SMEnergy · Oil & Gas E&PThe 18 Wall Street analysts covering SM Energy Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $47 — +15.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 76 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores SM Energy Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (95): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Issuance (6): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +15.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $32 → $44 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Scotiabank | Initiates | Sector Perform | $39 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $43 → $48 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | $39 → $46 |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 14 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $36 → $48 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Sell | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Sell | $35 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Overweight | $32 → $47 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $37 → $43 |
| 21 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $55 → $48 |
| 21 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $31 → $32 |
| 15 July 2026 | UBS | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 15 July 2026 | UBS | Initiates | Buy | $36 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
SM appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, SM Energy Co. returned +102.9% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 63% of US stocks
Cheaper than 52% of US stocks
Cheaper than 63% of US stocks
Cheaper than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
SM Energy Co. has a market value of $9.6B and an enterprise value of $16.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.1B. The latest quarter grew 176.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.0B, a 19.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.08.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $743.0M, after $1.9B of capital spending.
SM Energy Co. spent $181.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 7.2×; forward P/E: 4.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.18%, paying out 18% of earnings.
SM Energy Co. employs 1,241 people — $4.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own SM Energy Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
SM Energy (SM) closed the most recent trading session at $39.07, down 2.69% from the previous trading day.
Why it matters — SM watchers may note the stock’s decline in the latest session.
Zacks Investment Research says SM Energy does not have the combination of two key factors that would indicate a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. The item refers readers to key expectations for the report.
Why it matters — SM watchers may find the assessment relevant when reviewing expectations for the company’s upcoming earnings report.
Zacks Investment Research discusses whether Wall Street analyst recommendations—Buy, Sell, or Hold—matter to investors, noting that reports of rating changes can affect a stock's price.
Why it matters — SM watchers may find the discussion relevant when considering how analyst recommendations and rating-change coverage relate to the stock.
Zacks Investment Research describes SM Energy as having solid growth attributes that could help it outperform the market. The headline frames the article around three reasons for that view.
Why it matters — The item presents a positive growth-focused assessment that may be relevant to those following SM Energy.
Zacks Investment Research reports that users of Zacks.com have recently been watching SM Energy (SM) closely. The item says it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock’s prospects.
Why it matters — SM watchers may find the article’s focus on factors that could determine the stock’s prospects relevant.
The 18 Wall Street analysts covering SM Energy Co. have a median 12-month price target of $47, with estimates ranging from $35 to $60. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 18 analysts covering SM Energy Co., 11 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks SM Energy Co. 76 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, SM Energy Co. ranks 76 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +15.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks SM Energy Co. 76 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering SM Energy Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $60 over the next 12 months.
SM Energy Co. returned +102.9% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
SM Energy Company is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on acquiring, developing, and operating onshore energy assets in the United States. The company produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a portfolio centered in the Permian Basin, Denver-Julesburg Basin, South Texas, and Uinta Basin.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 27 Oct 2026): "SM Energy (SM) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You Trade". SM Energy (SM) closed the most recent trading session at $39.07, down 2.69% from the previous trading day.
SM Energy Company is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on acquiring, developing, and operating onshore energy assets in the United States. The company produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a portfolio centered in the Permian Basin, Denver-Julesburg Basin, South Texas, and Uinta Basin. Its operations are designed around drilling, completion, and reservoir management across established shale plays, supporting a business model built on resource development and production efficiency. SM Energy serves the broader energy market by supplying hydrocarbons used in transportation, heating, power generation, and industrial activity. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, SM Energy Company is positioned as a dedicated upstream operator with a focused presence in major U.S. oil and gas regions.
CEO Ms. Elizabeth Anne McDonald · 1,241 employees · United States · https://www.sm-energy.com
