; forward P/E: 24.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 4.24%, paying out 110% of earnings.
Watsco, Inc. employs 6,950 people — $1.0M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Watsco, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Watsco reported 7% growth in residential HVAC sales, driven by volume and pricing gains. E-commerce accounted for 37% of total sales over the last 12 months.
Why it matters — The figures highlight sales growth and the share of Watsco's business conducted through e-commerce.
The item explores Watsco’s reliance on international revenue as a factor in understanding the company’s financial stability, growth prospects, and potential stock-price performance.
Why it matters — Watsco watchers may find the company’s international revenue exposure relevant when assessing its business and financial profile.
Heartland’s Strategy returned -2.96% in Q3 2026, compared with a 2.31% gain for the Russell 3000 Value Index. The excerpt names Bentley Systems as a new position and MarketAxess Holdings as the quarter’s largest contributor.
Why it matters — The excerpt provides no Watsco-specific information, so it offers little direct insight for WSO watchers.
A Seeking Alpha article describes Watsco’s record of 13 consecutive years of dividend increases and a 10-year dividend growth rate of 15.4%. It also notes that Watsco has no long-term debt and ended the last fiscal year with nearly $800 million in cash.
Why it matters — The article highlights Watsco’s dividend-growth history and cash position, which may interest investors following the company’s shareholder distributions and balance sheet.
Seeking Alpha says Watsco remains overvalued at a 26x P/E despite only 3% revenue growth in 2026. It cites declining margins and EPS, and a dividend payout exceeding trailing-twelve-month EPS.
Why it matters — The assessment highlights concerns about Watsco’s earnings trends and the dividend’s potential effect on investment capacity.
The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Watsco, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $333, with estimates ranging from $315 to $441. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 14 analysts covering Watsco, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 10 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Watsco, Inc. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 11 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 11 Nov 2026, Watsco, Inc. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (80 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +6.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Watsco, Inc. 33 out of 100 as at 11 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Watsco, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WSO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $315 to $441 over the next 12 months.
Watsco, Inc. returned -8.2% over the 12 months to 11 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Watsco Inc. is a leading distributor of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, along with the related parts and supplies used to install, maintain, and service HVAC/R systems.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 10 Nov 2026): "Watsco: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors". Watsco reported 7% growth in residential HVAC sales, driven by volume and pricing gains. E-commerce accounted for 37% of total sales over the last 12 months.
Watsco Inc. is a leading distributor of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, along with the related parts and supplies used to install, maintain, and service HVAC/R systems. Watsco Inc. serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers through a broad network that supports contractors, dealers, and service professionals across North America, Latin America, and the Caribbean. Its product range includes air conditioners, furnaces, refrigeration units, compressors, evaporator coils, motors, thermostats, refrigerants, ductwork, insulation, tools, and other installation supplies. The company also provides value-added support such as technical training and digital ordering tools that help streamline equipment sourcing and aftermarket replacement needs. Watsco Inc. plays an important role in the HVAC/R supply chain by connecting manufacturers with the professionals who depend on timely access to critical climate-control and refrigeration products.
CEO Mr. Albert H. Nahmad · 6,950 employees · United States · https://www.watsco.com
