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MTRXMTRXIndustrials · Engineering & Construction

MTRX Stock Forecast: Matrix Service Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Sept 2026
$10
−5.75% on the day

The 1 Wall Street analysts covering Matrix Service Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $16 — +60.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 79 of 100 as at 14 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$300.2M
Ticker Nerd rank
79 / 100
Median analyst target
$16
Analysts covering
1
Revenue$244.5M+13.0% y/y
Operating income$2.5M
Net income$1.1M
Free cash flow−$10.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−5.8%
1M
−16.0%
YTD
−14.5%
1Y
−21.9%
From 52W high
−35.9%
From 52W low
0.0%
$10
$16
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MTRX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Matrix Service Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Sept 2026
79 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
96
Value
84
Issuance
77
Volatility
67
Accruals
64
Size
63
Quality
60
Revisions
38
Momentum
34

Growth (96): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Momentum (34): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MTRX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTRX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$11$12$13$14$15$16Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MTRXHigh $16Median $16Low $16

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says1 analysts
1 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $16Median $16High $16

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +60.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$17
11 Nov 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
11 Sept 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
11 Feb 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
26 Sept 2024DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
11 Sept 2024DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
10 Sept 2024DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
13 Sept 2023DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
10 May 2023DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
19 Feb 2020Sidoti & Co.UpgradeBuy—
6 Feb 2020Sidoti & Co.DowngradeNeutral—
7 Aug 2019DA DavidsonUpgradeBuy—
18 Nov 2016Avondale PartnersDowngradeMarket Perform—
6 June 2016BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
11 Feb 2016KeybancDowngradeSector Weight—
11 Feb 2016KeyBancDowngradeSector Weight—
13 Jan 2016CitigroupUpgradeBuy—
17 Sept 2015DA DavidsonInitiatesBuy—
2 Sept 2015StifelMaintainsBuy—
2 Sept 2015Stifel NicolausMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MTRX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MTRX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Sept 2026, Matrix Service Co. returned −21.9% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MTRX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MTRXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MTRX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−14.4%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Matrix Service Co. (MTRX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−117.7×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 87% of US stocks

Price / book
2.1×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.3×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.0%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
13.0%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Gross margin
8.0%

Higher than 8% of US stocks

Operating margin
0.9%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Net margin
−0.3%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−1.8%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.0%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Matrix Service Co. (MTRX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Matrix Service Co. has a market value of $300.2M and an enterprise value of $96.7M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $873.6M. The latest quarter grew 13.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$2.6M, a −0.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.09.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.4M, after $5.5M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 28.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: −117.7×; forward P/E: 15.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Matrix Service Co. employs 2,370 people — $369K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MTRX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelEngineering & Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MTRXMatrix Service Co.$300.2M
79
OPALOPAL Fuels, Inc.$323.3M
41
ORNOrion Group Holdings, Inc.$364.9M
44
ESOAEnergy Services of America Corp.$206.1M
75
PHOEPhoenix Asia Holdings Ltd.$402.4M
11
BBCPConcrete Pumping Holdings, Inc.$519.8M
98
SHIMShimmick Corp.$138.7M
31

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Matrix Service Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MTRX news & analysis

Matrix Service Company (MTRX) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Matrix Service Company held its Q4 2026 earnings call, with the transcript published by Seeking Alpha covering management discussion of the company's quarterly results. The transcript presents the company's fourth-quarter financial performance and outlook.

Why it matters — A Matrix Service Company watcher would tune in to this transcript for direct insight into the company's latest quarterly results and management's commentary on its operations.

Matrix Service Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 3 Sept 2026positive

Matrix Service reported improved fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, including higher revenue, stronger gross margins and a return to adjusted profitability. The engineering and construction contractor is advancing a strategic plan focused on improving project selection, execution and cost discipline.

Why it matters — MTRX watchers would care because the company's return to profitability and margin improvement signal progress on its strategic turnaround plan.

Matrix Service (MTRX) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Sept 2026negative

Matrix Service (MTRX) reported fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of $0.16 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.17 per share. This compares to a loss of $0.28 per share in the same quarter a year ago.

Why it matters — Matrix Service watchers would care because the company came in below analyst expectations for the quarter, even though results improved sharply from the prior-year loss.

Matrix Announces Award for Front-End Engineering and Design on America First Refining Storage Tank Farm in Brownsville, Texas

GlobeNewsWire · 2 Sept 2026positive

Matrix Service Company announced that America First Refining has awarded it the front-end engineering and design (FEED) work for the storage tank farm at AFR's large-scale refining facility in Brownsville, Texas. The award marks a major step for AFR toward reaching a Final Investment Decision.

Why it matters — This FEED award adds to Matrix's project backlog and positions it as a participant in a large new refining development in Brownsville, Texas.

Matrix Service Company Reports Fiscal Year 2026 Fourth Quarter and Full-Year Results

GlobeNewsWire · 2 Sept 2026neutral

Matrix Service Company announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. The company is a heavy industrial contractor serving energy, power, and industrial infrastructure markets.

Why it matters — MTRX watchers would care because the company's quarterly and annual financial results provide a key indicator of its recent performance and business health.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MTRX stock

What is the MTRX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 1 Wall Street analysts covering Matrix Service Co. have a median 12-month price target of $16, with estimates ranging from $16 to $16. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MTRX stock a buy right now?

Of the 1 analysts covering Matrix Service Co., 1 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Matrix Service Co. 79 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MTRX?

As at 14 Sept 2026, Matrix Service Co. ranks 79 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (96 of 100).

Will MTRX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 1 analysts implies +60.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Matrix Service Co. 79 out of 100 as at 14 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MTRX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Matrix Service Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTRX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $16 to $16 over the next 12 months.

How has MTRX stock performed over the past year?

Matrix Service Co. returned -21.9% over the 12 months to 14 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Matrix Service Co. do?

Matrix Service Company is an industrial engineering, construction, fabrication, and maintenance company that supports critical energy infrastructure and a range of industrial markets. Matrix Service Company provides services such as engineering design, modular fabrication, construction management, repair, and ongoing maintenance for facilities used in storage and terminal operations, power and utility infrastructure, and process and industrial production.

What is the latest news on MTRX?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 3 Sept 2026): "Matrix Service Company (MTRX) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Matrix Service Company held its Q4 2026 earnings call, with the transcript published by Seeking Alpha covering management discussion of the company's quarterly results. The transcript presents the company's fourth-quarter financial performance and outlook.

Company

About Matrix Service Co.

Matrix Service Company is an industrial engineering, construction, fabrication, and maintenance company that supports critical energy infrastructure and a range of industrial markets. Matrix Service Company provides services such as engineering design, modular fabrication, construction management, repair, and ongoing maintenance for facilities used in storage and terminal operations, power and utility infrastructure, and process and industrial production. Its work serves customers across sectors including oil and gas, power, petrochemical, chemicals, and other heavy industrial industries. The company also operates through several business units that coordinate project delivery from planning and fabrication through construction, turnaround support, and long-term upkeep. Headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma, Matrix Service Company plays a practical role in keeping large-scale energy and industrial assets operating safely and efficiently.

CEO Mr. Shawn P. Payne · 2,370 employees · United States · https://matrixservicecompany.com