RRGBConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 3 Wall Street analysts covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $10 — +14.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 90 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (95): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Volatility (9): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RRGB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.8% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | $8.00 → $10 |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | $12 → $8.00 |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 16 July 2025 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 27 Feb 2025 | CL King | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 23 Aug 2024 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Aug 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Aug 2024 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 Aug 2024 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Aug 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 May 2024 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 Apr 2024 | Lake Street | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 25 Apr 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 15 Apr 2024 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 26 Mar 2024 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 5 Mar 2024 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 29 Feb 2024 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Oct 2023 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 18 Aug 2023 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
RRGB appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 22 Oct 2026, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. returned +33.0% against +15.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 92% of US stocks
Cheaper than 94% of US stocks
Cheaper than 95% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 3% of US stocks
Higher than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. has a market value of $164.3M and an enterprise value of $643.8M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter shrank 2.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$30.3M, a −2.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.69.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$1.8M.
Trailing P/E: −6.6×; forward P/E: 31.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. employs 18,852 people — $63K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Red Robin will offer veterans and active-duty military members a complimentary Red’s Big Tavern Burger with Bottomless Steak Fries on Nov. 11, 2026. The dine-in offer is available at participating restaurants nationwide with valid military ID or proof of service.
Why it matters — The Veterans Day promotion is a customer offer at participating Red Robin locations.
Red Robin announced that it will release its fiscal third-quarter 2026 financial results on November 4, 2026, after the market close. A conference call to discuss the results will follow at 4:30 p.m.
Why it matters — RRGB watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company’s quarterly results and discussion.
Red Robin will introduce the Prime Rib Stack Burger for a limited time at participating locations nationwide starting Oct. 19. The company also announced returning fan-favorite burgers to its value menu and bottomless refresher beverages.
Why it matters — The menu additions show a limited-time product launch and other offerings in Red Robin’s lineup.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. announced it completed the refinancing of its secured credit facility on October 2, 2026, as part of an effort to strengthen its financial foundation and support its "First Choice Plan." The company made the announcement on October 5, 2026, from its Englewood, Colorado headquarters.
Why it matters — A RRGB watcher would care because completing the refinancing is intended to strengthen the company's financial foundation and support its strategic First Choice Plan going forward.
Red Robin reported earnings 30 days ago and its stock has declined 23.6% since that earnings report. The item examines what may be next for the company's shares.
Why it matters — A Red Robin watcher would care because the significant post-earnings share decline raises questions about the company's near-term outlook and market performance.
The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $9.5 to $15. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 3 analysts covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. 90 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Oct 2026, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. ranks 90 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +14.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. 90 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RRGB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $9.5 to $15 over the next 12 months.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. returned +33.0% over the 12 months to 22 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. is a restaurant operator focused on casual-dining and fast-casual concepts across North America.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 22 Oct 2026): "Red Robin Offers Free Burger and Bottomless Steak Fries to Military Heroes This Veterans Day". Red Robin will offer veterans and active-duty military members a complimentary Red’s Big Tavern Burger with Bottomless Steak Fries on Nov. 11, 2026. The dine-in offer is available at participating restaurants nationwide with valid military ID or proof of service.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. is a restaurant operator focused on casual-dining and fast-casual concepts across North America. The company develops, operates, and franchises restaurants under the Red Robin brand family, with a menu centered on gourmet burgers alongside pizza, appetizers, salads, sandwiches, desserts, wings, milkshakes, and a range of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages. Its business also includes dine-in and off-premises service channels, such as carry-out and delivery, supporting broad customer access to its offerings. Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. serves consumers seeking family-friendly dining and a varied full-service menu, and its franchise royalties and restaurant sales make it an established participant in the U.S. restaurant market. The company is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
CEO Mr. David A. Pace · 18,852 employees · United States · https://www.redrobin.com
