GPKConsumer Cyclical · Packaging & ContainersThe 11 Wall Street analysts covering Graphic Packaging Holding Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $9.5 — +6.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 35 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Graphic Packaging Holding Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (91): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Momentum (8): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GPK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +6.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | $10 → $9.00 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $10 → $9.00 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $11 → $9.00 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $12 → $9.50 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $13 → $9.00 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $11 → $10 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 23 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 23 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Overweight | $13 → $12 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | $14 → $13 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $11 → $12 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | $9.00 → $10 |
| 15 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | $8.00 → $9.00 |
| 15 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 29 June 2026 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Neutral | $12 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
GPK appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Graphic Packaging Holding Co. returned −42.0% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 49% of US stocks
Cheaper than 87% of US stocks
Cheaper than 75% of US stocks
Cheaper than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 5% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Graphic Packaging Holding Co. has a market value of $2.6B and an enterprise value of $8.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.6B. The latest quarter shrank 0.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $194.0M, a 2.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.66.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $189.0M, after $604.0M of capital spending.
Graphic Packaging Holding Co. spent $130.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 13.6×; forward P/E: 9.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 4.91%, paying out 67% of earnings.
Graphic Packaging Holding Co. employs 23,000 people — $376K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Graphic Packaging Holding Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research says Graphic Packaging lacks the combination of two key ingredients it views as supporting a likely earnings beat in the upcoming report. The item outlines key expectations for the report.
Why it matters — GPK watchers may note the article's cautious framing of the company's upcoming earnings report.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results before the market opens on November 3, 2026, and will hold a webcast conference call at 10 a.m. EST to discuss the results. The call will be accessible from the investors section of the company's website.
Why it matters — GPK watchers will be able to tune in to the company's quarterly earnings call to hear management discuss third-quarter 2026 financial performance.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company announced the appointment of Aditya Gandhi as Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, effective September. Gandhi brings more than 20 years of public-company accounting, packaging industry experience, and finance transformation expertise.
Why it matters — The appointment adds a seasoned finance executive with packaging industry and public-company accounting experience to GPK's leadership team.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK) has been ranked among America's leading corporate citizens, earning a top-five position in the 100 Best Corporate Citizens list. The recognition highlights the company's positive impact on communities, workers, and the environment worldwide, as announced via PRNewswire on Sept. 17, 2026.
Why it matters — A top-five corporate citizenship ranking reinforces Graphic Packaging's reputation for positive community, workforce, and environmental impact, which is relevant to watchers tracking its sustainability and ESG standing.
Benzinga highlighted materials stocks delivering high-dividend yields, which are often favored by investors during market turbulence due to their high free cash flows and shareholder payouts. The article spotlights three such materials stocks, including Graphic Packaging Holding Co.
Why it matters — The mention signals that GPK is being recognized among materials companies for its dividend yield and cash-flow profile, which may draw investor attention.
The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Graphic Packaging Holding Co. have a median 12-month price target of $9.5, with estimates ranging from $9 to $17. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 11 analysts covering Graphic Packaging Holding Co., 2 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Graphic Packaging Holding Co. 35 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Graphic Packaging Holding Co. ranks 35 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (91 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +6.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Graphic Packaging Holding Co. 35 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Graphic Packaging Holding Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GPK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $9 to $17 over the next 12 months.
Graphic Packaging Holding Co. returned -42.0% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a packaging company that designs and produces consumer packaging primarily made from renewable or recycled materials. The company serves brands across food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer product categories with paper-based packaging solutions, including folding cartons, paperboard containers, beverage carriers, lids, and related packaging components.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 27 Oct 2026): "Analysts Estimate Graphic Packaging (GPK) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for". Zacks Investment Research says Graphic Packaging lacks the combination of two key ingredients it views as supporting a likely earnings beat in the upcoming report. The item outlines key expectations for the report.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a packaging company that designs and produces consumer packaging primarily made from renewable or recycled materials. The company serves brands across food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer product categories with paper-based packaging solutions, including folding cartons, paperboard containers, beverage carriers, lids, and related packaging components. Its operations are organized around paperboard manufacturing and regional packaging businesses in the Americas, Europe, and international markets. Graphic Packaging Holding Company plays an important role in the consumer packaging supply chain by providing materials and formats used to package, protect, transport, and present everyday products. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, Graphic Packaging Holding Company focuses on sustainable paperboard packaging for a broad range of industrial and consumer applications.
CEO Mr. Robbert E. Rietbroek · 23,000 employees · United States · https://www.graphicpkg.com
