PGYPGYTechnology · Software - Infrastructure

PGY Stock Forecast: Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$22
+7.11% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Pagaya Technologies Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $29 — +31.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 67 of 100 as at 21 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$1.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
67 / 100
Median analyst target
$29
Analysts covering
10
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.6%
1M
+24.0%
YTD
+3.7%
1Y
−27.2%
From 52W high
−50.5%
From 52W low
+103.8%
$11
$44
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PGY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Pagaya Technologies Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 21 Aug 2026
67 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
96
Growth
96
Revisions
91
Value
86
Size
38
Momentum
34
Volatility
19
Accruals
14
Issuance
14

Quality (96): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Issuance (14): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PGY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PGY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$20$30$40Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PGYHigh $36Median $29Low $23

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says10 analysts
10 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $23Median $29High $36

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +31.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
18 Aug 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$23$27
31 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
31 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$32$36
31 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$32$36
31 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy
31 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$22$25
31 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform
18 May 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$32
18 May 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy
12 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy
10 Feb 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy
10 Feb 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy
10 Feb 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy
20 Jan 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy
2 Jan 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform
11 Nov 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy
1 Oct 2025BenchmarkReiteratesBuy
11 Aug 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
11 Aug 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy
11 Aug 2025JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PGY appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

PGY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+22.4%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.4×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.2×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

Price / book
2.8×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
4.0×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
18.6%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
171.8%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Gross margin
40.2%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Operating margin
27.3%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Net margin
9.1%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
19.5%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Return on assets
14.0%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

PGY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSoftware - Infrastructure
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PGYPagaya Technologies Ltd.$1.7B
67
MQMarqeta, Inc.$1.7B
78
NYAXNayax Ltd. (Israel)$1.8B
41
EVTCEVERTEC, Inc.$1.8B
61
GCTGigaCloud Technology, Inc.$1.8B
82
PRGSProgress Software Corp.$1.9B
97
ATENA10 Networks, Inc.$1.9B
86

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Pagaya Technologies Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PGY news & analysis

Can Network Volume Strength Keep PGY's Top-Line Growth on Track?

Zacks Investment Research · 19 Aug 2026positive

Pagaya Technologies reported record network volume driven by auto loans, personal loans, and new products, which is supporting its revenue growth. The company continues to benefit from strong funding access.

Why it matters — A PGY watcher would care because record network volume and strong funding access are key drivers of the company's top-line growth momentum.

Pagaya Technologies: A Fast-Growing Industry Disruptor Trading At A P/E Of 6.6x

Seeking Alpha · 19 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha published an analysis describing Pagaya Technologies as a fast-growing industry disruptor trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.6x. The article notes the company has achieved six consecutive quarters of profitability, with Q2 2026 network volume of $3.54B, 19% revenue growth, and 99% adjusted net income growth.

Why it matters — PGY watchers would care because the analysis highlights the company's transition from unprofitable high growth to sustained profitability with accelerating network volume and expanding margins.

Pagaya to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences and Events

Business Wire · 18 Aug 2026neutral

Pagaya Technologies announced that its management team will participate in several upcoming investor conferences, including the B. Riley 9th Annual Consumer & TMT Conference on September 10, 2026, the Oppenheimer Fintech Leaders Conference on September 15, 2026, and the BTIG Consumer Finance Conference, all in New York.

Why it matters — A PGY watcher would care because management's participation in these investor conferences gives shareholders and analysts the opportunity to hear updates on the company's AI-driven financial technology business directly.

Pagaya Technologies: The Business Is Getting Better Even As My Price Target Falls

Seeking Alpha · 18 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha reiterated a Strong Buy rating on Pagaya Technologies while adjusting its price target to $67 due to a higher share count and net debt. The publication cited Q2 2026 results showing 33% network volume growth, 43% adjusted EBITDA growth, a 6% decline in core operating expenses, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 32%, which it said validate the company's AI-driven lending platform and expanding operating leverage.

Why it matters — PGY watchers would care because the article highlights evidence of scalable profitability, with margin expansion and efficiency gains alongside strong network volume growth in recent results.

PGY vs. UPST: Which AI Credit Stock Is the Better Investment Option?

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a comparison of Pagaya Technologies (PGY) and Upstart (UPST) as AI-driven credit investment options, in the context of growing AI adoption in lending for underwriting, borrower access, and risk management.

Why it matters — PGY watchers would be interested in how the company is positioned relative to a key competitor in the AI credit-lending space.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PGY stock

What is the PGY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Pagaya Technologies Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $29, with estimates ranging from $23 to $36. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PGY stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering Pagaya Technologies Ltd., 10 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Pagaya Technologies Ltd. 67 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 21 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PGY?

As at 21 Aug 2026, Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ranks 67 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (96 of 100).

Will PGY stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +31.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Pagaya Technologies Ltd. 67 out of 100 as at 21 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PGY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Pagaya Technologies Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PGY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $23 to $36 over the next 12 months.

How has PGY stock performed over the past year?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. returned -27.2% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Pagaya Technologies Ltd. do?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is a financial technology company that develops and operates an artificial intelligence-driven network for the financial services industry.

What is the latest news on PGY?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 19 Aug 2026): "Can Network Volume Strength Keep PGY's Top-Line Growth on Track?". Pagaya Technologies reported record network volume driven by auto loans, personal loans, and new products, which is supporting its revenue growth. The company continues to benefit from strong funding access.

Company

About Pagaya Technologies Ltd.

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is a financial technology company that develops and operates an artificial intelligence-driven network for the financial services industry. Its core purpose is to help banks, fintech lenders, auto finance providers, and residential real estate service companies evaluate and originate consumer credit and other financial assets more efficiently using proprietary machine learning, data science, and real-time decisioning technology. Pagaya’s platform connects these lending partners with institutional and other sophisticated investors through structured funding vehicles, enabling partners to extend loans and other products without relying solely on their own balance sheets. The company offers a suite of AI-powered solutions that support credit underwriting, decline monetization, dual and first-look evaluations, and customer acquisition across direct and affiliate channels, creating an integrated credit and funding infrastructure. Pagaya Technologies Ltd. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in New York, with significant technology operations in Israel, and today serves financial institutions and investors across the United States, Israel, the Cayman Islands, and other international markets.

CEO Mr. Gal Krubiner · 493 employees · United States · https://pagaya.com