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ALSNALSNConsumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

ALSN Stock Forecast: Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 23 Oct 2026
$106
−2.97% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $135 — +27.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 53 of 100 as at 23 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$9.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
53/ 100
Median analyst target
$135
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$1.6B+92.4% y/y
Operating income$291.0M
Net income$181.0M
Free cash flow$281.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.9%
1M
−7.2%
YTD
+9.4%
1Y
+29.1%
From 52W high
−21.5%
From 52W low
+35.5%
$78
$135
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ALSN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Oct 2026
53/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
80
Value
80
Momentum
69
Quality
68
Revisions
53
Growth
52
Issuance
42
Accruals
32
Size
16

Volatility (80): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (32): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ALSN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALSN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140$160$180$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ALSNHigh $185Median $135Low $115

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
6 Buy4 Hold1 Sell
Low $115Median $135High $185

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
12 Oct 2026CitigroupUpgradeBuy$135
8 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$145 → $142
8 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$137 → $120
2 Oct 2026Freedom BrokerInitiatesBuy—
2 Oct 2026Freedom BrokerInitiatesBuy$144
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$126 → $130
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$135 → $125
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$140 → $145
13 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
16 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
26 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
25 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
24 Feb 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
23 Jan 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
23 Jan 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

ALSN appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

ALSN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. returned +29.1% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ALSN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ALSNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ALSN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.1%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.9×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.0×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / book
4.4×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.8×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
92.4%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−7.2%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
32.9%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Operating margin
19.1%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Net margin
12.0%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
28.3%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.5%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.1%

Higher than 71% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $9.0B and an enterprise value of $12.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.4B. The latest quarter grew 92.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $529.0M, a 12.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.29.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $737.0M.

  • Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. spent $139.0M on share buybacks and $94.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 82.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 16.9×; forward P/E: 9.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.09%, paying out 18% of earnings.

  • Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. employs 4,000 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 23 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ALSN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.$9.0B53
APTVAptiv Plc$9.1B67
ALVAutoliv, Inc.$8.4B78
AURAurora Innovation, Inc.$9.4B20
MODModine Manufacturing Co.$7.0B46
BWABorgWarner, Inc.$11.3B96
LEALear Corp.$5.8B88

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ALSN news & analysis

Allison Unveils Go-Forward Brand Architecture Following Acquisition of Dana's Off-Highway Drive & Motion Systems Business

PRNewsWire · 23 Oct 2026neutral

Allison Transmission announced its go-forward brand architecture after acquiring Dana Incorporated’s Off-Highway Drive & Motion Systems business earlier this year. Effective Oct. 23, 2026, the combined company’s enterprise brand is Allison, with established product brands retained.

Why it matters — The announcement clarifies the company’s branding following the acquisition for ALSN watchers.

Allison Transmission Is Too Cheap To Drive Past

Seeking Alpha · 20 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha says Allison Transmission’s $2.7 billion Off-Highway acquisition and synergy capture are central to its outlook. Q2 revenue nearly doubled to $1.57 billion, with adjusted net income and EBITDA also improving; management expects 2026 revenue of $5.8–$6 billion and EBITDA of $1.465–$1.575 billion.

Why it matters — ALSN watchers may focus on how the acquired Dana Off-Highway business and related synergies contribute to results and management’s 2026 financial expectations.

Allison Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call

PRNewsWire · 19 Oct 2026neutral

Allison Transmission Holdings announced that it will hold its third quarter 2026 financial results conference call at 5:00 p.m. EST on Monday, November 2, 2026.

Why it matters — ALSN watchers can note when the company plans to discuss its third-quarter financial results.

Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Allison Transmission Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that recent movements in the options market have drawn attention to Allison Transmission (ALSN). The excerpt does not specify what those movements were or indicate whether they predict a stock-price spike.

Why it matters — ALSN watchers may note the options-market activity, though the excerpt provides no details to assess its implications.

Will Allison Transmission (ALSN) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research says Allison Transmission has a strong history of earnings surprises and currently has two key factors it associates with a likely beat in its next quarterly report.

Why it matters — The report highlights factors that may be relevant to ALSN watchers assessing the company ahead of its next earnings release.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ALSN stock

What is the ALSN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $135, with estimates ranging from $115 to $185. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ALSN stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., 6 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. 53 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ALSN?

As at 23 Oct 2026, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. ranks 53 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (80 of 100).

Will ALSN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +27.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. 53 out of 100 as at 23 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ALSN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALSN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $115 to $185 over the next 12 months.

How has ALSN stock performed over the past year?

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. returned +29.1% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. do?

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. is a global manufacturer of propulsion solutions for commercial and defense vehicles.

What is the latest news on ALSN?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 23 Oct 2026): "Allison Unveils Go-Forward Brand Architecture Following Acquisition of Dana's Off-Highway Drive & Motion Systems Business". Allison Transmission announced its go-forward brand architecture after acquiring Dana Incorporated’s Off-Highway Drive & Motion Systems business earlier this year. Effective Oct. 23, 2026, the combined company’s enterprise brand is Allison, with established product brands retained.

Company

About Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. is a global manufacturer of propulsion solutions for commercial and defense vehicles. The company designs and produces fully automatic transmissions, electrified propulsion systems, and related drivetrain technologies used in medium- and heavy-duty trucks, buses, motorhomes, off-highway equipment, and military vehicles. Allison Transmission also supports its installed base through an extensive aftermarket network that provides genuine parts, service, and technical support across multiple regions. Its products are widely used by original equipment manufacturers and fleet operators that rely on durable, high-performance transmission systems for demanding applications. Headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, Allison Transmission focuses on serving transportation, construction, energy, mining, and defense markets with specialized powertrain solutions.

CEO Mr. David S. Graziosi CPA · 4,000 employees · United States · https://www.allisontransmission.com