SRFMIndustrials · AirlinesThe 4 Wall Street analysts covering Surf Air Mobility, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $3.88 — +400.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 15 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Surf Air Mobility, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Size (73): Smaller than most of the companies we track.
Volatility (7): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SRFM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +400.5% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold | $1.50 → $1.00 |
| 7 May 2026 | Northland Capital Markets | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 7 May 2026 | Northland Capital Markets | Initiates | Outperform | $5.00 |
| 16 Mar 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 18 Aug 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 27 June 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 10 June 2025 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 2 Apr 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 20 Mar 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 7 Mar 2025 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 13 Dec 2024 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 18 Nov 2024 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 27 Aug 2024 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 28 May 2024 | Bernstein | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 15 May 2024 | Canaccord Genuity | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 1 Apr 2024 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Sept 2023 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 28 Aug 2023 | Canaccord Genuity | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 22 Aug 2023 | Bernstein | Initiates | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
SRFM appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Surf Air Mobility, Inc. returned −81.8% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 79% of US stocks
Cheaper than 68% of US stocks
Cheaper than 95% of US stocks
Cheaper than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 46% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 3% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 6% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 12% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Surf Air Mobility, Inc. has a market value of $111.7M and an enterprise value of $171.8M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $110.7M. The latest quarter grew 7.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$112.5M, a −101.6% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$68.3M.
Trailing P/E: −0.3×; forward P/E: −0.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Surf Air Mobility, Inc. employs 506 people — $219K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| SRFMSurf Air Mobility, Inc. | $111.7M | 15 |
| FLYXflyExclusive, Inc. | $118.0M | 28 |
| RJETRepublic Airways Holdings, Inc. | $805.0M | 6 |
| JBLUJetBlue Airways Corp. | $963.8M | 21 |
| ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc. | $1.2B | 27 |
| ALGTAllegiant Travel Co. | $1.9B | 49 |
| JLHLJulong Holding Ltd.* | $106.0M | 10 |
* Nearest Industrials names by size — few airlines companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Surf Air Mobility, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Surf Air Mobility said it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on November 5, 2026. The company will host a webcast that day at 5:00 p.m. ET, with advance registration and dial-in options available.
Why it matters — SRFM watchers can note the scheduled date and time to access the company’s quarterly results and webcast.
Surf Air Mobility signed a definitive agreement with Flying Zebra for OperatorOS, its flight operations software for Part 135 operators powered by Palantir. The company said this is its fifth commercial OperatorOS agreement.
Why it matters — The agreement adds to Surf Air Mobility’s commercial OperatorOS contracts as it works toward having five operators live on the software.
Surf Air Mobility announced that CEO Deanna White and CFO Jason Secore will attend the 2026 Maxim Growth Summit, scheduled for October 12–14 at The Hard Rock Hotel NYC. The company plans to meet with institutional investors in one-on-one sessions and engage with senior Maxim research analysts.
Why it matters — The event provides SRFM watchers with information about the company’s planned investor and analyst engagement.
Surf Air Mobility updated on recent achievements and priorities for its airline operations business, which includes Mokulele in Hawaiʻi and Southern Airways on the mainland. It reported SurfOS-enabled efficiency gains, including a 6% reduction in direct operating cost per block hour.
Why it matters — The update describes operating efficiency progress and priorities relevant to SRFM’s airline operations business.
Surf Air Mobility signed a definitive agreement with Clipper Aviation for OperatorOS, its SurfOS flight operations software for Part 135 operators, powered by Palantir. The company said this is its fourth commercial OperatorOS agreement.
Why it matters — The agreement adds another operator customer as Surf Air Mobility works toward its stated goal of five operators.
The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Surf Air Mobility, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $3.88, with estimates ranging from $1 to $12. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 4 analysts covering Surf Air Mobility, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Surf Air Mobility, Inc. 15 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Oct 2026, Surf Air Mobility, Inc. ranks 15 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (73 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +400.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Surf Air Mobility, Inc. 15 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Surf Air Mobility, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SRFM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $1 to $12 over the next 12 months.
Surf Air Mobility, Inc. returned -81.8% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Surf Air Mobility Inc. is a regional air mobility company focused on scheduled air service, on-demand charter flights, and air cargo operations.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 23 Oct 2026): "Surf Air Mobility to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on November 5, 2026". Surf Air Mobility said it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on November 5, 2026. The company will host a webcast that day at 5:00 p.m. ET, with advance registration and dial-in options available.
Surf Air Mobility Inc. is a regional air mobility company focused on scheduled air service, on-demand charter flights, and air cargo operations. The company serves passengers through a network built around commuter airline services and charter marketplace offerings, using small aircraft to connect regional routes and underserved airports. Surf Air Mobility also develops AI-enabled software and electrification technology designed to support airline operations and modernization across the regional aviation market. Its current business spans passenger transportation, charter brokerage, and aviation technology, positioning it as a platform that combines air travel services with software-driven operational tools. Headquartered in Hawthorne, California, Surf Air Mobility plays a role in the evolving regional aviation sector by integrating flight operations with technology solutions for commercial and private air travel.
CEO Ms. Deanna White · 506 employees · United States · https://www.surfair.com
