THCHTHCHConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

THCH Stock Forecast: TH International Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Sept 2026
$1.38
0.00% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 22 of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile.

Market cap
$43.2M
Ticker Nerd rank
22 / 100
Median analyst target
Analysts covering
0
Revenue$273.4M−21.7% y/y
Operating income−$53.0M
Net income−$97.4M
Free cash flow$34.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+6.2%
1M
−23.3%
YTD
−44.6%
1Y
−45.5%
From 52W high
−49.6%
From 52W low
+23.2%
$1.12
$2.74
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

THCH stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores TH International Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Sept 2026
22 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
99
Size
83
Volatility
45
Issuance
36
Quality
35
Revisions
31
Momentum
11
Value
11
Growth
6

Accruals (99): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Growth (6): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

THCH stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on THCH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$1.00$1.50$2.00$2.50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26THCH

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. THCH appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

THCH vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, TH International Ltd. returned −45.5% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

THCH vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26THCHS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

THCH analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

TH International Ltd. (THCH) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−0.1×

Cheaper than 77% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.0×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

Price / book
−0.0×

Cheaper than 93% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−15.1×

Cheaper than 87% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−21.7%

Higher than 11% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−21.7%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Gross margin
14.3%

Higher than 12% of US stocks

Operating margin
−19.4%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Net margin
−42.5%

Higher than 11% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
35.1%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Return on assets
−13.5%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

TH International Ltd. (THCH) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • TH International Ltd. has a market value of $43.2M and an enterprise value of $286.2M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter shrank 21.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$507.7M, a −42.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−15.63.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$66.5M.

  • Shares outstanding: 32.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: −0.1×; forward P/E: −0.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • TH International Ltd. employs 1,544 people $775K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 7 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

THCH vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
THCHTH International Ltd.$43.2M
22
RAVERave Restaurant Group, Inc.$43.2M
80
STKSThe ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.$51.7M
28
GENKGEN Restaurant Group, Inc.$62.6M
8
MBMasterBeef Group$73.1M
8
NDLSNoodles & Co.$83.8M
98
BDLFlanigan's Enterprises, Inc.$87.3M
77

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own TH International Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest THCH news & analysis

TH International Limited (THCH) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 18 Aug 2026neutral

TH International Limited (THCH) released the transcript of its Q2 2026 earnings call, published by Seeking Alpha. The item provides the full record of management's discussion during the quarterly earnings call.

Why it matters — A THCH watcher would use this transcript to review management's commentary on the company's second-quarter performance and outlook.

TH International Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 18 Aug 2026negative

TH International, operator of Tims China, reported lower second-quarter revenue and system sales, with comparable-store transactions declining, underperforming store closures, and reduced delivery-platform subsidies. Management said it is responding with greater product innovation, marketing investment, operational improvements, and a more selective store-development strategy.

Why it matters — A THCH watcher would care because the report signals weakening sales trends in the quarter and outlines the company's planned strategic responses to address them.

Tims China Announces Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results

GlobeNewsWire · 18 Aug 2026neutral

TH International Limited (Nasdaq: THCH), parent company of the exclusive master franchisees of Tim Hortons coffee shops in China, announced its unaudited financial results for the second quarter of 2026 on August 18, 2026.

Why it matters — This announcement provides THCH watchers with the company's latest quarterly financial performance data.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about THCH stock

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank THCH?

As at 5 Sept 2026, TH International Ltd. ranks 22 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (99 of 100).

What is the THCH stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering TH International Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for THCH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has THCH stock performed over the past year?

TH International Ltd. returned -45.5% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does TH International Ltd. do?

TH International Ltd. is a holding company focused on the coffee and quick-service restaurant business under the Tim Hortons brand.

What is the latest news on THCH?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 18 Aug 2026): "TH International Limited (THCH) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". TH International Limited (THCH) released the transcript of its Q2 2026 earnings call, published by Seeking Alpha. The item provides the full record of management's discussion during the quarterly earnings call.

Company

About TH International Ltd.

TH International Ltd. is a holding company focused on the coffee and quick-service restaurant business under the Tim Hortons brand. Through its subsidiaries, it develops, operates, and franchises coffee shops in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau, serving customers through company-owned and franchised locations. Its menu centers on freshly brewed coffee, tea, specialty beverages, baked goods, sandwiches, and breakfast items, with store formats designed for different customer needs, including flagship locations, classic cafés, and smaller grab-and-go concepts. The company’s role in the market is to expand and localize a globally recognized coffee brand for Chinese consumers while combining retail operations with franchising and digital ordering capabilities. TH International Ltd. is headquartered in Shanghai and is a notable participant in the region’s branded coffee shop and bakery segment.

CEO Mr. Yongchen Lu · 1,544 employees · China · https://www.timschina.com