ARKOARKOConsumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

ARKO Stock Forecast: ARKO Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 7 Aug 2026
$5.65
−22.50% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering ARKO Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $9.5 — +68.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 94 of 100 as at 8 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$635.0M
Ticker Nerd rank
94 / 100
Median analyst target
$9.50
Analysts covering
2
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−29.3%
1M
−28.0%
YTD
+25.6%
1Y
+22.9%
From 52W high
−34.6%
From 52W low
+50.3%
$3.76
$8.64
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ARKO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores ARKO Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Aug 2026
94 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
98
Momentum
78
Revisions
75
Accruals
74
Growth
71
Value
70
Volatility
62
Size
51
Quality
50

Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Quality (50): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own ARKO Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

ARKO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ARKO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00$12.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ARKOHigh $11.00Median $9.50Low $8.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says2 analysts
2 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $8.00Median $9.50High $11.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +68.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
12 May 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$4.50$5.00
9 May 2025Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy$11$10
27 Feb 2025StifelDowngradeHold
8 Aug 2024Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
9 May 2024BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform
19 Apr 2024Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
29 Feb 2024BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform
14 Nov 2023BMO CapitalDowngradeMarket Perform
8 Nov 2023Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
9 Aug 2023Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
12 May 2023StifelMaintainsBuy
10 May 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform
10 Mar 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform
6 Feb 2023Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
9 Jan 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform
10 Aug 2022Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
25 May 2022Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight
19 Mar 2021StifelInitiatesBuy
5 Feb 2021Raymond JamesInitiatesStrong Buy
26 Jan 2021BMO CapitalInitiatesOutperform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

ARKO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+141.7%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

ARKO Corp. (ARKO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
70.8×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.1×

Cheaper than 96% of US stocks

Price / book
1.6×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.8×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
36.6%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−69.6%

Higher than 6% of US stocks

Gross margin
4.9%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Operating margin
1.3%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Net margin
0.2%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.6%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.1%

Higher than 48% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

ARKO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSpecialty Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ARKOARKO Corp.$635.0M
94
BWMXBetterware de Mexico SAPI de CV$623.9M
88
HZOMarineMax, Inc.$765.8M
71
WOOFPetco Health & Wellness Company, Inc.$781.9M
69
EVGOEVgo, Inc.$508.5M
11
BBWBuild-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.$462.1M
58
BNEDBarnes & Noble Education, Inc.$439.0M
69
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ARKO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest ARKO news & analysis

Arko Corp. (ARKO) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Arko Corp. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the full transcript of the event. The transcript covers the company's quarterly results and management discussion.

Why it matters — ARKO watchers can review management's commentary and results directly from the Q2 2026 earnings call transcript.

ARKO Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 7 Aug 2026neutral

ARKO reported second-quarter results reflecting softer retail demand in June, driven by elevated gasoline prices and pressure on consumer spending. Management said disciplined fuel pricing, wholesale performance, and growth initiatives supported profitability during the period.

Why it matters — ARKO watchers would care because the results show how fuel-price-driven consumer pressure affected retail demand while management emphasized that pricing discipline and growth initiatives helped sustain profitability.

ARKO Corp. (ARKO) Q2 Earnings Lag Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026negative

ARKO Corp. reported quarterly earnings of $0.04 per share for Q2, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.15 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.16 per share in the same quarter a year ago.

Why it matters — ARKO watchers would care because the company fell well short of analyst expectations and posted a year-over-year decline in earnings.

ARKO Corp. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

GlobeNewsWire · 7 Aug 2026neutral

ARKO Corp. announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2026 and reaffirmed its full-year 2026 financial guidance.

Why it matters — The reaffirmation of full-year guidance provides ARKO watchers with continued confidence in the company's outlook despite second-quarter performance.

ARKO Q2 Earnings on Deck: Essential Insights for Investors

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Aug 2026negative

ARKO is heading into its Q2 earnings report with expected declines in revenue and profit. The pressures stem from value-seeking consumers, dealerization, and rising costs weighing on results.

Why it matters — The report signals near-term financial headwinds for ARKO, with anticipated revenue and profit declines that ARKO watchers will be monitoring.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ARKO stock

What is the ARKO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering ARKO Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $9.5, with estimates ranging from $8 to $11. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ARKO stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering ARKO Corp., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks ARKO Corp. 94 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ARKO?

As at 8 Aug 2026, ARKO Corp. ranks 94 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).

Will ARKO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +68.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks ARKO Corp. 94 out of 100 as at 8 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ARKO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering ARKO Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ARKO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $8 to $11 over the next 12 months.

How has ARKO stock performed over the past year?

ARKO Corp. returned +22.9% over the 12 months to 7 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does ARKO Corp. do?

Arko Corp. is a Fortune 500 company that owns 100% of GPM Investments, LLC and ranks as one of the largest operators of convenience stores and wholesalers of fuel in the United States.

What is the latest news on ARKO?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 7 Aug 2026): "Arko Corp. (ARKO) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Arko Corp. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the full transcript of the event. The transcript covers the company's quarterly results and management discussion.

Company

About ARKO Corp.

Arko Corp. is a Fortune 500 company that owns 100% of GPM Investments, LLC and ranks as one of the largest operators of convenience stores and wholesalers of fuel in the United States. Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, it operates through four key segments: retail, wholesale, GPM Petroleum, and fleet fueling. The retail segment runs convenience stores under a recognizable Family of Community Brands, offering prepared foods, beer, snacks, candy, hot and cold beverages, and popular quick-serve restaurant options, supported by the fas REWARDS loyalty program for savings on merchandise and gas. The wholesale segment supplies fuel to independent dealers, sub-wholesalers, and bulk purchasers. GPM Petroleum provides fuel to the company's retail and wholesale sites, while the fleet fueling segment manages proprietary cardlock locations, third-party sites, and fuel cards with nationwide network access. Arko Corp. plays a vital role in the convenience retail and fuel distribution markets, serving consumers, businesses, and fleet operators across multiple states with a focus on everyday essentials and energy needs.

CEO Mr. Arie Kotler · 9,748 employees · United States · https://www.arkocorp.com