SMTCSMTCTechnology · Semiconductors

SMTC Stock Forecast: Semtech Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$119
+1.07% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Semtech Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $203 — +70.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 90 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$11.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
90 / 100
Median analyst target
$203
Analysts covering
14
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.0%
1M
−12.0%
YTD
+61.6%
1Y
+137.5%
From 52W high
−31.8%
From 52W low
+145.7%
$48
$175
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SMTC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Semtech Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
90 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
100
Accruals
90
Momentum
84
Quality
83
Issuance
64
Value
63
Growth
42
Volatility
35
Size
15

Revisions (100): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (35): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (15): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Semtech Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

SMTC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SMTC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$50$100$150$200$250Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SMTCHigh $230Median $203Low $175

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says14 analysts
12 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $175Median $203High $230

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +70.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 19 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$200
22 June 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$210$215
27 May 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$165$210
27 May 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$110$225
27 May 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$120$230
27 May 2026Craig-HallumMaintainsBuy$105$205
27 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$155$175
27 May 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$105$200
27 May 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy$102$190
27 May 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$157$188
27 May 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$170$200
27 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$165$225
26 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$89$155
22 May 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$110$150
20 May 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$110$170
18 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$105$165
15 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$105$165
16 Apr 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$115$122
14 Apr 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$115$120
17 Mar 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$88$110

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

SMTC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+20.0%
Analysts raising
12
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Semtech Corp. (SMTC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
133.3×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Price / sales
10.0×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Price / book
19.1×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
74.7×

Cheaper than 3% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
15.9%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
37.3%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Gross margin
52.0%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Operating margin
9.3%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Net margin
−3.0%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−5.8%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.9%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.2%

Higher than 3% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

SMTC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSemiconductors
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SMTCSemtech Corp.$11.0B
90
RMBSRambus, Inc.$9.8B
66
SWKSSkyworks Solutions, Inc.$9.4B
84
SITMSiTime Corp.$14.1B
52
QRVOQorvo, Inc.$8.4B
99
ALGMAllegro MicroSystems, Inc.$7.7B
89
SLABSilicon Laboratories, Inc.$7.1B
83
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SMTC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest SMTC news & analysis

Did Semtech Corporation Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders?

PRNewsWire · 29 July 2026negative

A law firm is contacting Semtech Corporation shareholders about potential breaches of fiduciary duties by company insiders, offering to handle matters on a contingent fee basis.

Why it matters — SMTC watchers would care because this raises the possibility of shareholder litigation against company insiders, which could impact governance and financial outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SMTC stock

What is the SMTC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Semtech Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $203, with estimates ranging from $175 to $230. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SMTC stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Semtech Corp., 12 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Semtech Corp. 90 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SMTC?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Semtech Corp. ranks 90 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (100 of 100).

Will SMTC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +70.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Semtech Corp. 90 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SMTC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Semtech Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SMTC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $175 to $230 over the next 12 months.

How has SMTC stock performed over the past year?

Semtech Corp. returned +137.5% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Semtech Corp. do?

Semtech Corporation is a semiconductor and IoT solutions company that develops high-performance analog and mixed-signal products for data center networking, wireless connectivity, and connected device applications. Its portfolio spans signal integrity, circuit protection, power management, smart sensing, wireless RF, broadcast, and cellular IoT solutions, along with systems, software, and connected services that support digital infrastructure.

What is the latest news on SMTC?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 29 July 2026): "Did Semtech Corporation Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders?". A law firm is contacting Semtech Corporation shareholders about potential breaches of fiduciary duties by company insiders, offering to handle matters on a contingent fee basis.

Company

About Semtech Corp.

Semtech Corporation is a semiconductor and IoT solutions company that develops high-performance analog and mixed-signal products for data center networking, wireless connectivity, and connected device applications. Its portfolio spans signal integrity, circuit protection, power management, smart sensing, wireless RF, broadcast, and cellular IoT solutions, along with systems, software, and connected services that support digital infrastructure. The company serves customers across infrastructure, industrial, and consumer markets, with products designed to improve connectivity, reliability, and power efficiency in modern electronic systems. Semtech also offers IoT modules, gateways, routers, and cloud-related connectivity services that help enable device-to-cloud deployments and networked applications. Headquartered in Camarillo, California, and founded in 1960, Semtech plays a meaningful role in enabling communication, sensing, and protection technologies used in a broad range of electronic and industrial environments.

CEO Dr. Hong Q. Hou Ph.D. · 1,920 employees · United States · https://www.semtech.com