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MTDR Stock Forecast: Matador Resources Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$54
+1.06% on the day

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering Matador Resources Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $69 — +28.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 50 of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$6.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
50 / 100
Median analyst target
$69
Analysts covering
21
Revenue$1.2B+26.8% y/y
Operating income$564.4M
Net income$413.7M
Free cash flow−$625.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.8%
1M
−10.2%
YTD
+28.9%
1Y
+27.4%
From 52W high
−17.0%
From 52W low
+48.5%
$36
$65
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MTDR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Matador Resources Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Oct 2026
50 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
72
Quality
70
Accruals
62
Value
61
Momentum
61
Volatility
44
Issuance
35
Growth
27
Size
19

Revisions (72): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Growth (27): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (19): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MTDR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTDR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$60$80$100Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MTDRHigh $101Median $69Low $59

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says21 analysts
18 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $59Median $69High $101

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +28.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
15 Sept 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$68 → $73
14 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$56 → $64
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
2 Sept 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight$79 → $77
2 Sept 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight—
13 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$73 → $68
13 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$63 → $79
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
11 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$68 → $60
11 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$63 → $59
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
10 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$54 → $56
10 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$92 → $93
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$56 → $54

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MTDR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MTDR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Matador Resources Co. returned +27.4% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MTDR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MTDRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MTDR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.8%
Analysts raising
8
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Matador Resources Co. (MTDR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.2×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.7×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / book
1.1×

Cheaper than 68% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
4.7×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
26.8%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
160.0%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Gross margin
62.2%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Operating margin
49.2%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Net margin
18.8%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.6%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.9%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.8%

Higher than 74% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Matador Resources Co. (MTDR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Matador Resources Co. has a market value of $6.6B and an enterprise value of $11.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.8B. The latest quarter grew 26.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $814.0M, a 21.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.83.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$568.6M, after $1.7B of capital spending.

  • Matador Resources Co. spent $23.7M on share buybacks and $178.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 124.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 9.2×; forward P/E: 5.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.80%, paying out 25% of earnings.

  • Matador Resources Co. employs 483 people — $7.9M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MTDR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MTDRMatador Resources Co.$6.6B
50
LBLandBridge Co. LLC$6.4B
31
CHRDChord Energy Corp.$7.8B
84
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp.$5.5B
83
MURMurphy Oil Corp.$5.4B
68
SMSM Energy Co.$8.4B
65
RRCRange Resources Corp.$9.1B
83

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Matador Resources Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MTDR news & analysis

Matador Resources Company Closes Paloma Acquisition and Provides Additional Integration Details

Business Wire · 1 Oct 2026positive

Matador Resources Company announced the closing of its previously announced acquisition of Paloma Permian LLC, an EnCap Investments portfolio company, for cash consideration of $1.255 billion subject to customary post-closing adjustments. The acquisition adds over 156 net locations normalized to two-mile laterals.

Why it matters — The closing of the Paloma acquisition expands Matador's Permian Basin footprint with more than 156 net drilling locations, adding to its inventory and potential growth.

Energy Stock Insider Doubles Down, Buys 2,500 Shares Worth More Than $140,000

The Motley Fool · 9 Sept 2026positive

On August 27, 2026, an insider at Matador Resources Co. purchased 2,500 shares at $56.64 per share, for a total value of $141,600. The acquisition represents 2% of the insider's total equity stake held before the transaction.

Why it matters — An insider increasing their stake in the company can signal confidence in Matador Resources' prospects to shareholders and market watchers.

Here's Why Matador Resources (MTDR) is a Strong Momentum Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Matador Resources (MTDR) as a strong momentum stock based on its Zacks Style Scores framework, which is used to identify market-beating stocks for investor portfolios.

Why it matters — A favorable momentum ranking from Zacks Style Scores indicates that MTDR is being recognized among stocks showing strong recent performance, which is relevant for investors tracking the company.

Matador (MTDR) Up 22.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026positive

Matador Resources reported earnings 30 days ago, and since that report the stock has risen 22.7%. The article examines the company's recent performance and considers what may come next for the stock.

Why it matters — A 22.7% gain since the last earnings report signals notable momentum that MTDR watchers would want to track as they assess the company's post-earnings trajectory.

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Presents at 17th Annual Midwest IDEAS Conference Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Matador Resources Company presented at the 17th Annual Midwest IDEAS Conference, and a transcript of the presentation was published by Seeking Alpha. The item covers the company's remarks at the investor conference.

Why it matters — MTDR watchers would care because the transcript provides insight into what the company's management communicated to investors at the conference.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MTDR stock

What is the MTDR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering Matador Resources Co. have a median 12-month price target of $69, with estimates ranging from $59 to $101. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MTDR stock a buy right now?

Of the 21 analysts covering Matador Resources Co., 18 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Matador Resources Co. 50 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MTDR?

As at 3 Oct 2026, Matador Resources Co. ranks 50 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (72 of 100).

Will MTDR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 21 analysts implies +28.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Matador Resources Co. 50 out of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MTDR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Matador Resources Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTDR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $59 to $101 over the next 12 months.

How has MTDR stock performed over the past year?

Matador Resources Co. returned +27.4% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Matador Resources Co. do?

Matador Resources Company is an independent energy company focused on the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States. The company concentrates on shale and other unconventional plays, with operations centered in the Delaware Basin across Southeast New Mexico and West Texas, as well as activities in Northwest Louisiana.

What is the latest news on MTDR?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 1 Oct 2026): "Matador Resources Company Closes Paloma Acquisition and Provides Additional Integration Details". Matador Resources Company announced the closing of its previously announced acquisition of Paloma Permian LLC, an EnCap Investments portfolio company, for cash consideration of $1.255 billion subject to customary post-closing adjustments. The acquisition adds over 156 net locations normalized to two-mile laterals.

Company

About Matador Resources Co.

Matador Resources Company is an independent energy company focused on the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States. The company concentrates on shale and other unconventional plays, with operations centered in the Delaware Basin across Southeast New Mexico and West Texas, as well as activities in Northwest Louisiana. Matador Resources Company operates through exploration and production and midstream segments, combining upstream oil and gas development with infrastructure services that support gathering, processing, transportation, and produced water handling. Its midstream business also serves third parties, adding an important commercial and operational layer to its core hydrocarbon activities. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Matador Resources Company plays a notable role in U.S. energy markets through its focus on liquids-rich resource development and integrated midstream support.

CEO Mr. Joseph Wm. Foran · 483 employees · United States · https://www.matadorresources.com