AURConsumer Cyclical · Auto PartsThe 13 Wall Street analysts covering Aurora Innovation, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $13 — +159.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 21 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Aurora Innovation, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (75): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Value (5): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AUR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +159.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $15 → $16 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | $12 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Amerx | Reiterates | Hold | — |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Amerx | Reiterates | Hold | — |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $15 → $17 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $6.00 → $7.00 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy | $13 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $14 → $18 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | $12 |
| 5 June 2026 | Craig-Hallum | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 5 June 2026 | Craig-Hallum | Initiates | Buy | $18 |
| 29 May 2026 | Northland Capital Markets | Initiates | Outperform | $11 |
| 29 May 2026 | Northland Capital Markets | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Amerx | Initiates | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
AUR appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Aurora Innovation, Inc. returned −5.1% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 94% of US stocks
Cheaper than 1% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 92% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US stocks
Higher than 2% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US stocks
Higher than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 15% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. has a market value of $10.0B and an enterprise value of $8.9B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.0M. The latest quarter grew 100.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$900.0M, a −18000.0% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$751.0M.
Trailing P/E: −11.0×; forward P/E: −10.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. employs 1,900 people — $3K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Aurora Innovation, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks says Aurora Innovation (AUR) lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. The item highlights expectations for the report.
Why it matters — AUR watchers may want to note the article’s caution about the company’s upcoming earnings report.
The US Transportation Department approved a five-year exemption for Aurora and other self-driving trucking companies from rules requiring drivers to place warning devices around a stopped truck.
Why it matters — The exemption changes a safety-related requirement applicable to Aurora’s self-driving trucking operations.
Aurora Innovation announced that it will release its third-quarter 2026 results after market close on October 28, 2026, and host a business review conference call at 5:00 p.m. Eastern that day. The call will be webcast on its investor relations website, with a replay available for 30 days.
Why it matters — AUR watchers can note when the company will report quarterly results and how to access the accompanying business review call.
Aurora is approaching a commercial inflection point, with operating-domain and manufacturing-capacity expansion supporting progress. The article says scaling remains difficult, citing remote and roadside assistance needs, unresolved safety questions, and potential cash-burn pressure if operational problems arise, despite a target of positive free cash flow exiting 2028.
Why it matters — AUR watchers will be assessing whether Aurora can scale operations safely and manage cash use as it moves toward commercialization.
Aurora Innovation presented at Evercore's 9th Annual ADAS, AV & AI Forum, with a transcript of the presentation published by Seeking Alpha. The excerpt provides the headline but no details on the content of the presentation.
Why it matters — AUR watchers would care because presentations at industry conferences, such as Evercore's ADAS, AV & AI Forum, offer a platform for the company to communicate its autonomous vehicle strategy to investors and analysts.
The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Aurora Innovation, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $13, with estimates ranging from $3.59 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 13 analysts covering Aurora Innovation, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Aurora Innovation, Inc. 21 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Oct 2026, Aurora Innovation, Inc. ranks 21 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (75 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +159.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Aurora Innovation, Inc. 21 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Aurora Innovation, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AUR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3.59 to $18 over the next 12 months.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. returned -5.1% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Aurora Innovation Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Aurora Innovation, a technology company focused on self-driving systems for transportation.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 21 Oct 2026): "Analysts Estimate Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for". Zacks says Aurora Innovation (AUR) lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. The item highlights expectations for the report.
Aurora Innovation Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Aurora Innovation, a technology company focused on self-driving systems for transportation. Aurora develops the Aurora Driver platform, which combines hardware, software, and data services to support autonomous operation across vehicle types and applications. Its offerings are centered on commercial mobility use cases, including autonomous trucking and other transportation solutions that rely on integrated sensing, computing, and control systems. The company also provides tools and services designed to help vehicles adapt to changing road conditions and operating environments. Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and founded in 2017, Aurora plays a specialized role in the autonomous vehicle market by supplying the technology stack that underpins driverless transportation systems.
CEO Mr. Christopher Urmson Ph.D. · 1,900 employees · United States · https://aurora.tech
