ASTSTechnology · Communication EquipmentThe 13 Wall Street analysts covering AST SpaceMobile, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $78 — +89.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 6 of 100 as at 20 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AST SpaceMobile, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (65): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Volatility (4): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ASTS, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +89.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Downgrade | Neutral | $98 → $54 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Upgrade | Buy | $93 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | $85 → $65 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Berenberg | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Berenberg | Initiates | Buy | $92 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $80 → $90 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $100 → $98 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 11 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $80 → $78 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Scotiabank | Upgrade | Sector Perform | $51 |
| 29 July 2026 | Scotiabank | Upgrade | Sector Perform | — |
| 17 July 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 17 July 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Upgrade | Buy | $85 |
| 16 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 16 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | $100 |
| 29 May 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Downgrade | Hold | $117 → $106 |
| 29 May 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Downgrade | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
ASTS appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 20 Oct 2026, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. returned −50.3% against +15.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 98% of US stocks
Cheaper than 3% of US stocks
Cheaper than 14% of US stocks
Cheaper than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 7% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. has a market value of $16.3B and an enterprise value of $13.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $115.3M. The latest quarter grew 2626.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$811.0M, a −703.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−2.14.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$1.7B.
Trailing P/E: −31.1×; forward P/E: −32.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. employs 1,126 people — $102K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AST SpaceMobile, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
SpaceX shares rose 8% after a third-quarter revenue beat, alongside fresh discussion of a potential Tesla merger backed by Elon Musk. Rocket Lab and AST SpaceMobile also edged higher.
Why it matters — The report notes AST SpaceMobile moved higher alongside other space stocks as SpaceX gained on its results and merger talk.
Kaplan Fox & Kilsheimer LLP announced that a class action lawsuit has been filed against AST SpaceMobile on behalf of investors who purchased or acquired AST securities from March 4, 2025, through July 15, 2026. The announcement identifies November 13, 2026, as the approaching lead plaintiff deadline.
Why it matters — ASTS investors may wish to note the announced lawsuit and the stated deadline for seeking lead plaintiff status.
The DJS Law Group said it is reminding investors of a class action lawsuit against AST SpaceMobile alleging violations of federal securities laws. It encouraged shareholders who purchased ASTS shares during the stated class period to contact the firm about possible lead plaintiff appointments.
Why it matters — The lawsuit and request for shareholder participation are relevant developments for investors following AST SpaceMobile.
Rosen Law Firm reminded AST SpaceMobile securities purchasers from March 4, 2025 through July 15, 2026, of a November 13, 2026 deadline to seek lead plaintiff status in a securities fraud lawsuit. The firm stated that eligible purchasers may be entitled to compensation through a contingency fee arrangement without out-of-pocket fees or costs.
Why it matters — The notice concerns a securities fraud lawsuit and a lead plaintiff deadline relevant to ASTS investors who purchased during the stated class period.
AST SpaceMobile has lost nearly half its value while satellite peers have risen, but a Wall Street analyst still expects the stock to double by 2027. The excerpt says upcoming launches could validate that view or lead to further dilution.
Why it matters — ASTS watchers may track the next launches as a test of the analyst’s optimism and the company’s financing outlook.
The 13 Wall Street analysts covering AST SpaceMobile, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $78, with estimates ranging from $43 to $108. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 13 analysts covering AST SpaceMobile, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AST SpaceMobile, Inc. 6 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 20 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 20 Oct 2026, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. ranks 6 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (65 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +89.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AST SpaceMobile, Inc. 6 out of 100 as at 20 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering AST SpaceMobile, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ASTS are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $43 to $108 over the next 12 months.
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. returned -50.3% over the 12 months to 20 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
AST SpaceMobile Inc. is a satellite communications company focused on building a space-based cellular broadband network that connects directly to standard smartphones.
The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 21 Oct 2026): "SpaceX Jumps 8% on Q3 Revenue Beat as Musk Backs Tesla Merger Idea; Rocket Lab and AST SpaceMobile Edge Higher". SpaceX shares rose 8% after a third-quarter revenue beat, alongside fresh discussion of a potential Tesla merger backed by Elon Musk. Rocket Lab and AST SpaceMobile also edged higher.
AST SpaceMobile Inc. is a satellite communications company focused on building a space-based cellular broadband network that connects directly to standard smartphones. The company designs, manufactures, and develops the BlueBird satellite constellation and related ground infrastructure to extend mobile coverage without requiring special devices or terminals. Its services are aimed at commercial and government users, with a business model centered on working with mobile network operators to expand connectivity into remote, rural, maritime, and underserved areas. AST SpaceMobile’s platform is positioned at the intersection of satellite technology, wireless infrastructure, and telecom services, supporting direct-to-device communications for voice, data, and broadband applications. Headquartered in Midland, Texas, AST SpaceMobile plays a distinct role in the market by enabling mobile connectivity from space for everyday devices.
CEO Mr. Abel Avellan · 1,126 employees · United States · https://ast-science.com
