AMRBasic Materials · Coking CoalThe 4 Wall Street analysts covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $178 — +11.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 73 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (82): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Revisions (47): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.
Size (35): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AMR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Neutral | $185 → $178 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $160 → $180 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 5 Oct 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 July 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 10 July 2026 | UBS | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 Feb 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 25 Sept 2025 | Texas Capital Securities | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 11 Aug 2025 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 5 Aug 2025 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 July 2025 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 1 July 2025 | Jefferies | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 15 May 2025 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 Apr 2025 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 Nov 2024 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Hold | — |
| 16 Oct 2024 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Hold | — |
| 6 Sept 2024 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | $374 → $336 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
AMR appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
AI cloud capacity
MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL
AI chips
NVDAAVGOAMDMU
AI networking and serversIn full
ANETDELLLITECRDO
Data centre power
VRTCEGGEVVST
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. returned −1.2% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 9% of US stocks
Cheaper than 69% of US stocks
Cheaper than 58% of US stocks
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 5% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. has a market value of $2.0B and an enterprise value of $1.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.1B. The latest quarter shrank 10.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$46.1M, a −2.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−3.58.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$1.5M, after $139.9M of capital spending.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. spent $76.7M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 75.5×; forward P/E: 9.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.26%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. employs 3,950 people — $523K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | $2.0B | 73 |
| SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc. | $959.3M | 100 |
| HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc. | $4.5B | 89 |
| METCRamaco Resources, Inc. | $414.7M | 6 |
| CCThe Chemours Co.* | $2.0B | 56 |
| PPTAPerpetua Resources Corp.* | $2.0B | 8 |
| WSWorthington Steel, Inc.* | $2.1B | 51 |
* Nearest Basic Materials names by size — few coking coal companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research says Alpha Metallurgical lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report, and outlines key expectations.
Why it matters — AMR watchers may find the report relevant as they assess expectations ahead of the company’s upcoming earnings release.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources announced preliminary financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026.
Why it matters — AMR watchers may find the announcement relevant as an update on the company’s quarterly financial performance.
Zacks Investment Research reports that implied volatility in Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) stock options is surging and says investors should pay close attention to recent options-market movements.
Why it matters — AMR watchers may want to note the reported change in options-market volatility.
On September 8, 2026, Alpha Metallurgical Resources Director Kenneth S. Courtis acquired 10,000 shares at a weighted average price of $225.83, for a total transaction value of approximately $2.3 million. The purchase represents 0.98% of the equity holdings the Director held prior to the transaction.
Why it matters — An AMR watcher would note this significant share purchase by a company director as a signal of insider confidence in the company.
A Benzinga article, published as of Sept. 1, 2026, identifies three materials-sector stocks that could be flashing warning signs to investors who prioritize momentum as a key trading criterion. The article lists these stocks as potential risks to portfolios this month.
Why it matters — An AMR watcher would care because the materials sector listing signals possible momentum deterioration that could affect investor interest in stocks like Alpha Metallurgical Resources.
The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $178, with estimates ranging from $170 to $180. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 4 analysts covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. 73 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. ranks 73 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (82 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +11.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. 73 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AMR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $170 to $180 over the next 12 months.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. returned -1.2% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. is a U.S.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 30 Oct 2026): "Will Alpha Metallurgical (AMR) Report Negative Earnings Next Week? What You Should Know". Zacks Investment Research says Alpha Metallurgical lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report, and outlines key expectations.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. is a U.S. mining company focused on producing, processing, and selling metallurgical coal and a smaller amount of thermal coal. The company operates underground and surface mines, along with coal preparation and load-out facilities, primarily in Virginia and West Virginia. Its core business serves steelmakers and coke producers that rely on metallurgical coal as a key input for blast-furnace steel production. Alpha Metallurgical Resources also markets coal to industrial customers and electric utilities, supporting both domestic and export supply chains. Headquartered in Bristol, Tennessee, the company is known for its concentration in Central Appalachia and its emphasis on logistics, reserve quality, and reliable coal delivery to global markets.
CEO Mr. Charles Andrew Eidson · 3,950 employees · United States · https://www.alphametresources.com
