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SMSMEnergy · Oil & Gas E&P

SM Stock Forecast: SM Energy Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 6 Oct 2026
$35
+0.14% on the day

The 17 Wall Street analysts covering SM Energy Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $43 — +22.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 66 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$8.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
66 / 100
Median analyst target
$43
Analysts covering
17
Revenue$2.2B+174.6% y/y
Operating income$962.0M
Net income$1.1B
Free cash flow$349.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+6.0%
1M
−3.7%
YTD
+91.7%
1Y
+44.0%
From 52W high
−15.0%
From 52W low
+104.0%
$17
$41
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores SM Energy Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 6 Oct 2026
66 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
84
Value
84
Growth
79
Momentum
74
Quality
67
Accruals
51
Volatility
35
Size
17
Issuance
6

Revisions (84): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Issuance (6): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$30$40$50$60Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SMHigh $58Median $43Low $32

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says17 analysts
11 Buy5 Hold1 Sell
Low $32Median $43High $58

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +22.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
15 Sept 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$39 → $46
14 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$36 → $48
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesSell—
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesSell$35
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight—
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight$32 → $47
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$37 → $43
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
21 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform$55 → $48
21 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$31 → $32
15 July 2026UBSInitiatesBuy—
15 July 2026UBSInitiatesBuy$36
7 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
7 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$38 → $37
7 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
7 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$61 → $52
7 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$39 → $37
7 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 6 Oct 2026, SM Energy Co. returned +44.0% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−2.3%
Analysts raising
6
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

SM Energy Co. (SM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.2×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.7×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Price / book
1.1×

Cheaper than 70% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
4.7×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
176.1%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
430.2%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Gross margin
46.8%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Operating margin
60.3%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Net margin
20.2%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.1%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.9%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.5%

Higher than 82% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

SM Energy Co. (SM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • SM Energy Co. has a market value of $8.4B and an enterprise value of $15.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.1B. The latest quarter grew 176.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.0B, a 19.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.08.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $743.0M, after $1.9B of capital spending.

  • SM Energy Co. spent $181.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 237.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 6.2×; forward P/E: 4.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.50%, paying out 18% of earnings.

  • SM Energy Co. employs 1,241 people — $4.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SMSM Energy Co.$8.4B
66
CHRDChord Energy Corp.$7.8B
90
RRCRange Resources Corp.$9.5B
88
MTDRMatador Resources Co.$6.6B
54
LBLandBridge Co. LLC$6.6B
30
ARAntero Resources Corp.$11.0B
60
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp.$5.5B
83

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own SM Energy Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SM news & analysis

SM Energy Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call for November 4, 2026

PRNewsWire · 5 Oct 2026neutral

SM Energy Company announced it will release third quarter 2026 financial and operating results after market close on November 3, 2026, and will host a conference call to discuss the results on November 4, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. The announcement was made via PRNewswire on October 5, 2026.

Why it matters — SM Energy watchers can mark their calendars for the upcoming third quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call, which will provide updated financial and operating results for the company.

Why SM Energy (SM) is a Top Growth Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights SM Energy (SM) as a top growth stock for the long-term, pointing to its Zacks Style Scores as a way to identify strong, market-beating stocks.

Why it matters — The piece positions SM favorably among growth-focused investors, potentially raising its visibility in stock-screening tools and broader market attention.

Investors Heavily Search SM Energy Company (SM): Here is What You Need to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks.com users have recently been paying close attention to SM Energy (SM), prompting Zacks to examine what the stock may have in store. The attention highlights increased investor interest in the company.

Why it matters — SM watchers would care because heightened investor attention signals that the company is currently drawing significant market interest.

SM Energy (SM) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Sept 2026negative

SM Energy's shares closed at $33.11 in the recent trading session, down 1.31% from the prior day's close, falling more steeply than the broader market.

Why it matters — The decline shows SM Energy underperforming the broader market on this trading day, which is relevant for investors tracking the stock's relative movement.

SM Energy (SM) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Sept 2026neutral

SM Energy closed at $33.55 in its latest trading session, a -1.06% decline from the previous day, and a larger drop than the broader market's move.

Why it matters — A SM watcher would care because the stock underperformed the market in a single session, which is factual price-movement information worth tracking.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SM stock

What is the SM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 17 Wall Street analysts covering SM Energy Co. have a median 12-month price target of $43, with estimates ranging from $32 to $58. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SM stock a buy right now?

Of the 17 analysts covering SM Energy Co., 11 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks SM Energy Co. 66 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SM?

As at 6 Oct 2026, SM Energy Co. ranks 66 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (84 of 100).

Will SM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 17 analysts implies +22.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks SM Energy Co. 66 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering SM Energy Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $58 over the next 12 months.

How has SM stock performed over the past year?

SM Energy Co. returned +44.0% over the 12 months to 6 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does SM Energy Co. do?

SM Energy Company is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on acquiring, developing, and operating onshore energy assets in the United States. The company produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a portfolio centered in the Permian Basin, Denver-Julesburg Basin, South Texas, and Uinta Basin.

What is the latest news on SM?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 5 Oct 2026): "SM Energy Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call for November 4, 2026". SM Energy Company announced it will release third quarter 2026 financial and operating results after market close on November 3, 2026, and will host a conference call to discuss the results on November 4, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. The announcement was made via PRNewswire on October 5, 2026.

Company

About SM Energy Co.

SM Energy Company is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on acquiring, developing, and operating onshore energy assets in the United States. The company produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a portfolio centered in the Permian Basin, Denver-Julesburg Basin, South Texas, and Uinta Basin. Its operations are designed around drilling, completion, and reservoir management across established shale plays, supporting a business model built on resource development and production efficiency. SM Energy serves the broader energy market by supplying hydrocarbons used in transportation, heating, power generation, and industrial activity. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, SM Energy Company is positioned as a dedicated upstream operator with a focused presence in major U.S. oil and gas regions.

CEO Ms. Elizabeth Anne McDonald · 1,241 employees · United States · https://www.sm-energy.com