ARKOARKOConsumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

ARKO Stock Forecast: Arko Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$4.04
+5.21% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Arko Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $8.5 — +110.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$453.2M
Ticker Nerd rank
89/ 100
Median analyst target
$8.50
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$2.3B+17.4% y/y
Operating income$30.4M
Net income$9.4M
Free cash flow$8.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+9.5%
1M
−3.1%
YTD
−9.6%
1Y
−6.5%
From 52W high
−52.9%
From 52W low
+9.5%
$3.69
$8.58
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ARKO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Arko Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
89/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
98
Accruals
74
Growth
72
Value
68
Revisions
67
Volatility
65
Quality
57
Momentum
56
Size
54

Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Momentum (56): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (54): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

ARKO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ARKO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ARKOHigh $10.00Median $8.50Low $7.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
2 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $7.00Median $8.50High $10.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +110.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Aug 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeOutperform$8.00 → $7.00
12 May 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$4.50 → $5.00
12 May 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
9 May 2025Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy$11 → $10
9 May 2025Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
27 Feb 2025StifelDowngradeHold—
8 Aug 2024Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 May 2024BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
19 Apr 2024Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
29 Feb 2024BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
14 Nov 2023BMO CapitalDowngradeMarket Perform—
8 Nov 2023Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 Aug 2023Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
12 May 2023StifelMaintainsBuy—
10 May 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
10 Mar 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
6 Feb 2023Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 Jan 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
10 Aug 2022Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
25 May 2022Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

ARKO appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

ARKO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Arko Corp. returned −6.5% against +12.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ARKO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ARKOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ARKO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−57.7%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Arko Corp. (ARKO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
50.5×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.1×

Cheaper than 96% of US stocks

Price / book
1.1×

Cheaper than 68% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.8×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.2%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−69.6%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Gross margin
12.7%

Higher than 12% of US stocks

Operating margin
1.6%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Net margin
0.2%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.0%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.0%

Higher than 87% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Arko Corp. (ARKO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Arko Corp. has a market value of $453.2M and an enterprise value of $2.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $7.9B. The latest quarter grew 22.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $19.2M, a 0.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.07.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $36.7M.

  • Arko Corp. spent $15.9M on share buybacks and $19.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 112.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 50.5×; forward P/E: 80.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.96%, paying out 150% of earnings.

  • Arko Corp. employs 9,748 people — $814K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ARKO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSpecialty Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ARKOArko Corp.$453.2M89
BNEDBarnes & Noble Education, Inc.$428.7M74
QVCGQVC Group, Inc.$399.0M27
BBWBuild-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.$368.2M41
EVGOEVgo, Inc.$574.4M18
CHPTChargePoint Holdings, Inc.$279.4M92
BWMXBetterware de Mexico SAPI de CV$680.3M92

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Arko Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ARKO news & analysis

Is It Worth Investing in ARKO (ARKO) Based on Wall Street's Bullish Views?

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Oct 2026neutral

A Zacks Investment Research item asks whether Wall Street analysts’ bullish views on ARKO are worth considering and questions how much analyst recommendations matter to investment decisions.

Why it matters — ARKO watchers may find the discussion relevant when assessing the role of sell-side ratings, though the excerpt provides no specific recommendation or evidence about ARKO.

ARKO Corp. (ARKO) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026negative

ARKO Corp. closed at $3.69 in the most recent trading session, down 4.16% from the previous trading day.

Why it matters — ARKO watchers may note the reported session decline as a recent move in the stock.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ARKO stock

What is the ARKO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Arko Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $8.5, with estimates ranging from $7 to $10. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ARKO stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering Arko Corp., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Arko Corp. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ARKO?

As at 3 Nov 2026, Arko Corp. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).

Will ARKO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +110.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Arko Corp. 89 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ARKO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Arko Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ARKO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7 to $10 over the next 12 months.

How has ARKO stock performed over the past year?

Arko Corp. returned -6.5% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Arko Corp. do?

ARKO Corp. is a convenience store and fuel wholesale company that operates a large network of retail locations, wholesale supply channels, and fleet fueling services across the United States.

What is the latest news on ARKO?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 4 Nov 2026): "ARKO Petroleum Corp. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results, Raises Full Year 2026 Guidance and Declares Quarterly Dividend". ARKO Petroleum Corp. reported third-quarter 2026 results, raised its full-year 2026 financial guidance, and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share.

Company

About Arko Corp.

ARKO Corp. is a convenience store and fuel wholesale company that operates a large network of retail locations, wholesale supply channels, and fleet fueling services across the United States. The company serves consumers, independent dealers, and commercial customers through four main segments: Retail, Wholesale, Fleet Fueling, and GPMP. Its retail business offers motor fuels, prepared foods, beverages, tobacco products, grocery items, and general merchandise, while its wholesale and fuel distribution operations support dealers and other buyers with reliable fuel supply. ARKO Corp. also provides cardlock and fuel card services for fleet customers, adding a commercial distribution layer to its business model. Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, ARKO Corp. plays a significant role in the U.S. convenience retail and downstream fuel markets through a broad multi-banner store and fuel distribution platform.

CEO Mr. Arie Kotler · 9,748 employees · United States · https://www.arkocorp.com