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TROW Stock Forecast: T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Sept 2026
$103
+0.43% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $112 — +8.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 90 of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$21.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
90 / 100
Median analyst target
$112
Analysts covering
13
Revenue$1.9B+10.7% y/y
Operating income$563.7M
Net income$695.4M
Free cash flow$450.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.3%
1M
−5.8%
YTD
+4.3%
1Y
+3.1%
From 52W high
−14.5%
From 52W low
+22.2%
$84
$120
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TROW stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 17 Sept 2026
90 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
94
Value
92
Volatility
87
Revisions
83
Growth
83
Momentum
72
Issuance
70
Accruals
25
Size
9

Quality (94): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (25): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TROW stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TROW, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$90$100$110$120$130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TROWHigh $124Median $112Low $90

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says13 analysts
0 Buy9 Hold4 Sell
Low $90Median $112High $124

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
9 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$118 → $113
31 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$108 → $110
31 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
10 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$117 → $118
10 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
3 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$108 → $103
3 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
3 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
3 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$110 → $120
3 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$121 → $117
3 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
3 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesMarket Perform—
3 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesMarket Perform$120 → $115
3 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
3 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$107 → $108
20 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$108 → $107
20 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$89 → $108
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
10 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$111 → $121

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TROW appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TROW vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. returned +3.1% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TROW vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TROWS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TROW analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.9%
Analysts raising
6
Analysts cutting
7
Fundamentals

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.3×

Cheaper than 58% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.9×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Price / book
2.0×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.8×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.7%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
25.1%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Gross margin
46.9%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Operating margin
28.7%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Net margin
29.3%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
19.4%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Return on assets
10.7%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Dividend yield
5.1%

Higher than 83% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. has a market value of $21.8B and an enterprise value of $20.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $7.6B. The latest quarter grew 10.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.3B, a 30.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $9.97.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B.

  • T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. spent $793.4M on share buybacks and $1.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 213.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 10.3×; forward P/E: 9.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 5.08%, paying out 52% of earnings.

  • T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. employs 7,544 people — $1.0M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 17 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TROW vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAsset Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TROWT. Rowe Price Group, Inc.$21.8B
90
PFGPrincipal Financial Group, Inc.$25.5B
89
TPGTPG, Inc.$17.8B
48
PSPershing Square, Inc.$17.5B
5
BENFranklin Templeton, Inc.$17.2B
85
CRBGCorebridge Financial, Inc.$15.9B
51
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.$31.9B
79

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TROW news & analysis

T. ROWE PRICE STUDY FINDS DC CONSULTANTS AND ADVISORS ARE MOVING FROM AI EXPLORATION TO EXECUTION, WHILE PRIVATE ASSETS AND PERSONALIZATION GAIN MOMENTUM

PRNewsWire · 16 Sept 2026neutral

T. Rowe Price released findings from its sixth annual Defined Contribution Consultant Study, based on input from three dozen consultant and advisory firms. The research covers rapid AI adoption moving from evaluation to execution, growing expectations for private assets in DC plans, and a greater emphasis on advice and personalization for participants.

Why it matters — The study signals T. Rowe Price's ongoing thought leadership in the retirement market and highlights trends—AI, private assets, and personalization—that could shape demand for its defined contribution offerings.

T. Rowe Price (TROW) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insights

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Sept 2026negative

T. Rowe Price (TROW) closed the recent trading session at $104.23, representing a -1.48% move from its prior day's close. The stock experienced a larger decline than the broader market during the session.

Why it matters — A TROW watcher would care because the stock underperformed the broader market, which may reflect investor concerns or sector-specific pressure warranting attention.

T. Rowe Price: Zero Analysts Say Buy, Four Say Sell, And The Cash Flow Says Otherwise

Seeking Alpha · 15 Sept 2026positive

A Seeking Alpha analysis argues that T. Rowe Price's asset outflows are slower than market fears suggest, pointing to a retirement-heavy asset base and expanding alternative vehicles, with roughly two-thirds of AUM in sticky, long-duration channels. It notes the firm's operating margin expanded from 34.9% to 37.1%, supported by expense discipline, revenue growth, a debt-free balance sheet, and a dividend yield near 5%.

Why it matters — TROW watchers would care because the piece counters prevailing market worries about asset outflows by highlighting the stability of its long-duration client base and the firm's improving margins and debt-free balance sheet.

TROW's August AUM Hits $1.90T: Can Diversification Sustain Growth?

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Sept 2026neutral

T. Rowe Price reported preliminary assets under management of $1.90 trillion as of Aug. 31, 2026, a 1.6% increase from the previous month despite $7.9 billion in net outflows. The AUM growth occurred even as the firm experienced net client outflows during the period.

Why it matters — AUM is a key driver of T. Rowe Price's revenue, so the monthly figure offers insight into whether market gains are offsetting client outflows and sustaining the firm's asset base.

The Clock Is Ticking on These 4 High-Yield Dividend Stocks

24/7 Wall Street · 10 Sept 2026neutral

The article reports that four high-yield dividend stocks are reaching their ex-dividend dates this week, with the deadline to collect the next payment for one of them closing at today's market close.

Why it matters — TROW watchers would care because ex-dividend date timing affects when investors can lock in dividend payments, relevant context for income-focused holdings.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TROW stock

What is the TROW stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $112, with estimates ranging from $90 to $124. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TROW stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering T. Rowe Price Group, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 4 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. 90 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TROW?

As at 17 Sept 2026, T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. ranks 90 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (94 of 100).

Will TROW stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +8.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. 90 out of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TROW stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TROW are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $90 to $124 over the next 12 months.

How has TROW stock performed over the past year?

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. returned +3.1% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. do?

T. Rowe Price Group Inc.

What is the latest news on TROW?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 16 Sept 2026): "T. ROWE PRICE STUDY FINDS DC CONSULTANTS AND ADVISORS ARE MOVING FROM AI EXPLORATION TO EXECUTION, WHILE PRIVATE ASSETS AND PERSONALIZATION GAIN MOMENTUM". T. Rowe Price released findings from its sixth annual Defined Contribution Consultant Study, based on input from three dozen consultant and advisory firms. The research covers rapid AI adoption moving from evaluation to execution, growing expectations for private assets in DC plans, and a greater emphasis on advice and personalization for participants.

Company

About T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.

T. Rowe Price Group Inc. is a global investment management company that provides a broad range of financial services to individuals, financial advisers, retirement plans, institutions, and other intermediaries. T. Rowe Price offers actively managed mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, separately managed accounts, collective investment trusts, model portfolios, and target-date retirement solutions, supported by investment advisory and recordkeeping services. The company also serves institutional clients with strategies across equity, fixed income, multi-asset, and alternative investments, while distributing products through multiple channels and investment vehicles. Based in Baltimore, Maryland, T. Rowe Price plays a significant role in retirement investing and long-term asset management, helping clients access diversified portfolios and professional portfolio management across global markets.

CEO Mr. Robert W. Sharps C.F.A., CPA · 7,544 employees · United States · https://www.troweprice.com