ZGNZGNConsumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

ZGN Stock Forecast: Ermenegildo Zegna NV Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 23 Oct 2026
$13
−2.67% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Ermenegildo Zegna NV hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +11.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 37 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$3.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
37/ 100
Median analyst target
$15
Analysts covering
13
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.4%
1M
+8.4%
YTD
+32.9%
1Y
+30.6%
From 52W high
−11.6%
From 52W low
+56.7%
$9
$15
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ZGN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ermenegildo Zegna NV on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Oct 2026
37/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
78
Volatility
69
Accruals
66
Quality
51
Growth
50
Revisions
49
Issuance
27
Size
21
Value
19

Momentum (78): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Value (19): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ZGN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ZGN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$8$10$12$14$16Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ZGNHigh $16Median $15Low $11

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says13 analysts
9 Buy3 Hold1 Sell
Low $11Median $15High $16

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Oct 2026HSBCInitiatesBuy$16
5 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$16 → $15
4 Sept 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$17 → $15
4 Sept 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
4 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$15 → $16
4 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$15 → $17
24 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
30 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$13 → $14
30 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
17 June 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeNeutral—
20 May 2026TD CowenUpgradeBuy—
1 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
16 Jan 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—
24 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
14 Oct 2025JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
23 Sept 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
15 Sept 2025JP MorganInitiatesOverweight—
16 Jan 2025B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
22 Nov 2024Morgan StanleyInitiatesUnderweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

ZGN appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

ZGN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Ermenegildo Zegna NV returned +30.6% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ZGN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ZGNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ZGN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−4.7%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
5
Fundamentals

Ermenegildo Zegna NV (ZGN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
39.3×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.9×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Price / book
3.2×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
27.7×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.4%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−46.2%

Higher than 11% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
7.2%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Net margin
4.0%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
8.7%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.6%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.0%

Higher than 91% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Ermenegildo Zegna NV (ZGN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Ermenegildo Zegna NV has a market value of $3.5B and an enterprise value of $5.0B.

  • Shares outstanding: 423.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 39.3×; forward P/E: 23.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 4.01%, paying out 40% of earnings.

  • Ermenegildo Zegna NV employs 7,600 people.

market figures as at 22 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ZGN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelApparel Manufacturing
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ZGNErmenegildo Zegna NV$3.5B37
VFCVF Corp.$6.8B72
GILGildan Activewear, Inc.$7.8B—
KTBKontoor Brands, Inc.$4.3B89
LEVILevi Strauss & Co.$8.3B71
PVHPVH Corp.$3.9B66
FIGSFIGS, Inc.$3.4B98

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ermenegildo Zegna NV — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ZGN news & analysis

What Ermenegildo Zegna (ZGN) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

MarketBeat · 23 Oct 2026neutral

Ermenegildo Zegna reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of €434 million, up 8% organically year over year. Direct-to-consumer growth across all regions offset pressure in parts of wholesale and a tougher consumer backdrop in Greater China for Thom Browne.

Why it matters — The update highlights organic growth and the channels and markets that supported or weighed on quarterly performance.

Ermenegildo Zegna Group Q3 2026 Revenues1 up 9% With Solid Growth Across All Regions and Continued Strength in the DTC Channel (+13% YoY)

Business Wire · 22 Oct 2026positive

Ermenegildo Zegna Group reported unaudited revenue of €1,421.1 million for the first nine months of 2026, up 7.2% year over year (8.9% organic). Third-quarter revenue was €433.8 million, up 8.9% year over year (8.2% organic).

Why it matters — The report gives ZGN watchers an update on revenue growth across the first nine months and the third quarter of 2026.

URBN vs. ZGN: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research compares Urban Outfitters and Ermenegildo Zegna as apparel and footwear stocks, framing the article around which may offer better value to investors.

Why it matters — The comparison places ZGN in a value-focused discussion alongside Urban Outfitters, though the excerpt gives no conclusion about which stock offers better value.

URBN vs. ZGN: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research has published a comparison piece examining Urban Outfitters (URBN) and Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) as potential value investments in the Retail - Apparel and Shoes sector, asking which of the two stocks currently presents the better value opportunity. The article frames the question for investors considering both companies.

Why it matters — ZGN watchers would care because the piece positions Ermenegildo Zegna in a direct value-focused comparison against a major apparel peer, potentially influencing how investors assess the stock's relative appeal.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ZGN stock

What is the ZGN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Ermenegildo Zegna NV have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $11 to $16. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ZGN stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Ermenegildo Zegna NV, 9 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ermenegildo Zegna NV 37 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ZGN?

As at 22 Oct 2026, Ermenegildo Zegna NV ranks 37 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (78 of 100).

Will ZGN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +11.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ermenegildo Zegna NV 37 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ZGN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Ermenegildo Zegna NV publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ZGN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $11 to $16 over the next 12 months.

How has ZGN stock performed over the past year?

Ermenegildo Zegna NV returned +30.6% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Ermenegildo Zegna NV do?

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. Ordinary Shares represent the publicly traded equity of Ermenegildo Zegna N.V., the parent company of the Zegna Group.

What is the latest news on ZGN?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 23 Oct 2026): "What Ermenegildo Zegna (ZGN) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call". Ermenegildo Zegna reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of €434 million, up 8% organically year over year. Direct-to-consumer growth across all regions offset pressure in parts of wholesale and a tougher consumer backdrop in Greater China for Thom Browne.

Company

About Ermenegildo Zegna NV.

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. Ordinary Shares represent the publicly traded equity of Ermenegildo Zegna N.V., the parent company of the Zegna Group. The company designs, produces, markets, and distributes luxury apparel and accessories worldwide, with a strong focus on menswear, including tailored clothing, casualwear, footwear, leather goods, and fragrances. Its portfolio also includes women’s and children’s clothing and selected accessories, reflecting a broader presence across the luxury fashion market. The business serves consumers through a global brand platform that combines high-end craftsmanship, premium materials, and a diversified product mix across fashion categories. Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. plays a notable role in the luxury goods sector by positioning the Zegna brand alongside other international premium labels and by extending its reach through complementary brand offerings within the group.

CEO Mr. Gianluca Ambrogio Tagliabue · 7,600 employees · Italy · https://www.zegnagroup.com