SWKIndustrials · Tools & AccessoriesThe 15 Wall Street analysts covering Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $100 — -15.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 94 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Volatility (38): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (11): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SWK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −15.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $95 → $90 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $110 → $105 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $90 → $95 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $100 → $107 |
| 18 June 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 18 June 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $80 → $90 |
| 29 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 1 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Jan 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Nov 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
SWK appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. returned +85.0% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Cheaper than 67% of US stocks
Cheaper than 47% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 92% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. has a market value of $16.1B and an enterprise value of $20.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $15.2B. The latest quarter grew 0.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $620.5M, a 4.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.10.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.3B, after $262.1M of capital spending.
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. spent $275.0M on share buybacks and $502.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 25.5×; forward P/E: 16.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.21%, paying out 81% of earnings.
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. employs 41,000 people — $372K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Stanley Black & Decker’s Q3 2026 earnings call. The excerpt provides no details about the company’s results or comments during the call.
Why it matters — The transcript is a source for SWK watchers seeking details from management, but the supplied excerpt does not indicate what was discussed.
Stanley Black & Decker reported a 61.5% year-over-year increase in Q3 earnings, citing margin expansion and tariff refunds. The company raised its 2026 earnings and free cash flow forecasts.
Why it matters — The earnings increase and higher 2026 forecasts provide SWK watchers with updated information on profitability and cash flow expectations.
Barron’s reports that Stanley Black & Decker stock is heading for its best single-day percentage gain in more than six years.
Why it matters — The reported move is notable to SWK watchers because it would be the stock’s strongest one-day percentage gain in over six years.
Zacks Investment Research notes that Stanley Black & Decker reported Q3 earnings for the quarter ended September 2026. The article focuses on how key metrics compared with Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.
Why it matters — Those comparisons offer SWK watchers additional context on the company’s quarterly performance beyond its headline revenue and earnings figures.
Stanley Black & Decker reported quarterly earnings of $2.31 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.54. Earnings were $1.43 per share in the same period a year earlier.
Why it matters — The results show SWK’s quarterly earnings came in above the cited consensus estimate and year-ago level.
The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $100, with estimates ranging from $90 to $109. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 15 analysts covering Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. 94 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 4 Nov 2026, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. ranks 94 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies -15.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. 94 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SWK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $90 to $109 over the next 12 months.
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. returned +85.0% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Stanley Black & Decker Inc. is a global industrial company that develops and sells hand tools, power tools, storage solutions, accessories, and outdoor equipment.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 4 Nov 2026): "Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Stanley Black & Decker’s Q3 2026 earnings call. The excerpt provides no details about the company’s results or comments during the call.
Stanley Black & Decker Inc. is a global industrial company that develops and sells hand tools, power tools, storage solutions, accessories, and outdoor equipment. Its portfolio also includes engineered fastening systems and security-related solutions for commercial and industrial customers. The company serves professionals, contractors, manufacturers, and consumers through a broad range of well-known brands used in construction, maintenance, home improvement, and specialized industrial applications. Stanley Black & Decker Inc. operates across multiple business segments, with products distributed through retail, dealer, direct, and other commercial channels in markets around the world. Headquartered in New Britain, Connecticut, the company plays a significant role in the tools and industrial equipment market by supplying products designed for everyday use, jobsite performance, and infrastructure-related work.
CEO Mr. Christopher John Nelson · 41,000 employees · United States · https://www.stanleyblackanddecker.com
