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AUR Stock Forecast: Aurora Innovation, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$6.99
+2.19% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Aurora Innovation, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $12 — +71.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 19 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$13.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
19 / 100
Median analyst target
$12
Analysts covering
13
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.0%
1M
+14.0%
YTD
+82.0%
1Y
+6.6%
From 52W high
−16.8%
From 52W low
+85.4%
$3.77
$8.40
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AUR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Aurora Innovation, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
19 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
75
Growth
64
Issuance
53
Momentum
45
Revisions
41
Volatility
14
Size
13
Quality
10
Value
8

Accruals (75): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Value (8): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AUR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AUR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5.00$10.00$15.00$20.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AURHigh $18Median $12Low $4

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says13 analysts
8 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $4Median $12High $18

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +71.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
23 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight$12
5 June 2026Craig-HallumInitiatesBuy—
5 June 2026Craig-HallumInitiatesBuy$18
29 May 2026Northland Capital MarketsInitiatesOutperform—
29 May 2026Northland Capital MarketsInitiatesOutperform$11
11 May 2026AmerxInitiatesHold—
7 May 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
7 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
17 Apr 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
13 Feb 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
12 Feb 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
26 Nov 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
30 Oct 2025TD CowenMaintainsHold—
29 Oct 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
12 May 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
9 May 2025NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
2 May 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
15 Apr 2025NeedhamInitiatesBuy—
10 Apr 2025Goldman SachsUpgradeNeutral—
27 Mar 2025OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AUR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

AUR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−15.9×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

Price / sales
2741.8×

Cheaper than 1% of US stocks

Price / book
7.2×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−13.7×

Cheaper than 86% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
100.0%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
—
Gross margin
−500.0%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Operating margin
−13300.0%

Higher than 2% of US stocks

Net margin
−466.7%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−45.6%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Return on assets
−27.7%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

AUR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AURAurora Innovation, Inc.$13.7B
19
BWABorgWarner, Inc.$14.1B
97
MODModine Manufacturing Co.$11.0B
41
APTVAptiv Plc$10.6B
49
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.$10.5B
51
GPCGenuine Parts Co.$18.8B
63
ALVAutoliv, Inc.$9.4B
80

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Aurora Innovation, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AUR news & analysis

Aurora to Host a Retail Investor Town Hall on August 20, 2026

Business Wire · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Aurora Innovation announced it will host a virtual Retail Investor Town Hall on August 20, 2026, from 12:00-12:30 p.m. Eastern, featuring Co-founder and CEO Chris Urmson and CFO David Maday. Investors can submit and upvote questions for management before the livestream until that date.

Why it matters — Aurora watchers get a direct opportunity to hear from and pose questions to the company's top executives ahead of a livestreamed investor engagement event.

Stock Picks From Seeking Alpha's July 2026 New Analysts

Seeking Alpha · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha welcomed 33 new analysts in July 2026 and highlighted their top investment picks, including SELLAS Life Sciences, Chevron, B2Gold, Amazon, and QXO. The analysts emphasize asymmetrical opportunities, event-driven catalysts, balance sheet strength, market structure, and sector-specific growth or risk factors.

Why it matters — The article does not mention Aurora Innovation, so it provides no direct news about the company but signals the broad analyst coverage landscape AUR watchers operate within.

Arrow McLaren Adds Autonomous Trucking Pioneer Aurora as Official Partner

Business Wire · 4 Aug 2026positive

Arrow McLaren IndyCar Team announced a multi-year partnership with Aurora Innovation, welcoming the self-driving technology company as an Official Partner. Aurora's self-driving system, the Aurora Driver, is designed to enable Class 8 trucks to drive themselves.

Why it matters — The multi-year partnership raises Aurora's visibility as a commercial partner in a high-profile racing organization, pairing its self-driving trucking technology with Arrow McLaren's brand.

Aurora Innovation: At The Cusp Of Commercialization, But Execution Remains Key (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 1 Aug 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article notes that Aurora Innovation is progressing toward commercial scaling and targeting an $80M revenue run-rate by year-end, enabled by next-generation hardware and maturing customer relationships, while also highlighting risks of increased cash burn, execution challenges, and long-term industry uncertainty. The article includes a rating upgrade.

Why it matters — AUR watchers would care because the article signals that the company is approaching a pivotal commercialization phase with tangible revenue targets, while execution risk and cash burn remain key concerns for the stock's trajectory.

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Reports Q2 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026negative

Aurora Innovation reported a Q2 loss of $0.14 per share, wider than both the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $0.12 loss and the $0.11 loss per share from a year ago, while revenue topped estimates.

Why it matters — The larger-than-expected quarterly loss signals that Aurora's path to profitability remains challenging, a key concern for investors tracking the company's financial trajectory.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AUR stock

What is the AUR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Aurora Innovation, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $12, with estimates ranging from $3.59 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AUR stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Aurora Innovation, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Aurora Innovation, Inc. 19 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AUR?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Aurora Innovation, Inc. ranks 19 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (75 of 100).

Will AUR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +71.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Aurora Innovation, Inc. 19 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AUR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Aurora Innovation, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AUR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3.59 to $18 over the next 12 months.

How has AUR stock performed over the past year?

Aurora Innovation, Inc. returned +6.6% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Aurora Innovation, Inc. do?

Aurora Innovation, Inc. is a self-driving technology company focused on developing the Aurora Driver, a platform that combines hardware, software, and data services for autonomous vehicle applications.

What is the latest news on AUR?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 6 Aug 2026): "Aurora to Host a Retail Investor Town Hall on August 20, 2026". Aurora Innovation announced it will host a virtual Retail Investor Town Hall on August 20, 2026, from 12:00-12:30 p.m. Eastern, featuring Co-founder and CEO Chris Urmson and CFO David Maday. Investors can submit and upvote questions for management before the livestream until that date.

Company

About Aurora Innovation, Inc.

Aurora Innovation, Inc. is a self-driving technology company focused on developing the Aurora Driver, a platform that combines hardware, software, and data services for autonomous vehicle applications. Aurora Innovation, Inc. serves the freight and passenger transportation markets with driverless systems designed to support trucking and ride-hailing use cases. Its products are built to integrate across multiple vehicle types, making the company a notable participant in commercial autonomy and autonomous mobility infrastructure. Based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and founded in 2017, Aurora Innovation, Inc. operates at the intersection of transportation, robotics, and advanced software, with a business centered on self-driving capabilities for real-world commercial deployment.

CEO Mr. Christopher Urmson Ph.D. · 1,900 employees · United States · https://aurora.tech