MTRXMTRXIndustrials · Engineering & Construction

MTRX Stock Forecast: Matrix Service Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$9.15
−4.29% on the day

The 1 Wall Street analysts covering Matrix Service Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $16 — +74.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 73 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$258.9M
Ticker Nerd rank
73/ 100
Median analyst target
$16
Analysts covering
1
Revenue$244.5M+13.0% y/y
Operating income$2.5M
Net income$1.1M
Free cash flow−$10.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−7.7%
1M
−11.0%
YTD
−21.8%
1Y
−40.1%
From 52W high
−41.3%
From 52W low
0.0%
$9
$16
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MTRX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Matrix Service Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
73/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
95
Value
79
Volatility
76
Accruals
65
Issuance
64
Size
62
Quality
57
Momentum
35
Revisions
32

Growth (95): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Revisions (32): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

MTRX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTRX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$8$10$12$14$16Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MTRXHigh $16Median $16Low $16

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says1 analysts
1 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $16Median $16High $16

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +74.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$17
11 Nov 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
11 Sept 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
11 Feb 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
26 Sept 2024DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
11 Sept 2024DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
10 Sept 2024DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
13 Sept 2023DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
10 May 2023DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
19 Feb 2020Sidoti & Co.UpgradeBuy—
6 Feb 2020Sidoti & Co.DowngradeNeutral—
7 Aug 2019DA DavidsonUpgradeBuy—
18 Nov 2016Avondale PartnersDowngradeMarket Perform—
6 June 2016BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
11 Feb 2016KeybancDowngradeSector Weight—
11 Feb 2016KeyBancDowngradeSector Weight—
13 Jan 2016CitigroupUpgradeBuy—
17 Sept 2015DA DavidsonInitiatesBuy—
2 Sept 2015StifelMaintainsBuy—
2 Sept 2015Stifel NicolausMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

MTRX appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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The AI build-out map
PDF
  • AI cloud capacity

    MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL

  • AI chips

    NVDAAVGOAMDMU

  • AI networking and serversIn full

    ANETDELLLITECRDO

  • Data centre power

    VRTCEGGEVVST

Performance

MTRX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Matrix Service Co. returned −40.1% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MTRX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MTRXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MTRX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−14.4%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Matrix Service Co. (MTRX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−101.7×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 88% of US stocks

Price / book
1.8×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.8×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.0%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
13.0%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Gross margin
8.0%

Higher than 8% of US stocks

Operating margin
0.9%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Net margin
−0.3%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−1.8%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.0%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Matrix Service Co. (MTRX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Matrix Service Co. has a market value of $258.9M and an enterprise value of $67.0M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $873.6M. The latest quarter grew 13.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$2.6M, a −0.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.09.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.4M, after $5.5M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 28.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: −101.7×; forward P/E: 13.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Matrix Service Co. employs 2,370 people — $369K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MTRX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelEngineering & Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MTRXMatrix Service Co.$258.9M73
OPALOPAL Fuels, Inc.$255.1M25
ORNOrion Group Holdings, Inc.$357.2M42
PHOEPhoenix Asia Holdings Ltd.$401.7M8
ESOAEnergy Services of America Corp.$170.2M73
BBCPConcrete Pumping Holdings, Inc.$533.9M98
ITGITG, Inc.$686.2M4

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Matrix Service Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MTRX news & analysis

Matrix Service Company (MTRX) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Matrix Service Company held its Q4 2026 earnings call, with the transcript published by Seeking Alpha covering management discussion of the company's quarterly results. The transcript presents the company's fourth-quarter financial performance and outlook.

Why it matters — A Matrix Service Company watcher would tune in to this transcript for direct insight into the company's latest quarterly results and management's commentary on its operations.

Matrix Service Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 3 Sept 2026positive

Matrix Service reported improved fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, including higher revenue, stronger gross margins and a return to adjusted profitability. The engineering and construction contractor is advancing a strategic plan focused on improving project selection, execution and cost discipline.

Why it matters — MTRX watchers would care because the company's return to profitability and margin improvement signal progress on its strategic turnaround plan.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MTRX stock

What is the MTRX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 1 Wall Street analysts covering Matrix Service Co. have a median 12-month price target of $16, with estimates ranging from $16 to $16. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MTRX stock a buy right now?

Of the 1 analysts covering Matrix Service Co., 1 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Matrix Service Co. 73 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MTRX?

As at 3 Nov 2026, Matrix Service Co. ranks 73 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (95 of 100).

Will MTRX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 1 analysts implies +74.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Matrix Service Co. 73 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MTRX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Matrix Service Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTRX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $16 to $16 over the next 12 months.

How has MTRX stock performed over the past year?

Matrix Service Co. returned -40.1% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Matrix Service Co. do?

Matrix Service Company is an industrial engineering, construction, fabrication, and maintenance company that supports critical energy infrastructure and a range of industrial markets. Matrix Service Company provides services such as engineering design, modular fabrication, construction management, repair, and ongoing maintenance for facilities used in storage and terminal operations, power and utility infrastructure, and process and industrial production.

What is the latest news on MTRX?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 4 Nov 2026): "Matrix Service Company Reports Fiscal Year 2027 First Quarter Results". Matrix Service Company announced financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2027, ended September 30, 2026.

Company

About Matrix Service Co.

Matrix Service Company is an industrial engineering, construction, fabrication, and maintenance company that supports critical energy infrastructure and a range of industrial markets. Matrix Service Company provides services such as engineering design, modular fabrication, construction management, repair, and ongoing maintenance for facilities used in storage and terminal operations, power and utility infrastructure, and process and industrial production. Its work serves customers across sectors including oil and gas, power, petrochemical, chemicals, and other heavy industrial industries. The company also operates through several business units that coordinate project delivery from planning and fabrication through construction, turnaround support, and long-term upkeep. Headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma, Matrix Service Company plays a practical role in keeping large-scale energy and industrial assets operating safely and efficiently.

CEO Mr. Shawn P. Payne · 2,370 employees · United States · https://matrixservicecompany.com