MUREnergy · Oil & Gas E&PThe 17 Wall Street analysts covering Murphy Oil Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $43 — -2.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 85 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Murphy Oil Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (90): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Quality (47): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
Size (20): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MUR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −2.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $36 → $44 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $36 → $37 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Scotiabank | Initiates | Sector Perform | $41 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Scotiabank | Initiates | Sector Perform | — |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $41 → $44 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $38 → $40 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $42 → $43 |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | $43 → $47 |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $41 → $42 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $45 → $41 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Downgrade | Underweight | $38 → $34 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
MUR appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
AI cloud capacity
MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL
AI chips
NVDAAVGOAMDMU
AI networking and serversIn full
ANETDELLLITECRDO
Data centre power
VRTCEGGEVVST
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Murphy Oil Corp. returned +62.7% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Cheaper than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Murphy Oil Corp. has a market value of $6.3B and an enterprise value of $8.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.0B. The latest quarter grew 35.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $346.4M, a 11.6% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.02.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $306.3M.
Murphy Oil Corp. spent $777K on share buybacks and $193.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 21.8×; forward P/E: 11.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.19%, paying out 67% of earnings.
Murphy Oil Corp. employs 813 people — $3.7M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Murphy Oil Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Murphy Oil was upgraded to Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects.
Why it matters — MUR watchers may note the upgrade as a signal of improved optimism about the company’s earnings outlook.
Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) was added to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) List on October 29, 2026, alongside ODD, BOOM, BSRR and AIN.
Why it matters — MUR watchers may note the stock’s inclusion in Zacks’ Strong Buy list.
Murphy Oil (MUR) and AIN were included in Zacks Investment Research’s Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) value stocks list on October 29, 2026.
Why it matters — The item reports MUR’s inclusion in Zacks’ top-ranked value stocks list.
Zacks Investment Research included Murphy Oil (MUR) and AIN on its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) income stocks list for October 29, 2026.
Why it matters — MUR watchers may note the stock’s inclusion on Zacks’ income-stock list and its stated rank.
Zacks Investment Research says Murphy Oil does not have the two key ingredients it identifies for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. The item previews key expectations for the report.
Why it matters — MUR watchers may note the article’s assessment of factors related to the company’s upcoming earnings report.
The 17 Wall Street analysts covering Murphy Oil Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $43, with estimates ranging from $34 to $54. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 17 analysts covering Murphy Oil Corp., 3 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Murphy Oil Corp. 85 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Murphy Oil Corp. ranks 85 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (90 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 17 analysts implies -2.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Murphy Oil Corp. 85 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Murphy Oil Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MUR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $34 to $54 over the next 12 months.
Murphy Oil Corp. returned +62.7% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Murphy Oil Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company focused on developing hydrocarbon resources across onshore and offshore assets. Murphy Oil Corporation’s current business centers on finding, appraising, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in key operating regions including the United States, Canada, Vietnam, and offshore Côte d’Ivoire.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 29 Oct 2026): "Murphy Oil (MUR) Upgraded to Strong Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?". Murphy Oil was upgraded to Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects.
Murphy Oil Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company focused on developing hydrocarbon resources across onshore and offshore assets. Murphy Oil Corporation’s current business centers on finding, appraising, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in key operating regions including the United States, Canada, Vietnam, and offshore Côte d’Ivoire. The company also manages a portfolio of exploration prospects and development projects that support its upstream production base, with activity spanning both mature producing areas and newer international basins. Murphy Oil Corporation serves as a global upstream energy operator, linking subsurface exploration with field development and production management to supply oil and gas markets.
CEO Mr. Eric M. Hambly · 813 employees · United States · https://www.murphyoilcorp.com
