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AMRAMRBasic Materials · Coking Coal

AMR Stock Forecast: Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$166
+6.72% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $160 — -3.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 65 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$2.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
65 / 100
Median analyst target
$160
Analysts covering
4
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+9.3%
1M
+7.9%
YTD
−16.9%
1Y
+3.9%
From 52W high
−33.5%
From 52W low
+22.2%
$136
$250
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AMR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
65 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
82
Accruals
79
Issuance
77
Volatility
60
Growth
60
Quality
57
Momentum
55
Size
36
Revisions
28

Value (82): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Revisions (28): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AMR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AMR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200$220$240$260Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AMRHigh $189Median $160Low $160

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says4 analysts
0 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $160Median $160High $189

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −3.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Oct 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
28 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
10 July 2026UBSInitiatesNeutral—
5 Mar 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
4 Feb 2026B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—
20 Jan 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
25 Sept 2025Texas Capital SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
11 Aug 2025JefferiesMaintainsHold—
5 Aug 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
22 July 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
1 July 2025JefferiesInitiatesHold—
15 May 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
11 Apr 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
4 Nov 2024BenchmarkReiteratesHold—
16 Oct 2024BenchmarkReiteratesHold—
6 Sept 2024B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$374 → $336
6 Aug 2024BenchmarkReiteratesHold—
7 May 2024B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
7 May 2024BenchmarkReiteratesHold—
15 Apr 2024B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AMR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

AMR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
75.5×

Cheaper than 10% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.0×

Cheaper than 69% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.0×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−10.4%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−10.4%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Gross margin
2.5%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Operating margin
−2.9%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Net margin
−2.2%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−3.0%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.4%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.2%

Higher than 30% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

AMR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelCoking Coal
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.$2.1B
65
HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc.$5.2B
71
SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc.$792.5M
82
METCRamaco Resources, Inc.$720.6M
7
STDNStandard Nuclear, Inc.*$2.1B
1
OLNOlin Corp.*$2.2B
52
MTXMinerals Technologies, Inc.*$2.3B
71

* Nearest Basic Materials names by size — few coking coal companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AMR news & analysis

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 7 Aug 2026negative

Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported second-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $25.6 million, as metallurgical coal shipment volumes and realizations declined from the prior quarter. The company also lowered its full-year shipment outlook and raised its expected cost of coal sales.

Why it matters — AMR watchers would care because the results point to weaker quarterly performance and a reduced full-year outlook alongside higher expected costs, which reflect challenges in the company's coal business.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) held its Q2 2026 earnings call, with a transcript of the event published by Seeking Alpha. The call covered the company's second-quarter results and discussion with management.

Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides AMR watchers with direct insight into the company's quarterly performance and management commentary.

Alpha Metallurgical (AMR) Reports Q2 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported a second-quarter loss of $0.96 per share, slightly narrower than the consensus estimate of a $0.97 loss but wider than the $0.38 per share loss from a year ago. The company beat revenue expectations.

Why it matters — The narrower-than-expected loss suggests the company's financial performance exceeded analyst projections for the quarter.

Alpha Announces Financial Results for Second Quarter 2026

PRNewsWire · 7 Aug 2026negative

Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported its financial results for the second quarter ending June 30, 2026, announcing a net loss of $12.3 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $25.6 million. The company is a leading U.S. supplier of metallurgical products for the steel industry.

Why it matters — AMR watchers follow quarterly results as a key indicator of the company's financial performance as a leading U.S. metallurgical coal supplier.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AMR stock

What is the AMR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $160, with estimates ranging from $160 to $189. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AMR stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. 65 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AMR?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. ranks 65 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (82 of 100).

Will AMR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies -3.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. 65 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AMR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AMR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $160 to $189 over the next 12 months.

How has AMR stock performed over the past year?

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. returned +3.9% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. do?

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. is a leading U.S.-based mining company that specializes in the production, processing, and sale of metallurgical and thermal coal.

What is the latest news on AMR?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 7 Aug 2026): "Alpha Metallurgical Resources Q2 Earnings Call Highlights". Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported second-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $25.6 million, as metallurgical coal shipment volumes and realizations declined from the prior quarter. The company also lowered its full-year shipment outlook and raised its expected cost of coal sales.

Company

About Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. is a leading U.S.-based mining company that specializes in the production, processing, and sale of metallurgical and thermal coal. Primarily operating in Virginia and West Virginia, Alpha's core business revolves around supplying high-quality metallurgical coal—essential for coke production in the global steelmaking industry. The company manages an extensive network of around 20 active mines and eight coal preparation and load-out facilities, emphasizing operational efficiency and scale. Alpha commands a significant presence in the coal mining sector, accounting for a notable share of industry revenue in the United States and ranking among the top ten coal producers nationally. Approximately 97% of its coal sales are metallurgical coal, exported to international markets including Asia, Europe, and the Americas, underscoring its global impact and reach. Its remaining output is thermal coal, a small byproduct of its operations, used for electricity generation. With a history shaped by mergers and acquisitions, Alpha is recognized for its extensive reserves and strong export capabilities, supported by strategic port capacity. The company plays a pivotal role in supplying the steel industry, maintaining significant commercial resources and adhering to a disciplined financial and operational strategy.

CEO Mr. Charles Andrew Eidson · 3,950 employees · United States · https://www.alphametresources.com