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WMS Stock Forecast: Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$126
+0.10% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $185 — +46.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 45 of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$9.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
45 / 100
Median analyst target
$185
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$1.0B+20.6% y/y
Operating income$257.2M
Net income$170.9M
Free cash flow$203.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.5%
1M
−5.6%
YTD
−12.5%
1Y
−9.9%
From 52W high
−27.8%
From 52W low
+0.7%
$125
$175
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

WMS stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 7 Oct 2026
45 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
77
Growth
71
Revisions
61
Value
50
Momentum
45
Accruals
42
Volatility
40
Issuance
39
Size
16

Quality (77): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Issuance (39): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

WMS stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WMS, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$120$140$160$180$200$220Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26WMSHigh $207Median $185Low $145

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
11 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $145Median $185High $207

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +46.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 Sept 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight$175
25 Aug 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesBuy$190
25 Aug 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesBuy—
8 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$170 → $178
7 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
7 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$205 → $207
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$181 → $191
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
11 June 2026JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
8 June 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
27 May 2026Stephens & Co.UpgradeOverweight—
26 May 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
22 May 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
22 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
17 Apr 2026OppenheimerReiteratesOutperform—
8 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
9 Feb 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
6 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
6 Feb 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. WMS appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

WMS vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. returned −9.9% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

WMS vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26WMSS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

WMS analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−2.3%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.2×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.0×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / book
5.2×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.1×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
20.6%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
17.1%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Gross margin
40.8%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Operating margin
26.3%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Net margin
14.0%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
26.4%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.0%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.6%

Higher than 66% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. has a market value of $9.8B and an enterprise value of $11.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.2B. The latest quarter grew 20.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $455.6M, a 14.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.79.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $550.2M, after $254.3M of capital spending.

  • Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. spent $325.2M on share buybacks and $57.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 75.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 22.2×; forward P/E: 17.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.62%, paying out 13% of earnings.

  • Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. employs 6,425 people — $501K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 7 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

WMS vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBuilding Products & Equipment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
WMSAdvanced Drainage Systems, Inc.$9.8B
45
OCOwens Corning$9.4B
57
SPXCSPX Technologies, Inc.$8.5B
72
MAIRMadison Air Solutions Corp.$12.1B
2
LIILennox International, Inc.$12.6B
32
CSLCarlisle Cos., Inc.$13.0B
56
AAONAAON, Inc.$7.2B
35

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest WMS news & analysis

Advanced Drainage Systems Announces Acquisition of StormTrap Investments LLC From PSP Capital

Business Wire · 5 Oct 2026positive

Advanced Drainage Systems announced it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire StormTrap Investments LLC from PSP Capital, a leader in large-volume, highly engineered stormwater solutions, for a purchase price of approximately $530 million.

Why it matters — The acquisition expands ADS's portfolio in large-volume, space-constrained stormwater solutions, strengthening its position in the water management market.

Advanced Drainage Systems Releases 2026 Sustainability Report

Business Wire · 14 Sept 2026neutral

Advanced Drainage Systems announced it has released its Fiscal 2026 Sustainability Report, highlighting its continued commitment to responsible operations and environmental stewardship in the stormwater and onsite wastewater industries.

Why it matters — WMS watchers would care because the report reflects how the company integrates sustainability into risk management, operational efficiency, and long-term value creation, which are relevant to its ongoing operations.

Advanced Drainage Systems: Structural Share Gains And NDS Synergies Support A Buy

Seeking Alpha · 8 Sept 2026positive

Advanced Drainage Systems was rated Buy, supported by secular growth, business mix improvement, and acquisition synergies. The company outperforms construction markets through thermoplastic pipe share gains and specification-driven selling, and is shifting toward higher-margin allied and wastewater products, now 48% of revenue.

Why it matters — The item highlights WMS's structural share gains and shift to higher-margin products, which strengthens profitability and reduces resin dependency—key factors for investors tracking the company.

Baron SMID Cap ETF Q2 2026 Portfolio Activity

Seeking Alpha · 4 Sept 2026positive

In its Q2 2026 portfolio update, the Baron SMID Cap ETF reported initiating a position in Advanced Drainage Systems, described as the leading U.S. manufacturer of stormwater and onsite wastewater management products. The update also separately discussed other portfolio moves involving Axon Enterprise and HeartFlow.

Why it matters — A notable investment fund choosing to add Advanced Drainage Systems to its portfolio signals increased institutional interest in the company.

Baron Discovery Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Activity

Seeking Alpha · 28 Aug 2026neutral

Baron Discovery Fund reported its Q2 2026 portfolio activity, highlighting growth opportunities in Samsara and Shake Shack and an initiated position in subscription software company Rubrik. The report does not mention Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS).

Why it matters — A WMS watcher would note that the fund's disclosed activity contains no reference to Advanced Drainage Systems, offering no new information relevant to the company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about WMS stock

What is the WMS stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $185, with estimates ranging from $145 to $207. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is WMS stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc., 11 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. 45 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 7 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank WMS?

As at 7 Oct 2026, Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. ranks 45 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (77 of 100).

Will WMS stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +46.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. 45 out of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the WMS stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WMS are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $145 to $207 over the next 12 months.

How has WMS stock performed over the past year?

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. returned -9.9% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. do?

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. is a water management products company that designs, manufactures, and markets solutions for stormwater and onsite wastewater applications.

What is the latest news on WMS?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 5 Oct 2026): "Advanced Drainage Systems Announces Acquisition of StormTrap Investments LLC From PSP Capital". Advanced Drainage Systems announced it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire StormTrap Investments LLC from PSP Capital, a leader in large-volume, highly engineered stormwater solutions, for a purchase price of approximately $530 million.

Company

About Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. is a water management products company that designs, manufactures, and markets solutions for stormwater and onsite wastewater applications. Advanced Drainage Systems focuses on thermoplastic corrugated pipe and related drainage products used in construction, infrastructure, residential, commercial, and agricultural projects. Its portfolio includes pipe, chambers, fittings, filters, septic system components, and other accessories that help collect, convey, store, and manage water efficiently. The company serves builders, engineers, contractors, utilities, and agricultural customers across North America and international markets. Advanced Drainage Systems plays an important role in modern drainage and wastewater infrastructure by providing products that support water control, erosion management, and onsite treatment systems for a wide range of end uses.

CEO Mr. Donald Scott Barbour · 6,425 employees · United States · https://www.adspipe.com