RRGBConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 3 Wall Street analysts covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $10 — +25.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (95): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Volatility (8): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RRGB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +25.8% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | $8.00 → $10 |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | $12 → $8.00 |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 16 July 2025 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 27 Feb 2025 | CL King | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 23 Aug 2024 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Aug 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Aug 2024 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 Aug 2024 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Aug 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 May 2024 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 Apr 2024 | Lake Street | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 25 Apr 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 15 Apr 2024 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 26 Mar 2024 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 5 Mar 2024 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 29 Feb 2024 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Oct 2023 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 18 Aug 2023 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RRGB appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. returned +7.3% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 91% of US stocks
Cheaper than 95% of US stocks
Cheaper than 95% of US stocks
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 3% of US stocks
Higher than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. has a market value of $150.3M and an enterprise value of $629.8M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter shrank 2.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$30.3M, a −2.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.69.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$1.8M.
Trailing P/E: −6.1×; forward P/E: 28.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. employs 18,852 people — $63K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Red Robin reported earnings 30 days ago and its stock has declined 23.6% since that earnings report. The item examines what may be next for the company's shares.
Why it matters — A Red Robin watcher would care because the significant post-earnings share decline raises questions about the company's near-term outlook and market performance.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. announced it has completed the substantial majority of closings under its previously announced refranchising transactions, selling 108 restaurants for $89.4 million. The company expects the remaining 8 restaurants to close by fiscal year end and generate $6.6 million in proceeds, which will support debt reduction and refinancing.
Why it matters — A Red Robin watcher would care because the restaurant sales generate significant proceeds intended to reduce debt and support refinancing, which could affect the company's capital structure and strategic direction.
Seeking Alpha issued initial coverage on Red Robin with a hold rating, noting a Q2 traffic decline and a turnaround strategy dependent on asset sales and efficiencies. The article highlights momentum gains since spring but also points to underperforming profit margins, cash flow versus debt expense, negative equity, and a challenging fast food environment.
Why it matters — A Red Robin watcher would care because the coverage outlines both the company's recent momentum and the structural financial and competitive challenges that could shape its turnaround prospects.
Red Robin announced a partnership with The Faris Foundation for September during Childhood Cancer Awareness Month in 2026, supporting the foundation's mission to create brighter days and better treatments for children. The collaboration is set to begin in September.
Why it matters — A community-focused charitable partnership during Childhood Cancer Awareness Month could enhance Red Robin's brand image and customer goodwill among its stakeholders.
Red Robin is pursuing a refranchising initiative involving 116 stores, which could reduce debt and expand franchise revenues. The outcome may be influenced by general and administrative expense resizing and franchise execution.
Why it matters — A Red Robin watcher would care because this refranchising could reshape the company's earnings mix and financial structure.
The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $9.5 to $15. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 3 analysts covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 2 Oct 2026, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +25.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. 89 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RRGB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $9.5 to $15 over the next 12 months.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. returned +7.3% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. is a restaurant operator focused on casual-dining and fast-casual concepts across North America.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 11 Sept 2026): "Red Robin (RRGB) Down 23.6% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?". Red Robin reported earnings 30 days ago and its stock has declined 23.6% since that earnings report. The item examines what may be next for the company's shares.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. is a restaurant operator focused on casual-dining and fast-casual concepts across North America. The company develops, operates, and franchises restaurants under the Red Robin brand family, with a menu centered on gourmet burgers alongside pizza, appetizers, salads, sandwiches, desserts, wings, milkshakes, and a range of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages. Its business also includes dine-in and off-premises service channels, such as carry-out and delivery, supporting broad customer access to its offerings. Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. serves consumers seeking family-friendly dining and a varied full-service menu, and its franchise royalties and restaurant sales make it an established participant in the U.S. restaurant market. The company is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
CEO Mr. David A. Pace · 18,852 employees · United States · https://www.redrobin.com
