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MGY Stock Forecast: Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$28
+0.18% on the day

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +18.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 82 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$6.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
82 / 100
Median analyst target
$33
Analysts covering
19
Revenue$478.8M+50.1% y/y
Operating income$242.7M
Net income$181.8M
Free cash flow$258.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.0%
1M
+6.7%
YTD
+29.2%
1Y
+18.0%
From 52W high
−13.1%
From 52W low
+33.2%
$21
$32
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MGY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
82 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
86
Issuance
81
Volatility
74
Accruals
69
Growth
68
Revisions
63
Momentum
61
Value
60
Size
20

Quality (86): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Value (60): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (20): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MGY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MGY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35$40Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MGYHigh $38Median $33Low $26

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says19 analysts
13 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $26Median $33High $38

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +18.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Sept 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight$32 → $33
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
17 Aug 2026Johnson RiceUpgradeAccumulate—
17 Aug 2026Johnson RiceUpgradeAccumulate$33 → $32
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$31 → $36
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
11 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
11 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$29 → $27
11 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
11 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$36 → $37
28 July 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeBuy$32 → $33
28 July 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
24 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy$30 → $29
24 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy—
22 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$35 → $33
22 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$35 → $36
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$38 → $34
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MGY appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MGY vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. returned +18.0% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MGY vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MGYS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MGY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.6%
Analysts raising
12
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (MGY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.1×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.5×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / book
2.3×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.5×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
50.1%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
132.7%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Gross margin
62.0%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Operating margin
50.7%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Net margin
28.8%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
20.9%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.8%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.6%

Higher than 56% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (MGY) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. has a market value of $6.7B and an enterprise value of $6.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B. The latest quarter grew 50.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $432.2M, a 29.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.28.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $545.5M.

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. spent $206.9M on share buybacks and $117.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 183.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.1×; forward P/E: 8.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.60%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. employs 262 people — $5.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 12 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MGY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp.$6.7B
82
LBLandBridge Co. LLC$6.6B
31
MURMurphy Oil Corp.$5.5B
66
MTDRMatador Resources Co.$7.6B
49
CNXCNX Resources Corp.$5.1B
81
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp.$5.1B
33
CRGYCrescent Energy Co.$4.8B
65

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MGY news & analysis

Magnolia Oil & Gas Closes Transformative WildFire Energy Deal

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Sept 2026positive

MGY closed its $4.06 billion acquisition of WildFire Energy, which will more than double its Giddings acreage and add production. The deal is expected to deliver more than $100 million in annual synergies.

Why it matters — The completion of this transformative acquisition substantially expands MGY's core asset base and adds expected cost synergies, marking a notable milestone for the company.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Completes Acquisition of WildFire Energy

Business Wire · 10 Sept 2026positive

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. announced it has completed its acquisition of WildFire Energy, as reported by Business Wire from Houston. The acquisition is now finalized.

Why it matters — The completion of this acquisition expands Magnolia's asset base, making it a notable corporate development for MGY stakeholders to track.

Why Is Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) Up 9.9% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026positive

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp reported earnings 30 days ago, and since that report its stock has risen 9.9%. The article examines what may come next for the company following the earnings announcement.

Why it matters — MGY watchers would care because the stock's notable post-earnings gain signals how investors have responded to the company's latest results and what could follow.

Magnolia Oil & Gas: WildFire Creates An Inventory Duration Moat

Seeking Alpha · 1 Sept 2026positive

Magnolia Oil & Gas is leveraging the WildFire Energy acquisition to extend its development runway and boost production in the Giddings field. The deal more than doubles its Giddings acreage, increases oil weighting, and is expected to deliver $100 million in annualized synergies by 2027, while Q2 results showed strong free cash flow, disciplined capital allocation, and robust margins.

Why it matters — MGY watchers would care because the WildFire acquisition expands the company's inventory, production capacity, and infrastructure control in the Giddings field, extending its development runway and strengthening its long-term growth position.

MGY's $4.06B WildFire Deal Could Reshape Its Growth and Risk Profile

Zacks Investment Research · 20 Aug 2026neutral

Magnolia Oil & Gas announced a $4.06 billion acquisition of WildFire, a deal that can sharply expand the scale of its Giddings operations, increase oil exposure and add to its inventory, while also introducing leverage and dilution risks.

Why it matters — A MGY watcher would care because the WildFire deal could reshape the company's growth and risk profile, balancing expanded scale and oil exposure against added leverage and dilution.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MGY stock

What is the MGY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $26 to $38. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MGY stock a buy right now?

Of the 19 analysts covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp., 13 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. 82 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MGY?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. ranks 82 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (86 of 100).

Will MGY stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies +18.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. 82 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MGY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MGY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $26 to $38 over the next 12 months.

How has MGY stock performed over the past year?

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. returned +18.0% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. do?

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation Class A Common Stock represents equity in Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of hydrocarbons in the United States. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation concentrates its operations in South Texas, with assets in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations, where it manages onshore oil and gas properties and related infrastructure.

What is the latest news on MGY?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 11 Sept 2026): "Magnolia Oil & Gas Closes Transformative WildFire Energy Deal". MGY closed its $4.06 billion acquisition of WildFire Energy, which will more than double its Giddings acreage and add production. The deal is expected to deliver more than $100 million in annual synergies.

Company

About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation Class A Common Stock represents equity in Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of hydrocarbons in the United States. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation concentrates its operations in South Texas, with assets in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations, where it manages onshore oil and gas properties and related infrastructure. The company’s business is centered on upstream energy activities, including drilling, production optimization, and reserve development, serving the broader oil and gas supply chain. Its Class A shares are used by market participants to gain exposure to a producing energy company with a concentrated asset base and a focus on conventional and shale resources. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation plays a role in the energy markets through its production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.

CEO Mr. Christopher G. Stavros · 262 employees · United States · https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com