XPELConsumer Cyclical · Auto PartsThe 3 Wall Street analysts covering XPEL, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $56 — +49.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 54 of 100 as at 11 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores XPEL, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (91): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Accruals (26): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on XPEL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +49.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | Freedom Broker | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Freedom Broker | Upgrade | Buy | $45 → $60 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | $55 → $65 |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Freedom Broker | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Freedom Broker | Maintains | Buy | $43 → $56 |
| 9 Aug 2024 | B. Riley Securities | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 3 May 2024 | B. Riley Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 3 May 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 9 Nov 2023 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Oct 2023 | EF Hutton | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 10 Aug 2023 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Aug 2023 | EF Hutton | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 1 Mar 2023 | EF Hutton | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 27 Sept 2022 | EF Hutton | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 27 May 2021 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 May 2021 | Craig-Hallum | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 May 2021 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 May 2021 | Craig-Hallum | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 May 2020 | B. Riley FBR | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 May 2020 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
XPEL appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
AI cloud capacity
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AI chips
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AI networking and servers
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Data centre power
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 12 Nov 2026, XPEL, Inc. returned −6.4% against +12.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Cheaper than 49% of US stocks
Cheaper than 27% of US stocks
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 92% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
XPEL, Inc. has a market value of $1.1B and an enterprise value of $1.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $508.1M. The latest quarter grew 9.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $55.6M, a 10.9% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.97.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$4.5M.
Trailing P/E: 18.9×; forward P/E: 15.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
XPEL, Inc. employs 1,337 people — $380K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own XPEL, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
XPEL reported third-quarter revenue of $137.8 million, up 9.9% year over year, while gross margin expanded to 44.6%.
Why it matters — These figures provide XPEL watchers with an update on the company’s revenue growth and gross margin in the third quarter.
XPEL reported higher third-quarter revenue and earnings alongside improved gross margin. It forecast slower sales growth in the fourth quarter amid weakness in U.S. dealerships and the aftermarket.
Why it matters — The update combines improved recent results with a forecast slowdown tied to weakness in two key sales channels.
Seeking Alpha published a transcript of XPEL, Inc.’s Q3 2026 earnings call. The excerpt provides no details about the discussion.
Why it matters — XPEL watchers may consult the transcript for information from the company’s quarterly earnings call, but the provided excerpt contains no substantive call details.
XPEL reported quarterly earnings of $0.62 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.55. Earnings were $0.47 per share in the year-ago quarter.
Why it matters — XPEL watchers may note that quarterly earnings exceeded the consensus estimate and were higher than a year earlier.
XPEL reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $137.8 million, up 9.9% from $125.4 million a year earlier. Gross margin was 44.6%, compared with 41.8% in the prior-year quarter.
Why it matters — The results provide XPEL watchers with an update on quarterly revenue growth and gross margin.
The 3 Wall Street analysts covering XPEL, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $56, with estimates ranging from $55 to $60. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 3 analysts covering XPEL, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks XPEL, Inc. 54 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 11 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 11 Nov 2026, XPEL, Inc. ranks 54 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (91 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +49.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks XPEL, Inc. 54 out of 100 as at 11 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering XPEL, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for XPEL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $55 to $60 over the next 12 months.
XPEL, Inc. returned -6.4% over the 12 months to 12 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
XPEL Inc. is a specialty automotive aftermarket company that develops, manufactures, sells, and installs protective films, coatings, and related services.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 5 Nov 2026): "XPEL: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors". XPEL reported third-quarter revenue of $137.8 million, up 9.9% year over year, while gross margin expanded to 44.6%.
XPEL Inc. is a specialty automotive aftermarket company that develops, manufactures, sells, and installs protective films, coatings, and related services. XPEL Inc. is best known for its paint protection film, windshield protection, and automotive and architectural window films, which are designed to help preserve vehicle and surface finishes. The company also offers ceramic coatings, pre-cut film solutions, proprietary software, installation tools, and training support for professional installers. Its products are used across automotive, marine, and architectural applications, making the company relevant in both consumer and commercial protection markets. XPEL Inc. distributes its offerings through independent installers, dealerships, distributors, OEM partners, company-owned installation centers, franchisees, and online channels. Headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, XPEL Inc. serves customers in North America and multiple international markets.
CEO Mr. Ryan L. Pape · 1,337 employees · United States · https://www.xpel.com
