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ADTNADTNTechnology · Communication Equipment

ADTN Stock Forecast: ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 6 Oct 2026
$7.62
+6.57% on the day

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +90.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$620.9M
Ticker Nerd rank
56 / 100
Median analyst target
$15
Analysts covering
9
Revenue$281.1M+6.1% y/y
Operating income−$10.1M
Net income−$8.7M
Free cash flow$8.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+10.9%
1M
+7.3%
YTD
−12.3%
1Y
−17.1%
From 52W high
−60.7%
From 52W low
+12.1%
$7
$19
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ADTN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 6 Oct 2026
56 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
95
Value
77
Quality
74
Growth
70
Size
50
Revisions
35
Issuance
35
Momentum
26
Volatility
11

Accruals (95): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Volatility (11): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ADTN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ADTN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ADTNHigh $21Median $15Low $11

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says9 analysts
7 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $11Median $15High $21

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +90.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$18 → $11
5 Aug 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$20 → $15
23 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesBuy—
23 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesBuy$23 → $21
23 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
23 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$18 → $14
23 July 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$20
23 July 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
22 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$18 → $14
22 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
6 May 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
6 May 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$18
6 May 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$16 → $20
6 May 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
14 Apr 2026Evercore ISI GroupInitiatesOutperform—
27 Feb 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
19 Feb 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
25 Nov 2025NeedhamReiteratesBuy$12
5 Nov 2025RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
18 Sept 2025B. Riley SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ADTN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ADTN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 6 Oct 2026, ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. returned −17.1% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ADTN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ADTNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ADTN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−49.7%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
6
Fundamentals

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−14.7×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 81% of US stocks

Price / book
4.8×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.8×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.1%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
6.1%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Gross margin
37.0%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Operating margin
−3.5%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Net margin
−2.3%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−3.2%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.1%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.7%

Higher than 93% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $620.9M and an enterprise value of $1.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.1B. The latest quarter grew 6.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$16.8M, a −1.5% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $23.1M.

  • Shares outstanding: 81.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: −14.7×; forward P/E: 13.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 4.72%, paying out 900% of earnings.

  • ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. employs 3,201 people — $356K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 7 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ADTN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelCommunication Equipment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ADTNADTRAN Holdings, Inc.$620.9M
56
NTGRNETGEAR, Inc.$618.4M
56
GILTGilat Satellite Networks Ltd.$710.2M
38
TSATTelesat Corp.$723.7M
19
CLFDClearfield, Inc.$458.5M
57
FEIMFrequency Electronics, Inc.$954.7M
42
SILCSilicom Ltd.$351.2M
52

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ADTN news & analysis

Ciena vs. ADTRAN: Which Optical Networking Stock is the Better Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 22 Sept 2026negative

Zacks Investment Research compares Ciena and ADTRAN as optical networking stocks amid AI-driven networking opportunities. The piece highlights Ciena's surging backlog and optical demand, while contrasting that with ADTRAN's supply chain, margin and timing pressures.

Why it matters — ADTN watchers would care because the article positions Ciena more favorably while highlighting ADTRAN's supply, margin and timing challenges in the growing AI networking space.

Adtran showcases open optical networking for AI infrastructure at OIF's ECOC 2026 interop demo

Business Wire · 17 Sept 2026positive

Adtran announced its participation in OIF's live multi-vendor interoperability demo at ECOC 2026, taking place September 21-23 in Málaga, Spain. The showcase highlights interoperable optical transport, pluggable coherent transceivers, and network control technologies, with Adtran contributing 100Gbit/s, 400Gbit/s, and 800Gbit/s ZR+ pluggables and its FSP 3000 open line system.

Why it matters — The demo positions Adtran's open optical networking products within a major multi-vendor industry event, offering visibility into its technology for AI infrastructure applications.

BMC TV expands UK network for major sports broadcasts with Adtran and Fibre Technologies Ltd

Business Wire · 15 Sept 2026positive

Adtran announced that BMC TV has expanded its UK core network using Adtran technology to support live broadcasts of major events, including the FIFA World Cup and extensive racecourse coverage. The new infrastructure strengthens BMC TV's packet edge, access and aggregation layers for reliable, low-latency distribution of live feeds across multiple locations.

Why it matters — This demonstrates Adtran's networking technology being deployed in a significant UK broadcast infrastructure expansion supporting major sports events, highlighting real-world adoption of its products.

Why Is ADTRAN Holdings (ADTN) Down 14.7% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Sept 2026negative

ADTRAN Holdings reported earnings roughly 30 days ago, and its stock has declined 14.7% since that report. The article examines what may be next for the company's shares following the earnings release.

Why it matters — A 14.7% decline since the earnings report indicates notable market pressure on ADTRAN's stock that shareholders would want to understand.

Implied Volatility Surging for ADTRAN Stock Options

Zacks Investment Research · 25 Aug 2026neutral

The news item reports that implied volatility is surging for ADTRAN (ADTN) stock options, with investors urged to pay close attention to recent movements in the options market.

Why it matters — ADTN watchers would care because rising implied volatility points to heightened attention and potential uncertainty in the options market surrounding the stock.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ADTN stock

What is the ADTN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $11 to $21. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ADTN stock a buy right now?

Of the 9 analysts covering ADTRAN Holdings, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ADTN?

As at 6 Oct 2026, ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (95 of 100).

Will ADTN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +90.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ADTN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ADTN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $11 to $21 over the next 12 months.

How has ADTN stock performed over the past year?

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. returned -17.1% over the 12 months to 6 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. do?

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. is a networking and communications technology company that provides platforms, software, systems, and support services for broadband and optical infrastructure.

What is the latest news on ADTN?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 22 Sept 2026): "Ciena vs. ADTRAN: Which Optical Networking Stock is the Better Buy?". Zacks Investment Research compares Ciena and ADTRAN as optical networking stocks amid AI-driven networking opportunities. The piece highlights Ciena's surging backlog and optical demand, while contrasting that with ADTRAN's supply chain, margin and timing pressures.

Company

About ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. is a networking and communications technology company that provides platforms, software, systems, and support services for broadband and optical infrastructure. The company focuses on equipment and solutions that enable voice, data, video, and internet connectivity across access, aggregation, and transport networks. Its portfolio includes residential gateways, routers, switches, optical networking products, and carrier Ethernet technologies, along with cloud-based and managed services for network operation and monitoring. ADTRAN Holdings serves communications service providers, cable operators, utilities, municipalities, enterprises, and other organizations that rely on high-performance connectivity. Through its Network Solutions and Services & Support segments, ADTRAN Holdings plays a practical role in building and maintaining modern digital communications infrastructure for public and private networks.

CEO Mr. Thomas Richard Stanton · 3,201 employees · United States · https://www.adtran.com