AEOAEOConsumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

AEO Stock Forecast: American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 12 Aug 2026
$16
−6.45% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +10.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 73 of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$2.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
73 / 100
Median analyst target
$18
Analysts covering
13
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−8.9%
1M
−3.4%
YTD
−37.3%
1Y
+33.0%
From 52W high
−41.3%
From 52W low
+37.0%
$12
$28
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AEO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Aug 2026
73 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
90
Value
76
Momentum
68
Issuance
67
Revisions
65
Quality
55
Volatility
41
Accruals
38
Size
32

Growth (90): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Accruals (38): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (32): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AEO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AEO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25$30Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AEOHigh $31Median $18Low $16

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says13 analysts
1 Buy11 Hold1 Sell
Low $16Median $18High $31

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyReinstatesEqual-Weight$18
1 June 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
29 May 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform
29 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight
29 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
29 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy
18 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold
6 May 2026BarclaysUpgradeEqual-Weight
26 Mar 2026NeedhamInitiatesHold
6 Mar 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight
6 Mar 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
6 Mar 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold
5 Mar 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsMarket Perform
26 Feb 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsMarket Perform
13 Jan 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsMarket Perform
8 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsBuy
6 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight
11 Dec 2025Goldman SachsInitiatesNeutral
3 Dec 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform
3 Dec 2025BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AEO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

AEO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.6%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.2×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 83% of US stocks

Price / book
1.7×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.3×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.7%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
9.7%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Gross margin
38.2%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.4%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Net margin
5.0%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
17.6%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.8%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.1%

Higher than 67% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

AEO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelApparel Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AEOAmerican Eagle Outfitters, Inc.$2.7B
73
BKEThe Buckle, Inc.$2.3B
69
BOOTBoot Barn Holdings, Inc.$4.9B
45
ANFAbercrombie & Fitch Co.$5.0B
61
CRICarter's, Inc.$1.4B
93
URBNUrban Outfitters, Inc.$6.6B
66
VSXYVictoria's Secret & Co.$7.5B
84

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AEO news & analysis

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026positive

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) closed the recent trading session at $17.97, a +1.41% increase from the prior day's close, outperforming the broader market.

Why it matters — The stock's gain relative to the broader market offers a snapshot of AEO's recent trading performance for investors tracking the company.

Are Investors Undervaluing American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a piece questioning whether investors are undervaluing American Eagle Outfitters (AEO). The article highlights the firm's focus on earnings estimates and revisions, along with value, growth, and momentum trends.

Why it matters — AEO watchers would care because the article explores whether the stock is currently undervalued, which could influence investor perception and market attention on the company.

Why American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Outpaced the Stock Market Today

Zacks Investment Research · 28 July 2026positive

American Eagle Outfitters shares rose 2.73% in the latest trading session to close at $18.26, outperforming the broader stock market.

Why it matters — The stock's gain outpacing the market could indicate positive investor sentiment or momentum for AEO.

American Eagle: Wall Street Has Missed Aerie's 25% Growth Story - Strong Buy

Seeking Alpha · 28 July 2026positive

Seeking Alpha highlights Aerie's strong growth, with comparable sales rising 25% year-over-year in Q1 2026 and contributing roughly 40% of AEO's consolidated quarterly revenue.

Why it matters — Aerie's accelerating sales growth and rising revenue share make it an increasingly important driver of AEO's overall performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AEO stock

What is the AEO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $16 to $31. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AEO stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering American Eagle Outfitters, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. 73 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AEO?

As at 12 Aug 2026, American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. ranks 73 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (90 of 100).

Will AEO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +10.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. 73 out of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AEO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AEO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $16 to $31 over the next 12 months.

How has AEO stock performed over the past year?

American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. returned +33.0% over the 12 months to 12 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. do?

American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. is a multi-brand specialty apparel retailer based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

What is the latest news on AEO?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 7 Aug 2026): "American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to Know". American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) closed the recent trading session at $17.97, a +1.41% increase from the prior day's close, outperforming the broader market.

Company

About American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.

American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. is a multi-brand specialty apparel retailer based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The company focuses on casual clothing, intimates, and accessories, serving primarily teen and young adult consumers in the United States and international markets. Its core American Eagle brand offers jeans, everyday apparel, accessories, and personal care products for both women and men, positioned around on-trend, affordable fashion. Through the Aerie and OFFLINE by Aerie brands, American Eagle Outfitters provides intimates, loungewear, activewear, and swimwear, emphasizing comfort and lifestyle-focused assortments. The company also operates Todd Snyder New York, a premium menswear label, and Unsubscribed, which offers fashion clothing and accessories with a more curated, elevated aesthetic. American Eagle Outfitters distributes its products through company-owned and licensed stores, concession formats, wholesale partnerships, and a significant digital presence across brand-specific e-commerce sites, making it a notable player in the apparel retail segment. Founded in 1977 and headquartered in Pittsburgh, it remains a recognized name in global specialty retail.

CEO Mr. Jay L. Schottenstein · 10,000 employees · United States · https://www.aeo-inc.com