SWSWConsumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

SW Stock Forecast: Smurfit WestRock Plc Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 16 Oct 2026
$41
−0.19% on the day

The 17 Wall Street analysts covering Smurfit WestRock Plc hold a median 12-month price target of $56 — +36.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 25 of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$21.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
25 / 100
Median analyst target
$56
Analysts covering
17
Revenue$8.0B+1.1% y/y
Operating income$429.0M
Net income$88.0M
Free cash flow$300.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.3%
1M
−7.7%
YTD
+9.6%
1Y
+2.5%
From 52W high
−19.0%
From 52W low
+29.2%
$32
$51
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SW stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Smurfit WestRock Plc on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Oct 2026
25 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
72
Issuance
59
Momentum
52
Value
42
Revisions
37
Growth
36
Quality
34
Volatility
15
Size
9

Accruals (72): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Volatility (15): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SW stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SW, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60$70Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SWHigh $69Median $56Low $46

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says17 analysts
17 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $46Median $56High $69

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +36.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$60 → $55
12 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$57 → $54
2 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$57 → $54
2 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
23 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
27 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
4 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
4 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
31 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
30 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
28 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
17 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
15 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
9 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
9 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
23 June 2026Deutsche BankInitiatesBuy—
21 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SW appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SW vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 16 Oct 2026, Smurfit WestRock Plc returned +2.5% against +16.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SW vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SWS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SW analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−20.2%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Smurfit WestRock Plc (SW) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
43.3×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 76% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.7×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.1%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
1.1%

Higher than 37% of US stocks

Gross margin
17.4%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.5%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Net margin
1.6%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
2.7%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.6%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.4%

Higher than 92% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Smurfit WestRock Plc (SW) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Smurfit WestRock Plc has a market value of $21.6B and an enterprise value of $35.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $31.3B. The latest quarter grew 1.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $494.0M, a 1.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.94.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.0B, after $2.3B of capital spending.

  • Smurfit WestRock Plc spent $924.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 524.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 43.3×; forward P/E: 11.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 4.39%, paying out 186% of earnings.

  • Smurfit WestRock Plc employs 47,000 people — $667K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 16 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SW vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelPackaging & Containers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SWSmurfit WestRock Plc$21.6B
25
PKGPackaging Corporation of America$20.9B
43
AMCRAmcor Plc$20.2B
59
IPInternational Paper Co.$18.0B
26
BALLBall Corp.$16.8B
78
AVYAvery Dennison Corp.$13.6B
79
CCKCrown Holdings, Inc.$12.7B
99

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Smurfit WestRock Plc — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SW stock

What is the SW stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 17 Wall Street analysts covering Smurfit WestRock Plc have a median 12-month price target of $56, with estimates ranging from $46 to $69. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SW stock a buy right now?

Of the 17 analysts covering Smurfit WestRock Plc, 17 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Smurfit WestRock Plc 25 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SW?

As at 15 Oct 2026, Smurfit WestRock Plc ranks 25 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (72 of 100).

Will SW stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 17 analysts implies +36.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Smurfit WestRock Plc 25 out of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SW stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Smurfit WestRock Plc publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SW are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $46 to $69 over the next 12 months.

How has SW stock performed over the past year?

Smurfit WestRock Plc returned +2.5% over the 12 months to 16 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Smurfit WestRock Plc do?

Smurfit WestRock Plc is a global packaging company focused on paper-based solutions for industrial and consumer markets. It manufactures and supplies containerboard, corrugated containers, paperboard, folding cartons, solid board, kraft paper, graphic board, paper sacks, and bag-in-box packaging.

Company

About Smurfit WestRock Plc.

Smurfit WestRock Plc is a global packaging company focused on paper-based solutions for industrial and consumer markets. It manufactures and supplies containerboard, corrugated containers, paperboard, folding cartons, solid board, kraft paper, graphic board, paper sacks, and bag-in-box packaging. The company also provides corrugated sheet boards, hexacomb packaging, inserts, labels, and displays, supporting a wide range of packaging needs across food and beverage, healthcare, beauty and personal care, consumer goods, industrial, and foodservice sectors. With operations across multiple regions, Smurfit WestRock Plc plays an important role in the supply chain by converting fiber-based materials into protective, transport, and shelf-ready packaging used by businesses around the world.

CEO Mr. Anthony Paul J. Smurfit · 47,000 employees · Ireland · https://www.smurfitwestrock.com