SMEnergy · Oil & Gas E&PThe 17 Wall Street analysts covering SM Energy Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $43 — +22.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 65 of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores SM Energy Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (82): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Issuance (6): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +22.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sept 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | $39 → $46 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $36 → $48 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Sell | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Sell | $35 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Overweight | $32 → $47 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $37 → $43 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $55 → $48 |
| 21 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $31 → $32 |
| 15 July 2026 | UBS | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 15 July 2026 | UBS | Initiates | Buy | $36 |
| 7 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $38 → $37 |
| 7 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | $61 → $52 |
| 7 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $39 → $37 |
| 7 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SM appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, SM Energy Co. returned +48.2% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 70% of US stocks
Cheaper than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
SM Energy Co. has a market value of $8.4B and an enterprise value of $15.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.1B. The latest quarter grew 176.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.0B, a 19.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.08.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $743.0M, after $1.9B of capital spending.
SM Energy Co. spent $181.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 6.2×; forward P/E: 4.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.50%, paying out 18% of earnings.
SM Energy Co. employs 1,241 people — $4.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own SM Energy Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research highlights SM Energy (SM) as a top growth stock for the long-term, pointing to its Zacks Style Scores as a way to identify strong, market-beating stocks.
Why it matters — The piece positions SM favorably among growth-focused investors, potentially raising its visibility in stock-screening tools and broader market attention.
Zacks.com users have recently been paying close attention to SM Energy (SM), prompting Zacks to examine what the stock may have in store. The attention highlights increased investor interest in the company.
Why it matters — SM watchers would care because heightened investor attention signals that the company is currently drawing significant market interest.
SM Energy's shares closed at $33.11 in the recent trading session, down 1.31% from the prior day's close, falling more steeply than the broader market.
Why it matters — The decline shows SM Energy underperforming the broader market on this trading day, which is relevant for investors tracking the stock's relative movement.
SM Energy closed at $33.55 in its latest trading session, a -1.06% decline from the previous day, and a larger drop than the broader market's move.
Why it matters — A SM watcher would care because the stock underperformed the market in a single session, which is factual price-movement information worth tracking.
SM Energy's stock closed at $34.64 on the recent trading day, a decline of 6.32% from the previous session, even as broader market indexes gained.
Why it matters — This notable single-day drop in SM Energy's share price despite market gains is a significant development for investors tracking the stock's recent performance.
The 17 Wall Street analysts covering SM Energy Co. have a median 12-month price target of $43, with estimates ranging from $32 to $58. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 17 analysts covering SM Energy Co., 11 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks SM Energy Co. 65 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Oct 2026, SM Energy Co. ranks 65 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (82 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 17 analysts implies +22.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks SM Energy Co. 65 out of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering SM Energy Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $58 over the next 12 months.
SM Energy Co. returned +48.2% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
SM Energy Company is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on acquiring, developing, and operating onshore energy assets in the United States. The company produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a portfolio centered in the Permian Basin, Denver-Julesburg Basin, South Texas, and Uinta Basin.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 2 Oct 2026): "Why SM Energy (SM) is a Top Growth Stock for the Long-Term". Zacks Investment Research highlights SM Energy (SM) as a top growth stock for the long-term, pointing to its Zacks Style Scores as a way to identify strong, market-beating stocks.
SM Energy Company is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on acquiring, developing, and operating onshore energy assets in the United States. The company produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a portfolio centered in the Permian Basin, Denver-Julesburg Basin, South Texas, and Uinta Basin. Its operations are designed around drilling, completion, and reservoir management across established shale plays, supporting a business model built on resource development and production efficiency. SM Energy serves the broader energy market by supplying hydrocarbons used in transportation, heating, power generation, and industrial activity. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, SM Energy Company is positioned as a dedicated upstream operator with a focused presence in major U.S. oil and gas regions.
CEO Ms. Elizabeth Anne McDonald · 1,241 employees · United States · https://www.sm-energy.com
