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ARAREnergy · Oil & Gas E&P

AR Stock Forecast: Antero Resources Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$38
−1.89% on the day

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering Antero Resources Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $49 — +27.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 48 of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$11.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
48 / 100
Median analyst target
$49
Analysts covering
21
Revenue$1.3B+11.1% y/y
Operating income$206.3M
Net income$286.4M
Free cash flow$413.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.2%
1M
+1.6%
YTD
+11.5%
1Y
+17.0%
From 52W high
−14.9%
From 52W low
+28.0%
$30
$45
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Antero Resources Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 11 Sept 2026
48 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
91
Volatility
67
Quality
61
Accruals
59
Revisions
53
Momentum
45
Value
40
Issuance
37
Size
14

Growth (91): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Issuance (37): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (14): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ARHigh $60Median $49Low $37

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says21 analysts
14 Buy7 Hold0 Sell
Low $37Median $49High $60

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Sept 2026StifelReinstatesHold$42
2 Sept 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$42 → $48
2 Sept 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
1 Sept 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
1 Sept 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy$50 → $55
17 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$46 → $45
17 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
12 Aug 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$44 → $47
12 Aug 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
3 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
3 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$53 → $45
31 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$50 → $52
31 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$52 → $57
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$45 → $46
14 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$56 → $50
14 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
9 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$56 → $52

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Antero Resources Corp. returned +17.0% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ARS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−4.8%
Analysts raising
9
Analysts cutting
6
Fundamentals

Antero Resources Corp. (AR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.0×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.0×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 57% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
0.0×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.6%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
78.0%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Gross margin
20.7%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Operating margin
26.0%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Net margin
18.7%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.2%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.6%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.6%

Higher than 35% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Antero Resources Corp. (AR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Antero Resources Corp. has a market value of $11.8B and an enterprise value of $0.0.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.6B. The latest quarter grew 12.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.1B, a 20.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.48.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B.

  • Antero Resources Corp. spent $89.3M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 308.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.0×; forward P/E: 9.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.56%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Antero Resources Corp. employs 632 people — $8.9M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ARAntero Resources Corp.$11.8B
48
RRCRange Resources Corp.$9.8B
83
SMSM Energy Co.$9.1B
55
APAAPA Corp.$15.8B
93
CHRDChord Energy Corp.$8.6B
80
MTDRMatador Resources Co.$7.6B
49
PRPermian Resources Corp.$20.0B
78

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Antero Resources Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AR news & analysis

Antero Resources: The El Nino May Not Dominate Year Ahead Prospects

Seeking Alpha · 6 Sept 2026positive

Antero Resources is positioned to benefit from rising natural gas demand this winter, supported by Iranian supply disruptions, data center demand growth, and expanding North American export capacity. The company's proximity to Greater Philadelphia export facilities near the Marcellus basin offers a transportation and cost advantage despite typical El Nino-driven weakness.

Why it matters — AR watchers would care because these demand and export catalysts, along with the company's location advantage, could offset seasonal weakness and support the company's prospects.

Why Is Antero Resources (AR) Up 9.1% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Aug 2026positive

Antero Resources (AR) reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 9.1% since that report. The article examines what might come next for the company following this earnings and price movement.

Why it matters — An Antero Resources watcher would care about this analysis of the stock's post-earnings performance and what could follow in the near term.

Diamond Hill Small-Mid Cap Strategy Q2 2026 Portfolio Review

Seeking Alpha · 25 Aug 2026neutral

Diamond Hill Small-Mid Cap Strategy reported a 9.73% net return in Q2 2026, underperforming the Russell 2500 Index's 20.26% gain. The review highlighted strength in Regal Rexnord and the sale of Wix.com, though it did not mention Antero Resources.

Why it matters — Antero Resources was not discussed in this portfolio review, so the report offers no direct commentary or insight relevant to the company's performance or outlook.

3 Contrarian Trades for a Market That Looks Too Hot

MarketBeat · 25 Aug 2026neutral

MarketBeat reports that TradeSmith's Jeff Clark has adopted a more defensive stance amid major indexes near all-time highs, noting opportunities have become harder to find as the market heads into historically challenging months of September and October. The piece outlines contrarian trade ideas for a market that appears overheated.

Why it matters — A more cautious market outlook heading into historically volatile months could influence investor sentiment toward energy stocks like Antero Resources.

Invesco Small Cap Value Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Activity

Seeking Alpha · 20 Aug 2026neutral

Invesco Small Cap Value Fund provided a Q2 2026 portfolio activity update, describing its decision to sell its Orion position to fund other opportunities, its view that Teleflex's simplification and capital-return efforts could support valuation improvement, and MKS Instruments' strong performance driven by AI investment demand and advanced computing infrastructure spending.

Why it matters — The update does not mention Antero Resources, so it offers no direct commentary on AR's outlook or positioning.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AR stock

What is the AR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering Antero Resources Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $49, with estimates ranging from $37 to $60. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AR stock a buy right now?

Of the 21 analysts covering Antero Resources Corp., 14 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Antero Resources Corp. 48 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 11 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AR?

As at 11 Sept 2026, Antero Resources Corp. ranks 48 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (91 of 100).

Will AR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 21 analysts implies +27.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Antero Resources Corp. 48 out of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Antero Resources Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $37 to $60 over the next 12 months.

How has AR stock performed over the past year?

Antero Resources Corp. returned +17.0% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Antero Resources Corp. do?

Antero Resources Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil in the Appalachian Basin. The company’s core operations are centered on liquids-rich shale assets, with a strong emphasis on the Marcellus and Utica formations in West Virginia and Ohio.

What is the latest news on AR?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 6 Sept 2026): "Antero Resources: The El Nino May Not Dominate Year Ahead Prospects". Antero Resources is positioned to benefit from rising natural gas demand this winter, supported by Iranian supply disruptions, data center demand growth, and expanding North American export capacity. The company's proximity to Greater Philadelphia export facilities near the Marcellus basin offers a transportation and cost advantage despite typical El Nino-driven weakness.

Company

About Antero Resources Corp.

Antero Resources Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil in the Appalachian Basin. The company’s core operations are centered on liquids-rich shale assets, with a strong emphasis on the Marcellus and Utica formations in West Virginia and Ohio. Its business includes upstream production, gas marketing, and related midstream investment interests, supporting the movement and commercialization of its output. Antero Resources supplies natural gas and NGL volumes to domestic industrial and utility customers, as well as markets linked to LNG and export demand. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado and founded in 2002, Antero Resources plays a significant role in U.S. shale energy supply and the broader natural gas and liquids market.

CEO Mr. Michael N. Kennedy · 632 employees · United States · https://www.anteroresources.com