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SRFM Stock Forecast: Surf Air Mobility, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$0.70
+9.97% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Surf Air Mobility, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $3.88 — +455.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 16 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$86.3M
Ticker Nerd rank
16 / 100
Median analyst target
$3.88
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$29.5M+7.6% y/y
Operating income−$18.8M
Net income−$28.1M
Free cash flow−$10.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+37.2%
1M
+4.4%
YTD
−64.0%
1Y
−84.6%
From 52W high
−87.2%
From 52W low
+48.9%
$0.47
$5.45
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SRFM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Surf Air Mobility, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
16 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
77
Accruals
63
Issuance
59
Revisions
37
Growth
21
Momentum
16
Quality
15
Value
9
Volatility
8

Size (77): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Volatility (8): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SRFM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SRFM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$0.00$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00$12.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SRFMHigh $12.00Median $3.88Low $1.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
3 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $1.00Median $3.88High $12.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +455.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold$1.50 → $1.00
7 May 2026Northland Capital MarketsInitiatesOutperform—
7 May 2026Northland Capital MarketsInitiatesOutperform$5.00
16 Mar 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold—
14 Nov 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold—
18 Aug 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold—
27 June 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold—
10 June 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
2 Apr 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold—
20 Mar 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold—
7 Mar 2025HC Wainwright & Co.InitiatesBuy—
13 Dec 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold—
18 Nov 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold—
27 Aug 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold—
28 May 2024BernsteinDowngradeMarket Perform—
15 May 2024Canaccord GenuityDowngradeHold—
1 Apr 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
8 Sept 2023Piper SandlerInitiatesOverweight—
28 Aug 2023Canaccord GenuityInitiatesBuy—
22 Aug 2023BernsteinInitiatesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SRFM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SRFM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Surf Air Mobility, Inc. returned −84.6% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SRFM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
020406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SRFMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SRFM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Surf Air Mobility, Inc. (SRFM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−0.2×

Cheaper than 78% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 74% of US stocks

Price / book
−1.6×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−2.4×

Cheaper than 73% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.6%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
7.6%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Gross margin
−8.1%

Higher than 3% of US stocks

Operating margin
−63.7%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Net margin
−101.6%

Higher than 6% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
201.5%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Return on assets
−34.5%

Higher than 12% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Surf Air Mobility, Inc. (SRFM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Surf Air Mobility, Inc. has a market value of $86.3M and an enterprise value of $154.1M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $110.7M. The latest quarter grew 7.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$112.5M, a −101.6% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$68.3M.

  • Shares outstanding: 119.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: −0.2×; forward P/E: −0.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Surf Air Mobility, Inc. employs 506 people — $219K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 20 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SRFM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAirlines
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SRFMSurf Air Mobility, Inc.$86.3M
16
FLYXflyExclusive, Inc.$135.3M
29
RJETRepublic Airways Holdings, Inc.$827.9M
5
ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc.$1.3B
31
JBLUJetBlue Airways Corp.$1.6B
29
MHHMastech Digital, Inc.*$86.7M
78
RFILRF Industries Ltd.*$85.8M
83

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few airlines companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Surf Air Mobility, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SRFM news & analysis

Surf Air Mobility Signs First OperatorOS Contract with Sprintbach Aviation

Business Wire · 17 Sept 2026positive

Surf Air Mobility announced it has signed a definitive agreement with Sprintbach Aviation for OperatorOS, its flight operations software for Part 135 operators powered by Palantir Technologies. This is the company's first commercial OperatorOS agreement and contributes to its goal of having five operators live.

Why it matters — This marks Surf Air Mobility's first commercial contract for its OperatorOS software, advancing its stated goal of onboarding five operators.

Surf Air Mobility Attends FAA's Project Nexus eIPP Event, Reinforcing Its Position as the Commercial Platform for Advanced Air Mobility

Business Wire · 15 Sept 2026positive

Surf Air Mobility executives attended the launch meeting for Project Nexus, the FAA's eVTOL Integration Pilot Program (eIPP) initiative awarded to North Texas, held on September 10 at Alliance Field in Fort Worth, Texas. Project Nexus convenes a coalition of leading eVTOL manufacturers.

Why it matters — This participation reinforces Surf Air Mobility's position as the commercial platform for advanced air mobility and its involvement in FAA eVTOL integration efforts.

Surf Air Mobility's Mokulele Airlines Awarded $19.4 Million Essential Air Service Contract for Lanaʻi in Hawaiʻi

Business Wire · 14 Sept 2026positive

Surf Air Mobility announced that its subsidiary, Mokulele Airlines, was awarded a new Essential Air Service contract by the U.S. Department of Transportation to continue scheduled air service to Lanaʻi, Hawaiʻi. The contract provides $19.4 million in EAS subsidies over four years, doubling the term of the prior contract.

Why it matters — A secured multi-year contract with increased subsidy value helps ensure continued revenue and operational stability for Surf Air Mobility's Mokulele Airlines in Hawaiʻi.

FAA Names OperatorOS as an Authorized System for Electronic Signatures and Recordkeeping

Business Wire · 26 Aug 2026positive

The FAA has approved OperatorOS, Surf Air Mobility's proprietary flight operations software, as an authorized system of record allowing the company's airlines to use electronic alternatives to paper signatures, records, and manuals. The approval covers the Part 135 certificate under which Southern Airways Express operates.

Why it matters — This FAA approval validates Surf Air Mobility's software capabilities, potentially supporting more efficient, digitally-enabled operations across its airlines.

Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage On Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) 2Q26

Newsfile Corp · 11 Aug 2026positive

Stonegate Capital Partners updated its coverage on Surf Air Mobility Inc. after the company's 2Q26 results. The quarter saw revenue reach the high end of guidance despite elevated fuel costs and Hawaii weather disruption, while the first SurfOS enterprise contract advanced commercialization.

Why it matters — A watcher would care because the quarterly performance, the first SurfOS enterprise contract, and fresh analyst coverage signal progress in the company's commercialization and forward outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SRFM stock

What is the SRFM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Surf Air Mobility, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $3.88, with estimates ranging from $1 to $12. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SRFM stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Surf Air Mobility, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Surf Air Mobility, Inc. 16 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SRFM?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Surf Air Mobility, Inc. ranks 16 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (77 of 100).

Will SRFM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +455.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Surf Air Mobility, Inc. 16 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SRFM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Surf Air Mobility, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SRFM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $1 to $12 over the next 12 months.

How has SRFM stock performed over the past year?

Surf Air Mobility, Inc. returned -84.6% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Surf Air Mobility, Inc. do?

Surf Air Mobility Inc. is a regional air mobility company focused on scheduled air service, on-demand charter flights, and air cargo operations.

What is the latest news on SRFM?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 17 Sept 2026): "Surf Air Mobility Signs First OperatorOS Contract with Sprintbach Aviation". Surf Air Mobility announced it has signed a definitive agreement with Sprintbach Aviation for OperatorOS, its flight operations software for Part 135 operators powered by Palantir Technologies. This is the company's first commercial OperatorOS agreement and contributes to its goal of having five operators live.

Company

About Surf Air Mobility, Inc.

Surf Air Mobility Inc. is a regional air mobility company focused on scheduled air service, on-demand charter flights, and air cargo operations. The company serves passengers through a network built around commuter airline services and charter marketplace offerings, using small aircraft to connect regional routes and underserved airports. Surf Air Mobility also develops AI-enabled software and electrification technology designed to support airline operations and modernization across the regional aviation market. Its current business spans passenger transportation, charter brokerage, and aviation technology, positioning it as a platform that combines air travel services with software-driven operational tools. Headquartered in Hawthorne, California, Surf Air Mobility plays a role in the evolving regional aviation sector by integrating flight operations with technology solutions for commercial and private air travel.

CEO Ms. Deanna White · 506 employees · United States · https://www.surfair.com