WMSIndustrials · Building Products & EquipmentThe 11 Wall Street analysts covering Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $185 — +28.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 43 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (79): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Issuance (40): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (15): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WMS, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +28.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $178 → $170 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $190 → $185 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $190 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Sept 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Overweight | $175 |
| 21 Sept 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 25 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Initiates | Buy | $190 |
| 25 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 8 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $170 → $178 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $205 → $207 |
| 14 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $181 → $191 |
| 14 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 11 June 2026 | Jefferies | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 8 June 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 27 May 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 26 May 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 22 May 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 22 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
WMS appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. returned +6.7% against +12.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 17% of US stocks
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. has a market value of $10.5B and an enterprise value of $12.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.2B. The latest quarter grew 20.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $455.6M, a 14.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.79.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $550.2M, after $254.3M of capital spending.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. spent $325.2M on share buybacks and $57.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 23.1×; forward P/E: 18.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.59%, paying out 13% of earnings.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. employs 6,425 people — $501K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research reports that Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) may see a decline in earnings in its upcoming report. The excerpt says the company lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat.
Why it matters — WMS watchers may note the excerpt's cautious outlook on upcoming earnings expectations.
Advanced Drainage Systems announced the launch of AquaLux™, a stormwater filtration system designed to help communities, businesses and developers manage stormwater and protect water quality.
Why it matters — The launch adds a new filtration system to WMS’s water-related offerings, with applications in managing runoff from paved surfaces.
Advanced Drainage Systems announced it will release unaudited results for the fiscal second quarter ended September 30, 2026, before the market opens on November 5, 2026. The excerpt identifies CEO Scott Barbour as a participant in the announcement but cuts off before providing further details.
Why it matters — WMS watchers can note the scheduled date for the company’s next quarterly results release.
PSP Capital announced a definitive agreement to sell StormTrap, a provider of stormwater management systems and water quality solutions, to Advanced Drainage Systems. The transaction is expected to close in the coming months, subject to customary regulatory conditions.
Why it matters — The agreement would add StormTrap to ADS’s business, making the transaction relevant to WMS watchers tracking the company’s operations and portfolio.
Advanced Drainage Systems announced it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire StormTrap Investments LLC from PSP Capital, a leader in large-volume, highly engineered stormwater solutions, for a purchase price of approximately $530 million.
Why it matters — The acquisition expands ADS's portfolio in large-volume, space-constrained stormwater solutions, strengthening its position in the water management market.
The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $185, with estimates ranging from $145 to $207. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 11 analysts covering Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc., 11 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. 43 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. ranks 43 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (79 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +28.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. 43 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WMS are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $145 to $207 over the next 12 months.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. returned +6.7% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. is a water management products company that designs, manufactures, and markets solutions for stormwater and onsite wastewater applications.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 29 Oct 2026): "Analysts Estimate Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for". Zacks Investment Research reports that Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) may see a decline in earnings in its upcoming report. The excerpt says the company lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. is a water management products company that designs, manufactures, and markets solutions for stormwater and onsite wastewater applications. Advanced Drainage Systems focuses on thermoplastic corrugated pipe and related drainage products used in construction, infrastructure, residential, commercial, and agricultural projects. Its portfolio includes pipe, chambers, fittings, filters, septic system components, and other accessories that help collect, convey, store, and manage water efficiently. The company serves builders, engineers, contractors, utilities, and agricultural customers across North America and international markets. Advanced Drainage Systems plays an important role in modern drainage and wastewater infrastructure by providing products that support water control, erosion management, and onsite treatment systems for a wide range of end uses.
CEO Mr. Donald Scott Barbour · 6,425 employees · United States · https://www.adspipe.com
