AEOConsumer Cyclical · Apparel RetailThe 14 Wall Street analysts covering American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — -9.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 26 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (95): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Accruals (54): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (29): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AEO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −9.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2026 | Wolfe Research | Initiates | Peer Perform | — |
| 29 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $18 → $20 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $17 → $15 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $18 → $17 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Market Perform | $20 → $18 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $31 → $27 |
| 9 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Initiates | Market Perform | $18 |
| 9 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Initiates | Market Perform | — |
| 18 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 18 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $19 → $21 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | B of A Securities | Reinstates | Underperform | $16 |
| 6 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reinstates | Equal-Weight | $18 |
| 1 June 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 May 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 29 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 29 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
AEO appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 27 Oct 2026, American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. returned +18.0% against +13.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 60% of US stocks
Cheaper than 80% of US stocks
Cheaper than 48% of US stocks
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Higher than 46% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. has a market value of $3.0B and an enterprise value of $4.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $5.7B. The latest quarter grew 7.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $329.4M, a 5.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.96.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $343.5M, after $255.9M of capital spending.
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. spent $99.4M on share buybacks and $84.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 9.2×; forward P/E: 9.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.79%, paying out 26% of earnings.
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. employs 10,000 people — $575K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
American Eagle Outfitters closed at $19.30 in the latest trading session, up 2.6% from the prior day.
Why it matters — AEO watchers may note the stock’s latest session gain.
American Eagle Outfitters closed the recent trading day at $17.46, down 1.97% from the preceding trading day.
Why it matters — The closing price and daily decline provide AEO watchers with a snapshot of the stock’s recent trading performance.
Zacks Investment Research explains that its Style Scores help investors identify top-rated stocks based on investing style, and applies that framing to American Eagle Outfitters.
Why it matters — AEO watchers may find the item relevant as an overview of a stock-rating approach used to assess the company.
Zacks Investment Research notes that American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) has recently been among the stocks most watched by Zacks.com users and says it is worth exploring what lies ahead for the stock.
Why it matters — AEO watchers may find the item relevant as it highlights recent user attention and directs interest toward the stock’s outlook.
American Eagle Outfitters closed at $17.78, down 1.6% from its previous close. The headline says the stock dipped more than the broader market.
Why it matters — AEO watchers may note the reported daily decline and its comparison with the broader market.
The 14 Wall Street analysts covering American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $15 to $27. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 14 analysts covering American Eagle Outfitters, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 26 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 26 Oct 2026, American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies -9.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. 89 out of 100 as at 26 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AEO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $15 to $27 over the next 12 months.
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. returned +18.0% over the 12 months to 27 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
American Eagle Outfitters Inc. is a global specialty retailer focused on apparel, accessories, and personal care products for men and women.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 27 Oct 2026): "American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Surpasses Market Returns: Some Facts Worth Knowing". American Eagle Outfitters closed at $19.30 in the latest trading session, up 2.6% from the prior day.
American Eagle Outfitters Inc. is a global specialty retailer focused on apparel, accessories, and personal care products for men and women. The company operates through its core American Eagle and Aerie brands, with offerings that include denim, casual clothing, intimates, activewear, swimwear, and lifestyle accessories. It also supports complementary labels such as OFFLINE by Aerie, Todd Snyder, and Unsubscribed, broadening its reach across youth-oriented, premium, and everyday wardrobe categories. American Eagle Outfitters Inc. sells its products through company-operated stores, licensed locations, and digital channels, making it a significant omni-channel player in the retail market. Its business serves consumers in North America and selected international markets, with a strong emphasis on casual wear, comfort-driven products, and brand-led merchandising.
CEO Mr. Jay L. Schottenstein · 10,000 employees · United States · https://www.aeo-inc.com
