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MURMUREnergy · Oil & Gas E&P

MUR Stock Forecast: Murphy Oil Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$39
−0.85% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Murphy Oil Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $40 — +3.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 66 of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$5.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
66 / 100
Median analyst target
$40
Analysts covering
16
Revenue$926.3M+35.6% y/y
Operating income$367.7M
Net income$263.5M
Free cash flow$176.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.2%
1M
+8.9%
YTD
+26.8%
1Y
+55.1%
From 52W high
−8.2%
From 52W low
+55.2%
$25
$42
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MUR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Murphy Oil Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 11 Sept 2026
66 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
85
Volatility
79
Growth
78
Accruals
76
Value
61
Issuance
60
Quality
48
Revisions
34
Size
22

Momentum (85): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Revisions (34): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Size (22): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MUR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MUR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35$40$45$50$55Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MURHigh $52Median $40Low $32

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says16 analysts
3 Buy11 Hold2 Sell
Low $32Median $40High $52

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +3.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
2 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$45 → $41
14 Aug 2026BarclaysDowngradeUnderweight$38 → $34
14 Aug 2026BarclaysDowngradeUnderweight—
13 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$48 → $43
13 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$42 → $45
10 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
10 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$43 → $38
7 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$41 → $38
7 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
21 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$44 → $41
21 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
29 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight$37 → $35
29 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
4 June 2026KeybancUpgradeOverweight—
27 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
26 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MUR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MUR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Murphy Oil Corp. returned +55.1% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MUR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MURS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MUR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−18.9%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
9
Fundamentals

Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.3×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.8×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
4.2×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
35.6%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
942.1%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Gross margin
51.3%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Operating margin
37.9%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Net margin
9.8%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
6.5%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.3%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.6%

Higher than 72% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Murphy Oil Corp. has a market value of $5.5B and an enterprise value of $7.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.0B. The latest quarter grew 35.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $346.4M, a 11.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.02.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $306.3M.

  • Murphy Oil Corp. spent $777K on share buybacks and $193.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 143.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 19.3×; forward P/E: 11.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.64%, paying out 67% of earnings.

  • Murphy Oil Corp. employs 813 people — $3.7M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 12 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MUR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MURMurphy Oil Corp.$5.5B
66
CNXCNX Resources Corp.$5.1B
81
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp.$5.1B
33
CRGYCrescent Energy Co.$4.8B
65
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp.$6.4B
82
LBLandBridge Co. LLC$6.6B
31
CRKComstock Resources, Inc.$4.3B
20

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Murphy Oil Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MUR news & analysis

Murphy Oil: FCF Focus Makes A Difference Through Better Offshore Results

Seeking Alpha · 13 Sept 2026positive

Murphy Oil management says the stock is undervalued and attributes past earnings volatility to frequent exploratory dry holes outside Malaysia, which caused repeated write-offs. The company responded by overhauling its exploration process and department, now emphasizing a balanced approach to exploration, risk, and reward, with better offshore results supporting a free cash flow focus.

Why it matters — A Murphy Oil watcher would care because the article highlights how an overhauled exploration strategy and free cash flow focus could reduce the volatility that has pressured the company's results and valuation.

Murphy Oil Corporation to Participate in Upcoming Conference

Business Wire · 4 Sept 2026neutral

Murphy Oil Corporation announced that its President and CEO, Eric M. Hambly, will present at the Barclays 40th Annual Energy-Power Conference on September 9, 2026. A live audio webcast will be available on the company's website, with a replay available for 30 days following the event.

Why it matters — This gives Murphy Oil watchers an opportunity to hear directly from the company's leadership regarding its outlook during an investor-focused energy conference.

Why Is Murphy Oil (MUR) Up 13% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026positive

Murphy Oil (MUR) reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 13% since that report. The article looks at what may happen next for the stock following this post-earnings gain.

Why it matters — MUR watchers would be interested in how the company's stock has performed since its latest earnings release and what direction it may take next.

Murphy Oil Corporation Announces New Chief Legal Officer

Business Wire · 24 Aug 2026neutral

Murphy Oil Corporation announced the appointment of Michol L. Ecklund as Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary, effective August 31, 2026. In this role, she will oversee the company's legal, compliance, governance, government affairs, land, sustainability and risk management functions and join the Executive Leadership Team.

Why it matters — This appointment brings new leadership to a key executive role overseeing legal, compliance and governance functions, which is relevant to Murphy Oil shareholders following corporate leadership changes.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MUR stock

What is the MUR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Murphy Oil Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $40, with estimates ranging from $32 to $52. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MUR stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering Murphy Oil Corp., 3 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Murphy Oil Corp. 66 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 11 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MUR?

As at 11 Sept 2026, Murphy Oil Corp. ranks 66 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (85 of 100).

Will MUR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +3.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Murphy Oil Corp. 66 out of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MUR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Murphy Oil Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MUR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $52 over the next 12 months.

How has MUR stock performed over the past year?

Murphy Oil Corp. returned +55.1% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Murphy Oil Corp. do?

Murphy Oil Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company focused on developing hydrocarbon resources across onshore and offshore assets. Murphy Oil Corporation’s current business centers on finding, appraising, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in key operating regions including the United States, Canada, Vietnam, and offshore Côte d’Ivoire.

What is the latest news on MUR?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 13 Sept 2026): "Murphy Oil: FCF Focus Makes A Difference Through Better Offshore Results". Murphy Oil management says the stock is undervalued and attributes past earnings volatility to frequent exploratory dry holes outside Malaysia, which caused repeated write-offs. The company responded by overhauling its exploration process and department, now emphasizing a balanced approach to exploration, risk, and reward, with better offshore results supporting a free cash flow focus.

Company

About Murphy Oil Corp.

Murphy Oil Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company focused on developing hydrocarbon resources across onshore and offshore assets. Murphy Oil Corporation’s current business centers on finding, appraising, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in key operating regions including the United States, Canada, Vietnam, and offshore Côte d’Ivoire. The company also manages a portfolio of exploration prospects and development projects that support its upstream production base, with activity spanning both mature producing areas and newer international basins. Murphy Oil Corporation serves as a global upstream energy operator, linking subsurface exploration with field development and production management to supply oil and gas markets.

CEO Mr. Eric M. Hambly · 813 employees · United States · https://www.murphyoilcorp.com