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STX Stock Forecast: Seagate Technology Holdings plc Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 7 Oct 2026
$808
+0.24% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Seagate Technology Holdings plc hold a median 12-month price target of $1,150 — +42.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 97 of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$183.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
97 / 100
Median analyst target
$1,150
Analysts covering
25
Revenue$3.6B+48.5% y/y
Operating income$1.6B
Net income$1.3B
Free cash flow$1.1B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−12.4%
1M
−4.8%
YTD
+194.4%
1Y
+261.3%
From 52W high
−26.0%
From 52W low
+284.1%
$210
$1,092
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

STX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Seagate Technology Holdings plc on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 7 Oct 2026
97 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
99
Quality
99
Momentum
96
Growth
83
Issuance
81
Volatility
79
Value
73
Accruals
34
Size
1

Revisions (99): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (34): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

STX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on STX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$0$500$1,000$1,500Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26STXHigh $1,600Median $1,150Low $700

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says25 analysts
22 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Low $700Median $1,150High $1,600

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +42.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 13 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 July 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy$750 → $900
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$1,000 → $1,250
29 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight$1,300
29 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$1,240 → $1,300
29 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$1,095 → $1,240
29 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$1,035 → $1,187
29 July 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$1,300 → $1,400
29 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$775 → $875
29 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$850 → $1,000
29 July 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform$825 → $1,000
29 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$1,100 → $1,180
13 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$1,150 → $1,240
13 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
10 July 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight$900 → $1,100
10 July 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight—
8 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$615 → $775
8 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
1 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
29 June 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
15 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. STX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

STX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, Seagate Technology Holdings plc returned +261.3% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

STX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100200300400500Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26STXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

STX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+31.0%
Analysts raising
20
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
58.0×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

Price / sales
15.0×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Price / book
84.3×

Cheaper than 2% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
41.0×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
48.5%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
165.2%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Gross margin
52.3%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Operating margin
43.1%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Net margin
26.1%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
371.5%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Return on assets
29.4%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.4%

Higher than 64% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Seagate Technology Holdings plc has a market value of $183.2B and an enterprise value of $184.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $12.2B. The latest quarter grew 48.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $3.2B, a 26.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $13.88.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.1B.

  • Seagate Technology Holdings plc spent $176.0M on share buybacks and $634.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 227.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 58.0×; forward P/E: 14.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.37%, paying out 21% of earnings.

  • Seagate Technology Holdings plc employs 30,000 people — $407K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 7 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

STX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelComputer Hardware
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
STXSeagate Technology Holdings plc$183.2B
97
WDCWestern Digital Corp.$146.2B
90
SNDKSandisk Corp.$249.8B
80
ANETArista Networks, Inc.$271.8B
67
DELLDell Technologies, Inc.$368.1B
95
PEverpure, Inc.$50.4B
85
HPQHP, Inc.$29.5B
96

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Seagate Technology Holdings plc — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest STX news & analysis

The Hard Drive Maker That Quietly Turned $1,000 Into $31,680 Over Ten Years

24/7 Wall Street · 7 Oct 2026positive

A 24/7 Wall Street article says a storage company that investors had viewed as a declining PC supplier delivered a striking ten-year investment outcome, with dividends playing an unexpected role. The excerpt does not explicitly identify the company or provide further details.

Why it matters — STX watchers may find the article relevant for its discussion of a storage company's decade-long performance and the contribution of dividends.

Undercovered Dozen: Brookfield Renewable, Annaly Capital, Seagate, And More

Seeking Alpha · 7 Oct 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha’s Undercovered Dozen series featured Seagate among 12 lesser-covered stocks, presenting the selection as a prompt for fresh investment ideas and community discussion.

Why it matters — The feature highlights Seagate as one of the stocks receiving attention in this curated undercovered-equities roundup.

Seagate vs. Western Digital: Which HDD Stock Has More Room to Run?

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research compares Seagate and Western Digital, noting that the AI boom is boosting demand for HDDs as AI workloads produce large volumes of data that need economical storage.

Why it matters — The item links AI-related data-storage needs to the HDD market, a development relevant to watchers of Seagate.

Seagate, Western Digital stocks are falling again on Tuesday: here's why

Invezz · 6 Oct 2026negative

Seagate and Western Digital shares fell Tuesday as investors weighed Toshiba’s potential expansion in the hard-disk drive market and a reported contest between Seagate and Toshiba to acquire TDK’s magnetic-heads unit.

Why it matters — The reported bidding contest involves Seagate and a supplier described as the only independent manufacturer of magnetic-recording heads.

Seagate And Western Digital Stocks Fall. There's A New Twist To Toshiba Competition Fears.

Investors Business Daily · 6 Oct 2026negative

Seagate and Western Digital shares fell amid a new development in concerns about competition from Toshiba: Bloomberg reported a bidding war for a maker of a key hard-drive component.

Why it matters — STX watchers may follow the bidding contest as it relates to the article’s discussion of Toshiba competition fears.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about STX stock

What is the STX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Seagate Technology Holdings plc have a median 12-month price target of $1,150, with estimates ranging from $700 to $1,600. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is STX stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering Seagate Technology Holdings plc, 22 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Seagate Technology Holdings plc 97 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 7 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank STX?

As at 7 Oct 2026, Seagate Technology Holdings plc ranks 97 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (99 of 100).

Will STX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +42.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Seagate Technology Holdings plc 97 out of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the STX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Seagate Technology Holdings plc publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for STX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $700 to $1,600 over the next 12 months.

How has STX stock performed over the past year?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc returned +261.3% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Seagate Technology Holdings plc do?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc is a data storage solutions company that develops, produces, and distributes products for managing large volumes of digital information. Seagate Technology Holdings plc’s current portfolio includes hard disk drives, solid state drives, solid state hybrid drives, storage subsystems, controller cards, and computing solutions used across enterprise, cloud, surveillance, video, and consumer environments.

What is the latest news on STX?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 7 Oct 2026): "The Hard Drive Maker That Quietly Turned $1,000 Into $31,680 Over Ten Years". A 24/7 Wall Street article says a storage company that investors had viewed as a declining PC supplier delivered a striking ten-year investment outcome, with dividends playing an unexpected role. The excerpt does not explicitly identify the company or provide further details.

Company

About Seagate Technology Holdings plc.

Seagate Technology Holdings plc is a data storage solutions company that develops, produces, and distributes products for managing large volumes of digital information. Seagate Technology Holdings plc’s current portfolio includes hard disk drives, solid state drives, solid state hybrid drives, storage subsystems, controller cards, and computing solutions used across enterprise, cloud, surveillance, video, and consumer environments. The company serves customers that need mass-capacity storage infrastructure, including data centers and organizations handling high-density workloads. Its product lineup is designed to support backup, archiving, and active data management across connected systems and edge-to-cloud deployments. Seagate Technology Holdings plc plays a central role in the storage hardware market by supplying devices and platforms that help businesses and consumers store, access, and protect digital data efficiently.

CEO Dr. William David Mosley Ph.D. · 30,000 employees · Singapore · https://www.seagate.com