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BRSL Stock Forecast: Brightstar Lottery Plc Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 9 Oct 2026
$9.84
−1.50% on the day

The 1 Wall Street analysts covering Brightstar Lottery Plc hold a median 12-month price target of $17 — +67.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 46 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$1.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
46 / 100
Median analyst target
$17
Analysts covering
1
Revenue$584.0M−7.3% y/y
Operating income$121.0M
Net income$56.0M
Free cash flow−$1.5B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.1%
1M
−11.5%
YTD
−32.7%
1Y
−37.9%
From 52W high
−37.9%
From 52W low
+1.0%
$10
$16
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BRSL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Brightstar Lottery Plc on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
46 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
100
Volatility
79
Value
66
Growth
66
Accruals
48
Size
36
Revisions
35
Momentum
27
Quality
22

Issuance (100): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Quality (22): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BRSL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BRSL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$12$14$16$18$20Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BRSLHigh $19Median $17Low $12

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says1 analysts
1 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $12Median $17High $19

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +67.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Oct 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$21 → $18
13 Aug 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy$12 → $16
20 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$14 → $13
20 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
1 July 2026Deutsche BankInitiatesBuy—
1 July 2026Deutsche BankInitiatesBuy$15
29 June 2026Argus ResearchDowngradeHold—
29 June 2026Argus ResearchDowngradeHold—
14 May 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
13 May 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
13 May 2026StifelReiteratesBuy—
13 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
6 Apr 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
19 Feb 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
5 Nov 2025MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
5 Nov 2025StifelMaintainsBuy—
5 Nov 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
21 Oct 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
23 Sept 2025StifelReiteratesBuy—
20 Aug 2025Argus ResearchUpgradeBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BRSL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

BRSL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 9 Oct 2026, Brightstar Lottery Plc returned −37.9% against +16.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BRSL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BRSLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BRSL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−19.8%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Brightstar Lottery Plc (BRSL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.0×

Cheaper than 58% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 75% of US stocks

Price / book
2.1×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.3×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−7.4%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−7.3%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
46.9%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Operating margin
20.7%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Net margin
10.0%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.2%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.9%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Dividend yield
9.4%

Higher than 96% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Brightstar Lottery Plc (BRSL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Brightstar Lottery Plc has a market value of $1.8B and an enterprise value of $6.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.5B. The latest quarter shrank 7.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $367.0M, a 14.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.30.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$2.2B, after $373.0M of capital spending.

  • Brightstar Lottery Plc spent $315.0M on share buybacks and $774.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 183.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 10.0×; forward P/E: 13.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 9.35%, paying out 90% of earnings.

  • Brightstar Lottery Plc employs 5,746 people — $430K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BRSL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelGambling
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BRSLBrightstar Lottery Plc$1.8B
46
ACELAccel Entertainment, Inc.$901.2M
98
RSIRush Street Interactive, Inc.$4.7B
87
CHDNChurchill Downs, Inc.$5.3B
66
SGHCSuper Group (SGHC) Ltd.$5.8B
51
CDROCodere Online Luxembourg SA$432.9M
13
DKNGDraftKings, Inc.$17.7B
38

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Brightstar Lottery Plc — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BRSL news & analysis

Brightstar Lottery: Why The Dividend Seems Sustainable

Seeking Alpha · 28 Sept 2026positive

Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) is seen as having sustainable dividends, supported by expected improvements in operating cashflows. Its 2Q26 cashflow was affected by a non-recurring concession payment, though overall operations stayed steady, with a key growth driver being expansion into digital and iLottery platforms targeting Italy's online and mobile lottery markets.

Why it matters — A BRSL watcher would care because the article indicates dividend sustainability through improving cashflows while the company pursues growth in Italy's digital and mobile lottery segment.

Brightstar Lottery Showcases Innovative Lottery Solutions at NASPL 2026

PRNewsWire · 16 Sept 2026positive

Brightstar Lottery PLC (NYSE: BRSL) announced it will showcase its comprehensive portfolio of lottery solutions at the North American Association of State and Provincial Lotteries (NASPL) 2026 annual conference, which begins in September 2026.

Why it matters — This gives BRSL watchers a sign that the company is actively promoting its products to a key industry audience in the North American lottery market.

Brightstar Lottery PLC Announces Results of Tender Offer

PRNewsWire · 16 Sept 2026neutral

Brightstar Lottery PLC announced the results of its previously announced tender offer to purchase for cash any and all Regulation S interests in its outstanding €500,000,000 2.375% Senior Secured Notes due 2028. The announcement was made on September 16, 2026.

Why it matters — BRSL watchers would care because the tender offer results provide clarity on the company's debt-management actions regarding its outstanding senior secured notes.

Brightstar Lottery PLC Announces Successful Pricing of €500,000,000 of Senior Secured Notes Due 2032

PRNewsWire · 10 Sept 2026neutral

Brightstar Lottery PLC announced the successful pricing of €500,000,000 of 4.875% Senior Secured Notes due 2032, which will be issued by Brightstar and guaranteed on a senior basis by certain of its wholly-owned subsidiaries.

Why it matters — BRSL watchers would care because this debt issuance adds €500 million of senior secured financing to the company's capital structure ahead of the 2032 maturity.

Brightstar Lottery PLC Announces Tender Offer and a Benchmark Offering of Senior Secured Notes Due 2032

PRNewsWire · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Brightstar Lottery PLC (NYSE: BRSL) announced a tender offer for any and all Regulation S interests in its outstanding €500,000,000 2.375% Senior Secured Notes due 2028, on terms and conditions set out in a tender offer memorandum dated today, subject to offer and distribution restrictions.

Why it matters — The tender offer concerns a significant portion of Brightstar's outstanding debt, so BRSL watchers would care about the company's capital structure and refinancing activity.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BRSL stock

What is the BRSL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 1 Wall Street analysts covering Brightstar Lottery Plc have a median 12-month price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $12 to $19. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BRSL stock a buy right now?

Of the 1 analysts covering Brightstar Lottery Plc, 1 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Brightstar Lottery Plc 46 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BRSL?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Brightstar Lottery Plc ranks 46 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (100 of 100).

Will BRSL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 1 analysts implies +67.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Brightstar Lottery Plc 46 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BRSL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Brightstar Lottery Plc publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BRSL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $12 to $19 over the next 12 months.

How has BRSL stock performed over the past year?

Brightstar Lottery Plc returned -37.9% over the 12 months to 9 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Brightstar Lottery Plc do?

Brightstar Lottery PLC is a global lottery company focused on providing technology, systems, and services that support both retail and digital lottery operations. Brightstar Lottery PLC offers integrated lottery solutions including transaction processing systems, point-of-sale terminals, instant ticket games, printing services, lottery management services, and iLottery platforms that enable access to draw games and eInstant products.

What is the latest news on BRSL?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 28 Sept 2026): "Brightstar Lottery: Why The Dividend Seems Sustainable". Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) is seen as having sustainable dividends, supported by expected improvements in operating cashflows. Its 2Q26 cashflow was affected by a non-recurring concession payment, though overall operations stayed steady, with a key growth driver being expansion into digital and iLottery platforms targeting Italy's online and mobile lottery markets.

Company

About Brightstar Lottery Plc.

Brightstar Lottery PLC is a global lottery company focused on providing technology, systems, and services that support both retail and digital lottery operations. Brightstar Lottery PLC offers integrated lottery solutions including transaction processing systems, point-of-sale terminals, instant ticket games, printing services, lottery management services, and iLottery platforms that enable access to draw games and eInstant products. The company serves lottery operators and regulators across the United States, Italy, Europe, and other international markets, helping manage the full lottery value chain from sales and operations to product development and technical support. Its business is centered on delivering secure infrastructure and operational tools for traditional lottery jurisdictions as well as online lottery channels, making it a key provider in the global lottery ecosystem.

CEO Mr. Vincent L. Sadusky · 5,746 employees · United Kingdom · https://www.brightstarlottery.com