TXNMTXNMUtilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

TXNM Stock Forecast: TXNM Energy, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$58
−0.15% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering TXNM Energy, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $61 — +4.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 50 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$6.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
50/ 100
Median analyst target
$61
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$548.6M+9.2% y/y
Operating income$123.3M
Net income$75.4M
Free cash flow−$195.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.2%
1M
+0.8%
YTD
+2.2%
1Y
+5.7%
From 52W high
−0.4%
From 52W low
+5.7%
$55
$59
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TXNM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores TXNM Energy, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
50/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
91
Momentum
77
Volatility
65
Quality
57
Revisions
52
Accruals
42
Value
37
Issuance
29
Size
20

Growth (91): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Issuance (29): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (20): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

TXNM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TXNM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$54$56$58$60$62Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TXNMHigh $61Median $61Low $59

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
1 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $59Median $61High $61

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +4.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 Oct 2025JefferiesDowngradeHold$58 → $61
9 Oct 2025CitigroupReinstatesNeutral$61
21 May 2025BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
20 May 2025ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform—
18 Mar 2025BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
11 Mar 2025MizuhoUpgradeOutperform—
4 Mar 2025BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
3 Mar 2025MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
24 Feb 2025ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform—
11 Feb 2025Evercore ISI GroupUpgradeOutperform—
12 Dec 2024CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
12 Dec 2024ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform—
29 Nov 2024BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
26 Nov 2024Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
16 Oct 2024Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
15 Oct 2024BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
10 Oct 2024ScotiabankInitiatesSector Perform—
2 Oct 2024JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
1 Aug 2024Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
22 July 2024BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

TXNM appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

TXNM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, TXNM Energy, Inc. returned +5.7% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TXNM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
95100105110115Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TXNMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TXNM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−2.7%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

TXNM Energy, Inc. (TXNM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
29.2×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.8×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Price / book
1.8×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.5×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.3%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
25.0%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Gross margin
65.5%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Operating margin
37.0%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Net margin
9.9%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
6.9%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.6%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.9%

Higher than 86% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

TXNM Energy, Inc. (TXNM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • TXNM Energy, Inc. has a market value of $6.4B and an enterprise value of $12.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.2B. The latest quarter grew 13.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $214.4M, a 9.6% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$502.0M.

  • TXNM Energy, Inc. spent $10.1M on share buybacks and $180.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 111.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 29.2×; forward P/E: 18.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.89%, paying out 84% of earnings.

  • TXNM Energy, Inc. employs 1,755 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 5 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TXNM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelUtilities - Regulated Electric
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TXNMTXNM Energy, Inc.$6.4B50
PORPortland General Electric Co.$5.3B46
NWENorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.$5.0B49
IDAIDACORP, Inc.$8.7B23
OGEOGE Energy Corp.$10.4B69
PNWPinnacle West Capital Corp.$12.8B49
MGEEMGE Energy, Inc.$2.8B44

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own TXNM Energy, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TXNM news & analysis

TXNM Energy Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

PRNewsWire · 30 Oct 2026positive

TXNM Energy reported Q3 2026 GAAP net earnings of $163.4 million, or $1.50 per diluted share, and ongoing net earnings of $184.8 million, or $1.62 per diluted share. Both quarterly earnings measures were higher than in Q3 2025.

Why it matters — The results provide TXNM watchers with year-over-year comparisons of the company’s third-quarter and year-to-date earnings.

TXNM Energy Board Declares Quarterly Common Stock Dividend

PRNewsWire · 22 Sept 2026neutral

At its regular meeting on Sept. 22, 2026, the Board of Directors of TXNM Energy, Inc. (NYSE: TXNM) declared the regular quarterly dividend of $0.4225 per share on the company's common stock.

Why it matters — The declaration of the regular quarterly dividend reaffirms TXNM's ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

3 Alternative-Energy Stocks That Could Withstand Fed's Rate Hike

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an article noting that higher interest rates pressure renewable-energy projects, and it identified MNTK, CEG and TXNM as alternative-energy stocks that appear better positioned to absorb the impact of the Fed's rate hike.

Why it matters — The piece highlights TXNM as relatively better positioned among renewables to withstand the financial pressure that higher interest rates place on the sector.

TXNM Energy and Blackstone Infrastructure Announce Enhanced $300 Million Customer and Community Benefits Package for New Mexico

PRNewsWire · 15 Sept 2026positive

TXNM Energy, parent company of PNM, and Blackstone Infrastructure filed a motion with the New Mexico Public Regulation Commission seeking authorization to file a revised version of their merger application. The draft revised application more than doubles direct customer rate credits, strengthens workforce commitments, and includes a nearly $5 billion commitment to invest in New Mexico's electric grid.

Why it matters — A TXNM watcher would care because the enhanced benefits package could help secure regulatory approval for the pending merger, which is pivotal for the company's future.

TXNM Energy Announces Pricing of Public Offering of Common Stock

PRNewsWire · 1 Sept 2026neutral

TXNM Energy announced it has priced an underwritten public offering of 7,079,646 shares of its common stock at $56.50 per share, for approximate gross proceeds of about $400 million before underwriting discount and offering expenses.

Why it matters — The new share issuance will raise capital for TXNM Energy and affects the company's outstanding share count and capital structure.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TXNM stock

What is the TXNM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering TXNM Energy, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $61, with estimates ranging from $59 to $61. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TXNM stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering TXNM Energy, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks TXNM Energy, Inc. 50 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TXNM?

As at 4 Nov 2026, TXNM Energy, Inc. ranks 50 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (91 of 100).

Will TXNM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +4.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks TXNM Energy, Inc. 50 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TXNM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering TXNM Energy, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TXNM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $59 to $61 over the next 12 months.

How has TXNM stock performed over the past year?

TXNM Energy, Inc. returned +5.7% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does TXNM Energy, Inc. do?

TXNM Energy, Inc. is an energy holding company that provides regulated electricity and electric services through its subsidiaries, Public Service Company of New Mexico and Texas-New Mexico Power Company.

What is the latest news on TXNM?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 30 Oct 2026): "TXNM Energy Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results". TXNM Energy reported Q3 2026 GAAP net earnings of $163.4 million, or $1.50 per diluted share, and ongoing net earnings of $184.8 million, or $1.62 per diluted share. Both quarterly earnings measures were higher than in Q3 2025.

Company

About TXNM Energy, Inc.

TXNM Energy, Inc. is an energy holding company that provides regulated electricity and electric services through its subsidiaries, Public Service Company of New Mexico and Texas-New Mexico Power Company. TXNM Energy serves residential, commercial, industrial, and wholesale customers across New Mexico and Texas, with activities spanning power generation, transmission, distribution, and related utility operations. Its business is organized around regulated utility segments that focus on delivering reliable electric service, managing grid infrastructure, and supporting retail and wholesale power needs in its service territories. The company also maintains supporting corporate functions and utility assets tied to its regional operations. Based in Albuquerque, New Mexico, TXNM Energy plays a central role in the Southwestern U.S. utility market by serving communities and businesses through essential electric infrastructure and service networks.

CEO Mr. Joseph D. Tarry CPA · 1,755 employees · United States · https://www.txnmenergy.com