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AMRAMRBasic Materials · Coking Coal

AMR Stock Forecast: Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$209
−3.82% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $185 — -11.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 61 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$2.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
61 / 100
Median analyst target
$185
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$492.9M−10.4% y/y
Operating income−$10.5M
Net income−$12.3M
Free cash flow−$5.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.6%
1M
+36.2%
YTD
+4.8%
1Y
+47.3%
From 52W high
−16.1%
From 52W low
+52.7%
$137
$250
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AMR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
61 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
79
Value
77
Issuance
77
Volatility
66
Growth
57
Quality
56
Momentum
49
Size
32
Revisions
30

Accruals (79): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Revisions (30): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AMR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AMR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200$220$240Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AMRHigh $195Median $185Low $160

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
0 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $160Median $185High $195

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −11.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Oct 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
20 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
28 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
10 July 2026UBSInitiatesNeutral—
5 Mar 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
4 Feb 2026B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—
20 Jan 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
25 Sept 2025Texas Capital SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
11 Aug 2025JefferiesMaintainsHold—
5 Aug 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
22 July 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
1 July 2025JefferiesInitiatesHold—
15 May 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
11 Apr 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
4 Nov 2024BenchmarkReiteratesHold—
16 Oct 2024BenchmarkReiteratesHold—
6 Sept 2024B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$374 → $336
6 Aug 2024BenchmarkReiteratesHold—
7 May 2024B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
7 May 2024BenchmarkReiteratesHold—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AMR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AMR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. returned +47.3% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AMR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AMRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AMR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−204.8%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
75.5×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.3×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / book
1.8×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
17.1×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−10.4%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−10.4%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Gross margin
2.5%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Operating margin
−2.9%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Net margin
−2.2%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−3.0%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.4%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.0%

Higher than 21% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. has a market value of $2.7B and an enterprise value of $2.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.1B. The latest quarter shrank 10.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$46.1M, a −2.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−3.58.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$1.5M, after $139.9M of capital spending.

  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. spent $76.7M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 12.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 75.5×; forward P/E: 11.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.95%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. employs 3,950 people — $523K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AMR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelCoking Coal
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.$2.7B
61
HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc.$5.2B
72
SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc.$848.3M
87
METCRamaco Resources, Inc.$658.3M
6
TTAMTitan America SA*$2.7B
36
KWRQuaker Houghton*$2.7B
93
BCCBoise Cascade Co.*$2.7B
73

* Nearest Basic Materials names by size — few coking coal companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AMR news & analysis

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Director Courtis Buys $2.3 Million Shares. Is it Time for You to Buy Too?

The Motley Fool · 10 Sept 2026positive

On September 8, 2026, Alpha Metallurgical Resources Director Kenneth S. Courtis acquired 10,000 shares at a weighted average price of $225.83, for a total transaction value of approximately $2.3 million. The purchase represents 0.98% of the equity holdings the Director held prior to the transaction.

Why it matters — An AMR watcher would note this significant share purchase by a company director as a signal of insider confidence in the company.

Top 3 Materials Stocks That Could Sink Your Portfolio This Month

Benzinga · 1 Sept 2026negative

A Benzinga article, published as of Sept. 1, 2026, identifies three materials-sector stocks that could be flashing warning signs to investors who prioritize momentum as a key trading criterion. The article lists these stocks as potential risks to portfolios this month.

Why it matters — An AMR watcher would care because the materials sector listing signals possible momentum deterioration that could affect investor interest in stocks like Alpha Metallurgical Resources.

Alpha Metallurgical Director Courtis Keeps Buying as He Adds Another $1.1 Million Shares

The Motley Fool · 25 Aug 2026positive

Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Courtis acquired 5,000 additional shares on August 25, 2026, for a total transaction value of roughly $1.1 million. The purchase represented shares equal to 0.49% of the equity stake held before the filing.

Why it matters — A company director increasing his personal stake is an insider confidence signal that AMR watchers would track for signs of alignment with shareholders.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Director Courtis Buys Again, This Time $3.2 Million in Shares. Is it Time for Investors to Buy Too?

The Motley Fool · 25 Aug 2026positive

Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Courtis made another direct share purchase, buying 15,000 shares for roughly $3.2 million based on weighted average pricing. The purchase raised the director's direct equity holdings by 1% to about 1.0 million shares.

Why it matters — A director's continued personal investment in the company may indicate insider confidence, which AMR watchers typically monitor closely.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Director Courtis Buys $2.9 Million Shares. What Does This Mean for Investors?

The Motley Fool · 22 Aug 2026positive

Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Courtis purchased 15,000 shares on the open market on August 20, 2026, for approximately $2.9 million. The transaction increased the director's total direct equity position by 2%.

Why it matters — A director's significant open-market share purchase is often watched by AMR investors as a signal of insider confidence in the company, though the item provides no further guidance on the purchase's implications.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AMR stock

What is the AMR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $185, with estimates ranging from $160 to $195. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AMR stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. 61 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AMR?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. ranks 61 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (79 of 100).

Will AMR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies -11.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. 61 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AMR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AMR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $160 to $195 over the next 12 months.

How has AMR stock performed over the past year?

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. returned +47.3% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. do?

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on AMR?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 10 Sept 2026): "Alpha Metallurgical Resources Director Courtis Buys $2.3 Million Shares. Is it Time for You to Buy Too?". On September 8, 2026, Alpha Metallurgical Resources Director Kenneth S. Courtis acquired 10,000 shares at a weighted average price of $225.83, for a total transaction value of approximately $2.3 million. The purchase represents 0.98% of the equity holdings the Director held prior to the transaction.

Company

About Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. is a U.S. mining company focused on producing, processing, and selling metallurgical coal and a smaller amount of thermal coal. The company operates underground and surface mines, along with coal preparation and load-out facilities, primarily in Virginia and West Virginia. Its core business serves steelmakers and coke producers that rely on metallurgical coal as a key input for blast-furnace steel production. Alpha Metallurgical Resources also markets coal to industrial customers and electric utilities, supporting both domestic and export supply chains. Headquartered in Bristol, Tennessee, the company is known for its concentration in Central Appalachia and its emphasis on logistics, reserve quality, and reliable coal delivery to global markets.

CEO Mr. Charles Andrew Eidson · 3,950 employees · United States · https://www.alphametresources.com