RRGBRRGBConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

RRGB Stock Forecast: Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Sept 2026
$8.47
+2.92% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $10 — +18.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$160.1M
Ticker Nerd rank
89 / 100
Median analyst target
$10
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$277.6M−2.1% y/y
Operating income$7.4M
Net income$386K
Free cash flow$2.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−9.0%
1M
+5.5%
YTD
+109.1%
1Y
+36.2%
From 52W high
−20.0%
From 52W low
+227.0%
$3
$11
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RRGB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Sept 2026
89 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
96
Revisions
91
Momentum
74
Issuance
72
Size
71
Growth
60
Value
47
Quality
46
Volatility
8

Accruals (96): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Volatility (8): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RRGB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RRGB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$2$4$6$8$10$12$14$16Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RRGBHigh $15Median $10Low $10

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
3 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $10Median $10High $15

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +18.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 Aug 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$8.00$10
20 Apr 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$12$8.00
20 Apr 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy
15 Dec 2025JefferiesUpgradeBuy
16 July 2025BenchmarkReiteratesBuy
27 Feb 2025CL KingUpgradeBuy
23 Aug 2024BenchmarkMaintainsBuy
23 Aug 2024Craig-HallumMaintainsBuy
23 Aug 2024Lake StreetMaintainsBuy
20 Aug 2024BenchmarkMaintainsBuy
14 Aug 2024Craig-HallumMaintainsBuy
30 May 2024Lake StreetMaintainsBuy
30 Apr 2024Lake StreetInitiatesBuy
25 Apr 2024Craig-HallumInitiatesBuy
15 Apr 2024BenchmarkReiteratesBuy
26 Mar 2024BenchmarkReiteratesBuy
5 Mar 2024BenchmarkReiteratesBuy
29 Feb 2024BenchmarkMaintainsBuy
3 Oct 2023JefferiesMaintainsHold
18 Aug 2023BenchmarkReiteratesBuy

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RRGB appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

RRGB vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. returned +36.2% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RRGB vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120140160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RRGBS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RRGB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−6.5×

Cheaper than 91% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.1×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

Price / book
−1.5×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.0×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−2.1%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−90.3%

Higher than 3% of US stocks

Gross margin
33.7%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.8%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Net margin
−2.5%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
21.9%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.0%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. has a market value of $160.1M and an enterprise value of $639.6M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter shrank 2.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$30.3M, a −2.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.69.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$1.8M.

  • Shares outstanding: 18.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: −6.5×; forward P/E: 30.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. employs 18,852 people $63K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RRGB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RRGBRed Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.$160.1M
89
RICKRCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.$226.3M
62
VENUVenu Holding Corp.$113.0M
7
BDLFlanigan's Enterprises, Inc.$87.3M
77
JACKJack in the Box, Inc.$305.0M
43
NDLSNoodles & Co.$83.8M
98
PTLOPortillo's, Inc.$335.7M
19

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RRGB news & analysis

RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS, INC., COMPLETES SALE OF 108 RESTAURANTS FOR $89.4 MILLION

PRNewsWire · 1 Sept 2026neutral

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. announced it has completed the substantial majority of closings under its previously announced refranchising transactions, selling 108 restaurants for $89.4 million. The company expects the remaining 8 restaurants to close by fiscal year end and generate $6.6 million in proceeds, which will support debt reduction and refinancing.

Why it matters — A Red Robin watcher would care because the restaurant sales generate significant proceeds intended to reduce debt and support refinancing, which could affect the company's capital structure and strategic direction.

Red Robin Not On My Menu, As Burger Chain Saw Q2 Traffic Decline

Seeking Alpha · 30 Aug 2026negative

Seeking Alpha issued initial coverage on Red Robin with a hold rating, noting a Q2 traffic decline and a turnaround strategy dependent on asset sales and efficiencies. The article highlights momentum gains since spring but also points to underperforming profit margins, cash flow versus debt expense, negative equity, and a challenging fast food environment.

Why it matters — A Red Robin watcher would care because the coverage outlines both the company's recent momentum and the structural financial and competitive challenges that could shape its turnaround prospects.

Red Robin Partners with The Faris Foundation to Make Mealtime Matter This September

PRNewsWire · 25 Aug 2026positive

Red Robin announced a partnership with The Faris Foundation for September during Childhood Cancer Awareness Month in 2026, supporting the foundation's mission to create brighter days and better treatments for children. The collaboration is set to begin in September.

Why it matters — A community-focused charitable partnership during Childhood Cancer Awareness Month could enhance Red Robin's brand image and customer goodwill among its stakeholders.

Red Robin's 116-Store Refranchising Could Reshape Its Earnings Mix

Zacks Investment Research · 20 Aug 2026neutral

Red Robin is pursuing a refranchising initiative involving 116 stores, which could reduce debt and expand franchise revenues. The outcome may be influenced by general and administrative expense resizing and franchise execution.

Why it matters — A Red Robin watcher would care because this refranchising could reshape the company's earnings mix and financial structure.

RRGB Jumps 23.7% in One Week: Can Its Turnaround Momentum Continue?

Zacks Investment Research · 20 Aug 2026neutral

Red Robin's stock jumped 23.7% in one week as its turnaround effort progresses, with steading traffic and improving margins while higher marketing costs weigh on EBITDA. The article examines whether this momentum can continue.

Why it matters — RRGB watchers would care because the sudden price surge heightens focus on whether the company's turnaround measures can be sustained amid ongoing cost pressures.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RRGB stock

What is the RRGB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $9.5 to $15. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RRGB stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RRGB?

As at 5 Sept 2026, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (96 of 100).

Will RRGB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +18.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. 89 out of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RRGB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RRGB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $9.5 to $15 over the next 12 months.

How has RRGB stock performed over the past year?

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. returned +36.2% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. do?

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. is a restaurant operator focused on casual-dining and fast-casual concepts across North America.

What is the latest news on RRGB?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 1 Sept 2026): "RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS, INC., COMPLETES SALE OF 108 RESTAURANTS FOR $89.4 MILLION". Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. announced it has completed the substantial majority of closings under its previously announced refranchising transactions, selling 108 restaurants for $89.4 million. The company expects the remaining 8 restaurants to close by fiscal year end and generate $6.6 million in proceeds, which will support debt reduction and refinancing.

Company

About Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. is a restaurant operator focused on casual-dining and fast-casual concepts across North America. The company develops, operates, and franchises restaurants under the Red Robin brand family, with a menu centered on gourmet burgers alongside pizza, appetizers, salads, sandwiches, desserts, wings, milkshakes, and a range of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages. Its business also includes dine-in and off-premises service channels, such as carry-out and delivery, supporting broad customer access to its offerings. Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. serves consumers seeking family-friendly dining and a varied full-service menu, and its franchise royalties and restaurant sales make it an established participant in the U.S. restaurant market. The company is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.

CEO Mr. David A. Pace · 18,852 employees · United States · https://www.redrobin.com