TKRTKRIndustrials · Tools & Accessories

TKR Stock Forecast: The Timken Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$117
+0.48% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering The Timken Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $150 — +28.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 92 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$8.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
92 / 100
Median analyst target
$150
Analysts covering
12
Revenue$1.3B+7.5% y/y
Operating income$172.7M
Net income$37.2M
Free cash flow$80.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.9%
1M
−9.3%
YTD
+40.5%
1Y
+50.1%
From 52W high
−19.2%
From 52W low
+67.7%
$70
$145
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TKR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Timken Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
92 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
91
Issuance
90
Revisions
82
Momentum
80
Value
75
Accruals
64
Quality
64
Growth
59
Size
17

Volatility (91): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (59): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TKR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TKR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120$140$160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TKRHigh $160Median $150Low $130

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says12 analysts
7 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $130Median $150High $160

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +28.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
1 Sept 2026B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy$129$135
11 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$158$157
11 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform
21 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$147$150
21 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$140$160
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$150$160
13 July 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight
13 July 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$140$160
10 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$128$142
10 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral
16 June 2026DA DavidsonAssumesNeutral$130
5 June 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform
26 May 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight
22 May 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform
21 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
15 May 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral
11 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TKR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TKR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, The Timken Co. returned +50.1% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TKR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TKRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TKR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.2%
Analysts raising
8
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

The Timken Co. (TKR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
31.7×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.7×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Price / book
2.5×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.1×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.5%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−63.2%

Higher than 8% of US stocks

Gross margin
31.7%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Operating margin
13.0%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Net margin
5.4%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
8.5%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.4%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.2%

Higher than 28% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

The Timken Co. (TKR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • The Timken Co. has a market value of $8.1B and an enterprise value of $10.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.8B. The latest quarter grew 7.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $283.3M, a 6.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.69.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $385.5M, after $145.3M of capital spending.

  • The Timken Co. spent $59.7M on share buybacks and $99.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 69.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 31.7×; forward P/E: 16.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.23%, paying out 38% of earnings.

  • The Timken Co. employs 19,000 people $251K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 19 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TKR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTools & Accessories
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TKRThe Timken Co.$8.1B
92
TTCThe Toro Co.$9.1B
99
SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc.$13.9B
93
LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.$14.1B
90
RBCRBC Bearings, Inc.$15.8B
79
SNASnap-On, Inc.$19.4B
78
KMTKennametal, Inc.$2.3B
89

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Timken Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TKR news & analysis

The Timken Company (TKR) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 16 Sept 2026neutral

The Timken Company (TKR) presented at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference, with a transcript of the presentation published by Seeking Alpha. The item notes the company's participation in the event but provides no additional details from the presentation.

Why it matters — A TKR watcher would care because conference presentations give management a platform to discuss the company's outlook and strategy with investors and analysts.

Why Timken (TKR) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Timken (TKR) as a top value stock for the long term, citing the Zacks Style Scores as a tool for identifying strong, market-beating stocks. The article positions TKR among value picks for investors.

Why it matters — The designation signals that TKR is viewed by a research firm as a compelling long-term value opportunity in the market.

Humanoid robots could upend life as we know it — if only they had better brains

Market Watch · 5 Sept 2026neutral

Market Watch reports that humanoid robots need better memory and learning capabilities to reach their potential, with memory technology identified as key to future breakthroughs in the field.

Why it matters — For a Timken Co. watcher, advances in humanoid robotics could signal future demand for precision bearings and motion-control components used in robotic systems.

Why Is Timken (TKR) Down 8.5% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Sept 2026negative

Timken reported its earnings 30 days ago, and the stock has fallen 8.5% since that report was released.

Why it matters — A Timken watcher would care because the post-earnings decline reflects how the market has responded to the company's latest results.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TKR stock

What is the TKR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering The Timken Co. have a median 12-month price target of $150, with estimates ranging from $130 to $160. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TKR stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering The Timken Co., 7 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Timken Co. 92 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TKR?

As at 19 Sept 2026, The Timken Co. ranks 92 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (91 of 100).

Will TKR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +28.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Timken Co. 92 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TKR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Timken Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TKR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $130 to $160 over the next 12 months.

How has TKR stock performed over the past year?

The Timken Co. returned +50.1% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Timken Co. do?

The Timken Company is an industrial manufacturing company that designs, manufactures, and sells engineered bearings and industrial motion products for customers worldwide. Its product range includes bearings, gear drives, belts, chains, couplings, clutches, brakes, and lubrication systems used in applications that require controlled motion, load management, and mechanical efficiency.

What is the latest news on TKR?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 16 Sept 2026): "The Timken Company (TKR) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference Transcript". The Timken Company (TKR) presented at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference, with a transcript of the presentation published by Seeking Alpha. The item notes the company's participation in the event but provides no additional details from the presentation.

Company

About The Timken Co.

The Timken Company is an industrial manufacturing company that designs, manufactures, and sells engineered bearings and industrial motion products for customers worldwide. Its product range includes bearings, gear drives, belts, chains, couplings, clutches, brakes, and lubrication systems used in applications that require controlled motion, load management, and mechanical efficiency. The Timken Company serves a broad mix of industries, including aerospace and defense, automation, power and electrification, mobile equipment, and process industries. Through its two operating segments, Engineered Bearings and Industrial Motion, the company provides components and integrated systems that support equipment performance across demanding industrial environments. Based in North Canton, Ohio, The Timken Company plays an important role in the global market for motion technology and mechanical power transmission solutions.

CEO Dr. Lucian Boldea Ph.D. · 19,000 employees · United States · https://www.timken.com