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MGY Stock Forecast: Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$24
−0.00% on the day

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +37.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 83 of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$6.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
83 / 100
Median analyst target
$33
Analysts covering
19
Revenue$478.8M+50.1% y/y
Operating income$242.7M
Net income$181.8M
Free cash flow$258.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.2%
1M
−12.1%
YTD
+12.1%
1Y
+6.2%
From 52W high
−24.6%
From 52W low
+15.5%
$21
$32
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MGY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Oct 2026
83 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
86
Issuance
81
Accruals
69
Revisions
69
Growth
68
Volatility
68
Value
65
Momentum
54
Size
21

Quality (86): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (54): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (21): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MGY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MGY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MGYHigh $37Median $33Low $27

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says19 analysts
14 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $27Median $33High $37

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +37.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesReiteratesBuy$33 → $34
8 Sept 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight$32 → $33
8 Sept 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight—
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
17 Aug 2026Johnson RiceUpgradeAccumulate—
17 Aug 2026Johnson RiceUpgradeAccumulate$33 → $32
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$31 → $36
11 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
11 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$29 → $27
11 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
11 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$36 → $37
28 July 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeBuy$32 → $33
28 July 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
24 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy$30 → $29
24 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy—
22 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$35 → $33
22 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$35 → $36

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MGY appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MGY vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. returned +6.2% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MGY vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MGYS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MGY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.7%
Analysts raising
6
Analysts cutting
5
Fundamentals

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (MGY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.5×

Cheaper than 57% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.5×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / book
2.0×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
5.7×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
50.1%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
132.7%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Gross margin
62.0%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Operating margin
50.7%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Net margin
28.8%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
20.9%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.8%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.0%

Higher than 76% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (MGY) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. has a market value of $6.6B and an enterprise value of $5.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B. The latest quarter grew 50.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $432.2M, a 29.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.28.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $545.5M.

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. spent $206.9M on share buybacks and $117.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 183.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 10.5×; forward P/E: 7.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.99%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. employs 262 people — $5.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MGY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp.$6.6B
83
MURMurphy Oil Corp.$5.4B
68
LBLandBridge Co. LLC$6.4B
31
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp.$4.7B
32
MTDRMatador Resources Co.$6.6B
50
CNXCNX Resources Corp.$4.5B
85
CRGYCrescent Energy Co.$4.4B
71

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MGY news & analysis

Magnolia Oil & Gas Provides Interim Financial and Operations Update After Closing the Acquisition of WildFire Energy

Business Wire · 1 Oct 2026neutral

Magnolia Oil & Gas provided an interim financial and operations update following the closing of its acquisition of WildFire Energy. The update was announced via Business Wire from the company's Houston headquarters.

Why it matters — MGY watchers would care because the update reflects the company's financial and operational position immediately after completing the WildFire Energy acquisition.

3 Stocks to Buy on Broker Rating Upgrades as Fed Tightens Policy

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Magnolia Oil & Gas among three stocks receiving broker rating upgrades, citing strong projected earnings growth amid a tighter Federal Reserve policy environment. The upgrade spotlights MGY alongside Vince Holding and Cognyte Software.

Why it matters — A broker rating upgrade suggests positive analyst sentiment toward Magnolia Oil & Gas, which may signal improved expectations for the company's earnings prospects.

Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) is a Great Choice

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an article evaluating whether Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) has what it takes to be a top stock pick for momentum investors. The piece poses the question of MGY's suitability as a momentum pick for investors.

Why it matters — The feature highlights MGY as a potential candidate for momentum-focused investors, drawing attention to the stock.

Here's Why Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) is a Strong Momentum Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) as a strong momentum stock through its Zacks Style Scores feature. The article suggests this tool helps identify MGY among the stocks with favorable momentum characteristics.

Why it matters — MGY watchers would care because the piece signals that the stock has been recognized as exhibiting strong momentum according to a widely used research screen.

Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for September 15th

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research named MGY to its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) momentum stocks list on September 15th, 2026, alongside RELY and APPN.

Why it matters — This recognition places MGY on a select list of momentum stocks flagged by Zacks, signaling its current standing in that research service's rankings.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MGY stock

What is the MGY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $27 to $37. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MGY stock a buy right now?

Of the 19 analysts covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp., 14 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. 83 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MGY?

As at 3 Oct 2026, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. ranks 83 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (86 of 100).

Will MGY stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies +37.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. 83 out of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MGY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MGY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $27 to $37 over the next 12 months.

How has MGY stock performed over the past year?

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. returned +6.2% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. do?

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation Class A Common Stock represents equity in Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of hydrocarbons in the United States. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation concentrates its operations in South Texas, with assets in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations, where it manages onshore oil and gas properties and related infrastructure.

What is the latest news on MGY?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 1 Oct 2026): "Magnolia Oil & Gas Provides Interim Financial and Operations Update After Closing the Acquisition of WildFire Energy". Magnolia Oil & Gas provided an interim financial and operations update following the closing of its acquisition of WildFire Energy. The update was announced via Business Wire from the company's Houston headquarters.

Company

About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation Class A Common Stock represents equity in Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of hydrocarbons in the United States. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation concentrates its operations in South Texas, with assets in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations, where it manages onshore oil and gas properties and related infrastructure. The company’s business is centered on upstream energy activities, including drilling, production optimization, and reserve development, serving the broader oil and gas supply chain. Its Class A shares are used by market participants to gain exposure to a producing energy company with a concentrated asset base and a focus on conventional and shale resources. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation plays a role in the energy markets through its production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.

CEO Mr. Christopher G. Stavros · 262 employees · United States · https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com