MGYMGYEnergy · Oil & Gas E&P

MGY Stock Forecast: Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$26
+1.47% on the day

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +25.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 81 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$6.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
81 / 100
Median analyst target
$33
Analysts covering
18
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+5.4%
1M
−0.9%
YTD
+22.2%
1Y
+13.1%
From 52W high
−17.9%
From 52W low
+25.9%
$21
$32
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MGY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
81 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
86
Issuance
81
Growth
74
Volatility
72
Accruals
68
Momentum
62
Value
57
Revisions
57
Size
22

Quality (86): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Revisions (57): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Size (22): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MGY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MGY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35$40Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MGYHigh $38Median $33Low $26

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says18 analysts
11 Buy7 Hold0 Sell
Low $26Median $33High $38

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +25.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$31$36
11 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$29$27
11 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$36$37
28 July 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeBuy
28 July 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeBuy$32$33
24 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy
24 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy$30$29
22 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$35$33
22 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$35$36
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$38$34
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy
7 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$34$32
7 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
22 June 2026Roth CapitalUpgradeBuy
27 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform
13 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
27 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
13 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MGY appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

MGY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+7.4%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
6
Fundamentals

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (MGY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.5×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.3×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / book
2.2×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.2×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
50.1%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
132.7%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Gross margin
62.0%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Operating margin
50.7%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Net margin
28.8%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
20.9%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.8%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.7%

Higher than 62% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MGY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp.$6.4B
81
MTDRMatador Resources Co.$6.7B
45
CNXCNX Resources Corp.$5.1B
79
MURMurphy Oil Corp.$4.9B
67
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp.$4.8B
32
CHRDChord Energy Corp.$7.8B
77
SMSM Energy Co.$8.0B
53

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MGY news & analysis

Magnolia Beats Q2 Earnings on Higher Volumes and Price Realization

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026positive

Magnolia Oil & Gas beat Q2 earnings estimates, with higher oil and NGL prices and rising production lifting profit and revenues. The company also increased its 2026 output guidance.

Why it matters — The earnings beat and raised 2026 production outlook signal stronger volumes and price realization for MGY's operations.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 8 Aug 2026positive

Magnolia Oil & Gas reported record quarterly production in Q2 2026, raised its full-year standalone production-growth outlook, and shared additional details on its pending acquisition of WildFire Energy.

Why it matters — The record production and raised outlook signal operational strength, while the WildFire Energy acquisition details offer clarity on a major strategic move that could reshape the company's growth trajectory.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation held its Q2 2026 earnings call, with the transcript published by Seeking Alpha. The call covered the company's financial and operational results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026.

Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides MGY watchers with direct insight into management's discussion of quarterly performance and outlook.

Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) Q2 Earnings

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Research reports on Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp's (MGY) second-quarter 2026 results, noting that headline numbers provide insight into how the company performed for the quarter ended June 2026. The article suggests comparing key MGY metrics against Wall Street estimates and year-ago actuals for further perspective.

Why it matters — MGY watchers can use this comparison of the company's key Q2 metrics to analyst expectations and prior-year results to assess the quarterly performance.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026positive

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp reported quarterly earnings of $0.99 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.90 per share. This compares with earnings of $0.43 per share in the year-ago period.

Why it matters — MGY watchers would note that the company's quarterly earnings came in above consensus analyst expectations and well above the prior-year level.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MGY stock

What is the MGY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $26 to $38. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MGY stock a buy right now?

Of the 18 analysts covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp., 11 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. 81 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MGY?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. ranks 81 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (86 of 100).

Will MGY stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +25.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. 81 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MGY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MGY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $26 to $38 over the next 12 months.

How has MGY stock performed over the past year?

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. returned +13.1% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. do?

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company focused primarily on the prolific Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations of South Texas.

What is the latest news on MGY?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 13 Aug 2026): "Magnolia Beats Q2 Earnings on Higher Volumes and Price Realization". Magnolia Oil & Gas beat Q2 earnings estimates, with higher oil and NGL prices and rising production lifting profit and revenues. The company also increased its 2026 output guidance.

Company

About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company focused primarily on the prolific Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations of South Texas. Its primary function is the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas reserves. The company actively engages in extracting hydrocarbons in a region renowned for significant energy deposits and technological advancements in drilling and completion techniques. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. caters to both domestic and, indirectly, international energy demands through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. By leveraging strategic asset management and operational efficiencies, Magnolia aims to maximize shareholder value and maintain strong financial discipline. Its activities significantly impact the energy sector, contributing to the stabilization of supply and pricing within the broader markets. In the financial markets, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. plays a role as a potentially stable entity within a volatile energy market, backed by substantial resource bases and a consistent track record of efficient resource extraction. Their presence underscores the importance of technology and strategy in maximizing returns from mature and emerging oil fields.

CEO Mr. Christopher G. Stavros · 262 employees · United States · https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com