BURLConsumer Cyclical · Apparel RetailThe 19 Wall Street analysts covering Burlington Stores, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $368 — +35.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 47 of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Burlington Stores, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (76): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Value (32): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (11): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BURL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +35.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Hold | $367 → $323 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $394 → $382 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | $365 → $355 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $380 → $318 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $438 → $432 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $375 → $400 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $435 → $440 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | $365 → $410 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | $380 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 29 May 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $367 → $375 |
| 29 May 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 29 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $374 → $351 |
| 29 May 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $305 → $310 |
| 29 May 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 29 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BURL appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 5 Oct 2026, Burlington Stores, Inc. returned +5.0% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Cheaper than 60% of US stocks
Cheaper than 11% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Burlington Stores, Inc. has a market value of $17.3B and an enterprise value of $22.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $12.2B. The latest quarter grew 11.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $714.2M, a 5.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $11.14.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $389.5M.
Burlington Stores, Inc. spent $345.8M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 24.8×; forward P/E: 20.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Burlington Stores, Inc. employs 17,495 people — $698K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Burlington Stores, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research published a comparison of off-price retailers TJX and BURL, noting that both companies lean on value, merchandising strength, and store expansion as off-price shoppers seek recognizable brands at lower prices.
Why it matters — The article highlights the competitive dynamics and strategic factors that shape Burlington's positioning in the off-price retail sector.
Burlington Stores' beauty and accessories categories are leading sales trends, with the company reporting margin gains and sharper values as part of its off-price strategy. The retailer continues to expand its store footprint.
Why it matters — This indicates that Burlington's off-price merchandising strategy in high-performing categories is supporting its sales momentum as expansion continues.
The article discusses three retail stocks—TJX Companies, Burlington Stores, and Dick's Sporting Goods—that have declined significantly in recent weeks despite a strong earnings report from TJX. It notes that Burlington Stores and Dick's Sporting Goods show chart patterns nearly identical to TJX's slide, and pairs the discussion with long-dated options trade ideas on each name.
Why it matters — Burlington Stores watchers would care because the stock appears to be following the same downward chart pattern as fellow retail names, a development highlighted alongside options trading ideas.
Zacks Investment Research highlights Burlington Stores (BURL) as a top-ranked value stock based on its Style Scores system, which helps investors identify top-rated stocks by investing style.
Why it matters — A BURL watcher would care because the article signals the company is being recognized as a top-ranked value stock by Zacks' rating methodology.
Burlington is targeting an expansion to 2,000 total store locations in its 2026 outlook, building on momentum from aggressive store growth and disciplined off-price merchandising. Profitability is rising as recent capital investments in distribution infrastructure improve operational efficiency.
Why it matters — A BURL watcher would care because the company's store footprint expansion and improving efficiency signal continued growth in its off-price retail model.
The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Burlington Stores, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $368, with estimates ranging from $290 to $440. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 19 analysts covering Burlington Stores, Inc., 13 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Burlington Stores, Inc. 47 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Oct 2026, Burlington Stores, Inc. ranks 47 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (76 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies +35.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Burlington Stores, Inc. 47 out of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Burlington Stores, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BURL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $290 to $440 over the next 12 months.
Burlington Stores, Inc. returned +5.0% over the 12 months to 5 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Burlington Stores Inc. is a national off-price retail company that offers branded apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty, home goods, toys, gifts, and coats for women, men, children, and families.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 29 Sept 2026): "TJX vs. BURL: Which Off-Price Stock Is the Better Buy Now?". Zacks Investment Research published a comparison of off-price retailers TJX and BURL, noting that both companies lean on value, merchandising strength, and store expansion as off-price shoppers seek recognizable brands at lower prices.
Burlington Stores Inc. is a national off-price retail company that offers branded apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty, home goods, toys, gifts, and coats for women, men, children, and families. The company focuses on in-season merchandise sold at value-oriented prices, making it a destination for shoppers seeking name-brand products across everyday and seasonal categories. Burlington Stores operates a large network of physical stores across the United States and Puerto Rico, supported by a store-led retail model that emphasizes broad assortment and frequent inventory turnover. Its business spans fashion, home, and lifestyle categories, with products sourced from well-known manufacturers and sold under the Burlington banner. Based in Burlington, New Jersey, Burlington Stores plays a significant role in the U.S. off-price retail market as a widely recognized destination for discounted branded merchandise.
CEO Mr. Michael B. O'Sullivan · 17,495 employees · United States · https://www.burlington.com
