SFDSFDConsumer Defensive · Farm Products

SFD Stock Forecast: Smithfield Foods, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$26
−0.23% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Smithfield Foods, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $32 — +23.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 40 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$10.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
40 / 100
Median analyst target
$32
Analysts covering
6
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.3%
1M
+5.7%
YTD
+19.1%
1Y
+11.7%
From 52W high
−11.2%
From 52W low
+27.2%
$20
$29
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SFD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Smithfield Foods, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
40 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
95
Momentum
60
Volatility
55
Quality
50
Revisions
50
Growth
42
Accruals
40
Issuance
32
Size
15

Value (95): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Issuance (32): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (15): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Smithfield Foods, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

SFD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SFD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SFDHigh $35Median $32Low $28

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says6 analysts
5 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $28Median $32High $35

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +23.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
2 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$33$32
2 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
29 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight
25 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight
8 Oct 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
13 Aug 2025BarclaysMaintainsOverweight
13 Aug 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight
13 Aug 2025UBSMaintainsBuy
24 Feb 2025B of A SecuritiesInitiatesBuy
24 Feb 2025BarclaysInitiatesOverweight
24 Feb 2025CitigroupInitiatesBuy
24 Feb 2025Goldman SachsInitiatesBuy
24 Feb 2025Morgan StanleyInitiatesOverweight
14 June 2013DA DavidsonDowngradeNeutral
30 May 2013BMO CapitalDowngradeMarket Perform$28$34
30 May 2013Stephens & Co.DowngradeEqual-Weight$30$34
29 May 2013DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$32$38
15 May 2013BB&T CapitalDowngradeHold
11 Mar 2013B of A SecuritiesUpgradeNeutral$20$26
11 Mar 2013Miller TabakMaintainsHold$22$24

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

SFD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−1.0%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.1×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 78% of US stocks

Price / book
1.5×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.9×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.8%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
9.8%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Gross margin
13.4%

Higher than 14% of US stocks

Operating margin
8.8%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Net margin
6.5%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.0%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.3%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.8%

Higher than 82% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

SFD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFarm Products
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SFDSmithfield Foods, Inc.$10.2B
40
TSNTyson Foods, Inc.$20.0B
59
BGBunge Global SA$20.6B
37
CALMCal-Maine Foods, Inc.$4.3B
46
ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Co.$38.2B
90
DMCDel Monte Corp.$1.4B
55
AGROAdecoagro SA$1.4B
18
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SFD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest SFD news & analysis

Smithfield Foods Declares Quarterly Dividend

GlobeNewsWire · 30 July 2026positive

Smithfield Foods announced that its Board of Directors approved a quarterly dividend of $0.3125 per share, payable on August 27, 2026, to shareholders of record as of August 13, 2026.

Why it matters — The declaration of a quarterly dividend signals the company's continued commitment to returning cash to shareholders.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SFD stock

What is the SFD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Smithfield Foods, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $32, with estimates ranging from $28 to $35. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SFD stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Smithfield Foods, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Smithfield Foods, Inc. 40 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SFD?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Smithfield Foods, Inc. ranks 40 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (95 of 100).

Will SFD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +23.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Smithfield Foods, Inc. 40 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SFD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Smithfield Foods, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SFD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $28 to $35 over the next 12 months.

How has SFD stock performed over the past year?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. returned +11.7% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Smithfield Foods, Inc. do?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. is a leading American packaged meats and fresh pork producer operating through three core business segments.

What is the latest news on SFD?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 30 July 2026): "Smithfield Foods Declares Quarterly Dividend". Smithfield Foods announced that its Board of Directors approved a quarterly dividend of $0.3125 per share, payable on August 27, 2026, to shareholders of record as of August 13, 2026.

Company

About Smithfield Foods, Inc.

Smithfield Foods, Inc. is a leading American packaged meats and fresh pork producer operating through three core business segments. The Packaged Meats segment processes fresh meat into a diverse portfolio of products including bacon, sausage, hot dogs, deli meats, ham, and ready-to-eat prepared foods, marketed under prominent brands such as Smithfield, Eckrich, Nathan's Famous, Farmland, and Armour. The Fresh Pork segment converts live hogs into various primal and sub-primal cuts for retail, foodservice, and industrial customers, with significant export operations to markets including China, Mexico, Japan, and South Korea. The Hog Production segment raises hogs on company-owned and contract farms across the United States and Mexico, while also operating bioscience operations that manufacture heparin products for pharmaceutical applications. Founded in 1936 and headquartered in Smithfield, Virginia, the company serves a broad customer base including retailers, foodservice operators, and industrial processors both domestically and internationally.

CEO Mr. C. Shane Smith · 37,417 employees · United States · https://www.smithfieldfoods.com