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SMSMEnergy · Oil & Gas E&P

SM Stock Forecast: SM Energy Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$38
−0.21% on the day

The 17 Wall Street analysts covering SM Energy Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $40 — +5.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 55 of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$9.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
55 / 100
Median analyst target
$40
Analysts covering
17
Revenue$2.2B+174.6% y/y
Operating income$962.0M
Net income$1.1B
Free cash flow$349.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.9%
1M
+17.9%
YTD
+108.1%
1Y
+46.0%
From 52W high
−0.2%
From 52W low
+121.5%
$17
$38
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores SM Energy Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 11 Sept 2026
55 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
82
Growth
78
Momentum
72
Quality
67
Revisions
57
Accruals
50
Volatility
49
Size
17
Issuance
6

Value (82): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Issuance (6): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$30$40$50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SMHigh $52Median $40Low $32

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says17 analysts
11 Buy5 Hold1 Sell
Low $32Median $40High $52

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +5.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesSell$35
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight—
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight$32 → $47
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$37 → $43
21 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
21 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform$55 → $48
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$31 → $32
15 July 2026UBSInitiatesBuy$36
15 July 2026UBSInitiatesBuy—
7 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
7 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$38 → $37
7 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
7 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$61 → $52
7 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$39 → $37
7 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
22 June 2026Roth CapitalUpgradeBuy—
27 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
20 May 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, SM Energy Co. returned +46.0% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−7.1%
Analysts raising
9
Analysts cutting
5
Fundamentals

SM Energy Co. (SM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.8×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.8×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 69% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
4.9×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
176.1%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
430.2%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Gross margin
46.8%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Operating margin
60.3%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Net margin
20.2%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.1%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.9%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.3%

Higher than 51% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

SM Energy Co. (SM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • SM Energy Co. has a market value of $9.1B and an enterprise value of $15.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.1B. The latest quarter grew 176.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.0B, a 19.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.08.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $743.0M, after $1.9B of capital spending.

  • SM Energy Co. spent $181.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 237.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 6.8×; forward P/E: 5.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.30%, paying out 18% of earnings.

  • SM Energy Co. employs 1,241 people — $4.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SMSM Energy Co.$9.1B
55
CHRDChord Energy Corp.$8.6B
80
RRCRange Resources Corp.$9.8B
83
MTDRMatador Resources Co.$7.6B
49
ARAntero Resources Corp.$11.9B
48
LBLandBridge Co. LLC$6.6B
31
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp.$6.4B
82

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own SM Energy Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SM news & analysis

5 Relatively Secure And Cheap Dividend Stocks, Yields Up To 8% (September 2026)

Seeking Alpha · 12 Sept 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha's monthly series highlights five large-cap, relatively safe dividend-paying stocks with significant discounts to historical norms, selected from more than 7,500 U.S.-listed companies. The primary list yields 4.6%, while two additional groups offer moderate to high yields of up to 8%.

Why it matters — SM Energy watchers would follow this to see whether the company appears among the relatively secure, cheap dividend stocks discussed in the series.

SM Energy Company (SM) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks.com users have recently been paying close attention to SM Energy (SM), making the stock a trending topic on the research site. Zacks notes this trend warrants examining what the stock has in store.

Why it matters — A stock watcher would care because rising attention on Zacks could signal increased investor interest in SM Energy's outlook.

Why Is SM Energy (SM) Up 31% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026positive

SM Energy reported earnings about 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 31% since that report. The piece examines what may come next for the company's shares.

Why it matters — SM watchers would care because the strong post-earnings share movement signals notable investor interest and raises the question of what may drive the stock going forward.

Here's Why SM Energy (SM) is a Strong Momentum Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights SM Energy as a strong momentum stock, pointing to its Style Scores as a tool for identifying market-beating stocks. The piece positions SM as a candidate with favorable momentum characteristics.

Why it matters — A SM Energy watcher would care because a positive momentum ranking from Zacks signals the stock is being recognized for strong price performance and trend strength.

Here's Why SM Energy (SM) is a Strong Growth Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights SM Energy as a strong growth stock, explaining that the Zacks Style Scores system helps investors identify top-rated stocks based on their investing style. The article suggests SM Energy earns a favorable style-score rating.

Why it matters — SM watchers would care because a strong growth-stock designation from Zacks may draw additional investor attention to the company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SM stock

What is the SM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 17 Wall Street analysts covering SM Energy Co. have a median 12-month price target of $40, with estimates ranging from $32 to $52. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SM stock a buy right now?

Of the 17 analysts covering SM Energy Co., 11 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks SM Energy Co. 55 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 11 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SM?

As at 11 Sept 2026, SM Energy Co. ranks 55 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (82 of 100).

Will SM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 17 analysts implies +5.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks SM Energy Co. 55 out of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering SM Energy Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $52 over the next 12 months.

How has SM stock performed over the past year?

SM Energy Co. returned +46.0% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does SM Energy Co. do?

SM Energy Company is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on acquiring, developing, and operating onshore energy assets in the United States. The company produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a portfolio centered in the Permian Basin, Denver-Julesburg Basin, South Texas, and Uinta Basin.

What is the latest news on SM?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 12 Sept 2026): "5 Relatively Secure And Cheap Dividend Stocks, Yields Up To 8% (September 2026)". Seeking Alpha's monthly series highlights five large-cap, relatively safe dividend-paying stocks with significant discounts to historical norms, selected from more than 7,500 U.S.-listed companies. The primary list yields 4.6%, while two additional groups offer moderate to high yields of up to 8%.

Company

About SM Energy Co.

SM Energy Company is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on acquiring, developing, and operating onshore energy assets in the United States. The company produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a portfolio centered in the Permian Basin, Denver-Julesburg Basin, South Texas, and Uinta Basin. Its operations are designed around drilling, completion, and reservoir management across established shale plays, supporting a business model built on resource development and production efficiency. SM Energy serves the broader energy market by supplying hydrocarbons used in transportation, heating, power generation, and industrial activity. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, SM Energy Company is positioned as a dedicated upstream operator with a focused presence in major U.S. oil and gas regions.

CEO Ms. Elizabeth Anne McDonald · 1,241 employees · United States · https://www.sm-energy.com