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ARKO Stock Forecast: ARKO Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Aug 2026
$4.72
−0.63% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering ARKO Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $9 — +90.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 84 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$532.9M
Ticker Nerd rank
84 / 100
Median analyst target
$9.00
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$2.3B+17.4% y/y
Operating income$30.4M
Net income$9.4M
Free cash flow$8.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.2%
1M
−40.1%
YTD
+5.6%
1Y
−7.0%
From 52W high
−45.0%
From 52W low
+26.4%
$3.73
$8.58
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ARKO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores ARKO Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
84 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
98
Momentum
76
Accruals
74
Growth
72
Value
65
Size
53
Quality
51
Volatility
50
Revisions
46

Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Revisions (46): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ARKO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ARKO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00$12.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ARKOHigh $11.00Median $9.00Low $7.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
2 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $7.00Median $9.00High $11.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +90.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Aug 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeOutperform$8.00 → $7.00
12 May 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$4.50 → $5.00
12 May 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
9 May 2025Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy$11 → $10
9 May 2025Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
27 Feb 2025StifelDowngradeHold—
8 Aug 2024Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 May 2024BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
19 Apr 2024Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
29 Feb 2024BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
14 Nov 2023BMO CapitalDowngradeMarket Perform—
8 Nov 2023Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 Aug 2023Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
12 May 2023StifelMaintainsBuy—
10 May 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
10 Mar 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
6 Feb 2023Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 Jan 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
10 Aug 2022Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
25 May 2022Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ARKO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ARKO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Aug 2026, ARKO Corp. returned −7.0% against +19.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ARKO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ARKOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ARKO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−57.7%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

ARKO Corp. (ARKO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
59.4×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.1×

Cheaper than 97% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.3×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.2%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−69.6%

Higher than 6% of US stocks

Gross margin
12.7%

Higher than 12% of US stocks

Operating margin
1.6%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Net margin
0.2%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.0%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.5%

Higher than 56% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

ARKO Corp. (ARKO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • ARKO Corp. has a market value of $532.9M and an enterprise value of $2.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $7.9B. The latest quarter grew 22.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $19.2M, a 0.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.07.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $36.7M.

  • ARKO Corp. spent $15.9M on share buybacks and $19.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 112.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 59.4×; forward P/E: 95.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.52%, paying out 150% of earnings.

  • ARKO Corp. employs 9,748 people — $814K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 25 Aug 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ARKO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSpecialty Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ARKOARKO Corp.$532.9M
84
BBWBuild-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.$487.6M
50
EVGOEVgo, Inc.$473.9M
12
BWMXBetterware de Mexico SAPI de CV$598.9M
89
BNEDBarnes & Noble Education, Inc.$413.6M
72
WOOFPetco Health & Wellness Company, Inc.$798.7M
73
FLWS1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.$254.5M
60

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own ARKO Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ARKO news & analysis

Arko: The USPP Deal Looks Worse Than It Really Is

Seeking Alpha · 11 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha argues that ARKO Corp.'s acquisition of USPP, which adds 280 million gallons in wholesale fuel volume and raises leverage to 3–3.5x EBITDA, is not as negative as it appears, despite a 5.7% decline in retail fuel volume pressuring EBITDA.

Why it matters — ARKO watchers would care because the article suggests the wholesale expansion could serve as a buffer against ongoing retail headwinds, potentially shifting the company's risk profile.

ARKO Q2 Earnings Call Centers on USPP Deal and Margin Defense

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Aug 2026positive

ARKO maintained its 2026 EBITDA guidance and raised its fuel-margin outlook during its Q2 earnings call, citing the USPP deal, loyalty programs and dealerization as key factors helping counter softer retail demand.

Why it matters — ARKO watchers would care because the company affirmed its medium-term earnings guidance and improved its fuel-margin expectations despite weaker retail demand, supported by strategic initiatives.

Arko Corp. (ARKO) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Arko Corp. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the full transcript of the event. The transcript covers the company's quarterly results and management discussion.

Why it matters — ARKO watchers can review management's commentary and results directly from the Q2 2026 earnings call transcript.

ARKO Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 7 Aug 2026neutral

ARKO reported second-quarter results reflecting softer retail demand in June, driven by elevated gasoline prices and pressure on consumer spending. Management said disciplined fuel pricing, wholesale performance, and growth initiatives supported profitability during the period.

Why it matters — ARKO watchers would care because the results show how fuel-price-driven consumer pressure affected retail demand while management emphasized that pricing discipline and growth initiatives helped sustain profitability.

ARKO Corp. (ARKO) Q2 Earnings Lag Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026negative

ARKO Corp. reported quarterly earnings of $0.04 per share for Q2, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.15 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.16 per share in the same quarter a year ago.

Why it matters — ARKO watchers would care because the company fell well short of analyst expectations and posted a year-over-year decline in earnings.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ARKO stock

What is the ARKO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering ARKO Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $9, with estimates ranging from $7 to $11. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ARKO stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering ARKO Corp., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks ARKO Corp. 84 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ARKO?

As at 22 Aug 2026, ARKO Corp. ranks 84 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).

Will ARKO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +90.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks ARKO Corp. 84 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ARKO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering ARKO Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ARKO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7 to $11 over the next 12 months.

How has ARKO stock performed over the past year?

ARKO Corp. returned -7.0% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does ARKO Corp. do?

Arko Corp. is a Fortune 500 company that owns 100% of GPM Investments, LLC and ranks as one of the largest operators of convenience stores and wholesalers of fuel in the United States.

What is the latest news on ARKO?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 11 Aug 2026): "Arko: The USPP Deal Looks Worse Than It Really Is". Seeking Alpha argues that ARKO Corp.'s acquisition of USPP, which adds 280 million gallons in wholesale fuel volume and raises leverage to 3–3.5x EBITDA, is not as negative as it appears, despite a 5.7% decline in retail fuel volume pressuring EBITDA.

Company

About ARKO Corp.

Arko Corp. is a Fortune 500 company that owns 100% of GPM Investments, LLC and ranks as one of the largest operators of convenience stores and wholesalers of fuel in the United States. Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, it operates through four key segments: retail, wholesale, GPM Petroleum, and fleet fueling. The retail segment runs convenience stores under a recognizable Family of Community Brands, offering prepared foods, beer, snacks, candy, hot and cold beverages, and popular quick-serve restaurant options, supported by the fas REWARDS loyalty program for savings on merchandise and gas. The wholesale segment supplies fuel to independent dealers, sub-wholesalers, and bulk purchasers. GPM Petroleum provides fuel to the company's retail and wholesale sites, while the fleet fueling segment manages proprietary cardlock locations, third-party sites, and fuel cards with nationwide network access. Arko Corp. plays a vital role in the convenience retail and fuel distribution markets, serving consumers, businesses, and fleet operators across multiple states with a focus on everyday essentials and energy needs.

CEO Mr. Arie Kotler · 9,748 employees · United States · https://www.arkocorp.com