MGYMGYEnergy · Oil & Gas E&P

MGY Stock Forecast: Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$26
+1.03% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +24.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 82 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$7.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
82/ 100
Median analyst target
$33
Analysts covering
20
Revenue$478.8M+50.1% y/y
Operating income$242.7M
Net income$181.8M
Free cash flow$258.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.3%
1M
+12.8%
YTD
+23.3%
1Y
+21.3%
From 52W high
−17.1%
From 52W low
+27.1%
$21
$32
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MGY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
82/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
86
Issuance
81
Volatility
74
Revisions
71
Accruals
69
Growth
65
Momentum
59
Value
56
Size
19

Quality (86): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Value (56): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (19): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

MGY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MGY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35$40Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MGYHigh $39Median $33Low $26

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says20 analysts
15 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $26Median $33High $39

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
15 Oct 2026ScotiabankInitiatesSector Outperform$31
14 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$36 → $30
2 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$34 → $35
2 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
21 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesReiteratesBuy—
21 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesReiteratesBuy$33 → $34
8 Sept 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight$32 → $33
8 Sept 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight—
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
17 Aug 2026Johnson RiceUpgradeAccumulate—
17 Aug 2026Johnson RiceUpgradeAccumulate$33 → $32
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$31 → $36
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
11 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$29 → $27
11 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
11 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
11 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$36 → $37
28 July 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeBuy$32 → $33
28 July 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

MGY appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

MGY vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. returned +21.3% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MGY vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MGYS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MGY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.1%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
5
Fundamentals

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (MGY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.6×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.9×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Price / book
2.2×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.2×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
50.1%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
132.7%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Gross margin
62.0%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Operating margin
50.7%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Net margin
28.8%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
20.9%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.8%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.7%

Higher than 84% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (MGY) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. has a market value of $7.3B and an enterprise value of $6.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B. The latest quarter grew 50.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $432.2M, a 29.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.28.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $545.5M.

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. spent $206.9M on share buybacks and $117.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 183.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.6×; forward P/E: 8.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.72%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. employs 262 people — $5.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MGY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp.$7.3B82
MTDRMatador Resources Co.$7.6B60
LBLandBridge Corp.$6.4B27
MURMurphy Oil Corp.$6.3B85
CRGYCrescent Energy Co.$5.8B77
CHRDChord Energy Corp.$8.9B93
CNXCNX Resources Corp.$5.3B78

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MGY news & analysis

Magnolia Oil & Gas to Post Q3 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 30 Oct 2026neutral

Magnolia Oil & Gas is preparing to report third-quarter earnings. The excerpt notes strong production and lower drilling costs, offset by weaker prices, rising expenses and dilution.

Why it matters — These competing factors may shape investors’ assessment of MGY’s quarterly results.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026negative

Zacks Investment Research says Magnolia Oil & Gas does not have the two key ingredients it identifies as supporting a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. The item previews expectations ahead of next week’s release.

Why it matters — MGY watchers may find the article relevant as context for the company’s upcoming earnings report.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Announces Quarterly Dividend

Business Wire · 28 Oct 2026neutral

Magnolia Oil & Gas announced a quarterly dividend, according to a Business Wire headline.

Why it matters — MGY watchers may note the company's quarterly dividend announcement.

Magnolia Oil & Gas: Over $1 Billion In Projected 2027 FCF

Seeking Alpha · 6 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha reports that Magnolia is projected to generate a bit over $1 billion in free cash flow in 2027 at current strip, reducing leverage to 0.6x by year-end. The WildFire acquisition is expected to help more than double oil production between 2025 and 2027.

Why it matters — The projections outline anticipated cash generation, leverage reduction, and production growth relevant to MGY watchers.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Strengthens Outlook After WildFire Acquisition

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reports that Magnolia Oil & Gas's growth outlook has strengthened following its WildFire acquisition, citing higher production, faster deleveraging and new cost synergies. The deal is reshaping the company's forward trajectory.

Why it matters — MGY watchers would care because the WildFire acquisition is expected to boost production and improve the company's financial position through faster debt reduction and cost efficiencies.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MGY stock

What is the MGY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $26 to $39. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MGY stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp., 15 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. 82 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MGY?

As at 31 Oct 2026, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. ranks 82 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (86 of 100).

Will MGY stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +24.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. 82 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MGY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MGY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $26 to $39 over the next 12 months.

How has MGY stock performed over the past year?

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. returned +21.3% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. do?

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation Class A Common Stock represents equity in Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of hydrocarbons in the United States. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation concentrates its operations in South Texas, with assets in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations, where it manages onshore oil and gas properties and related infrastructure.

What is the latest news on MGY?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 30 Oct 2026): "Magnolia Oil & Gas to Post Q3 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?". Magnolia Oil & Gas is preparing to report third-quarter earnings. The excerpt notes strong production and lower drilling costs, offset by weaker prices, rising expenses and dilution.

Company

About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation Class A Common Stock represents equity in Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of hydrocarbons in the United States. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation concentrates its operations in South Texas, with assets in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations, where it manages onshore oil and gas properties and related infrastructure. The company’s business is centered on upstream energy activities, including drilling, production optimization, and reserve development, serving the broader oil and gas supply chain. Its Class A shares are used by market participants to gain exposure to a producing energy company with a concentrated asset base and a focus on conventional and shale resources. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation plays a role in the energy markets through its production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.

CEO Mr. Christopher G. Stavros · 262 employees · United States · https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com