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SMSMEnergy · Oil & Gas E&P

SM Stock Forecast: SM Energy Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$34
+4.10% on the day

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering SM Energy Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $40 — +18.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 53 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$8.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
53 / 100
Median analyst target
$40
Analysts covering
15
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+16.9%
1M
+13.6%
YTD
+83.3%
1Y
+30.7%
From 52W high
−2.4%
From 52W low
+95.0%
$17
$35
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores SM Energy Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
53 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
84
Growth
79
Quality
67
Momentum
64
Revisions
55
Accruals
50
Volatility
49
Size
18
Issuance
6

Value (84): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Issuance (6): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$30$40$50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SMHigh $52Median $40Low $32

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says15 analysts
11 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $32Median $40High $52

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +18.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight$32 → $47
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$37 → $43
21 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform$55 → $48
21 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$31 → $32
15 July 2026UBSInitiatesBuy—
15 July 2026UBSInitiatesBuy$36
7 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$38 → $37
7 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
7 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
7 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$61 → $52
7 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$39 → $37
7 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
22 June 2026Roth CapitalUpgradeBuy—
27 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
20 May 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—
18 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
12 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
11 May 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

SM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.5%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
11
Fundamentals

SM Energy Co. (SM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.0×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.6×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 73% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
4.6×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
176.1%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
430.2%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Gross margin
46.8%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Operating margin
60.3%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Net margin
20.2%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.1%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.9%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.6%

Higher than 58% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

SM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SMSM Energy Co.$8.0B
53
CHRDChord Energy Corp.$7.8B
77
RRCRange Resources Corp.$9.6B
81
MTDRMatador Resources Co.$6.7B
45
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp.$6.0B
81
ARAntero Resources Corp.$11.5B
45
CNXCNX Resources Corp.$5.1B
79

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own SM Energy Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SM news & analysis

SM Energy Slides 11.2% in One Week: Could the Dip Be an Opportunity?

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026neutral

SM Energy shares fell 11.2% over the past week, a decline that Zacks discusses alongside the company's stronger-than-expected Q2 results, raised production outlook, and accelerated debt reduction. The article notes that leverage and inventory risks leave the setup mixed.

Why it matters — SM watchers would weigh the recent share-price slide against the positive operational updates while tracking the leverage and inventory risks that keep the outlook uncertain.

SM Energy Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026positive

SM Energy reported second-quarter results covering its first full quarter as a combined company, with the company highlighting merger synergies, debt reduction, free-cash-flow generation, and an increased production outlook for the second half of 2026.

Why it matters — A SM watcher would care because the results reflect the company's integration progress and its raised production guidance following the merger.

SM Energy Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Strong Production Growth

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026positive

SM Energy's second-quarter earnings beat estimates, driven by production that more than doubled and higher realized prices. The company's free cash flow supported debt reduction and shareholder returns.

Why it matters — For SM Energy watchers, the earnings beat, strong production growth, and free cash flow used for debt reduction and returns signal improved operational and financial performance in the quarter.

SM Energy Company (SM) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a transcript of SM Energy Company's Q2 2026 earnings call. The item identifies the availability of the earnings call transcript for the period.

Why it matters — SM watchers can review the transcript for management's discussion of the company's second-quarter 2026 results and outlook.

SM Energy (SM) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks published a review of SM Energy's second-quarter 2026 results, comparing the company's headline numbers and key metrics against Wall Street estimates and year-ago actuals. The piece focuses on how SM's quarterly performance lines up with analyst expectations.

Why it matters — SM Energy watchers would care because the comparison of quarterly metrics to consensus estimates and prior-year figures offers a benchmark for gauging how the company's operational and financial performance tracked expectations.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SM stock

What is the SM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering SM Energy Co. have a median 12-month price target of $40, with estimates ranging from $32 to $52. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SM stock a buy right now?

Of the 15 analysts covering SM Energy Co., 11 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks SM Energy Co. 53 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SM?

As at 15 Aug 2026, SM Energy Co. ranks 53 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (84 of 100).

Will SM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +18.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks SM Energy Co. 53 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering SM Energy Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $52 over the next 12 months.

How has SM stock performed over the past year?

SM Energy Co. returned +30.7% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does SM Energy Co. do?

SM Energy Company is an independent energy company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, gas, and natural gas liquids. It operates a portfolio of high-quality assets primarily in key U.S.

What is the latest news on SM?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 12 Aug 2026): "SM Energy Slides 11.2% in One Week: Could the Dip Be an Opportunity?". SM Energy shares fell 11.2% over the past week, a decline that Zacks discusses alongside the company's stronger-than-expected Q2 results, raised production outlook, and accelerated debt reduction. The article notes that leverage and inventory risks leave the setup mixed.

Company

About SM Energy Co.

SM Energy Company is an independent energy company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, gas, and natural gas liquids. It operates a portfolio of high-quality assets primarily in key U.S. basins, including the Midland Basin in West Texas, the Maverick Basin in South Texas, and the Uinta Basin in northeastern Utah. The company focuses on efficient resource extraction and production from working interests in oil and gas wells, contributing to the energy minerals sector, specifically oil and gas production. SM Energy Company emphasizes operational excellence, flexibility, and commitment to top-tier assets to deliver resources that support daily energy needs. Founded in 1908 and headquartered in Denver, Colorado, it plays a vital role in the upstream segment of the fossil fuels industry, classified under crude petroleum extraction.

CEO Ms. Elizabeth Anne McDonald · 1,241 employees · United States · https://www.sm-energy.com