NOGEnergy · Oil & Gas E&PThe 9 Wall Street analysts covering Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $30 — +14.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 49 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (81): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Growth (16): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NOG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $28 → $31 |
| 20 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $36 → $28 |
| 20 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $31 → $29 |
| 14 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $29 → $25 |
| 29 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 15 June 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 22 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 21 May 2026 | Raymond James | Downgrade | Outperform | — |
| 20 May 2026 | Johnson Rice | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 24 Mar 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 11 Mar 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 20 Jan 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NOG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. returned +27.4% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Cheaper than 62% of US stocks
Cheaper than 58% of US stocks
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 14% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. has a market value of $2.7B and an enterprise value of $5.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.2B. The latest quarter grew 16.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$486.0M, a −22.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−5.18.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$294.2M, after $2.6B of capital spending.
Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. spent $57.1M on share buybacks and $179.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 68.9×; forward P/E: 5.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 7.08%, paying out 462% of earnings.
Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. employs 64 people — $33.7M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. (NOG) provided a third-quarter operational update, according to the Business Wire headline. The excerpt contains no further details about the update.
Why it matters — NOG watchers may note the company’s quarterly operational update, though the excerpt does not specify its contents.
Northern Oil and Gas plans to release its third-quarter 2026 financial and operating results after market close on November 5, 2026. The company will hold a conference call on November 6 at 8:00 a.m. Central Time, available by phone or webcast.
Why it matters — NOG watchers can note when the company will report results and provide an accompanying conference call.
24/7 Wall Street highlights four ultra-high-yield energy stocks, including one yielding over 10%, as strong buys for September, noting that elevated energy prices through 2026 and beyond position these companies to deliver significant passive income.
Why it matters — This article signals that high-yield energy producers are expected to benefit from sustained elevated energy prices, which is relevant context for NOG given its focus on the sector.
The article highlights Northern Oil and Gas's second-quarter performance, citing robust adjusted EBITDA growth, improved per-barrel economics, and a strategic pivot toward natural gas. It also notes that refinancing has lowered interest costs, supporting margin expansion and a sustainable dividend currently yielding above 7%, despite recent hedge-driven earnings volatility.
Why it matters — A NOG watcher would care because the piece points to strengthening unit economics, lower interest costs, and dividend sustainability as key developments in the company's recent results.
NOG announced the pricing of a $500 million private offering of senior notes, as reported by Business Wire. The announcement was made from Minneapolis.
Why it matters — A NOG watcher would care because this debt offering affects the company's capital structure and financing position.
The 9 Wall Street analysts covering Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $30, with estimates ranging from $25 to $38. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 9 analysts covering Northern Oil & Gas, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. 49 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ranks 49 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (81 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +14.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. 49 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NOG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $25 to $38 over the next 12 months.
Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. returned +27.4% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. is an independent energy company focused on the acquisition and management of non-operated working interests in U.S.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 12 Oct 2026): "NOG Provides Third Quarter Operational Update". Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. (NOG) provided a third-quarter operational update, according to the Business Wire headline. The excerpt contains no further details about the update.
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. is an independent energy company focused on the acquisition and management of non-operated working interests in U.S. oil and natural gas properties. Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. participates in the development and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids primarily through partnerships with third-party operators, allowing it to hold diversified interests across producing basins without directly running the wells. The company is active in major North American shale regions, including the Williston, Uinta, Permian, Appalachian, and Duvernay basins, where it concentrates on upstream assets and production-linked cash flow. Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. plays a specialized role in the energy market as a large public owner of non-operated upstream assets, combining scale, diversification, and a capital-light operating model to support its core business of oil and gas property investment and production exposure.
CEO Mr. Nicholas L. O'Grady · 64 employees · United States · https://www.noginc.com
