RUNRUNTechnology · Solar

RUN Stock Forecast: SunRun, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$7.59
−0.26% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering SunRun, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +97.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 24 of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
24 / 100
Median analyst target
$15
Analysts covering
20
Revenue$870.0M+52.8% y/y
Operating income$34.8M
Net income−$208.2M
Free cash flow−$619.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.7%
1M
−17.7%
YTD
−58.7%
1Y
−60.9%
From 52W high
−64.5%
From 52W low
0.0%
$8
$21
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RUN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores SunRun, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 7 Oct 2026
24 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
100
Revisions
59
Quality
55
Size
36
Value
26
Issuance
24
Accruals
21
Momentum
9
Volatility
4

Growth (100): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Volatility (4): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RUN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RUN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25$30Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RUNHigh $30Median $15Low $10

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says20 analysts
11 Buy9 Hold0 Sell
Low $10Median $15High $30

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +97.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 Sept 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$15 → $13
17 Aug 2026GLJ ResearchReiteratesSell$4.63
17 Aug 2026GLJ ResearchReiteratesSell—
14 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
14 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$22 → $17
7 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$20 → $16
7 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$18 → $15
7 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
6 Aug 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$18 → $15
6 Aug 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
6 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
6 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$18 → $14
6 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$21 → $16
6 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
10 July 2026GLJ ResearchReiteratesSell—
10 July 2026GLJ ResearchReiteratesSell$4.63
10 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$19 → $18
10 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
16 June 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RUN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

RUN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, SunRun, Inc. returned −60.9% against +16.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RUN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RUNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RUN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+12.3%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

SunRun, Inc. (RUN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
5.1×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 81% of US stocks

Price / book
0.5×

Cheaper than 84% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
21.5×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
52.8%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−58.8%

Higher than 9% of US stocks

Gross margin
37.7%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Operating margin
4.0%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Net margin
11.6%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−19.9%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.3%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

SunRun, Inc. (RUN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • SunRun, Inc. has a market value of $1.8B and an enterprise value of $18.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.5B. The latest quarter grew 52.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$958.5M, a −27.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.48.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$2.2B.

  • Shares outstanding: 240.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 5.1×; forward P/E: 7.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • SunRun, Inc. employs 9,059 people — $384K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RUN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSolar
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RUNSunRun, Inc.$1.8B
24
SEDGSolarEdge Technologies, Inc.$2.0B
62
SHLSShoals Technologies Group, Inc.$1.4B
63
CSIQCanadian Solar, Inc.$762.9M
20
ENPHEnphase Energy, Inc.$4.4B
56
ARRYArray Technologies, Inc.$584.6M
59
NXTNextpower, Inc.$13.0B
60

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own SunRun, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RUN news & analysis

Sunrun Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Report

GlobeNewsWire · 7 Oct 2026neutral

Sunrun announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 earnings report after market close on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. A conference call to discuss the results is scheduled for 4:30 p.m.

Why it matters — RUN watchers can note when the company plans to report its quarterly results and discuss them on a call.

Sunrun (RUN) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Oct 2026negative

On the latest trading day, Sunrun (RUN) fell 1.67%, closing at $7.64, a decline that occurred despite gains in the broader market. This represents a move against the market's upward trend for the session.

Why it matters — A Sunrun watcher would note that the stock underperformed the market on the day, declining to $7.64 even as broader indices gained.

Why Sunrun (RUN) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Sept 2026negative

Sunrun (RUN) closed the latest trading day at $7.78, a -6.83% change from its previous close, with the drop exceeding that of the broader market. The decline was reported by Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — A Sunrun watcher would care because the stock underperformed the broader market, indicating company-specific selling pressure beyond general market moves.

Solar Stocks Slide as High Borrowing Costs Weigh on Project Financing: First Solar Sinks 8%, SolarEdge Falls 5%, Enphase Energy Drops 4%

24/7 Wall Street · 24 Sept 2026negative

Solar stocks fell sharply on Thursday as elevated borrowing costs put pressure on an industry that depends heavily on project financing. First Solar dropped 8%, SolarEdge fell 5%, and Enphase Energy declined 4%.

Why it matters — As a fellow solar company, SunRun may face similar headwinds from high borrowing costs affecting project financing across the sector.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RUN stock

What is the RUN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering SunRun, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $10 to $30. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RUN stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering SunRun, Inc., 11 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks SunRun, Inc. 24 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 7 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RUN?

As at 7 Oct 2026, SunRun, Inc. ranks 24 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (100 of 100).

Will RUN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +97.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks SunRun, Inc. 24 out of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RUN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering SunRun, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RUN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $30 over the next 12 months.

How has RUN stock performed over the past year?

SunRun, Inc. returned -60.9% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does SunRun, Inc. do?

Sunrun Inc. is a residential solar energy and battery storage company focused on helping homeowners generate, store, and manage electricity at home.

What is the latest news on RUN?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 7 Oct 2026): "Sunrun Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Report". Sunrun announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 earnings report after market close on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. A conference call to discuss the results is scheduled for 4:30 p.m.

Company

About SunRun, Inc.

Sunrun Inc. is a residential solar energy and battery storage company focused on helping homeowners generate, store, and manage electricity at home. Sunrun designs, installs, finances, monitors, and maintains rooftop solar systems and connected storage solutions, offering flexible customer options such as leases, power purchase agreements, and direct ownership. Its home energy services include battery storage products, system monitoring, maintenance, and integrated energy management features that support backup power and more efficient use of solar generation. The company also serves commercial developers in multi-family and new home projects and sells related solar equipment and services through multiple customer channels. Sunrun plays a significant role in the U.S. distributed energy market by expanding access to clean, decentralized power for households and supporting broader home electrification.

CEO Ms. Mary Grace Powell · 9,059 employees · United States · https://www.sunrun.com