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XPELXPELConsumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

XPEL Stock Forecast: XPEL, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$45
+0.92% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering XPEL, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $60 — +33.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 76 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$1.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
76 / 100
Median analyst target
$60
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$143.1M+14.7% y/y
Operating income$23.2M
Net income$18.3M
Free cash flow−$35.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.4%
1M
−9.3%
YTD
−9.9%
1Y
+30.9%
From 52W high
−18.2%
From 52W low
+34.0%
$34
$55
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

XPEL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores XPEL, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Oct 2026
76 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
95
Quality
90
Momentum
81
Growth
57
Volatility
53
Value
48
Size
41
Issuance
40
Accruals
27

Revisions (95): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (27): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

XPEL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on XPEL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60$70Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26XPELHigh $65Median $60Low $60

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
3 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $60Median $60High $65

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +33.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Aug 2026Freedom BrokerUpgradeBuy—
7 Aug 2026Freedom BrokerUpgradeBuy$45 → $60
6 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$55 → $65
7 Nov 2025Freedom BrokerMaintainsBuy—
7 Nov 2025Freedom BrokerMaintainsBuy$43 → $56
9 Aug 2024B. Riley SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
3 May 2024B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—
3 May 2024Craig-HallumDowngradeHold—
9 Nov 2023B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
12 Oct 2023EF HuttonReiteratesBuy—
10 Aug 2023B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
10 Aug 2023EF HuttonReiteratesBuy—
1 Mar 2023EF HuttonReiteratesBuy—
27 Sept 2022EF HuttonInitiatesBuy—
27 May 2021B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
26 May 2021Craig-HallumMaintainsBuy—
11 May 2021B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
11 May 2021Craig-HallumMaintainsBuy—
15 May 2020B. Riley FBRMaintainsBuy—
15 May 2020B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. XPEL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

XPEL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, XPEL, Inc. returned +30.9% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

XPEL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26XPELS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

XPEL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.7×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.4×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Price / book
4.3×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.3×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.7%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
10.7%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Gross margin
44.1%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Operating margin
16.2%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Net margin
10.8%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
19.4%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Return on assets
10.8%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • XPEL, Inc. has a market value of $1.2B and an enterprise value of $1.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $508.1M. The latest quarter grew 14.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $55.6M, a 10.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.97.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$4.5M.

  • Shares outstanding: 27.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 22.7×; forward P/E: 16.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • XPEL, Inc. employs 1,337 people — $380K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

XPEL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
XPELXPEL, Inc.$1.2B
76
DCHDauch Corp.$1.3B
44
ADNTAdient Plc$1.3B
70
GTGoodyear Tire & Rubber Co.$1.4B
48
THRMGentherm, Inc.$955.4M
76
PLOWDouglas Dynamics, Inc.$933.4M
92
SMPStandard Motor Products, Inc.$825.4M
89

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own XPEL, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest XPEL news & analysis

34 Miles Out to Sea, Nowhere to Hide from the Sun: Tint World® and XPEL Team Up to Protect Historic Frying Pan Shoals Tower

Business Wire · 10 Sept 2026positive

Tint World Automotive Styling Centers applied XPEL protective window film to Frying Pan Shoals Tower, a decommissioned U.S. Coast Guard light station located 34 miles off the North Carolina coast. The project represents an unusual collaboration between Tint World and XPEL, showcasing a distinctive use of the company's protective films.

Why it matters — The unique outdoor installation highlights XPEL's protective film products being used in an unconventional, high-profile setting that demonstrates the versatility of its technology.

XPEL and Will Castro Return for Season 2 of 'Unique Academy USA,' Expanding Reach of Transformative Automotive Career Program

Business Wire · 17 Aug 2026positive

XPEL, Inc. and car customizer Will Castro announced that Season 2 of 'Unique Academy USA' will debut August 18th on the ROKU platform, expanding the program's reach to 15 new students aged 13 to 22 with hands-on training for careers in the automotive technician and aftermarket industry.

Why it matters — The program's expansion reflects XPEL's continued involvement in developing the automotive aftermarket workforce, an area closely tied to its business.

XPEL Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 5 Aug 2026neutral

XPEL reported record second-quarter revenue on its Q2 earnings call, driven by growth in the United States, China, and other Asia-Pacific markets. This strength was offset by continued pressure in dealerships, softer European results, and a decline in India and Middle East revenue tied partly to vehicle availability.

Why it matters — A XPEL watcher would care because the results show how the company's top line is being shaped by contrasting regional trends, notably strong Asia-Pacific growth versus weaker dealership, European, India, and Middle East performance.

XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 5 Aug 2026neutral

XPEL, Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and the transcript of the call was published via Seeking Alpha. The item reports on the company's quarterly earnings discussion.

Why it matters — XPEL watchers would care because the earnings call transcript provides management's account of the company's quarterly performance.

XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026positive

XPEL reported Q2 earnings of $0.68 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.61 per share and up from $0.59 per share a year ago. Revenue also topped estimates.

Why it matters — The earnings beat and year-over-year growth indicate the company performed better than analyst expectations in the quarter.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about XPEL stock

What is the XPEL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering XPEL, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $60, with estimates ranging from $60 to $65. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is XPEL stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering XPEL, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks XPEL, Inc. 76 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank XPEL?

As at 2 Oct 2026, XPEL, Inc. ranks 76 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (95 of 100).

Will XPEL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +33.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks XPEL, Inc. 76 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the XPEL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering XPEL, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for XPEL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $65 over the next 12 months.

How has XPEL stock performed over the past year?

XPEL, Inc. returned +30.9% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does XPEL, Inc. do?

XPEL Inc. is a specialty automotive aftermarket company that develops, manufactures, sells, and installs protective films, coatings, and related services.

What is the latest news on XPEL?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 10 Sept 2026): "34 Miles Out to Sea, Nowhere to Hide from the Sun: Tint World® and XPEL Team Up to Protect Historic Frying Pan Shoals Tower". Tint World Automotive Styling Centers applied XPEL protective window film to Frying Pan Shoals Tower, a decommissioned U.S. Coast Guard light station located 34 miles off the North Carolina coast. The project represents an unusual collaboration between Tint World and XPEL, showcasing a distinctive use of the company's protective films.

Company

About XPEL, Inc.

XPEL Inc. is a specialty automotive aftermarket company that develops, manufactures, sells, and installs protective films, coatings, and related services. XPEL Inc. is best known for its paint protection film, windshield protection, and automotive and architectural window films, which are designed to help preserve vehicle and surface finishes. The company also offers ceramic coatings, pre-cut film solutions, proprietary software, installation tools, and training support for professional installers. Its products are used across automotive, marine, and architectural applications, making the company relevant in both consumer and commercial protection markets. XPEL Inc. distributes its offerings through independent installers, dealerships, distributors, OEM partners, company-owned installation centers, franchisees, and online channels. Headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, XPEL Inc. serves customers in North America and multiple international markets.

CEO Mr. Ryan L. Pape · 1,337 employees · United States · https://www.xpel.com