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AZOAZOConsumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

AZO Stock Forecast: AutoZone, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 9 Oct 2026
$2,940
+1.01% on the day

The 27 Wall Street analysts covering AutoZone, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $3,648 — +24.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 47 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$47.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
47 / 100
Median analyst target
$3,648
Analysts covering
27
Revenue$4.8B+8.4% y/y
Operating income$923.8M
Net income$641.5M
Free cash flow$456.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 May 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+5.3%
1M
+1.0%
YTD
−13.3%
1Y
−25.9%
From 52W high
−28.3%
From 52W low
+5.3%
$2,792
$4,098
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AZO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AutoZone, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
47 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
98
Quality
86
Issuance
77
Growth
59
Value
52
Revisions
45
Accruals
32
Momentum
30
Size
5

Volatility (98): The share price has been relatively steady.

Momentum (30): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (5): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AZO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AZO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$3,000$3,500$4,000$4,500$5,000Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AZOHigh $4,800Median $3,648Low $3,000

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says27 analysts
23 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $3,000Median $3,648High $4,800

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 15 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 Sept 2026BernsteinInitiatesOutperform$3,698
28 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$3,850 → $3,700
23 Sept 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral$3,600 → $3,400
23 Sept 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$3,637 → $3,400
23 Sept 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$4,000 → $3,500
23 Sept 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$3,750 → $3,500
23 Sept 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$4,000 → $3,750
23 Sept 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$3,200 → $3,000
23 Sept 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy$4,000 → $3,700
23 Sept 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy$4,023 → $3,850
23 Sept 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$3,500 → $3,400
23 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$3,817 → $3,648
21 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$3,700 → $3,500
21 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
18 Sept 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
18 Sept 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$4,300 → $3,500
14 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$3,700 → $3,450
14 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
10 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
10 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$4,150 → $3,500

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AZO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AZO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 9 Oct 2026, AutoZone, Inc. returned −25.9% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AZO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AZOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AZO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−3.3%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
20
Fundamentals

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.1×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.3×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

Price / book
−17.2×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.7×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.6%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
11.3%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Gross margin
52.2%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Operating margin
20.0%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Net margin
12.7%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−73.2%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.4%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • AutoZone, Inc. has a market value of $47.1B and an enterprise value of $59.6B.

  • Shares outstanding: 16.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 19.1×; forward P/E: 15.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • AutoZone, Inc. employs 78,000 people.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 May 2026 · market figures as at 9 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AZO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AZOAutoZone, Inc.$47.1B
47
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.$71.3B
59
GPCGenuine Parts Co.$17.8B
59
BWABorgWarner, Inc.$12.7B
97
AURAurora Innovation, Inc.$11.2B
22
MODModine Manufacturing Co.$9.6B
37
APTVAptiv Plc$9.4B
66

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AutoZone, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AZO news & analysis

Used Cars Are the New Luxury Vehicles: 3-Year Old Beaters Now Cost Over $32,400

24/7 Wall Street · 30 Sept 2026neutral

The article notes that used cars are no longer the budget alternative they once were, with three-year-old vehicles now averaging over $32,400. Historically the used-car lot was the affordable escape hatch for buyers who let someone else absorb new-car depreciation, but that cost advantage is eroding.

Why it matters — Higher used-car prices could keep older vehicles on the road longer and influence demand for replacement parts, which is relevant to AutoZone's aftermarket business.

Should Investors Buy AZO Stock as Growth Meets Margin Concerns?

Zacks Investment Research · 30 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that AutoZone is balancing record expansion and commercial growth against margin pressure, shifting consumer trends and leverage concerns as investors evaluate the company's outlook.

Why it matters — An AutoZone watcher would care because the company's continued growth is being weighed against potential headwinds from margins, consumer behavior and debt levels that could shape its near-term performance.

4 Stocks That Could Split Next—and Why Investors Are Watching

MarketBeat · 30 Sept 2026positive

MarketBeat discusses stocks that could split next, noting that stock splits signal underlying company strength and can drive equity gains. AutoZone is presented as one of the stocks investors are watching for a potential split.

Why it matters — AZO watchers would care because a stock split is viewed as a sign of company strength and could generate investor interest in the stock.

Is Most-Watched Stock AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) Worth Betting on Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Sept 2026neutral

AutoZone has recently drawn increased attention from Zacks.com users, making it one of the most-watched stocks. Zacks examines what the stock might have in store for investors.

Why it matters — AutoZone watchers would care because the stock's elevated visibility among Zacks users signals heightened investor interest worth monitoring.

America's Cars Keep Getting Older. These 4 Auto Parts Stocks Get Paid

24/7 Wall Street · 26 Sept 2026neutral

The article notes that the average American car is now 13 years old and highlights four auto parts distributors, including AutoZone, that benefit as aging vehicles require more repairs. It examines which of these stocks offers steady performance amid high interest rates and a high-repair economy.

Why it matters — An aging national vehicle fleet and sustained repair demand could keep parts sales steady, making this a relevant factor for AutoZone watchers tracking the company's growth outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AZO stock

What is the AZO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 27 Wall Street analysts covering AutoZone, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $3,648, with estimates ranging from $3,000 to $4,800. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AZO stock a buy right now?

Of the 27 analysts covering AutoZone, Inc., 23 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AutoZone, Inc. 47 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AZO?

As at 8 Oct 2026, AutoZone, Inc. ranks 47 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (98 of 100).

Will AZO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 27 analysts implies +24.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AutoZone, Inc. 47 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AZO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering AutoZone, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AZO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3,000 to $4,800 over the next 12 months.

How has AZO stock performed over the past year?

AutoZone, Inc. returned -25.9% over the 12 months to 9 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does AutoZone, Inc. do?

AutoZone, Inc. is a specialty retail company that sells and distributes automotive replacement parts and accessories across the Americas.

What is the latest news on AZO?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 30 Sept 2026): "Used Cars Are the New Luxury Vehicles: 3-Year Old Beaters Now Cost Over $32,400". The article notes that used cars are no longer the budget alternative they once were, with three-year-old vehicles now averaging over $32,400. Historically the used-car lot was the affordable escape hatch for buyers who let someone else absorb new-car depreciation, but that cost advantage is eroding.

Company

About AutoZone, Inc.

AutoZone, Inc. is a specialty retail company that sells and distributes automotive replacement parts and accessories across the Americas. AutoZone serves do-it-yourself customers, professional repair shops, and commercial accounts through its stores, online channels, and commercial delivery program. Its product lineup includes new and remanufactured hard parts, batteries, maintenance items, filters, fluids, tools, and vehicle accessories, supporting routine maintenance and repair for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans, and light trucks. The company also provides automotive diagnostic, repair, collision, and shop management software through the ALLDATA brand, adding a service component that supports professional automotive workflows. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, AutoZone operates a broad retail and distribution network in the United States, Mexico, and Brazil, making it a major participant in the automotive aftermarket sector.

CEO Mr. Philip B. Daniele III · 78,000 employees · United States · https://www.autozone.com