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AZOAZOConsumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

AZO Stock Forecast: AutoZone, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Sept 2026
$2,844
−0.17% on the day

The 27 Wall Street analysts covering AutoZone, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $3,850 — +35.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 43 of 100 as at 16 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$46.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
43 / 100
Median analyst target
$3,850
Analysts covering
27
Revenue$4.8B+8.4% y/y
Operating income$923.8M
Net income$641.5M
Free cash flow$456.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 May 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.3%
1M
−5.8%
YTD
−16.1%
1Y
−32.8%
From 52W high
−33.7%
From 52W low
0.0%
$2,844
$4,290
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AZO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AutoZone, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 16 Sept 2026
43 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
94
Quality
86
Issuance
66
Revisions
56
Value
54
Growth
42
Momentum
30
Accruals
29
Size
5

Volatility (94): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (29): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (5): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AZO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AZO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$3,000$3,500$4,000$4,500$5,000Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AZOHigh $4,800Median $3,850Low $3,200

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says27 analysts
23 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $3,200Median $3,850High $4,800

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +35.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$3,700 → $3,450
10 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$4,150 → $3,500
31 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
31 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$3,700 → $3,500
4 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
4 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$3,900 → $3,637
4 June 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy—
4 June 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy$3,700
28 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
28 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$4,300 → $3,700
27 May 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral—
27 May 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
27 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
27 May 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
27 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
27 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
27 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
27 May 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy—
27 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
26 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AZO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AZO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, AutoZone, Inc. returned −32.8% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AZO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AZOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AZO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.6%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.7×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.5×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Price / book
−17.0×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.9×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.4%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
5.4%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Gross margin
52.2%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Operating margin
19.1%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Net margin
12.4%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−73.2%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.4%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • AutoZone, Inc. has a market value of $46.5B and an enterprise value of $59.3B.

  • Shares outstanding: 16.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 19.7×; forward P/E: 16.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • AutoZone, Inc. employs 78,000 people.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 May 2026 · market figures as at 17 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AZO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AZOAutoZone, Inc.$46.5B
43
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.$69.3B
59
GPCGenuine Parts Co.$18.2B
56
BWABorgWarner, Inc.$12.8B
96
AURAurora Innovation, Inc.$12.5B
20
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.$9.9B
52
MODModine Manufacturing Co.$9.5B
34

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AutoZone, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AZO news & analysis

AutoZone (AZO) Q4 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Research reports on AutoZone's upcoming Q4 earnings (quarter ending August 2026), highlighting Wall Street's top-and-bottom-line estimates and projections for key performance metrics that analysts are reviewing to gauge how the company may have performed.

Why it matters — AZO watchers can gain insight into the analyst expectations and specific performance measures being tracked ahead of the company's Q4 earnings report.

Here's Why AutoZone (AZO) Fell More Than Broader Market

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Sept 2026negative

AutoZone (AZO) fell 3.6% in the recent trading day, closing at $2 and declining more than the broader market.

Why it matters — The stock's decline exceeding the broader market may signal weak performance or negative sentiment for AutoZone watchers.

AutoZone (AZO) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Sept 2026neutral

AutoZone's upcoming earnings report is being reviewed by Zacks Investment Research, which notes that AZO lacks the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat. The article outlines key expectations ahead of the report while posing the question of whether investors should buy the stock.

Why it matters — AZO watchers would want to know whether the company is positioned to meet or beat earnings expectations in its upcoming report.

Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp AutoZone Expectations Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Benzinga · 15 Sept 2026neutral

AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO) will release its fourth-quarter earnings report before the market opens on Tuesday, Sept. 22, with Wall Street forecasters having adjusted their expectations ahead of the announcement.

Why it matters — AZO watchers would care because the upcoming quarterly report and revised analyst expectations could set the tone for how the company's most recent quarter is assessed.

AutoZone: The Business Held Up, The Valuation Did Not

Seeking Alpha · 12 Sept 2026neutral

AutoZone kept a Buy rating, now justified by a compressed valuation and moderate earnings growth rather than rapid margin normalization. Revenue growth beat expectations, with commercial sales up 10% and the store base surpassing 8,000 locations, though margin normalization and ROIC lagged prior assumptions as LIFO expenses finally normalize.

Why it matters — AZO watchers would care because the piece reframes the investment thesis around valuation and highlights the key drivers—merchandise margin, SG&A leverage, commercial growth, and DIY traffic—that will shape Q4 results.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AZO stock

What is the AZO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 27 Wall Street analysts covering AutoZone, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $3,850, with estimates ranging from $3,200 to $4,800. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AZO stock a buy right now?

Of the 27 analysts covering AutoZone, Inc., 23 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AutoZone, Inc. 43 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 16 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AZO?

As at 16 Sept 2026, AutoZone, Inc. ranks 43 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (94 of 100).

Will AZO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 27 analysts implies +35.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AutoZone, Inc. 43 out of 100 as at 16 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AZO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering AutoZone, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AZO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3,200 to $4,800 over the next 12 months.

How has AZO stock performed over the past year?

AutoZone, Inc. returned -32.8% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does AutoZone, Inc. do?

AutoZone, Inc. is a specialty retail company that sells and distributes automotive replacement parts and accessories across the Americas.

What is the latest news on AZO?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 17 Sept 2026): "AutoZone (AZO) Q4 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures". Zacks Research reports on AutoZone's upcoming Q4 earnings (quarter ending August 2026), highlighting Wall Street's top-and-bottom-line estimates and projections for key performance metrics that analysts are reviewing to gauge how the company may have performed.

Company

About AutoZone, Inc.

AutoZone, Inc. is a specialty retail company that sells and distributes automotive replacement parts and accessories across the Americas. AutoZone serves do-it-yourself customers, professional repair shops, and commercial accounts through its stores, online channels, and commercial delivery program. Its product lineup includes new and remanufactured hard parts, batteries, maintenance items, filters, fluids, tools, and vehicle accessories, supporting routine maintenance and repair for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans, and light trucks. The company also provides automotive diagnostic, repair, collision, and shop management software through the ALLDATA brand, adding a service component that supports professional automotive workflows. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, AutoZone operates a broad retail and distribution network in the United States, Mexico, and Brazil, making it a major participant in the automotive aftermarket sector.

CEO Mr. Philip B. Daniele III · 78,000 employees · United States · https://www.autozone.com