ACELACELConsumer Cyclical · Gambling

ACEL Stock Forecast: Accel Entertainment, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$11
+0.44% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Accel Entertainment, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $16 — +41.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 99 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$922.4M
Ticker Nerd rank
99/ 100
Median analyst target
$16
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$368.1M+9.6% y/y
Operating income$32.1M
Net income$12.5M
Free cash flow$8.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.2%
1M
+6.5%
YTD
−0.5%
1Y
+13.8%
From 52W high
−15.4%
From 52W low
+18.1%
$10
$13
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ACEL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Accel Entertainment, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
99/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
96
Issuance
95
Quality
86
Volatility
85
Growth
84
Revisions
73
Accruals
71
Momentum
59
Size
45

Value (96): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Momentum (59): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (45): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

ACEL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ACEL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$12$14$16$18Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ACELHigh $18Median $16Low $13

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
5 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $13Median $16High $18

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +41.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
20 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$14 → $13
7 Oct 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$16 → $17
7 Oct 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
21 Aug 2026Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight—
21 Aug 2026Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight$14
5 Aug 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$14 → $15
5 Aug 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
5 Aug 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$16
5 Aug 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
19 May 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
19 May 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$16
4 Mar 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
4 Mar 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
4 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
16 Jan 2026CBREInitiatesBuy—
16 Dec 2025Truist SecuritiesInitiatesHold—
5 Dec 2025CitizensInitiatesMarket Outperform—
5 Nov 2025MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
6 May 2025MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
28 Feb 2025MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

ACEL appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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The AI build-out map
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    VRTCEGGEVVST

Performance

ACEL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Accel Entertainment, Inc. returned +13.8% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ACEL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ACELS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ACEL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.0%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
17.0×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 76% of US stocks

Price / book
3.3×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.2×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.6%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
70.8%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Gross margin
31.3%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Operating margin
9.4%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Net margin
4.1%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
20.5%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.1%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Accel Entertainment, Inc. has a market value of $922.4M and an enterprise value of $1.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.4B. The latest quarter grew 9.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $56.6M, a 4.1% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $78.9M.

  • Accel Entertainment, Inc. spent $40.7M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 81.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 17.0×; forward P/E: 10.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Accel Entertainment, Inc. employs 1,600 people — $869K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ACEL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelGambling
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ACELAccel Entertainment, Inc.$922.4M99
BRSLBrightstar Lottery Plc$1.8B45
CDROCodere Online Luxembourg SA$394.8M9
RSIRush Street Interactive, Inc.$2.8B75
SGHCSuper Group (SGHC) Ltd.$5.4B44
CHDNChurchill Downs, Inc.$6.6B67
MRDNMeridian Holdings, Inc.$123.4M65

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Accel Entertainment, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ACEL news & analysis

Accel Entertainment: Chicago Is Delayed, But The Investment Thesis Is Intact

Seeking Alpha · 19 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha says Chicago’s VGT rollout is delayed, while Accel’s approved state licenses could support about 43.5% market share once the rollout is operational. The article also cites stable EBITDA from long-term VGT contracts and growth from regional acquisitions such as Toucan Gaming.

Why it matters — The delay affects the timing of a potential Chicago opportunity, while the company’s core business and acquisitions are presented as ongoing sources of stability and growth.

Accel Entertainment, Inc. to Report Third Quarter 2026 Results, Host Conference Call and Webcast on November 3

GlobeNewsWire · 7 Oct 2026neutral

Accel Entertainment said it will report financial and operating results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, after market close on November 3. The company will host a conference call and webcast at 4:30 p.m. ET that day to review the results.

Why it matters — Investors following ACEL can hear the quarterly results and management’s review on the scheduled call and webcast.

Accel Entertainment: Chicago Gaming Could Unlock Significant Earnings Upside (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 11 Aug 2026positive

Accel Entertainment received an upgrade following better-than-expected second-quarter results, with revenue up 10% year over year to $368 million and adjusted EBITDA up 11% to $59 million. The article notes that Chicago gaming terminals may begin operations in August, which could provide significant incremental earnings potential, supported by operational efficiencies, state expansion, a strong balance sheet, ongoing share buybacks, and above-sector median EBITDA growth.

Why it matters — ACEL watchers would care because the potential launch of Chicago gaming terminals in August could drive meaningful incremental earnings, adding to already-strong quarterly growth and a solid financial position.

Accel Entertainment Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 5 Aug 2026positive

Accel Entertainment reported record second-quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA, driven by higher productivity in Illinois, growth in developing markets, and continued preparation for the opening of video gaming terminals in Chicago.

Why it matters — ACEL watchers would note that record revenue and EBITDA, along with progress toward the Chicago video gaming market, signal a strong quarter and an important upcoming growth opportunity.

Accel Entertainment (ACEL) Lags Q2 Earnings Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026negative

Accel Entertainment reported Q2 earnings of $0.15 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.18 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.25 per share in the same quarter a year earlier.

Why it matters — The quarterly result fell short of analyst expectations and declined year over year, which ACEL watchers would see as a sign of weaker recent performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ACEL stock

What is the ACEL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Accel Entertainment, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $16, with estimates ranging from $13 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ACEL stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Accel Entertainment, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Accel Entertainment, Inc. 99 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ACEL?

As at 31 Oct 2026, Accel Entertainment, Inc. ranks 99 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (96 of 100).

Will ACEL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +41.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Accel Entertainment, Inc. 99 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ACEL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Accel Entertainment, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ACEL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $13 to $18 over the next 12 months.

How has ACEL stock performed over the past year?

Accel Entertainment, Inc. returned +13.8% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Accel Entertainment, Inc. do?

Accel Entertainment Inc. is a distributed gaming operator that provides regulated gaming and entertainment services across the United States.

What is the latest news on ACEL?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 19 Oct 2026): "Accel Entertainment: Chicago Is Delayed, But The Investment Thesis Is Intact". Seeking Alpha says Chicago’s VGT rollout is delayed, while Accel’s approved state licenses could support about 43.5% market share once the rollout is operational. The article also cites stable EBITDA from long-term VGT contracts and growth from regional acquisitions such as Toucan Gaming.

Company

About Accel Entertainment, Inc.

Accel Entertainment Inc. is a distributed gaming operator that provides regulated gaming and entertainment services across the United States. The company installs, maintains, and operates gaming terminals, redemption devices, and amusement equipment in licensed non-casino locations such as bars, restaurants, taverns, convenience stores, truck stops, liquor stores, and grocery stores. It also designs and manufactures gaming terminals and related equipment, while offering turnkey and full-service gaming solutions for local establishments. In addition, Accel Entertainment operates stand-alone ATMs and other venue-based entertainment devices, including jukeboxes, dartboards, and pool tables. The company serves as a major provider of localized gaming infrastructure, supporting neighborhood venues with gaming and amusement offerings tailored to regional regulatory markets.

CEO Mr. Mark T. Phelan · 1,600 employees · United States · https://www.accelentertainment.com