VGZBasic Materials · GoldThe 1 Wall Street analysts covering Vista Gold Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $4.5 — +70.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 30 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Vista Gold Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (91): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Revisions (27): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VGZ, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +70.5% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sept 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 20 May 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 12 Mar 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Feb 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 21 July 2025 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 1 May 2025 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 11 Dec 2024 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 20 Aug 2024 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 30 July 2024 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 24 June 2024 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 Mar 2024 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 4 Aug 2023 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 16 June 2023 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 Apr 2023 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 21 July 2022 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 May 2022 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 July 2021 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Oct 2020 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 July 2020 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 28 Feb 2020 | H.C. Wainwright | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VGZ appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, Vista Gold Corp. returned +20.0% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Cheaper than 92% of US stocks
Higher than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Vista Gold Corp. has a market value of $391.2M and an enterprise value of $331.4M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $0.0.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$8.5M.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$8.1M.
Trailing P/E: 13.3×; forward P/E: −53.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Vista Gold Corp. employs 13 people.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Vista Gold Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Seeking Alpha published the prepared remarks transcript from Vista Gold Corp.'s M&A conference call. The transcript presents the company's prepared statements from that call.
Why it matters — VGZ watchers can review the company's own prepared remarks from its M&A call for insight into its stated plans and position.
A transcript of a merger-and-acquisition call for Vista Gold Corp. (VGZ) was published on Seeking Alpha. The call centered on M&A-related discussions involving the company.
Why it matters — VGZ watchers would want to follow the details of the M&A call, as any merger or acquisition matters could materially affect the company's outlook.
Artemis Gold and Vista Gold announced a definitive agreement dated September 20, 2026, under which Artemis Gold will acquire all outstanding shares of Vista Gold, owner of the Mt Todd gold project in Northern Territory, Australia, through a court-approved plan of arrangement.
Why it matters — Vista Gold is being acquired in a corporate transaction, which determines the outcome for shareholders and the future ownership of its Mt Todd gold development asset.
Vista Gold is developing the Mt. Todd project in Australia, targeting production by 2030 with key milestones over the next two years. The company made operational modifications—reducing processing capacity to 15,000 tpd and raising cut-off grades—aimed at improving margins and marketability, while a "Hold" rating was maintained as the stock is seen trading near fair value. The author maintains a 'Hold' rating, citing recent feasibility changes and elevated gold prices as indicating VGZ trades near fair value despite attractive upside at higher spot prices.
Why it matters — VGZ watchers would care because the Mt. Todd project modifications aim to boost margins and marketability but introduce execution and regulatory risks ahead of key milestones and a 2030 production target.
Vista Gold Corp. announced the appointment of Gavin Ferguson as Managing Director of Vista Gold Australia Pty Ltd., effective September 7, 2026, based in the company's new West Perth office. Ferguson brings more than 35 years of international mining experience across mine development, project execution, operations, business transformation, and executive leadership.
Why it matters — A VGZ watcher would care because this appointment adds a highly experienced mining executive to lead the company's Australian operations from its new West Perth office.
The 1 Wall Street analysts covering Vista Gold Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $4.5, with estimates ranging from $4.5 to $4.5. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 1 analysts covering Vista Gold Corp., 1 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Vista Gold Corp. 30 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, Vista Gold Corp. ranks 30 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (91 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 1 analysts implies +70.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Vista Gold Corp. 30 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Vista Gold Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VGZ are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4.5 to $4.5 over the next 12 months.
Vista Gold Corp. returned +20.0% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Vista Gold Corp. is a gold mining development company focused on evaluating, acquiring, exploring, and advancing gold projects in Australia.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 21 Sept 2026): "Vista Gold Corp. (VGZ) M&A Call Prepared Remarks Transcript". Seeking Alpha published the prepared remarks transcript from Vista Gold Corp.'s M&A conference call. The transcript presents the company's prepared statements from that call.
Vista Gold Corp. is a gold mining development company focused on evaluating, acquiring, exploring, and advancing gold projects in Australia. Its primary asset is the Mt Todd gold project in the Northern Territory, a large-scale development-stage deposit that anchors the company’s activities and technical work. Vista Gold Corp. concentrates on project advancement, resource evaluation, and mine development studies, making it a specialized participant in the precious metals sector. The company’s current business is centered on bringing its Australian gold asset through the development pipeline while maintaining a lean operating structure and a strong emphasis on exploration and engineering analysis. Based in Englewood, Colorado, Vista Gold Corp. serves investors seeking exposure to gold project development rather than producing mine operations.
CEO Mr. Frederick H. Earnest B.Sc. · 13 employees · United States · https://www.vistagold.com
