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HCCHCCBasic Materials · Coking Coal

HCC Stock Forecast: Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$98
+4.05% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Warrior Met Coal, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $99 — +0.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 71 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$5.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
71 / 100
Median analyst target
$99
Analysts covering
7
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+6.9%
1M
+17.9%
YTD
+11.7%
1Y
+60.0%
From 52W high
−10.9%
From 52W low
+78.7%
$55
$110
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HCC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Warrior Met Coal, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
71 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
96
Value
85
Momentum
82
Volatility
81
Quality
79
Issuance
45
Revisions
38
Accruals
29
Size
24

Growth (96): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Accruals (29): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (24): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HCC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HCC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HCCHigh $123Median $99Low $90

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says7 analysts
4 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $90Median $99High $123

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +0.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$100 → $98
30 June 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$102 → $100
30 June 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
10 June 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
1 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
27 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
18 Mar 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
12 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
13 Feb 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
29 Jan 2026UBSUpgradeBuy—
20 Jan 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
12 Dec 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
24 Nov 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
6 Nov 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
6 Nov 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
8 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
25 Sept 2025Texas Capital SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
20 Aug 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
7 Aug 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
22 July 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HCC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

HCC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−20.6%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.6×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.1×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Price / book
2.4×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.5×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
71.3%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
1459.6%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Gross margin
20.5%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Operating margin
18.5%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Net margin
13.0%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
10.0%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.2%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.3%

Higher than 6% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

HCC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelCoking Coal
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc.$5.2B
71
AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.$2.1B
65
SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc.$792.5M
82
METCRamaco Resources, Inc.$720.6M
7
CECelanese Corp.*$5.0B
57
UFPIUFP Industries, Inc.*$5.0B
51
USARUSA Rare Earth, Inc.*$4.9B
11

* Nearest Basic Materials names by size — few coking coal companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Warrior Met Coal, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HCC news & analysis

Warrior Met Coal Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 8 Aug 2026positive

Warrior Met Coal reported sharply higher second-quarter earnings and cash generation, driven by contributions from its Blue Creek mine, and management raised its full-year sales and production outlook.

Why it matters — The increased sales volumes and lower-cost production from the Blue Creek mine, along with the upwardly revised full-year guidance, signal improved operational performance and growth potential for the company.

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call. The item consists of the transcript headline and provides access to the company's quarterly earnings discussion.

Why it matters — The transcript gives HCC watchers a record of management's remarks and Q&A from the company's Q2 2026 earnings call.

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Aug 2026positive

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) reported quarterly earnings of $1.65 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.54 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.11 per share a year ago.

Why it matters — The company surpassed both analyst expectations and its year-ago results, giving HCC watchers a positive earnings update.

Warrior Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 5 Aug 2026positive

Warrior Met Coal reported second-quarter 2026 results, posting net income of $87.4 million, or $1.65 per diluted share, up from net income of $5.6 million, or $0.11 per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2025.

Why it matters — The substantial year-over-year increase in net income signals a marked improvement in the company's financial performance, which is directly relevant to shareholders and observers of the steelmaking coal producer.

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reported that Warrior Met Coal (HCC) has the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report.

Why it matters — The article signals that HCC may be positioned to exceed earnings expectations, which could influence investor sentiment around the company's financial performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HCC stock

What is the HCC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Warrior Met Coal, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $99, with estimates ranging from $90 to $123. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HCC stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Warrior Met Coal, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Warrior Met Coal, Inc. 71 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HCC?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Warrior Met Coal, Inc. ranks 71 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (96 of 100).

Will HCC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +0.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Warrior Met Coal, Inc. 71 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HCC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Warrior Met Coal, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HCC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $90 to $123 over the next 12 months.

How has HCC stock performed over the past year?

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. returned +60.0% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Warrior Met Coal, Inc. do?

Warrior Met Coal Inc. is a U.S.-based producer and exporter of metallurgical coal, specializing in non-thermal steelmaking coal essential for steel production.

What is the latest news on HCC?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 8 Aug 2026): "Warrior Met Coal Q2 Earnings Call Highlights". Warrior Met Coal reported sharply higher second-quarter earnings and cash generation, driven by contributions from its Blue Creek mine, and management raised its full-year sales and production outlook.

Company

About Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

Warrior Met Coal Inc. is a U.S.-based producer and exporter of metallurgical coal, specializing in non-thermal steelmaking coal essential for steel production. The company operates underground mines in Alabama, primarily in the Southern Appalachia coal seam, focusing on high-quality hard-coking coal. Its operations include two key underground met coal mines along with surface met and thermal coal mines, enabling efficient extraction and processing tailored to global steel industry demands. Warrior Met Coal Inc. sells its products to steel manufacturers across Europe, Asia, and South America, supporting international steelmaking needs. Additionally, the company generates supplementary revenues from natural gas extracted as a byproduct during underground coal mining and from royalties on leased properties. Headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama, Warrior Met Coal Inc. plays a vital role in the global supply chain for metallurgical coal, contributing to the basic materials sector through its dedicated production of premium coal grades for steel applications.

CEO Mr. Walter J. Scheller III · 1,485 employees · United States · https://warriormetcoal.com