HCCBasic Materials · Coking CoalThe 7 Wall Street analysts covering Warrior Met Coal, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $106 — +23.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Warrior Met Coal, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (96): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Accruals (30): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (24): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HCC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +23.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | $123 → $122 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $98 → $102 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 16 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $90 → $110 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $100 → $98 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $102 → $100 |
| 30 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 June 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 1 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 27 Mar 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 18 Mar 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Mar 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Feb 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 Jan 2026 | UBS | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Dec 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 Nov 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Nov 2025 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
HCC appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
AI cloud capacity
MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL
AI chips
NVDAAVGOAMDMU
AI networking and serversIn full
ANETDELLLITECRDO
Data centre power
VRTCEGGEVVST
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Warrior Met Coal, Inc. returned +33.9% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. has a market value of $4.5B and an enterprise value of $4.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B. The latest quarter grew 71.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $219.3M, a 13.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.16.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.1M.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. spent $17.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 20.6×; forward P/E: 11.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.37%, paying out 8% of earnings.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. employs 1,485 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc. | $4.5B | 89 |
| AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | $2.0B | 73 |
| SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc. | $959.3M | 100 |
| METCRamaco Resources, Inc. | $414.7M | 6 |
| UFPIUFP Industries, Inc.* | $4.5B | 59 |
| PRMPerimeter Solutions, Inc.* | $4.6B | 29 |
| MTRNMaterion Corp.* | $4.6B | 72 |
* Nearest Basic Materials names by size — few coking coal companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Warrior Met Coal, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Warrior Met Coal declared a special cash dividend of $2.00 per share, payable November 20, 2026, to stockholders of record as of November 9, 2026.
Why it matters — HCC shareholders may note the dividend amount and the dates that determine eligibility and payment.
Zacks Investment Research says Warrior Met Coal lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. The item previews expectations ahead of next week's release.
Why it matters — HCC watchers may note the report's caution about factors associated with an earnings beat as they follow the upcoming results.
Warrior Met Coal’s board approved a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share, payable November 13, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on November 6, 2026.
Why it matters — HCC watchers may note the announced dividend amount and the dates for payment and shareholder eligibility.
Warrior Met Coal announced its third-quarter 2026 investor conference call will take place at 4:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. The company will release results after market close that day.
Why it matters — HCC watchers can note the scheduled timing for the company’s quarterly results and conference call.
Black Bear Value Fund returned -10.3% in September, +2.5% in the third quarter and +4.1% year to date. Core Natural Resources gained approximately 8% in the third quarter and was down roughly 2% year to date, including dividends.
Why it matters — Core Natural Resources' performance is relevant to HCC watchers as a coal-sector reference, though the excerpt provides no company-specific information about Warrior Met Coal.
The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Warrior Met Coal, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $106, with estimates ranging from $100 to $122. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 7 analysts covering Warrior Met Coal, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Warrior Met Coal, Inc. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Warrior Met Coal, Inc. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (96 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +23.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Warrior Met Coal, Inc. 89 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Warrior Met Coal, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HCC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $100 to $122 over the next 12 months.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. returned +33.9% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is a U.S.-based metallurgical coal producer focused on the extraction and export of hard coking coal used in steelmaking.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 29 Oct 2026): "Warrior Met Coal Declares Special Cash Dividend". Warrior Met Coal declared a special cash dividend of $2.00 per share, payable November 20, 2026, to stockholders of record as of November 9, 2026.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is a U.S.-based metallurgical coal producer focused on the extraction and export of hard coking coal used in steelmaking. The company operates underground mining complexes in Alabama and supplies steel manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. Its core business centers on producing non-thermal steelmaking coal, a specialized input for blast furnace steel production, while also generating additional revenue from the sale of natural gas recovered as a byproduct of mining operations. Warrior Met Coal’s current portfolio is concentrated on mining, processing, and selling premium metallurgical coal, making it an important supplier within the global steel value chain. Headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama, the company serves industrial customers that rely on consistent, high-quality coal feedstock for metal production.
CEO Mr. Walter J. Scheller III · 1,485 employees · United States · https://warriormetcoal.com
