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AMBP Stock Forecast: Ardagh Metal Packaging SA Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Aug 2026
$5.32
−0.75% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Ardagh Metal Packaging SA hold a median 12-month price target of $5 — -6.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 82 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$3.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
82 / 100
Median analyst target
$5.00
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$1.7B+17.7% y/y
Operating income$115.0M
Net income$35.0M
Free cash flow$256.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.9%
1M
+11.3%
YTD
+36.0%
1Y
+47.9%
From 52W high
−0.7%
From 52W low
+68.0%
$3.17
$5.36
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AMBP stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ardagh Metal Packaging SA on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
82 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
89
Revisions
81
Accruals
76
Growth
75
Quality
72
Value
61
Issuance
42
Size
30
Volatility
24

Momentum (89): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Volatility (24): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AMBP stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AMBP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$3.00$3.50$4.00$4.50$5.00$5.50$6.00$6.50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AMBPHigh $6.00Median $5.00Low $4.90

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
1 Buy6 Hold1 Sell
Low $4.90Median $5.00High $6.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −6.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
25 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$4.75 → $5.00
15 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$4.00 → $5.00
15 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
24 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
10 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
20 Mar 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
27 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
12 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
6 Jan 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
24 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
16 Oct 2025Raymond JamesInitiatesMarket Perform—
15 Oct 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
29 July 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
28 July 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
18 July 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 July 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
3 July 2025CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
25 June 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AMBP appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AMBP vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Aug 2026, Ardagh Metal Packaging SA returned +47.9% against +19.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AMBP vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AMBPS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AMBP analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+8.5%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
107.2×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 82% of US stocks

Price / book
−4.3×

Cheaper than 96% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.5×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
17.7%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
600.0%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Gross margin
13.9%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Operating margin
6.8%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Net margin
0.7%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
1.6%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.5%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Dividend yield
7.5%

Higher than 88% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Ardagh Metal Packaging SA has a market value of $3.2B and an enterprise value of $7.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.0B. The latest quarter grew 17.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $41.0M, a 0.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.06.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $297.0M, after $187.0M of capital spending.

  • Ardagh Metal Packaging SA spent $250.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 597.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 107.2×; forward P/E: 17.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 7.46%, paying out 800% of earnings.

  • Ardagh Metal Packaging SA employs 6,500 people — $922K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 25 Aug 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AMBP vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelPackaging & Containers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AMBPArdagh Metal Packaging SA$3.2B
82
GPKGraphic Packaging Holding Co.$3.5B
26
SLGNSilgan Holdings, Inc.$4.5B
59
GEFGreif, Inc.$4.5B
67
REYNReynolds Consumer Products, Inc.$5.4B
79
SONSonoco Products Co.$5.9B
81
TRSTriMas Corp.$1.5B
57

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ardagh Metal Packaging SA — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AMBP news & analysis

5 Dividend Stocks Wall Street Hates Paying Up To 12.9%

Forbes · 15 Aug 2026neutral

Forbes published an article titled "5 Dividend Stocks Wall Street Hates Paying Up To 12.9%", which highlights dividend-paying stocks that Wall Street analysts view unfavorably, with yields reaching as high as 12.9%. The article does not specifically reference Ardagh Metal Packaging in the provided text.

Why it matters — AMBP watchers would care because a Forbes feature on high-yield dividend stocks that Wall Street dislikes could place attention on dividend-paying issuers like AMBP, though no specific mention appears in the excerpt.

Ardagh Metal Packaging: EBITDA Outperformance Supports Further Upside

Seeking Alpha · 29 July 2026positive

Ardagh Metal Packaging reported Q2 revenue of $1.71 billion, up 17.7%, with adjusted EBITDA of $240 million and European revenue growth of 13%. The company increased its EBITDA outlook, though contract resets, weaker Brazilian shipments, and residual metal-supply issues weighed on performance.

Why it matters — The EBITDA outlook increase and revenue growth signal improving financial performance, while headwinds in the Americas and metal-supply issues remain key areas for AMBP watchers to monitor.

Earnings Estimates Rising for Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP): Will It Gain?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 July 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research report noted that Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) shares have started gaining and may continue rising, based on solid earnings estimate revisions.

Why it matters — Investors monitoring AMBP would care because rising earnings estimate revisions are often viewed as a positive signal for a stock's near-term direction.

Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

Zacks Investment Research · 28 July 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published a piece questioning whether Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) qualifies as a top momentum stock pick for investors.

Why it matters — AMBP watchers would care because the article suggests the stock is being evaluated for its momentum characteristics, which could influence investor perception.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AMBP stock

What is the AMBP stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Ardagh Metal Packaging SA have a median 12-month price target of $5, with estimates ranging from $4.9 to $6. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AMBP stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Ardagh Metal Packaging SA, 1 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ardagh Metal Packaging SA 82 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AMBP?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Ardagh Metal Packaging SA ranks 82 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (89 of 100).

Will AMBP stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies -6.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ardagh Metal Packaging SA 82 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AMBP stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Ardagh Metal Packaging SA publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AMBP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4.9 to $6 over the next 12 months.

How has AMBP stock performed over the past year?

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA returned +47.9% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Ardagh Metal Packaging SA do?

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a global leader in the production of sustainable, infinitely recyclable metal beverage cans.

What is the latest news on AMBP?

The most recent item we track (Forbes, 15 Aug 2026): "5 Dividend Stocks Wall Street Hates Paying Up To 12.9%". Forbes published an article titled "5 Dividend Stocks Wall Street Hates Paying Up To 12.9%", which highlights dividend-paying stocks that Wall Street analysts view unfavorably, with yields reaching as high as 12.9%. The article does not specifically reference Ardagh Metal Packaging in the provided text.

Company

About Ardagh Metal Packaging SA.

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a global leader in the production of sustainable, infinitely recyclable metal beverage cans. As a key player in the packaging industry, Ardagh focuses on providing environmentally friendly solutions to a wide range of beverage producers, including leading names in the soft drinks, energy drinks, and craft beer sectors. The company's operations span across Europe, North America, and other major markets. Ardagh Metal Packaging integrates advanced technology and innovation into their production processes, ensuring high-quality and lightweight packaging solutions. This focus not only reduces the carbon footprint of their clients but also meets regulator and consumer demands for sustainability. The company plays a significant role in the circular economy, advocating for the use of materials that can be continually reused without degradation in quality. Ardagh Metal Packaging's contribution to the packaging industry highlights the shift toward more sustainable practices, underscoring the importance of recyclability in modern product design and consumption patterns.

CEO Mr. Oliver James Graham · 6,500 employees · Luxembourg · https://www.ardaghmetalpackaging.com