GFREnergy · Oil & Gas E&P

GFR Stock Forecast: Greenfire Resources Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026

$6.52

+4.32% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 42 of 100 as at 10 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap

$958.5M

Ticker Nerd rank

42 / 100

Median analyst target

—

Analysts covering

Revenue$179.4M+24.1% y/y

Operating income$42.3M

Net income$53.5M

Free cash flow−$21.1M

Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown

Total return, dividends reinvested

+5.2%

−2.0%

YTD

+37.0%

+37.3%

From 52W high

−8.2%

From 52W low

+50.6%

$4.33

$7.10

52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close

Ticker Nerd rank

GFR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Greenfire Resources Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 10 Sept 2026

42 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum

Accruals

Issuance

Volatility

Quality

Size

Growth

Revisions

Value

Momentum (94): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Value (19): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GFR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GFR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts

4 Buy1 Hold0 Sell

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Target
13 June 2024	BMO Capital	Initiates	Outperform	$11

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GFR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Performance

GFR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Greenfire Resources Ltd. returned +37.3% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GFR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GFR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year

Analysts raising

Analysts cutting

Fundamentals

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation

Trailing P/E: 13.6×
Price / sales: 1.6×
Price / book: 1.0×
EV / EBITDA: 9.3×

Growth & margins

Revenue growth (YoY): 21.9%
Earnings growth (YoY): 9.7%
Gross margin: 45.9%
Operating margin: 38.2%
Net margin: −6.4%

Returns & dividend

Return on equity: −3.6%
Return on assets: 0.5%
Dividend yield: —

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

Greenfire Resources Ltd. has a market value of $958.5M and an enterprise value of $613.0M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $601.8M. The latest quarter grew 21.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$36.9M, a −6.1% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$59.9M, after $180.9M of capital spending.
Shares outstanding: 125.4M.
Trailing P/E: 13.6×; forward P/E: 7.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Greenfire Resources Ltd. employs 197 people — $3.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 12 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GFR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P

Company	Market cap	TKN rank
GFRGreenfire Resources Ltd.	$958.5M	42
TBNTamboran Resources Corp.	$1.4B	6
KOSKosmos Energy Ltd.	$1.7B	69
HPKHighPeak Energy, Inc.	$1.1B	33
INRInfinity Natural Resources, Inc.	$977.1M	31
REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.	$937.3M	93
BKVBKV Corp.	$2.7B	23

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Greenfire Resources Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GFR news & analysis

Greenfire Resources Announces Terms of Upsized Rights Offering

Newsfile Corp · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Greenfire Resources Ltd. filed a final short form prospectus and a corresponding U.S. registration statement on Form F-10 in connection with its previously announced rights offering. The filing sets out the terms of the upsized rights offering.

Why it matters — A GFR watcher would want to know the official terms of the rights offering, which affects the company's capital-raising plans and existing shareholders' participation.

Greenfire Resources Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results and Closes Acquisition of Connacher Oil and Gas Limited

Newsfile Corp · 5 Aug 2026neutral

Greenfire Resources Ltd. announced its second quarter 2026 results and confirmed it has closed its acquisition of Connacher Oil and Gas Limited. The press release includes non-GAAP financial measures and forward-looking information, which readers are advised to review.

Why it matters — This update informs Greenfire shareholders of the company's latest quarterly reporting and the completion of the Connacher acquisition.

Greenfire Resources: Connacher Changes The Scale Of The Bull Thesis

Seeking Alpha · 1 Aug 2026positive

Greenfire Resources is acquiring Connacher Oil & Gas, a deal that transforms the company from a subscale oil sands operator into a regional thermal oil platform with a contiguous asset base, C$30 million in annual synergies, improved infrastructure utilization, and a potential path to 65,000 b/d long-term capacity. The report notes near-term dilution and execution risk, while GFR's forward EV/EBITDA of 4.78x reflects a 20.81% sector discount contingent on successful integration.

Why it matters — A GFR watcher would care because the Connacher acquisition could materially expand the company's scale, efficiency, and long-term production capacity, making successful integration and synergy realization key to the stock's valuation outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GFR stock

Is GFR stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Greenfire Resources Ltd., 4 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Greenfire Resources Ltd. 42 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GFR?

As at 10 Sept 2026, Greenfire Resources Ltd. ranks 42 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (94 of 100).

What is the GFR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Greenfire Resources Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GFR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has GFR stock performed over the past year?

Greenfire Resources Ltd. returned +37.3% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Greenfire Resources Ltd. do?

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is an oil sands producer focused on the exploration, development, and operation of thermal oil assets in the Athabasca region of Alberta, Canada.

What is the latest news on GFR?

The most recent item we track (Newsfile Corp, 7 Aug 2026): "Greenfire Resources Announces Terms of Upsized Rights Offering". Greenfire Resources Ltd. filed a final short form prospectus and a corresponding U.S. registration statement on Form F-10 in connection with its previously announced rights offering. The filing sets out the terms of the upsized rights offering.

Company

About Greenfire Resources Ltd.

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is an oil sands producer focused on the exploration, development, and operation of thermal oil assets in the Athabasca region of Alberta, Canada. The company’s core business centers on in situ oil sands production using steam-assisted gravity drainage technology, a method designed to recover bitumen from underground reservoirs. Its principal operations include the Hangingstone Facilities, which comprise the Expansion Asset and the Demo Asset, both located south of Fort McMurray. Greenfire Resources Ltd. operates as a specialized energy company within the Canadian oil and gas sector, with activities spanning thermal oil production, infrastructure, and pipeline support tied to its oil sands operations. Headquartered in Calgary, the company plays a focused role in supplying long-life, low-decline oil sands production from one of Canada’s key energy-producing regions.

CEO Mr. Robert B. Logan P.E., P.Eng. · 197 employees · Canada · https://www.greenfireres.com