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TROX Stock Forecast: Tronox Holdings plc Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$3.78
+1.89% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Tronox Holdings plc hold a median 12-month price target of $5.75 — +52.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 26 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$618.0M
Ticker Nerd rank
26 / 100
Median analyst target
$5.75
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$868.0M+18.7% y/y
Operating income−$17.0M
Net income−$173.0M
Free cash flow$60.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.0%
1M
−21.3%
YTD
−7.5%
1Y
+6.1%
From 52W high
−63.4%
From 52W low
+34.0%
$3
$10
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TROX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Tronox Holdings plc on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
26 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
84
Value
55
Size
51
Momentum
39
Revisions
36
Issuance
33
Growth
24
Quality
22
Volatility
20

Accruals (84): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Volatility (20): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TROX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TROX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$2$4$6$8$10Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TROXHigh $8.00Median $5.75Low $4.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
1 Buy4 Hold3 Sell
Low $4.00Median $5.75High $8.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +52.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 Sept 2026MizuhoMaintainsUnderperform$5.50 → $4.50
13 Aug 2026JP MorganDowngradeUnderweight—
13 Aug 2026JP MorganDowngradeUnderweight$7.00 → $5.00
22 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
22 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell$9.00 → $6.50
11 June 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeHold—
11 June 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeHold$7.00
12 May 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeSell—
8 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsSell—
28 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeSell—
9 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeHold—
9 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
23 Mar 2026MizuhoMaintainsUnderperform—
5 Mar 2026MizuhoMaintainsUnderperform—
26 Feb 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
29 Jan 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
29 Jan 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
21 Jan 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
12 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
16 Dec 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TROX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TROX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Tronox Holdings plc returned +6.1% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TROX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200250300Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TROXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TROX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
8
Fundamentals

Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
3.9×

Cheaper than 67% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.2×

Cheaper than 92% of US stocks

Price / book
0.5×

Cheaper than 83% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
22.7×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
18.7%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
18.7%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Gross margin
6.3%

Higher than 6% of US stocks

Operating margin
−2.0%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Net margin
−19.2%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−41.3%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.2%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Dividend yield
5.3%

Higher than 93% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Tronox Holdings plc has a market value of $618.0M and an enterprise value of $4.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.1B. The latest quarter grew 18.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$554.0M, a −18.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−3.46.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$159.0M, after $260.0M of capital spending.

  • Tronox Holdings plc spent $44.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 159.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 3.9×; forward P/E: −12.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 5.32%, paying out 16% of earnings.

  • Tronox Holdings plc employs 5,700 people — $536K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 7 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TROX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelChemicals
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TROXTronox Holdings plc$618.0M
26
LXULSB Industries, Inc.$728.8M
96
RYAMRayonier Advanced Materials, Inc.$468.8M
52
ASIXAdvansix, Inc.$450.2M
34
VHIValhi, Inc.$422.0M
51
GPREGreen Plains, Inc.$1.1B
99
REXREX American Resources Corp.$1.5B
82

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Tronox Holdings plc — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TROX news & analysis

Tronox Announces Dates for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release & Webcast Conference Call

PRNewsWire · 5 Oct 2026neutral

Tronox Holdings plc announced the schedule for its third quarter 2026 earnings release and webcast conference call. The earnings release is set for Wednesday, November 4, 2026, after market close, with a webcast conference call on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at 9:00 AM ET.

Why it matters — TROX watchers would care because these dates mark when the company will report its third-quarter results and provide commentary via the webcast.

Tronox and JX Advanced Strengthen Rare Earth Development Projects

Zacks Investment Research · 30 Sept 2026positive

Tronox and JX Advanced Metals announced a plan to invest up to $32 million in rare earth development projects across Australia and the United States, with a target of up to 10,000 tons of annual oxide output.

Why it matters — A TROX watcher would care because this expansion into rare earth development diversifies the company's operations and could open a new growth avenue beyond its core titanium business.

Tronox Announces Signing of a Cooperation and Investment Agreement with JX Advanced Metals to Advance Rare Earth Strategy

PRNewsWire · 29 Sept 2026positive

Tronox announced it has signed a cooperation and investment agreement with JX Advanced Metals to develop its rare earth and critical minerals business, advancing critical minerals processing capabilities in Australia, the United States, and Japan to support demand from high-technology applications.

Why it matters — The agreement expands Tronox's critical minerals capabilities and rare earth strategy, potentially diversifying its business beyond its core titanium dioxide operations across multiple global markets.

Why Is Tronox (TROX) Down 29.8% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026negative

Tronox Holdings reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has since fallen 29.8%. The article considers what might come next for the company following that earnings report.

Why it matters — The substantial post-earnings decline is a notable signal for TROX investors monitoring the company's performance and outlook.

KRO vs. TROX: Which TiO2 Stock Deserves a Spot in Your Portfolio?

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research compares KRO and TROX as potential TiO2 stock picks, noting both companies are seeing stronger TiO2 volumes and pricing. The report also points to weak demand, costs, leverage, and market dynamics as factors shaping the outlook for each company.

Why it matters — This comparison offers TROX watchers a sector-context view of the TiO2 market conditions, including both positive pricing momentum and the demand, cost, and leverage headwinds that could influence the company's performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TROX stock

What is the TROX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Tronox Holdings plc have a median 12-month price target of $5.75, with estimates ranging from $4 to $8. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TROX stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Tronox Holdings plc, 1 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Tronox Holdings plc 26 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TROX?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Tronox Holdings plc ranks 26 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (84 of 100).

Will TROX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +52.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Tronox Holdings plc 26 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TROX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Tronox Holdings plc publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TROX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4 to $8 over the next 12 months.

How has TROX stock performed over the past year?

Tronox Holdings plc returned +6.1% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Tronox Holdings plc do?

Tronox Holdings plc is a vertically integrated mining and inorganic chemicals company that produces titanium dioxide pigment, specialty-grade titanium dioxide products, and high-purity titanium chemicals. It also mines and processes titanium ore, zircon, rare earths, and other mineral sands, supplying feedstock used across coatings, plastics, paper, inks, and specialty industrial applications.

What is the latest news on TROX?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 5 Oct 2026): "Tronox Announces Dates for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release & Webcast Conference Call". Tronox Holdings plc announced the schedule for its third quarter 2026 earnings release and webcast conference call. The earnings release is set for Wednesday, November 4, 2026, after market close, with a webcast conference call on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at 9:00 AM ET.

Company

About Tronox Holdings plc.

Tronox Holdings plc is a vertically integrated mining and inorganic chemicals company that produces titanium dioxide pigment, specialty-grade titanium dioxide products, and high-purity titanium chemicals. It also mines and processes titanium ore, zircon, rare earths, and other mineral sands, supplying feedstock used across coatings, plastics, paper, inks, and specialty industrial applications. The company’s operations combine mineral extraction, beneficiation, smelting, and pigment manufacturing, allowing it to serve customers across a broad global footprint in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Tronox Holdings plc plays an important role in the titanium value chain by linking upstream mineral resources with downstream materials used in everyday products and industrial formulations.

CEO Mr. John D. Romano · 5,700 employees · United States · https://www.tronox.com