THCHTHCHConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

THCH Stock Forecast: TH International Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Aug 2026
$1.70
+6.92% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 26 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$54.5M
Ticker Nerd rank
26 / 100
Median analyst target
Analysts covering
0
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.3%
1M
−4.5%
YTD
−31.7%
1Y
−34.6%
From 52W high
−38.0%
From 52W low
+17.2%
$1.45
$2.74
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

THCH stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores TH International Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
26 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
98
Size
82
Volatility
61
Quality
37
Issuance
35
Revisions
31
Growth
19
Momentum
14
Value
12

Accruals (98): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Value (12): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

THCH stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on THCH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$1.60$1.80$2.00$2.20$2.40$2.60$2.80Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26THCH

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. THCH appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

THCH analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

TH International Ltd. (THCH) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−0.1×

Cheaper than 77% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.0×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

Price / book
−0.0×

Cheaper than 93% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−18.2×

Cheaper than 88% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−14.6%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−14.6%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Gross margin
12.4%

Higher than 12% of US stocks

Operating margin
−25.6%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Net margin
−38.2%

Higher than 12% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
35.1%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Return on assets
−12.0%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

THCH vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
THCHTH International Ltd.$54.5M
26
STKSThe ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.$58.0M
26
RAVERave Restaurant Group, Inc.$43.2M
81
GENKGEN Restaurant Group, Inc.$63.6M
14
BDLFlanigan's Enterprises, Inc.$90.1M
77
MBMasterBeef Group$90.9M
9
NDLSNoodles & Co.$104.9M
99

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own TH International Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about THCH stock

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank THCH?

As at 15 Aug 2026, TH International Ltd. ranks 26 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (98 of 100).

What is the THCH stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering TH International Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for THCH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has THCH stock performed over the past year?

TH International Ltd. returned -34.6% over the 12 months to 17 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does TH International Ltd. do?

TH International Ltd. operates as a prominent player in the quick-service restaurant industry, primarily focusing on the development and growth of the famous Tim Hortons brand within China.

Company

About TH International Ltd.

TH International Ltd. operates as a prominent player in the quick-service restaurant industry, primarily focusing on the development and growth of the famous Tim Hortons brand within China. The company is dedicated to delivering a Canadian coffee and doughnut experience to the Chinese market, expanding its footprint by establishing and operating a network of Tim Hortons locations across key urban centers. TH International Ltd. aims to capitalize on the increasing consumer demand for premium coffee and Western-style fast food in one of the world's largest and rapidly growing consumer markets. The expansion strategy leverages the iconic status of the Tim Hortons brand, seeking to attract a diverse customer base ranging from locals to expats craving a familiar taste. In the financial market, TH International Ltd. plays a significant role as an entity contributing to the globalization of beloved brands, representing a cross-continental business model that adapts a North American favorite to the tastes and preferences of Chinese consumers. Through strategic partnerships and localized business operations, TH International Ltd. positions itself as a crucial participant in the ongoing globalization of the food and beverage industry.

CEO Mr. Yongchen Lu · 1,544 employees · China · https://www.timschina.com