ALSNConsumer Cyclical · Auto PartsThe 10 Wall Street analysts covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $136 — +4.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 8 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (80): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (32): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (15): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALSN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +4.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $126 → $130 |
| 14 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $135 → $125 |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $140 → $145 |
| 13 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 Mar 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 14 Jan 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | — |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 11 Dec 2025 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Strong Buy | — |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Equal-Weight | — |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ALSN appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Sept 2026, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. returned +46.6% against +19.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 48% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 92% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 20% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $10.8B and an enterprise value of $14.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.4B. The latest quarter grew 92.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $529.0M, a 12.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.29.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $737.0M.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. spent $139.0M on share buybacks and $94.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 20.7×; forward P/E: 11.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.88%, paying out 18% of earnings.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. employs 4,000 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Allison Transmission reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 0.1% since that report. The article considers what might come next for the company's stock performance.
Why it matters — ALSN watchers would care because the piece assesses the stock's post-earnings trajectory following the company's latest quarterly report.
The Seeking Alpha article provides a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, including companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates for the week of August 16.
Why it matters — ALSN watchers would care because this report may indicate whether Allison Transmission's dividend status or upcoming ex-dividend dates are mentioned among the tracked companies.
In its Q2 2026 portfolio review, the Touchstone Mid Cap Fund reported that Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. was among the largest detractors from the fund's performance for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, alongside Domino's Pizza and Armstrong World Industries. The fund underperformed the Russell MidCap Index during the period.
Why it matters — This indicates that Allison Transmission's stock contributed negatively to the fund's results during the quarter, a signal of weak relative performance for ALSN shareholders and watchers.
Allison Transmission Holdings announced that its Board of Directors declared a $0.29 per share cash dividend for the third quarter of 2026, payable on August 31, 2026 to stockholders of record as of August 21, 2026.
Why it matters — The declaration of a quarterly dividend signals the company's continued commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Allison Transmission reported 92.4% year-over-year topline growth in Q2 FY26, driven by its off-highway business acquisition. However, lower-margin off-highway revenue and elevated material costs are expected to pressure near-term profitability, and the company maintains a Hold rating citing weak earnings conversion and uncertainty in the legacy North America on-highway segment.
Why it matters — ALSN watchers would care because the strong topline growth is offset by margin pressure and valuation concerns, leaving the company's near-term outlook mixed.
The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $136, with estimates ranging from $105 to $185. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 10 analysts covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Sept 2026, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (80 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +4.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. 52 out of 100 as at 8 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALSN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $105 to $185 over the next 12 months.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. returned +46.6% over the 12 months to 8 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. is a global manufacturer of propulsion solutions for commercial and defense vehicles.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 2 Sept 2026): "Allison Transmission (ALSN) Up 0.1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?". Allison Transmission reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 0.1% since that report. The article considers what might come next for the company's stock performance.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. is a global manufacturer of propulsion solutions for commercial and defense vehicles. The company designs and produces fully automatic transmissions, electrified propulsion systems, and related drivetrain technologies used in medium- and heavy-duty trucks, buses, motorhomes, off-highway equipment, and military vehicles. Allison Transmission also supports its installed base through an extensive aftermarket network that provides genuine parts, service, and technical support across multiple regions. Its products are widely used by original equipment manufacturers and fleet operators that rely on durable, high-performance transmission systems for demanding applications. Headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, Allison Transmission focuses on serving transportation, construction, energy, mining, and defense markets with specialized powertrain solutions.
CEO Mr. David S. Graziosi CPA · 4,000 employees · United States · https://www.allisontransmission.com
