ASTSTechnology · Communication EquipmentThe 13 Wall Street analysts covering AST SpaceMobile, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $78 — +131.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 7 of 100 as at 9 Nov 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AST SpaceMobile, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (62): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Volatility (5): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ASTS, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +131.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | Scotiabank | Upgrade | Sector Outperform | $51 → $56 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Downgrade | Neutral | $98 → $54 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Upgrade | Buy | $93 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 2 Oct 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | $85 → $65 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Berenberg | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Berenberg | Initiates | Buy | $92 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $80 → $90 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $100 → $98 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $80 → $78 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Scotiabank | Upgrade | Sector Perform | $51 |
| 29 July 2026 | Scotiabank | Upgrade | Sector Perform | — |
| 17 July 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 17 July 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Upgrade | Buy | $85 |
| 16 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | $100 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
ASTS appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 10 Nov 2026, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. returned −51.0% against +11.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 97% of US stocks
Cheaper than 4% of US stocks
Cheaper than 18% of US stocks
Cheaper than 92% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 7% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 22% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. has a market value of $14.4B and an enterprise value of $12.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $115.3M. The latest quarter grew 187.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$811.0M, a −703.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: −$2.14.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$1.7B.
Trailing P/E: −25.1×; forward P/E: −22.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. employs 1,126 people — $102K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AST SpaceMobile, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
AST SpaceMobile reported growth of over 187%, but the result fell short of expectations. The article also says a hot inflation report may have weighed on shares, amid the company’s current losses.
Why it matters — ASTS watchers may note that strong reported growth did not meet expectations and that inflation was cited as a possible factor behind the share decline.
AST SpaceMobile shares were down 55% year to date to $32.35 as of the afternoon session, with the latest quarterly report adding pressure, according to 24/7 Wall Street.
Why it matters — The report highlights the stock’s steep year-to-date decline and the added pressure following its latest quarterly report.
AST SpaceMobile aims to have 45 satellites in orbit by mid-2027, while sales have nearly tripled. The excerpt notes that carrier payments depend on continuous coverage, which in turn relies on launches outside the company's control.
Why it matters — The deployment target and reliance on launch timing are central to whether AST SpaceMobile can provide the coverage carriers require.
SueWallSt reminded AST SpaceMobile shareholders of a November 13, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline in a lawsuit. The excerpt says the suit alleges repeated “fully funded” assurances were followed by three $1.0 billion convertible note offerings and two competitive downgrades.
Why it matters — The lawsuit and its allegations about financing disclosures and competitive downgrades may be relevant to shareholders monitoring ASTS.
AST SpaceMobile’s Q3 2026 revenue rose 187.1%, but earnings missed estimates as higher costs weighed on profits amid accelerated satellite expansion.
Why it matters — The results highlight that rapid revenue growth coincided with rising costs and an earnings miss.
The 13 Wall Street analysts covering AST SpaceMobile, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $78, with estimates ranging from $43 to $108. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 13 analysts covering AST SpaceMobile, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AST SpaceMobile, Inc. 7 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 9 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 9 Nov 2026, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. ranks 7 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (62 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +131.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AST SpaceMobile, Inc. 7 out of 100 as at 9 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering AST SpaceMobile, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ASTS are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $43 to $108 over the next 12 months.
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. returned -51.0% over the 12 months to 10 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
AST SpaceMobile Inc. is a satellite communications company focused on building a space-based cellular broadband network that connects directly to standard smartphones.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 10 Nov 2026): "Why AST SpaceMobile Plunged Today". AST SpaceMobile reported growth of over 187%, but the result fell short of expectations. The article also says a hot inflation report may have weighed on shares, amid the company’s current losses.
AST SpaceMobile Inc. is a satellite communications company focused on building a space-based cellular broadband network that connects directly to standard smartphones. The company designs, manufactures, and develops the BlueBird satellite constellation and related ground infrastructure to extend mobile coverage without requiring special devices or terminals. Its services are aimed at commercial and government users, with a business model centered on working with mobile network operators to expand connectivity into remote, rural, maritime, and underserved areas. AST SpaceMobile’s platform is positioned at the intersection of satellite technology, wireless infrastructure, and telecom services, supporting direct-to-device communications for voice, data, and broadband applications. Headquartered in Midland, Texas, AST SpaceMobile plays a distinct role in the market by enabling mobile connectivity from space for everyday devices.
CEO Mr. Abel Avellan · 1,126 employees · United States · https://ast-science.com
