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ARAREnergy · Oil & Gas E&P

AR Stock Forecast: Antero Resources Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$34
+0.07% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Antero Resources Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $49 — +43.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 58 of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$10.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
58 / 100
Median analyst target
$49
Analysts covering
20
Revenue$1.3B+11.1% y/y
Operating income$206.3M
Net income$286.4M
Free cash flow$413.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.7%
1M
−14.0%
YTD
−1.2%
1Y
+1.7%
From 52W high
−24.6%
From 52W low
+13.4%
$30
$45
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Antero Resources Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Oct 2026
58 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
92
Volatility
69
Revisions
65
Quality
62
Accruals
59
Momentum
57
Value
41
Issuance
37
Size
15

Growth (92): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Issuance (37): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (15): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$25$30$35$40$45$50$55$60Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ARHigh $58Median $49Low $37

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says20 analysts
13 Buy7 Hold0 Sell
Low $37Median $49High $58

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +43.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
2 Oct 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$60 → $56
14 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$52 → $58
10 Sept 2026StifelReinstatesHold$42
2 Sept 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
2 Sept 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$42 → $48
1 Sept 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy$50 → $55
1 Sept 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
17 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$46 → $45
17 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
12 Aug 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
12 Aug 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$44 → $47
3 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$53 → $45
3 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
31 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
31 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$50 → $52
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$52 → $57
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$45 → $46
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
14 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$56 → $50

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Antero Resources Corp. returned +1.7% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ARS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−4.5%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Antero Resources Corp. (AR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.8×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.8×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
0.0×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.6%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
78.0%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Gross margin
20.7%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Operating margin
26.0%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Net margin
18.7%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.2%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.6%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.8%

Higher than 62% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Antero Resources Corp. (AR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Antero Resources Corp. has a market value of $10.5B and an enterprise value of $0.0.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.6B. The latest quarter grew 12.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.1B, a 20.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.48.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B.

  • Antero Resources Corp. spent $89.3M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 308.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 9.8×; forward P/E: 7.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.76%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Antero Resources Corp. employs 632 people — $8.9M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 5 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ARAntero Resources Corp.$10.5B
58
RRCRange Resources Corp.$9.1B
83
SMSM Energy Co.$8.4B
65
CHRDChord Energy Corp.$7.8B
84
APAAPA Corp.$15.4B
93
MTDRMatador Resources Co.$6.6B
50
LBLandBridge Co. LLC$6.4B
31

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Antero Resources Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AR news & analysis

Natural Gas Prices Were on Fire Last Week - This Is Why

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Sept 2026positive

Zacks reports that natural gas prices rallied last week, supported by tighter storage builds, supply disruptions, and LNG demand. The article notes that Cheniere Energy, Antero Resources, and Excelerate Energy offer varied exposure to these gas market conditions.

Why it matters — A rise in natural gas prices driven by supportive supply-demand fundamentals could benefit Antero Resources given its direct exposure to gas production and pricing.

Data Center Buildout Boosts Natural Gas Use: WMB, AR & KMI to Gain?

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reports that AI-driven data center growth is boosting natural gas demand, positioning Antero Resources, Williams, and Kinder Morgan to capitalize on rising energy needs from the data center buildout.

Why it matters — For Antero Resources watchers, the article indicates that increased natural gas demand from data centers could benefit the company as a natural gas producer.

Antero Resources: Strong H2 2026 FCF Expected Amidst Cost Reduction Efforts

Seeking Alpha · 19 Sept 2026positive

Antero Resources is projected to generate a bit over $1.15 billion in free cash flow during H2 2026. The company is over 60% hedged on its 2H 2026 natural gas production and remains unhedged on liquids, benefiting from strong near-term liquids prices while natural gas prices stay mediocre.

Why it matters — The projection of substantial H2 2026 free cash flow and hedging positions offers Antero watchers insight into the company's expected cash generation and exposure to natural gas and liquids prices.

Natural Gas Ends Week Lower, but LNG Demand Offers Support

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Sept 2026neutral

Natural gas prices ended the week lower, pressured by cooler-weather forecasts, while firm LNG demand and tighter global supplies offered some support. The report highlights LNG and associated names, including Antero Resources, as being in focus in this environment.

Why it matters — For Antero Resources watchers, the balance between cooler-weather price pressure and supportive LNG demand indicates factors that could influence the company's natural gas outlook.

Antero Resources: The El Nino May Not Dominate Year Ahead Prospects

Seeking Alpha · 6 Sept 2026positive

Antero Resources is positioned to benefit from rising natural gas demand this winter, supported by Iranian supply disruptions, data center demand growth, and expanding North American export capacity. The company's proximity to Greater Philadelphia export facilities near the Marcellus basin offers a transportation and cost advantage despite typical El Nino-driven weakness.

Why it matters — AR watchers would care because these demand and export catalysts, along with the company's location advantage, could offset seasonal weakness and support the company's prospects.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AR stock

What is the AR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Antero Resources Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $49, with estimates ranging from $37 to $58. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AR stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering Antero Resources Corp., 13 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Antero Resources Corp. 58 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AR?

As at 3 Oct 2026, Antero Resources Corp. ranks 58 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (92 of 100).

Will AR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +43.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Antero Resources Corp. 58 out of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Antero Resources Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $37 to $58 over the next 12 months.

How has AR stock performed over the past year?

Antero Resources Corp. returned +1.7% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Antero Resources Corp. do?

Antero Resources Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil in the Appalachian Basin. The company’s core operations are centered on liquids-rich shale assets, with a strong emphasis on the Marcellus and Utica formations in West Virginia and Ohio.

What is the latest news on AR?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 28 Sept 2026): "Natural Gas Prices Were on Fire Last Week - This Is Why". Zacks reports that natural gas prices rallied last week, supported by tighter storage builds, supply disruptions, and LNG demand. The article notes that Cheniere Energy, Antero Resources, and Excelerate Energy offer varied exposure to these gas market conditions.

Company

About Antero Resources Corp.

Antero Resources Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil in the Appalachian Basin. The company’s core operations are centered on liquids-rich shale assets, with a strong emphasis on the Marcellus and Utica formations in West Virginia and Ohio. Its business includes upstream production, gas marketing, and related midstream investment interests, supporting the movement and commercialization of its output. Antero Resources supplies natural gas and NGL volumes to domestic industrial and utility customers, as well as markets linked to LNG and export demand. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado and founded in 2002, Antero Resources plays a significant role in U.S. shale energy supply and the broader natural gas and liquids market.

CEO Mr. Michael N. Kennedy · 632 employees · United States · https://www.anteroresources.com