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ORLY Stock Forecast: O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$91
−1.65% on the day

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $110 — +20.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$73.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
63 / 100
Median analyst target
$110
Analysts covering
28
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.7%
1M
+6.2%
YTD
−0.2%
1Y
−10.3%
From 52W high
−15.6%
From 52W low
+10.1%
$83
$108
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ORLY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
63 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
100
Quality
92
Revisions
82
Growth
61
Issuance
56
Momentum
47
Value
44
Accruals
34
Size
4

Volatility (100): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (34): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ORLY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ORLY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$90$100$110$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ORLYHigh $120Median $110Low $89

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says28 analysts
23 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $89Median $110High $120

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$104 → $106
31 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$117 → $110
30 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$112 → $108
22 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$114
22 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
7 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
7 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$114
8 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
1 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
1 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
1 May 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
1 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
1 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
30 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
7 Apr 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
9 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
6 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
6 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
6 Feb 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
6 Feb 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ORLY appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

ORLY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.8%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
29.4×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / book
−40.9×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
19.9×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.1%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
7.0%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Gross margin
51.4%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Operating margin
20.2%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Net margin
14.3%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−332.5%

Higher than 4% of US stocks

Return on assets
13.7%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

ORLY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.$73.7B
63
AZOAutoZone, Inc.$50.3B
52
GPCGenuine Parts Co.$18.8B
63
BWABorgWarner, Inc.$14.1B
97
AURAurora Innovation, Inc.$13.7B
19
MODModine Manufacturing Co.$11.0B
41
APTVAptiv Plc$10.6B
49

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ORLY news & analysis

Here's Why O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is a Strong Growth Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Aug 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research article identifies O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) as a strong growth stock. The piece introduces the Zacks Style Scores as a tool for picking market-beating stocks, framing the article around that methodology.

Why it matters — ORLY watchers would care because the article cites the company as a standout growth stock, indicating a positive assessment based on Zacks' scoring framework.

These 2 Retail and Wholesale Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radar

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research highlighted O'Reilly Automotive as one of two retail and wholesale stocks that could beat quarterly earnings estimates, using their Zacks Earnings ESP tool to identify potential outperformers.

Why it matters — ORLY watchers would care because the article suggests the company could be poised to exceed quarterly earnings expectations, a signal that may influence investor attention heading into the earnings report.

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026neutral

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and a transcript of the call was published by Seeking Alpha. The excerpt provided does not include specific financial results or forward-looking statements.

Why it matters — ORLY watchers would care because earnings call transcripts provide detailed management commentary on the company's performance and outlook beyond the headline numbers.

O'Reilly Automotive Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 30 July 2026positive

O'Reilly Automotive reported a stronger-than-expected second quarter, with comparable store sales rising 6% and diluted earnings per share increasing 10% year over year, driven by robust growth in its professional business.

Why it matters — The results exceeded expectations and showed continued strength in both sales and profitability, underscoring the company's solid performance in the automotive aftermarket sector.

O'Reilly Q2 Earnings Beat on Strong Comparable and Pro Sales

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026positive

O'Reilly Automotive exceeded Q2 earnings and revenue estimates, driven by strong comparable sales and growth among professional customers. The company also raised its 2026 outlook.

Why it matters — An ORLY watcher would care because the company's strong comparable sales and pro-customer momentum are supporting a more optimistic outlook for its future performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ORLY stock

What is the ORLY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $110, with estimates ranging from $89 to $120. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ORLY stock a buy right now?

Of the 28 analysts covering O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., 23 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ORLY?

As at 15 Aug 2026, O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (100 of 100).

Will ORLY stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +20.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. 63 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ORLY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ORLY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $89 to $120 over the next 12 months.

How has ORLY stock performed over the past year?

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. returned -10.3% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. do?

O'Reilly Automotive Inc. is a leading specialty retailer and distributor of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories.

What is the latest news on ORLY?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Aug 2026): "Here's Why O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is a Strong Growth Stock". A Zacks Investment Research article identifies O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) as a strong growth stock. The piece introduces the Zacks Style Scores as a tool for picking market-beating stocks, framing the article around that methodology.

Company

About O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

O'Reilly Automotive Inc. is a leading specialty retailer and distributor of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories. Operating under the O'Reilly Auto Parts brand, the company serves both professional service providers and do‑it‑yourself customers through an extensive network of retail locations and robust online channels. Its stores and distribution centers focus on replacement parts, maintenance items, performance products, and repair tools for a wide range of domestic and imported vehicles, including cars, trucks, and SUVs. O'Reilly Automotive Inc. also offers value-added services such as parts lookup, repair advice, and in-store support to assist customers with vehicle maintenance and repair decisions. Headquartered in Springfield, Missouri, and founded in the United States, the company plays a significant role in the North American automotive aftermarket ecosystem by ensuring timely availability of critical parts and related products to both commercial repair shops and individual vehicle owners.

95,822 employees · United States · https://www.oreillyauto.com