ALSNConsumer Cyclical · Auto PartsThe 11 Wall Street analysts covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $137 — +24.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 59 of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (85): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (32): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALSN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $145 → $142 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $137 → $120 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Freedom Broker | Initiates | Buy | $144 |
| 17 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 17 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $126 → $130 |
| 14 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $135 → $125 |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $140 → $145 |
| 13 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 Mar 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 14 Jan 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ALSN appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 9 Oct 2026, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. returned +37.0% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Cheaper than 51% of US stocks
Cheaper than 22% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 92% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $9.1B and an enterprise value of $12.9B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.4B. The latest quarter grew 92.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $529.0M, a 12.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.29.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $737.0M.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. spent $139.0M on share buybacks and $94.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 17.5×; forward P/E: 9.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.06%, paying out 18% of earnings.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. employs 4,000 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research says Allison Transmission has a strong history of earnings surprises and currently has two key factors it associates with a likely beat in its next quarterly report.
Why it matters — The report highlights factors that may be relevant to ALSN watchers assessing the company ahead of its next earnings release.
Zacks Investment Research's headline identifies two auto, tires, and trucks stocks as opportunities, citing its Zacks Earnings ESP as a way to find stocks expected to beat quarterly earnings estimates. The excerpt does not name the stocks or provide further details.
Why it matters — The item concerns the auto and trucks sector, but the excerpt does not establish whether Allison Transmission is one of the two stocks or provide ALSN-specific information.
Zacks Investment Research compares Allison Transmission (ALSN) and BorgWarner (BWA) with their sector, asking whether these stocks are lagging so far this year. The excerpt provides no performance results.
Why it matters — The comparison may interest ALSN watchers tracking the company’s year-to-date performance relative to its sector, but the excerpt does not state how ALSN has performed.
Zacks Investment Research published an article encouraging investors to use the Zacks Earnings ESP to identify auto, tires, and trucks stocks poised to beat quarterly earnings estimates, naming two such stocks including Allison Transmission Holdings.
Why it matters — ALSN watchers may find relevance as the article highlights the company among stocks that could potentially exceed earnings expectations, making it a point of interest for those tracking its quarterly performance.
Allison Transmission Holdings announced it completed the partial redemption of $100 million aggregate principal amount of its 4.750% Senior Notes due 2027 on September 30, 2026, pursuant to its optional redemption right under the governing indenture. The notes were redeemed at 100.00% of principal plus accrued and unpaid interest to the redemption date.
Why it matters — This debt-redemption move is relevant to ALSN watchers as it reflects the company's capital management and reduction of outstanding debt obligations.
The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $137, with estimates ranging from $115 to $185. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 11 analysts covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. 59 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 10 Oct 2026, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. ranks 59 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (85 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +24.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. 59 out of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALSN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $115 to $185 over the next 12 months.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. returned +37.0% over the 12 months to 9 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. is a global manufacturer of propulsion solutions for commercial and defense vehicles.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 7 Oct 2026): "Will Allison Transmission (ALSN) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?". Zacks Investment Research says Allison Transmission has a strong history of earnings surprises and currently has two key factors it associates with a likely beat in its next quarterly report.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. is a global manufacturer of propulsion solutions for commercial and defense vehicles. The company designs and produces fully automatic transmissions, electrified propulsion systems, and related drivetrain technologies used in medium- and heavy-duty trucks, buses, motorhomes, off-highway equipment, and military vehicles. Allison Transmission also supports its installed base through an extensive aftermarket network that provides genuine parts, service, and technical support across multiple regions. Its products are widely used by original equipment manufacturers and fleet operators that rely on durable, high-performance transmission systems for demanding applications. Headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, Allison Transmission focuses on serving transportation, construction, energy, mining, and defense markets with specialized powertrain solutions.
CEO Mr. David S. Graziosi CPA · 4,000 employees · United States · https://www.allisontransmission.com
