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ADTNADTNTechnology · Communication Equipment

ADTN Stock Forecast: ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$8.40
+4.09% on the day

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +72.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$684.4M
Ticker Nerd rank
56 / 100
Median analyst target
$15
Analysts covering
9
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+11.1%
1M
−33.3%
YTD
−3.3%
1Y
−6.0%
From 52W high
−56.7%
From 52W low
+15.9%
$7
$19
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ADTN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
56 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
95
Quality
76
Value
69
Growth
69
Momentum
56
Size
50
Revisions
35
Volatility
24
Issuance
9

Accruals (95): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Issuance (9): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ADTN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ADTN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ADTNHigh $21Median $15Low $11

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says9 analysts
7 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $11Median $15High $21

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +72.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$18 → $11
5 Aug 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$20 → $15
23 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesBuy—
23 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesBuy$23 → $21
23 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
23 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$18 → $14
23 July 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$20
23 July 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
22 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$18 → $14
22 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
6 May 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
6 May 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$18
6 May 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$16 → $20
6 May 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
14 Apr 2026Evercore ISI GroupInitiatesOutperform—
27 Feb 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
19 Feb 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
25 Nov 2025NeedhamReiteratesBuy$12
5 Nov 2025RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
18 Sept 2025B. Riley SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ADTN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

ADTN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−49.7%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−16.1×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.6×

Cheaper than 80% of US stocks

Price / book
5.3×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.5×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.1%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
6.1%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Gross margin
37.0%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Operating margin
−3.5%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Net margin
−2.3%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−3.2%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.1%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.3%

Higher than 79% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

ADTN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelCommunication Equipment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ADTNADTRAN Holdings, Inc.$684.4M
56
NTGRNETGEAR, Inc.$648.2M
57
TSATTelesat Corp.$768.9M
16
GILTGilat Satellite Networks Ltd.$841.9M
44
FEIMFrequency Electronics, Inc.$862.6M
42
CLFDClearfield, Inc.$391.2M
55
HLITHarmonic, Inc.$1.6B
91

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ADTN news & analysis

ADTRAN Holdings: Q2 Results Highlight Possible Headwinds

Seeking Alpha · 14 Aug 2026negative

ADTRAN Holdings reported Q2 results that missed revenue guidance at $281.1M, with gross margin down to 40.7% and supply constraints affecting multiple product lines and near-term visibility. The company is pivoting toward optical networking, which now drives 39% of revenue, with improving customer diversification but limited near-term upside from new products.

Why it matters — ADTN watchers would care because the company faces near-term headwinds from supply tightness and a revenue miss while transitioning toward higher-growth optical networking.

Adtran launches Mosaic One Fabric, empowering operators to build custom AI agents and workflows

Business Wire · 6 Aug 2026positive

Adtran launched Mosaic One Fabric, an expansion of its Mosaic One software platform that lets operators create custom AI agents and workflows around their own operational priorities. Operators can build and scale AI using their own data, tokens, and models, with token economics visible and under their control rather than being limited to predefined agents or vendor-controlled ecosystems.

Why it matters — For ADTN watchers, this expands Adtran's Mosaic One platform into a more flexible, operator-controlled AI offering, broadening its software portfolio and positioning in the telecom AI market.

ADTN Falls 46.2% in 3 Months: Is the Selloff Now Overdone?

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026neutral

ADTN fell 46.2% over three months as execution issues pressured margins, according to a Zacks report. The article notes that fiber broadband and AI networking trends keep its long-term growth story intact and questions whether the selloff has gone too far.

Why it matters — ADTN watchers will care because the piece weighs near-term margin weakness from execution problems against the company's long-term growth drivers in fiber broadband and AI networking.

Should Investors Buy ADTN or Wait for Better Execution Signals?

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research noted that ADTN's opportunities in fiber broadband and AI networking remain strong, but advised that execution challenges and a weaker earnings outlook may warrant patience.

Why it matters — The analysis highlights a tension between ADTN's promising growth areas and current operational headwinds, which investors should weigh when assessing the company.

Can ADTRAN's AI Networking Push Offset Near-Term Execution Risks?

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026negative

ADTRAN (ADTN) is expanding its AI networking portfolio amid growing AI infrastructure demand, but the company faces execution issues and margin pressure that may delay the benefits of this expansion.

Why it matters — ADTN watchers would want to gauge whether the company's AI networking expansion can materialize into results despite near-term execution and margin challenges.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ADTN stock

What is the ADTN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $11 to $21. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ADTN stock a buy right now?

Of the 9 analysts covering ADTRAN Holdings, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ADTN?

As at 15 Aug 2026, ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (95 of 100).

Will ADTN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +72.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ADTN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ADTN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $11 to $21 over the next 12 months.

How has ADTN stock performed over the past year?

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. returned -6.0% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. do?

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. is a leading global provider of networking and communications platforms, software, systems, and services focused on the broadband access and optical networking market.

What is the latest news on ADTN?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 14 Aug 2026): "ADTRAN Holdings: Q2 Results Highlight Possible Headwinds". ADTRAN Holdings reported Q2 results that missed revenue guidance at $281.1M, with gross margin down to 40.7% and supply constraints affecting multiple product lines and near-term visibility. The company is pivoting toward optical networking, which now drives 39% of revenue, with improving customer diversification but limited near-term upside from new products.

Company

About ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. is a leading global provider of networking and communications platforms, software, systems, and services focused on the broadband access and optical networking market. The company operates through two segments: Network Solutions, which offers residential gateways, ethernet and gigabit passive optical network solutions, routers, switches, edge cloud, carrier ethernet devices, optical line terminals, and packet aggregation solutions; and Services & Support, which includes network design, implementation, maintenance, and cloud-hosted services. ADTRAN serves diverse customers including service providers, utilities, municipalities, cable operators, small and medium-sized businesses, enterprises with business continuity requirements, and government agencies. Founded in 1985 and headquartered in Huntsville, Alabama, the company enables voice, data, video, and internet communications across various network infrastructures worldwide. ADTRAN's innovative solutions address the evolving demands of broadband infrastructure and optical networking, serving millions of users globally through its comprehensive portfolio of hardware, software, and managed services.

CEO Mr. Thomas Richard Stanton · 3,201 employees · United States · https://www.adtran.com