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GPK Stock Forecast: Graphic Packaging Holding Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$8.58
+0.70% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Graphic Packaging Holding Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $12 — +34.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 30 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$2.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
30 / 100
Median analyst target
$12
Analysts covering
12
Revenue$2.2B−0.7% y/y
Operating income$101.0M
Net income$24.0M
Free cash flow$75.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.2%
1M
−12.2%
YTD
−41.1%
1Y
−52.5%
From 52W high
−52.5%
From 52W low
+0.7%
$9
$18
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GPK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Graphic Packaging Holding Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
30 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
90
Value
73
Accruals
71
Revisions
42
Size
32
Quality
27
Growth
20
Volatility
15
Momentum
7

Issuance (90): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Momentum (7): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GPK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GPK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$8$10$12$14$16$18Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26GPKHigh $18Median $12Low $9

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says12 analysts
2 Buy8 Hold2 Sell
Low $9Median $12High $18

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +34.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$12 → $9.50
2 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$13 → $9.00
30 Sept 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$11 → $10
23 Sept 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight$13 → $12
23 Sept 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight—
11 Sept 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral$14 → $13
11 Sept 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
6 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
6 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$11 → $12
5 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight$9.00 → $10
5 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
15 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
15 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight$8.00 → $9.00
29 June 2026JP MorganInitiatesNeutral$12
29 June 2026JP MorganInitiatesNeutral—
7 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
7 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
15 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
14 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
14 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GPK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

GPK vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Graphic Packaging Holding Co. returned −52.5% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GPK vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26GPKS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GPK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−17.1%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Graphic Packaging Holding Co. (GPK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.9×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 89% of US stocks

Price / book
0.8×

Cheaper than 78% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.0×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−0.7%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−76.9%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Gross margin
13.3%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Operating margin
4.5%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Net margin
2.2%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
6.0%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.1%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Dividend yield
5.2%

Higher than 93% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Graphic Packaging Holding Co. (GPK) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Graphic Packaging Holding Co. has a market value of $2.5B and an enterprise value of $8.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.6B. The latest quarter shrank 0.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $194.0M, a 2.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.66.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $189.0M, after $604.0M of capital spending.

  • Graphic Packaging Holding Co. spent $130.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 296.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.9×; forward P/E: 7.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 5.16%, paying out 67% of earnings.

  • Graphic Packaging Holding Co. employs 23,000 people — $376K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GPK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelPackaging & Containers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GPKGraphic Packaging Holding Co.$2.5B
30
AMBPArdagh Metal Packaging SA$2.7B
88
SLGNSilgan Holdings, Inc.$3.8B
61
GEFGreif, Inc.$4.2B
64
TRSTriMas Corp.$1.4B
53
REYNReynolds Consumer Products, Inc.$4.6B
78
SONSonoco Products Co.$4.8B
75

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Graphic Packaging Holding Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GPK news & analysis

Graphic Packaging Holding Company to Host Third-Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call on November 3

PRNewsWire · 1 Oct 2026neutral

Graphic Packaging Holding Company announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results before the market opens on November 3, 2026, and will hold a webcast conference call at 10 a.m. EST to discuss the results. The call will be accessible from the investors section of the company's website.

Why it matters — GPK watchers will be able to tune in to the company's quarterly earnings call to hear management discuss third-quarter 2026 financial performance.

Graphic Packaging Holding Company Appoints Aditya Gandhi as Chief Accounting Officer

PRNewsWire · 28 Sept 2026neutral

Graphic Packaging Holding Company announced the appointment of Aditya Gandhi as Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, effective September. Gandhi brings more than 20 years of public-company accounting, packaging industry experience, and finance transformation expertise.

Why it matters — The appointment adds a seasoned finance executive with packaging industry and public-company accounting experience to GPK's leadership team.

Graphic Packaging Earns Top-Five Ranking Among 100 Best Corporate Citizens

PRNewsWire · 17 Sept 2026positive

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK) has been ranked among America's leading corporate citizens, earning a top-five position in the 100 Best Corporate Citizens list. The recognition highlights the company's positive impact on communities, workers, and the environment worldwide, as announced via PRNewswire on Sept. 17, 2026.

Why it matters — A top-five corporate citizenship ranking reinforces Graphic Packaging's reputation for positive community, workforce, and environmental impact, which is relevant to watchers tracking its sustainability and ESG standing.

Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Spotlight On 3 Materials Stocks Delivering High-Dividend Yields

Benzinga · 11 Sept 2026positive

Benzinga highlighted materials stocks delivering high-dividend yields, which are often favored by investors during market turbulence due to their high free cash flows and shareholder payouts. The article spotlights three such materials stocks, including Graphic Packaging Holding Co.

Why it matters — The mention signals that GPK is being recognized among materials companies for its dividend yield and cash-flow profile, which may draw investor attention.

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Presents at Jefferies Global Industrials Conference 2026 Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 10 Sept 2026neutral

Graphic Packaging Holding Company presented at the Jefferies Global Industrials Conference 2026, and a transcript of its presentation was published on Seeking Alpha.

Why it matters — A GPK watcher would care because the conference presentation offers insight into how the company positioned itself and discussed its business before an audience of investors and analysts.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GPK stock

What is the GPK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Graphic Packaging Holding Co. have a median 12-month price target of $12, with estimates ranging from $9 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GPK stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering Graphic Packaging Holding Co., 2 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Graphic Packaging Holding Co. 30 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GPK?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Graphic Packaging Holding Co. ranks 30 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (90 of 100).

Will GPK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +34.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Graphic Packaging Holding Co. 30 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GPK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Graphic Packaging Holding Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GPK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $9 to $18 over the next 12 months.

How has GPK stock performed over the past year?

Graphic Packaging Holding Co. returned -52.5% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Graphic Packaging Holding Co. do?

Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a packaging company that designs and produces consumer packaging primarily made from renewable or recycled materials. The company serves brands across food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer product categories with paper-based packaging solutions, including folding cartons, paperboard containers, beverage carriers, lids, and related packaging components.

What is the latest news on GPK?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 1 Oct 2026): "Graphic Packaging Holding Company to Host Third-Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call on November 3". Graphic Packaging Holding Company announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results before the market opens on November 3, 2026, and will hold a webcast conference call at 10 a.m. EST to discuss the results. The call will be accessible from the investors section of the company's website.

Company

About Graphic Packaging Holding Co.

Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a packaging company that designs and produces consumer packaging primarily made from renewable or recycled materials. The company serves brands across food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer product categories with paper-based packaging solutions, including folding cartons, paperboard containers, beverage carriers, lids, and related packaging components. Its operations are organized around paperboard manufacturing and regional packaging businesses in the Americas, Europe, and international markets. Graphic Packaging Holding Company plays an important role in the consumer packaging supply chain by providing materials and formats used to package, protect, transport, and present everyday products. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, Graphic Packaging Holding Company focuses on sustainable paperboard packaging for a broad range of industrial and consumer applications.

CEO Mr. Robbert E. Rietbroek · 23,000 employees · United States · https://www.graphicpkg.com