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ALSNALSNConsumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

ALSN Stock Forecast: Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$118
+1.47% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $136 — +15.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 58 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$9.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
58 / 100
Median analyst target
$136
Analysts covering
10
Revenue$1.6B+92.4% y/y
Operating income$291.0M
Net income$181.0M
Free cash flow$281.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.6%
1M
−6.9%
YTD
+21.4%
1Y
+37.8%
From 52W high
−12.8%
From 52W low
+50.4%
$78
$135
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ALSN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Oct 2026
58 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
89
Momentum
76
Value
76
Quality
68
Revisions
59
Growth
52
Issuance
42
Accruals
32
Size
15

Volatility (89): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (32): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (15): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ALSN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALSN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140$160$180$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ALSNHigh $185Median $136Low $115

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says10 analysts
4 Buy5 Hold1 Sell
Low $115Median $136High $185

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +15.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$126 → $130
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$135 → $125
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$140 → $145
13 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
16 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
26 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
25 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
24 Feb 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
23 Jan 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
23 Jan 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
14 Jan 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
13 Jan 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
22 Dec 2025Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
19 Dec 2025CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
11 Dec 2025CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
8 Dec 2025Raymond JamesUpgradeStrong Buy—
14 Nov 2025Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight—
31 Oct 2025CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ALSN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ALSN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. returned +37.8% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ALSN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ALSNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ALSN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.6%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.4×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.2×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Price / book
4.9×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.3×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
92.4%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−7.2%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
32.9%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Operating margin
19.1%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Net margin
12.0%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
28.3%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.5%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.0%

Higher than 21% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $9.6B and an enterprise value of $13.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.4B. The latest quarter grew 92.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $529.0M, a 12.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.29.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $737.0M.

  • Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. spent $139.0M on share buybacks and $94.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 82.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 18.4×; forward P/E: 10.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.00%, paying out 18% of earnings.

  • Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. employs 4,000 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 2 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ALSN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.$9.6B
58
MODModine Manufacturing Co.$9.4B
38
APTVAptiv Plc$9.3B
66
AURAurora Innovation, Inc.$11.1B
20
ALVAutoliv, Inc.$8.6B
83
BWABorgWarner, Inc.$12.4B
97
MBLYMobileye Global, Inc.$6.3B
67

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ALSN news & analysis

Allison Completes Partial Redemption of 4.750% Senior Notes due 2027

PRNewsWire · 2 Oct 2026neutral

Allison Transmission Holdings announced it completed the partial redemption of $100 million aggregate principal amount of its 4.750% Senior Notes due 2027 on September 30, 2026, pursuant to its optional redemption right under the governing indenture. The notes were redeemed at 100.00% of principal plus accrued and unpaid interest to the redemption date.

Why it matters — This debt-redemption move is relevant to ALSN watchers as it reflects the company's capital management and reduction of outstanding debt obligations.

Benzinga's 'Stock Whisper' Index: Five Stocks Investors Secretly Monitor But Don't Talk About Yet

Benzinga · 26 Sept 2026neutral

Benzinga's Stock Whisper Index uses proprietary data and pattern recognition to highlight five stocks that are just under the surface and deserve investor attention, showcasing names that are not yet widely discussed.

Why it matters — ALSN watchers would care because Allison Transmission may be among the under-the-radar stocks featured by the Stock Whisper Index.

Allison Transmission (ALSN) Up 0.1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Sept 2026neutral

Allison Transmission reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 0.1% since that report. The article considers what might come next for the company's stock performance.

Why it matters — ALSN watchers would care because the piece assesses the stock's post-earnings trajectory following the company's latest quarterly report.

Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week August 16

Seeking Alpha · 14 Aug 2026neutral

The Seeking Alpha article provides a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, including companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates for the week of August 16.

Why it matters — ALSN watchers would care because this report may indicate whether Allison Transmission's dividend status or upcoming ex-dividend dates are mentioned among the tracked companies.

Touchstone Mid Cap Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Review

Seeking Alpha · 13 Aug 2026negative

In its Q2 2026 portfolio review, the Touchstone Mid Cap Fund reported that Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. was among the largest detractors from the fund's performance for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, alongside Domino's Pizza and Armstrong World Industries. The fund underperformed the Russell MidCap Index during the period.

Why it matters — This indicates that Allison Transmission's stock contributed negatively to the fund's results during the quarter, a signal of weak relative performance for ALSN shareholders and watchers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ALSN stock

What is the ALSN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $136, with estimates ranging from $115 to $185. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ALSN stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. 58 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ALSN?

As at 2 Oct 2026, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. ranks 58 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (89 of 100).

Will ALSN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +15.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. 58 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ALSN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALSN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $115 to $185 over the next 12 months.

How has ALSN stock performed over the past year?

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. returned +37.8% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. do?

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. is a global manufacturer of propulsion solutions for commercial and defense vehicles.

What is the latest news on ALSN?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 2 Oct 2026): "Allison Completes Partial Redemption of 4.750% Senior Notes due 2027". Allison Transmission Holdings announced it completed the partial redemption of $100 million aggregate principal amount of its 4.750% Senior Notes due 2027 on September 30, 2026, pursuant to its optional redemption right under the governing indenture. The notes were redeemed at 100.00% of principal plus accrued and unpaid interest to the redemption date.

Company

About Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. is a global manufacturer of propulsion solutions for commercial and defense vehicles. The company designs and produces fully automatic transmissions, electrified propulsion systems, and related drivetrain technologies used in medium- and heavy-duty trucks, buses, motorhomes, off-highway equipment, and military vehicles. Allison Transmission also supports its installed base through an extensive aftermarket network that provides genuine parts, service, and technical support across multiple regions. Its products are widely used by original equipment manufacturers and fleet operators that rely on durable, high-performance transmission systems for demanding applications. Headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, Allison Transmission focuses on serving transportation, construction, energy, mining, and defense markets with specialized powertrain solutions.

CEO Mr. David S. Graziosi CPA · 4,000 employees · United States · https://www.allisontransmission.com