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MTDR Stock Forecast: Matador Resources Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$54
+4.05% on the day

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Matador Resources Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $67 — +24.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 45 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$6.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
45 / 100
Median analyst target
$67
Analysts covering
19
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+10.3%
1M
+3.1%
YTD
+29.3%
1Y
+16.8%
From 52W high
−16.8%
From 52W low
+49.0%
$36
$65
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MTDR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Matador Resources Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
45 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
70
Quality
70
Accruals
61
Value
61
Volatility
50
Momentum
47
Issuance
35
Growth
27
Size
20

Revisions (70): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Growth (27): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (20): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MTDR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTDR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60$70$80$90$100Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MTDRHigh $93Median $67Low $56

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says19 analysts
16 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $56Median $67High $93

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$73 → $68
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$63 → $79
11 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$68 → $60
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$63 → $59
10 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$54 → $56
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$92 → $93
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$56 → $54
21 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$62 → $56
21 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
20 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$72 → $68
20 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
16 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$67 → $63
16 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
29 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
27 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
26 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
22 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
12 May 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MTDR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

MTDR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.2%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
13
Fundamentals

Matador Resources Co. (MTDR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.2×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.7×

Cheaper than 57% of US stocks

Price / book
1.1×

Cheaper than 70% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
4.7×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
26.8%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
160.0%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Gross margin
62.2%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Operating margin
49.2%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Net margin
18.8%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.6%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.9%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.8%

Higher than 63% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MTDR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MTDRMatador Resources Co.$6.6B
45
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp.$6.0B
81
CHRDChord Energy Corp.$7.8B
77
SMSM Energy Co.$8.0B
53
CNXCNX Resources Corp.$5.1B
79
MURMurphy Oil Corp.$4.9B
67
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp.$4.8B
32

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Matador Resources Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MTDR news & analysis

Matador Resources: Midstream Connectivity Makes The Acreage More Valuable

Seeking Alpha · 13 Aug 2026positive

Matador Resources is building an integrated Delaware Basin platform combining upstream assets with midstream infrastructure. Q2 '26 results showed record oil production, strong free cash flow, and operating leverage despite negative realized gas prices and temporary shut-ins, while recent acquisitions of Paloma and Ridge Runner expanded high net revenue interest inventory and midstream capacity, supporting over 15 years of drilling inventory.

Why it matters — MTDR watchers would care because the expanded midstream connectivity and acquisitions increase the value of Matador's acreage and its long-term drilling inventory.

MTDR Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Oil Output & Pricing

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Aug 2026positive

Matador Resources topped second-quarter earnings estimates, driven by record oil output and higher realized oil prices, which fueled growth and led the company to raise its 2026 outlook.

Why it matters — For MTDR watchers, the earnings beat and lifted 2026 outlook signal stronger-than-expected performance driven by its oil production and pricing.

Matador Resources Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 8 Aug 2026positive

Matador Resources reported near-record adjusted free cash flow of $303 million for the second quarter of 2026 and used $200 million of it to reduce borrowings associated with its federal lease acquisition, according to management's earnings call.

Why it matters — A MTDR watcher would care because the company's strong quarterly cash generation and debt reduction show how it is funding and managing its recent federal lease acquisition.

Compared to Estimates, Matador (MTDR) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026neutral

The article discusses Matador Resources' (MTDR) second-quarter 2026 earnings results, comparing key metrics against Wall Street estimates and prior-year figures.

Why it matters — MTDR watchers would care because the comparison of key metrics to analyst estimates and year-ago values offers insight into the company's operational and financial performance trends.

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the Q2 2026 earnings call transcript for Matador Resources Company, covering the company's most recent quarterly earnings discussion.

Why it matters — The transcript gives MTDR watchers direct access to management's commentary on the company's Q2 2026 results and outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MTDR stock

What is the MTDR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Matador Resources Co. have a median 12-month price target of $67, with estimates ranging from $56 to $93. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MTDR stock a buy right now?

Of the 19 analysts covering Matador Resources Co., 16 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Matador Resources Co. 45 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MTDR?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Matador Resources Co. ranks 45 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (70 of 100).

Will MTDR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies +24.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Matador Resources Co. 45 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MTDR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Matador Resources Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTDR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $56 to $93 over the next 12 months.

How has MTDR stock performed over the past year?

Matador Resources Co. returned +16.8% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Matador Resources Co. do?

Matador Resources Company is an independent energy company focused on the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States. The business is organized around two core segments: Exploration and Production, and Midstream, allowing it to manage both upstream drilling activities and critical gathering and processing infrastructure.

What is the latest news on MTDR?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 13 Aug 2026): "Matador Resources: Midstream Connectivity Makes The Acreage More Valuable". Matador Resources is building an integrated Delaware Basin platform combining upstream assets with midstream infrastructure. Q2 '26 results showed record oil production, strong free cash flow, and operating leverage despite negative realized gas prices and temporary shut-ins, while recent acquisitions of Paloma and Ridge Runner expanded high net revenue interest inventory and midstream capacity, supporting over 15 years of drilling inventory.

Company

About Matador Resources Co.

Matador Resources Company is an independent energy company focused on the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States. The business is organized around two core segments: Exploration and Production, and Midstream, allowing it to manage both upstream drilling activities and critical gathering and processing infrastructure. Matador Resources Company concentrates much of its activity in the oil and liquids-rich Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in the Delaware Basin across Southeast New Mexico and West Texas, complemented by positions in the Haynesville shale and Cotton Valley plays in Northwest Louisiana and interests in the Eagle Ford shale in South Texas. Through its midstream operations, the company provides natural gas processing, oil transportation, and gathering and disposal services for oil, natural gas, and produced water, serving both its own operations and third-party customers. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas and founded in 2003, Matador Resources Company plays a notable role in U.S. shale and other unconventional resource development, linking upstream production with essential midstream services in key energy-producing regions.

CEO Mr. Joseph Wm. Foran · 483 employees · United States · https://www.matadorresources.com