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AUR Stock Forecast: Aurora Innovation, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$5.68
+2.81% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Aurora Innovation, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $13 — +120.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 20 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$11.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
20 / 100
Median analyst target
$13
Analysts covering
13
Revenue$2.0M+100.0% y/y
Operating income−$266.0M
Net income−$270.0M
Free cash flow−$256.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.0%
1M
−3.0%
YTD
+47.8%
1Y
+6.3%
From 52W high
−32.4%
From 52W low
+50.5%
$3.77
$8.40
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AUR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Aurora Innovation, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Oct 2026
20 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
74
Growth
63
Issuance
54
Revisions
47
Momentum
46
Size
14
Volatility
10
Quality
9
Value
6

Accruals (74): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Value (6): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AUR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AUR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5.00$10.00$15.00$20.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AURHigh $18Median $13Low $4

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says13 analysts
8 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $4Median $13High $18

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +120.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
25 Sept 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight$12
24 Sept 2026AmerxReiteratesHold—
24 Sept 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$15 → $17
24 Sept 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$6.00 → $7.00
24 Sept 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$13
11 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$14 → $18
11 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
23 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight—
23 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight$12
5 June 2026Craig-HallumInitiatesBuy$18
5 June 2026Craig-HallumInitiatesBuy—
29 May 2026Northland Capital MarketsInitiatesOutperform$11
29 May 2026Northland Capital MarketsInitiatesOutperform—
11 May 2026AmerxInitiatesHold—
7 May 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
7 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
17 Apr 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
13 Feb 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
12 Feb 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
26 Nov 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AUR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AUR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Aurora Innovation, Inc. returned +6.3% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AUR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AURS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AUR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−12.6×

Cheaper than 94% of US stocks

Price / sales
2220.6×

Cheaper than 1% of US stocks

Price / book
5.7×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−10.6×

Cheaper than 85% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
100.0%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
100.0%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Gross margin
−250.0%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Operating margin
−13300.0%

Higher than 2% of US stocks

Net margin
−466.7%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−45.6%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Return on assets
−27.7%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Aurora Innovation, Inc. has a market value of $11.1B and an enterprise value of $10.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.0M. The latest quarter grew 100.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$900.0M, a −18000.0% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$751.0M.

  • Shares outstanding: 2.0B.

  • Trailing P/E: −12.6×; forward P/E: −12.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Aurora Innovation, Inc. employs 1,900 people — $3K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AUR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AURAurora Innovation, Inc.$11.1B
20
BWABorgWarner, Inc.$12.4B
97
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.$9.9B
58
MODModine Manufacturing Co.$9.4B
38
APTVAptiv Plc$9.3B
66
ALVAutoliv, Inc.$8.6B
83
GPCGenuine Parts Co.$17.7B
60

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Aurora Innovation, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AUR news & analysis

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Presents at Evercore's 9th Annual ADAS, AV & AI Forum Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 29 Sept 2026neutral

Aurora Innovation presented at Evercore's 9th Annual ADAS, AV & AI Forum, with a transcript of the presentation published by Seeking Alpha. The excerpt provides the headline but no details on the content of the presentation.

Why it matters — AUR watchers would care because presentations at industry conferences, such as Evercore's ADAS, AV & AI Forum, offer a platform for the company to communicate its autonomous vehicle strategy to investors and analysts.

Aurora Innovation Targets $5B Revenue as Driverless Truck Fleet Scales

MarketBeat · 29 Sept 2026positive

Aurora Innovation is focused on scaling its autonomous trucking business after CFO David Maday described reaching a commercial inflection point. Speaking at an Evercore ISI event, Maday said the company is operating driverless trucks on public roads in daily operations with no driver or safety operator behind the wheel.

Why it matters — This indicates Aurora's autonomous trucking technology has progressed to real-world commercial operations, a key milestone for investors tracking the company's path to scaling its driverless fleet.

Aurora CFO says 30,000 driverless trucks by 2030 isn't as far-fetched as it sounds

TechCrunch · 28 Sept 2026positive

Aurora told investors it expects to have more than 30,000 self-driving trucks on the road generating $5 billion in annual revenue by the end of 2030, despite projecting just 200 driverless trucks and an $80 million revenue run rate by the end of 2026. The company's chief financial officer defended the target as achievable.

Why it matters — AUR watchers would care because the ambitious 2030 growth plan signals the company's long-term revenue potential and commercial scaling intent, even as near-term figures remain modest.

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Analyst/Investor Day Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 24 Sept 2026neutral

Aurora Innovation, Inc. published a transcript of an Analyst/Investor Day presentation, as reported by Seeking Alpha. The transcript details the company's communications with analysts and investors during the event.

Why it matters — An AUR watcher would care because the transcript offers direct insight into the company's stated plans and outlook as presented to investors.

Aurora Innovation Targets 30,000 Driverless Trucks, $5B Revenue by 2030

MarketBeat · 24 Sept 2026positive

At its 2026 Analyst and Investor Day, Aurora Innovation outlined plans to expand its driverless trucking operations, scale hardware production, and pursue an asset-light Driver-as-a-Service model, with a goal of supporting more than 30,000 trucks by 2030.

Why it matters — AUR watchers would care because the company's announced strategy and ambitious 2030 growth targets indicate the direction and scale of its driverless trucking ambitions.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AUR stock

What is the AUR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Aurora Innovation, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $13, with estimates ranging from $3.59 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AUR stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Aurora Innovation, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Aurora Innovation, Inc. 20 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AUR?

As at 2 Oct 2026, Aurora Innovation, Inc. ranks 20 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (74 of 100).

Will AUR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +120.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Aurora Innovation, Inc. 20 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AUR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Aurora Innovation, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AUR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3.59 to $18 over the next 12 months.

How has AUR stock performed over the past year?

Aurora Innovation, Inc. returned +6.3% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Aurora Innovation, Inc. do?

Aurora Innovation Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Aurora Innovation, a technology company focused on self-driving systems for transportation.

What is the latest news on AUR?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 29 Sept 2026): "Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Presents at Evercore's 9th Annual ADAS, AV & AI Forum Transcript". Aurora Innovation presented at Evercore's 9th Annual ADAS, AV & AI Forum, with a transcript of the presentation published by Seeking Alpha. The excerpt provides the headline but no details on the content of the presentation.

Company

About Aurora Innovation, Inc.

Aurora Innovation Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Aurora Innovation, a technology company focused on self-driving systems for transportation. Aurora develops the Aurora Driver platform, which combines hardware, software, and data services to support autonomous operation across vehicle types and applications. Its offerings are centered on commercial mobility use cases, including autonomous trucking and other transportation solutions that rely on integrated sensing, computing, and control systems. The company also provides tools and services designed to help vehicles adapt to changing road conditions and operating environments. Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and founded in 2017, Aurora plays a specialized role in the autonomous vehicle market by supplying the technology stack that underpins driverless transportation systems.

CEO Mr. Christopher Urmson Ph.D. · 1,900 employees · United States · https://aurora.tech