AMBPConsumer Cyclical · Packaging & ContainersThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering Ardagh Metal Packaging SA hold a median 12-month price target of $5 — +6.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 86 of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ardagh Metal Packaging SA on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (91): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Volatility (41): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (31): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AMBP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +6.4% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $4.75 → $5.00 |
| 15 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $4.00 → $5.00 |
| 15 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 Mar 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 12 Jan 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Jan 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 24 Oct 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 Oct 2025 | Raymond James | Initiates | Market Perform | — |
| 15 Oct 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Oct 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 July 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 July 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 18 July 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 9 July 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 3 July 2025 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 June 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AMBP appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, Ardagh Metal Packaging SA returned +35.9% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 7% of US stocks
Cheaper than 83% of US stocks
Cheaper than 96% of US stocks
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA has a market value of $2.9B and an enterprise value of $7.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.0B. The latest quarter grew 17.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $41.0M, a 0.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.06.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $297.0M, after $187.0M of capital spending.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA spent $250.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 96.0×; forward P/E: 15.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 8.35%, paying out 800% of earnings.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA employs 6,500 people — $922K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ardagh Metal Packaging SA — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects. Zacks suggests the stock might move higher on this improved outlook.
Why it matters — AMBP watchers would care because the upgrade signals improved analyst sentiment toward the company's earnings potential.
Forbes published an article titled "5 Dividend Stocks Wall Street Hates Paying Up To 12.9%", which highlights dividend-paying stocks that Wall Street analysts view unfavorably, with yields reaching as high as 12.9%. The article does not specifically reference Ardagh Metal Packaging in the provided text.
Why it matters — AMBP watchers would care because a Forbes feature on high-yield dividend stocks that Wall Street dislikes could place attention on dividend-paying issuers like AMBP, though no specific mention appears in the excerpt.
Ardagh Metal Packaging reported Q2 revenue of $1.71 billion, up 17.7%, with adjusted EBITDA of $240 million and European revenue growth of 13%. The company increased its EBITDA outlook, though contract resets, weaker Brazilian shipments, and residual metal-supply issues weighed on performance.
Why it matters — The EBITDA outlook increase and revenue growth signal improving financial performance, while headwinds in the Americas and metal-supply issues remain key areas for AMBP watchers to monitor.
A Zacks Investment Research report noted that Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) shares have started gaining and may continue rising, based on solid earnings estimate revisions.
Why it matters — Investors monitoring AMBP would care because rising earnings estimate revisions are often viewed as a positive signal for a stock's near-term direction.
Zacks Investment Research published a piece questioning whether Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) qualifies as a top momentum stock pick for investors.
Why it matters — AMBP watchers would care because the article suggests the stock is being evaluated for its momentum characteristics, which could influence investor perception.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Ardagh Metal Packaging SA have a median 12-month price target of $5, with estimates ranging from $4.9 to $6. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering Ardagh Metal Packaging SA, 1 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ardagh Metal Packaging SA 86 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 17 Sept 2026, Ardagh Metal Packaging SA ranks 86 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (91 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +6.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ardagh Metal Packaging SA 86 out of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Ardagh Metal Packaging SA publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AMBP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4.9 to $6 over the next 12 months.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA returned +35.9% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a global metal packaging company that supplies sustainable, infinitely recyclable beverage cans and ends to brand owners.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 15 Sept 2026): "What Makes Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) a New Buy Stock". Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects. Zacks suggests the stock might move higher on this improved outlook.
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a global metal packaging company that supplies sustainable, infinitely recyclable beverage cans and ends to brand owners. The company serves a broad range of drink categories, including beer, carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, hard seltzers, juices, pre-mixed cocktails, teas, sparkling waters and wine. Its current business is focused on developing, manufacturing and selling metal beverage packaging, supported by technical and customer services for beverage producers. Ardagh Metal Packaging operates across Europe and the Americas, with a production footprint that serves multinational, national and regional customers in major beverage markets. Headquartered in Luxembourg, Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is part of Ardagh Group and plays a significant role in the packaging market by providing lightweight, recyclable solutions for the beverage industry.
CEO Mr. Oliver James Graham · 6,500 employees · Luxembourg · https://www.ardaghmetalpackaging.com
