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XEL Stock Forecast: Xcel Energy, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$72
−1.81% on the day

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering Xcel Energy, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $92 — +27.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 19 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$45.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
19 / 100
Median analyst target
$92
Analysts covering
18
Revenue$3.1B−5.1% y/y
Operating income$709.0M
Net income$586.0M
Free cash flow−$1.8B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.5%
1M
−8.0%
YTD
+0.1%
1Y
+3.2%
From 52W high
−11.9%
From 52W low
+3.3%
$70
$82
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

XEL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Xcel Energy, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
19 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
64
Growth
55
Quality
54
Volatility
52
Revisions
47
Accruals
31
Value
17
Issuance
16
Size
6

Momentum (64): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Issuance (16): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

XEL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on XEL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$70$80$90$100Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26XELHigh $101Median $92Low $74

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says18 analysts
16 Buy1 Hold1 Sell
Low $74Median $92High $101

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$92 → $89
13 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$94 → $88
13 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
22 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$95 → $92
22 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
16 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
16 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$91 → $102
16 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
16 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$92 → $94
9 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
9 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$87 → $90
23 June 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
18 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
14 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
12 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
4 May 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
22 Apr 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
21 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
21 Apr 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
21 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. XEL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

XEL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Xcel Energy, Inc. returned +3.2% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

XEL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100105110115120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26XELS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

XEL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.1%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Xcel Energy, Inc. (XEL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.8×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.1×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / book
1.9×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.8×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−5.1%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
32.0%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Gross margin
53.1%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Operating margin
22.7%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Net margin
15.3%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.9%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.4%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.3%

Higher than 68% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Xcel Energy, Inc. (XEL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Xcel Energy, Inc. has a market value of $45.2B and an enterprise value of $84.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $14.6B. The latest quarter shrank 5.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.2B, a 15.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.65.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$7.7B, after $12.5B of capital spending.

  • Xcel Energy, Inc. spent $1.4B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 624.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 19.8×; forward P/E: 15.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.28%, paying out 64% of earnings.

  • Xcel Energy, Inc. employs 11,534 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 20 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

XEL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelUtilities - Regulated Electric
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
XELXcel Energy, Inc.$45.2B
19
EXCExelon Corp.$42.5B
42
ETREntergy Corp.$48.7B
33
EDConsolidated Edison, Inc.$38.9B
54
DDominion Energy, Inc.$54.3B
40
PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group, Inc.$34.8B
60
WECWEC Energy Group, Inc.$33.6B
53

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Xcel Energy, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest XEL news & analysis

AI Data Centers Need Enormous Amounts of Power: These 5 Dividend Stocks Provide It

24/7 Wall Street · 11 Sept 2026positive

The article highlights that AI data centers are rapidly doubling their power demands, and regulated utilities that secure long-term supply contracts stand to collect that revenue for decades. It presents these utilities as dividend-paying stocks positioned to benefit from the surge in electricity demand.

Why it matters — XEL watchers would care because the piece highlights how regulated utilities with long-term supply agreements, like Xcel Energy, could benefit from steadily growing power demand from AI data centers.

The Clock Is Ticking on These 4 High-Yield Dividend Stocks

24/7 Wall Street · 10 Sept 2026neutral

The article notes that four dividend stocks are reaching their ex-date deadlines this week, with one stock's window to collect the next payment closing at the end of today's trading session.

Why it matters — As a dividend-paying utility, XEL watchers may track ex-dividend dates to understand timing of dividend eligibility and related market activity.

Benzinga's 'Stock Whisper' Index: 5 Stocks Investors Secretly Monitor But Don't Talk About Yet

Benzinga · 5 Sept 2026neutral

Benzinga's weekly Stock Whisper Index highlights five stocks that are attracting quiet investor attention, based on proprietary data and pattern recognition. The article does not name Xcel Energy specifically among the featured stocks.

Why it matters — The segment illustrates which stocks are drawing early investor interest, giving context for whether XEL is being noticed by the market.

Is Xcel Energy a Dividend Stock Retirees Can Actually Count On?

24/7 Wall Street · 4 Sept 2026negative

Xcel Energy continues to pay retirees a quarterly dividend that has grown every year, but the article questions whether that streak will hold given wildfire lawsuits, a $60 billion spending plan, and a 10-Year Treasury yield above 4%.

Why it matters — XEL investors should watch whether rising risks from litigation, major capital spending, and higher interest rates threaten the company's long-standing dividend growth record.

Xcel Energy: Texas And New Mexico Could Become Its Next Growth Engine

Seeking Alpha · 28 Aug 2026positive

Xcel Energy is positioned for accelerated growth through its SPS utility, planning a ~$19.03B investment in Texas and New Mexico through 2030. SPS's weather-adjusted electric sales grew 4.8%, outpacing XEL's average, and its proposed 2,623 MW generation portfolio could drive future rate-base and earnings expansion, though regulatory approval, project execution, and financing risks remain.

Why it matters — The SPS utility represents a potential key growth engine for Xcel Energy, with its planned Texas and New Mexico investments poised to expand rate base and earnings, though outcomes depend on regulatory approvals and cost recovery.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about XEL stock

What is the XEL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering Xcel Energy, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $92, with estimates ranging from $74 to $101. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is XEL stock a buy right now?

Of the 18 analysts covering Xcel Energy, Inc., 16 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Xcel Energy, Inc. 19 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank XEL?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Xcel Energy, Inc. ranks 19 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (64 of 100).

Will XEL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +27.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Xcel Energy, Inc. 19 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the XEL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Xcel Energy, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for XEL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $74 to $101 over the next 12 months.

How has XEL stock performed over the past year?

Xcel Energy, Inc. returned +3.2% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Xcel Energy, Inc. do?

Xcel Energy Inc. is a regulated electric and natural gas utility company that serves customers across parts of the Upper Midwest and Western United States.

What is the latest news on XEL?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 11 Sept 2026): "AI Data Centers Need Enormous Amounts of Power: These 5 Dividend Stocks Provide It". The article highlights that AI data centers are rapidly doubling their power demands, and regulated utilities that secure long-term supply contracts stand to collect that revenue for decades. It presents these utilities as dividend-paying stocks positioned to benefit from the surge in electricity demand.

Company

About Xcel Energy, Inc.

Xcel Energy Inc. is a regulated electric and natural gas utility company that serves customers across parts of the Upper Midwest and Western United States. Its core business is the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity, along with the transport, storage, distribution, and retail delivery of natural gas. The company operates through regulated utility subsidiaries that provide essential energy services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in eight states. Xcel Energy also supports wholesale power and transmission activities, as well as energy-related services tied to infrastructure and customer solutions. Its market role is centered on delivering reliable utility service within a defined service territory, making it an important provider in the U.S. utilities sector.

CEO Mr. Robert C. Frenzel · 11,534 employees · United States · https://www.my.xcelenergy.com/s