The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Madison Air Solutions Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $43 — +47.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 1 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Madison Air Solutions Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (57): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Quality (1): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Madison Air Solutions Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MAIR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +47.4% from it.
Of the 18 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $47 → $38 |
| 31 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | $49 → $41 |
| 16 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $50 → $47 |
| 10 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $47 → $46 |
| 14 May 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 May 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 13 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 13 May 2026 | Jefferies | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 13 May 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 11 May 2026 | B of A Securities | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Baird | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Barclays | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Citigroup | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 11 May 2026 | RBC Capital | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Stifel | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Wolfe Research | Initiates | Peer Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 11% of US stocks
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Cheaper than 28% of US stocks
Cheaper than 11% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MAIR appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Madison Air Solutions reported double-digit sales growth and a record backlog in its Q2 earnings, prompting the company to raise its full-year revenue guidance amid strong commercial-market demand.
Why it matters — The results and raised guidance signal that demand from key commercial segments such as data centers and healthcare remains robust for MAIR.
Madison Air Solutions Corporation held its Q2 2026 earnings call, with the transcript published by Seeking Alpha.
Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides MAIR watchers with management's commentary on the company's second-quarter financial performance and outlook.
Madison Air reported second quarter 2026 results showing backlog of $2,868.4 million (up 133% YoY), net sales of $991.3 million (up 21%), net income of $70.5 million (up 129%), and adjusted EBITDA of $265.8 million (up 18%). Cash flow from continuing operations was $98.6 million, with free cash flow of $89.6 million.
Why it matters — The significant increases in backlog (133%), orders (45%), net sales (21%), and net income (129%) indicate strong operational performance and growing demand for MAIR's products.
The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Madison Air Solutions Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $43, with estimates ranging from $33 to $49. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 12 analysts covering Madison Air Solutions Corp., 9 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Madison Air Solutions Corp. 1 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 1 Aug 2026, Madison Air Solutions Corp. ranks 1 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (57 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +47.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Madison Air Solutions Corp. 1 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Madison Air Solutions Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MAIR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $33 to $49 over the next 12 months.
Madison Air Solutions Corp. Class A is a leading provider of HVAC and indoor air-quality technology solutions.
The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 31 July 2026): "Madison Air Solutions Q2 Earnings Call Highlights". Madison Air Solutions reported double-digit sales growth and a record backlog in its Q2 earnings, prompting the company to raise its full-year revenue guidance amid strong commercial-market demand.
Madison Air Solutions Corp. Class A is a leading provider of HVAC and indoor air-quality technology solutions. The company specializes in designing and manufacturing advanced systems that enhance air quality, supporting health, productivity, and performance in indoor environments where people spend most of their time. It operates through two primary segments: Commercial, which delivers well-engineered, custom, and semi-custom air quality systems for mission-critical settings like healthcare facilities, workplaces, schools, and industrial processes to ensure regulatory compliance, energy efficiency, and process control; and Residential, featuring trusted brands such as AprilAire, Broan-NuTone, and Zephyr, offering reliable solutions for homes. Madison Air Solutions Corp. Class A serves markets across the U.S., Americas, Europe, and other regions, with a strong emphasis on the U.S. Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, it plays a vital role in the building products and equipment industry within the industrials sector, addressing the critical need for cleaner indoor air.
CEO Ms. Jill S. Wyant · 8,650 employees · United States · https://www.madisonair.com