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SWK Stock Forecast: Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$90
+0.52% on the day

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $100 — +11.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 93 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$13.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
93 / 100
Median analyst target
$100
Analysts covering
15
Revenue$4.0B+0.4% y/y
Operating income$357.9M
Net income$351.3M
Free cash flow$698.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.4%
1M
−8.2%
YTD
+24.3%
1Y
+17.7%
From 52W high
−13.1%
From 52W low
+50.3%
$60
$103
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SWK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
93 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
98
Value
98
Accruals
84
Momentum
78
Revisions
78
Quality
64
Growth
57
Volatility
36
Size
12

Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Volatility (36): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SWK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SWK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$70$80$90$100$110Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SWKHigh $110Median $100Low $93

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says15 analysts
4 Buy11 Hold0 Sell
Low $93Median $100High $110

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$90 → $95
31 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
31 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$100 → $107
18 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
18 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$80 → $90
29 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
1 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
30 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 Apr 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral—
8 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
1 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
24 Feb 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
14 Jan 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
5 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
23 Dec 2025BairdMaintainsNeutral—
6 Nov 2025UBSMaintainsBuy—
5 Nov 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 Oct 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
30 July 2025BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SWK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SWK vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. returned +17.7% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SWK vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SWKS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SWK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+4.3%
Analysts raising
13
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.9×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.9×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

Price / book
1.5×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.1×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.4%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
244.8%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Gross margin
33.0%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Operating margin
8.4%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Net margin
4.1%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
6.9%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.8%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.8%

Higher than 73% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. has a market value of $13.5B and an enterprise value of $18.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $15.2B. The latest quarter grew 0.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $620.5M, a 4.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.10.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.3B, after $262.1M of capital spending.

  • Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. spent $275.0M on share buybacks and $502.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 151.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 21.9×; forward P/E: 14.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.75%, paying out 81% of earnings.

  • Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. employs 41,000 people — $372K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 19 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SWK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTools & Accessories
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc.$13.5B
93
LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.$14.1B
90
RBCRBC Bearings, Inc.$15.8B
79
SNASnap-On, Inc.$19.4B
78
TTCThe Toro Co.$9.1B
99
TKRThe Timken Co.$8.1B
92
KMTKennametal, Inc.$2.3B
89

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SWK news & analysis

Stanley Black Exhibits Strong Prospects Despite Persisting Headwinds

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Research reports that Stanley Black & Decker benefits from strength in its automotive and industrial segments, cost savings, and brand investments, though the company continues to face higher expenses and currency risks.

Why it matters — A SWK watcher would care because the report highlights the balance between the company's ongoing growth drivers and the persistent headwinds it faces.

The Dividend Kings Ranked By Quality Scores (September 2026)

Seeking Alpha · 18 Sept 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha ranked the Dividend Kings—companies with 50+ years of consecutive dividend increases—using its 9F Quality Scores. Automatic Data Processing (ADP) was highlighted as the best total-return candidate among them.

Why it matters — As a Dividend King, Stanley Black & Decker is included in this ranking, so SWK watchers can see how the company's quality score compares with its peers in the group.

5 Dividend Kings Trading at Rare Discounts to Their Historical Valuations

24/7 Wall Street · 16 Sept 2026negative

The article notes that several Dividend Kings—companies with 50-plus years of consecutive payout growth—now trade at forward valuations well below their historical norms. However, it cautions that a closer examination of the earnings behind those discounts reveals "uncomfortable truths" about the reasons for the low valuations.

Why it matters — A SWK watcher would care because Stanley Black & Decker, as a potential Dividend King, may be among the companies whose discounted valuations stem from underlying earnings concerns rather than a genuine bargain.

Stanley Black & Decker to Present at the Morgan Stanley 14th Annual Laguna Conference

PRNewsWire · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Stanley Black & Decker announced that President and CEO Chris Nelson will speak at the Morgan Stanley 14th Annual Laguna Conference on September 17, 2026, at 11:30 AM PT (2:30 PM ET). The announcement was made on September 8, 2026.

Why it matters — A SWK watcher would care because the CEO's presentation at a major investment conference offers investors an opportunity to hear directly from company leadership about its outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SWK stock

What is the SWK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $100, with estimates ranging from $93 to $110. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SWK stock a buy right now?

Of the 15 analysts covering Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. 93 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SWK?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. ranks 93 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).

Will SWK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +11.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. 93 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SWK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SWK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $93 to $110 over the next 12 months.

How has SWK stock performed over the past year?

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. returned +17.7% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. do?

Stanley Black & Decker Inc. is a global industrial company that develops and sells hand tools, power tools, storage solutions, accessories, and outdoor equipment.

What is the latest news on SWK?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 18 Sept 2026): "Stanley Black Exhibits Strong Prospects Despite Persisting Headwinds". Zacks Research reports that Stanley Black & Decker benefits from strength in its automotive and industrial segments, cost savings, and brand investments, though the company continues to face higher expenses and currency risks.

Company

About Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

Stanley Black & Decker Inc. is a global industrial company that develops and sells hand tools, power tools, storage solutions, accessories, and outdoor equipment. Its portfolio also includes engineered fastening systems and security-related solutions for commercial and industrial customers. The company serves professionals, contractors, manufacturers, and consumers through a broad range of well-known brands used in construction, maintenance, home improvement, and specialized industrial applications. Stanley Black & Decker Inc. operates across multiple business segments, with products distributed through retail, dealer, direct, and other commercial channels in markets around the world. Headquartered in New Britain, Connecticut, the company plays a significant role in the tools and industrial equipment market by supplying products designed for everyday use, jobsite performance, and infrastructure-related work.

CEO Mr. Christopher John Nelson · 41,000 employees · United States · https://www.stanleyblackanddecker.com