TICKERNERD
Menu
AURAURConsumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

AUR Stock Forecast: Aurora Innovation, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Sept 2026
$6.51
+2.68% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Aurora Innovation, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $12 — +84.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 20 of 100 as at 7 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$13.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
20 / 100
Median analyst target
$12
Analysts covering
13
Revenue$2.0M+100.0% y/y
Operating income−$266.0M
Net income−$270.0M
Free cash flow−$256.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+15.6%
1M
−7.8%
YTD
+69.5%
1Y
+13.0%
From 52W high
−22.5%
From 52W low
+72.7%
$3.77
$8.40
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AUR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Aurora Innovation, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 7 Sept 2026
20 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
75
Growth
63
Issuance
53
Momentum
47
Revisions
44
Size
14
Volatility
12
Quality
9
Value
6

Accruals (75): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Value (6): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AUR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AUR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5.00$10.00$15.00$20.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AURHigh $18Median $12Low $4

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says13 analysts
8 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $4Median $12High $18

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +84.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
23 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight$12
5 June 2026Craig-HallumInitiatesBuy—
5 June 2026Craig-HallumInitiatesBuy$18
29 May 2026Northland Capital MarketsInitiatesOutperform—
29 May 2026Northland Capital MarketsInitiatesOutperform$11
11 May 2026AmerxInitiatesHold—
7 May 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
7 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
17 Apr 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
13 Feb 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
12 Feb 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
26 Nov 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
30 Oct 2025TD CowenMaintainsHold—
29 Oct 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
12 May 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
9 May 2025NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
2 May 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
15 Apr 2025NeedhamInitiatesBuy—
10 Apr 2025Goldman SachsUpgradeNeutral—
27 Mar 2025OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AUR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AUR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Sept 2026, Aurora Innovation, Inc. returned +13.0% against +19.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AUR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AURS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AUR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−14.8×

Cheaper than 94% of US stocks

Price / sales
2609.4×

Cheaper than 1% of US stocks

Price / book
6.7×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−12.7×

Cheaper than 86% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
100.0%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
100.0%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Gross margin
−250.0%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Operating margin
−13300.0%

Higher than 2% of US stocks

Net margin
−466.7%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−45.6%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Return on assets
−27.7%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Aurora Innovation, Inc. has a market value of $13.0B and an enterprise value of $11.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.0M. The latest quarter grew 100.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$900.0M, a −18000.0% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$751.0M.

  • Shares outstanding: 2.0B.

  • Trailing P/E: −14.8×; forward P/E: −14.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Aurora Innovation, Inc. employs 1,900 people — $3K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 9 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AUR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AURAurora Innovation, Inc.$13.0B
20
BWABorgWarner, Inc.$13.9B
98
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.$11.0B
52
MODModine Manufacturing Co.$10.2B
32
APTVAptiv Plc$10.2B
68
ALVAutoliv, Inc.$9.6B
82
GPCGenuine Parts Co.$19.2B
60

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Aurora Innovation, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AUR news & analysis

Stock Picks From Seeking Alpha's August 2026 New Analysts

Seeking Alpha · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha welcomed 25 new analysts in August and published their stock picks and investment strategies, covering ratings from Strong Sell to Strong Buy. Bullish theses highlighted include CTO Realty, Allogene Therapeutics, NanoXplore, Modine, and 3i Group.

Why it matters — Aurora Innovation is not mentioned in the article, so this listing of new analysts' picks and strategies offers no direct insight for AUR watchers.

Aurora to Host Analyst & Investor Day on September 23, 2026

Business Wire · 2 Sept 2026neutral

Aurora Innovation announced it will host an Analyst & Investor Day on September 23, 2026, in Dallas. The event, featuring keynote presentations and panels from 8:45 a.m. to 11:00 a.m. Central time, will focus on how the company is scaling amid an inflection point for the autonomous trucking industry. In-person attendance is by invitation only, and the event will be webcast.

Why it matters — AUR watchers would care because the Analyst & Investor Day offers a scheduled opportunity for management to present its scaling strategy and outlook to analysts and investors at a pivotal time for autonomous trucking.

Aurora Innovation: Built To Win With Less Than 1% Of The Market

Seeking Alpha · 1 Sept 2026positive

The article describes Aurora Innovation's competitive position in autonomous long-haul trucking, citing its ~440,000 driverless miles, factory integration with Volvo and International, and no collisions attributed to its self-driving system. It notes that AUR's closest peers still trail it and analyzes that the company would need about 0.6% of the US combination-truck fleet by 2030 to achieve a 20% annualized return.

Why it matters — AUR watchers would care because the piece highlights the company's perceived competitive lead and a low market-share threshold needed to achieve strong returns.

3 Overlooked Autonomous Vehicle Stocks Investors Should Jump On

The Motley Fool · 26 Aug 2026positive

The Motley Fool highlights three overlooked autonomous vehicle stocks, noting that long-haul trucking could lead the way in the transformation of autonomous vehicles. The article also mentions Mobileye's significant market share dominance in the advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) segment.

Why it matters — AUR watchers would care because the article identifies long-haul trucking as a leading area of autonomous-vehicle transformation, a sector in which Aurora is active.

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Discusses AI Advancements, Commoditization Concerns, and Defensibility in Autonomous Trucking Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 20 Aug 2026neutral

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) discussed AI advancements, commoditization concerns, and defensibility during an autonomous trucking transcript. The discussion covered competitive positioning and technological progress in its autonomous trucking business.

Why it matters — AUR watchers would care because the company's views on AI progress, commoditization risks, and competitive moats bear directly on its long-term standing in autonomous trucking.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AUR stock

What is the AUR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Aurora Innovation, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $12, with estimates ranging from $3.59 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AUR stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Aurora Innovation, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Aurora Innovation, Inc. 20 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 7 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AUR?

As at 7 Sept 2026, Aurora Innovation, Inc. ranks 20 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (75 of 100).

Will AUR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +84.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Aurora Innovation, Inc. 20 out of 100 as at 7 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AUR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Aurora Innovation, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AUR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3.59 to $18 over the next 12 months.

How has AUR stock performed over the past year?

Aurora Innovation, Inc. returned +13.0% over the 12 months to 8 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Aurora Innovation, Inc. do?

Aurora Innovation Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Aurora Innovation, a technology company focused on self-driving systems for transportation.

What is the latest news on AUR?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 8 Sept 2026): "Stock Picks From Seeking Alpha's August 2026 New Analysts". Seeking Alpha welcomed 25 new analysts in August and published their stock picks and investment strategies, covering ratings from Strong Sell to Strong Buy. Bullish theses highlighted include CTO Realty, Allogene Therapeutics, NanoXplore, Modine, and 3i Group.

Company

About Aurora Innovation, Inc.

Aurora Innovation Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Aurora Innovation, a technology company focused on self-driving systems for transportation. Aurora develops the Aurora Driver platform, which combines hardware, software, and data services to support autonomous operation across vehicle types and applications. Its offerings are centered on commercial mobility use cases, including autonomous trucking and other transportation solutions that rely on integrated sensing, computing, and control systems. The company also provides tools and services designed to help vehicles adapt to changing road conditions and operating environments. Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and founded in 2017, Aurora plays a specialized role in the autonomous vehicle market by supplying the technology stack that underpins driverless transportation systems.

CEO Mr. Christopher Urmson Ph.D. · 1,900 employees · United States · https://aurora.tech