BURLBURLConsumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

BURL Stock Forecast: Burlington Stores, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Sept 2026
$232
−2.84% on the day

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Burlington Stores, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $368 — +58.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 53 of 100 as at 14 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$15.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
53 / 100
Median analyst target
$368
Analysts covering
19
Revenue$3.0B+11.0% y/y
Operating income$255.1M
Net income$184.3M
Free cash flow$30.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−12.5%
1M
−33.2%
YTD
−19.6%
1Y
−13.0%
From 52W high
−37.6%
From 52W low
0.0%
$232
$372
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BURL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Burlington Stores, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Sept 2026
53 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
78
Issuance
65
Quality
63
Revisions
61
Volatility
59
Accruals
50
Momentum
46
Value
43
Size
12

Growth (78): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Value (43): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BURL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BURL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$250$300$350$400$450Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BURLHigh $440Median $368Low $290

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says19 analysts
13 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $290Median $368High $440

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +58.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 Aug 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsHold$367$323
31 Aug 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$394$382
28 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$365$355
28 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$380$318
28 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$438$432
17 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform
17 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$375$400
17 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy
17 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$435$440
14 Aug 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$365$410
14 Aug 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy
5 Aug 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral$380
5 Aug 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral
29 May 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$367$375
29 May 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
29 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
29 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$374$351
29 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$305$310
29 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
29 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BURL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

BURL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Sept 2026, Burlington Stores, Inc. returned −13.0% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BURL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BURLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BURL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.1%
Analysts raising
10
Analysts cutting
7
Fundamentals

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.5×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.2×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

Price / book
7.5×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.9×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.0%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
95.7%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Gross margin
46.2%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Operating margin
6.7%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Net margin
5.9%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
41.4%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.1%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Burlington Stores, Inc. has a market value of $15.0B and an enterprise value of $20.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $12.2B. The latest quarter grew 11.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $714.2M, a 5.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $11.14.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $389.5M.

  • Burlington Stores, Inc. spent $345.8M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 62.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 21.5×; forward P/E: 17.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Burlington Stores, Inc. employs 17,495 people $698K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 15 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BURL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelApparel Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BURLBurlington Stores, Inc.$15.0B
53
LULUlululemon athletica, Inc.$12.1B
31
GAPGap, Inc.$7.3B
71
URBNUrban Outfitters, Inc.$6.6B
72
VSXYVictoria's Secret & Co.$6.0B
86
ANFAbercrombie & Fitch Co.$6.0B
75
BOOTBoot Barn Holdings, Inc.$4.4B
42

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Burlington Stores, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BURL news & analysis

Here's Why Burlington Stores (BURL) is a Strong Growth Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Burlington Stores (BURL) as a strong growth stock, suggesting investors use its Zacks Style Scores system to identify market-beating stocks such as BURL.

Why it matters — A BURL watcher would care because the article frames Burlington as a strong growth candidate within Zacks' stock-selection framework, reinforcing positive attention on the company.

With the RSI at a Record Low, Is It Time to Go Bargain Hunting on Burlington?

MarketBeat · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Burlington Stores shares have fallen more than 30% from their July all-time high, with the stock's Relative Strength Index reaching a record low. The article explores whether this selloff makes the off-price retailer attractive from a technical perspective.

Why it matters — Burlington watchers would care because the stock's steep decline and record-low RSI could signal a potential buying opportunity for the off-price retailer.

Here's Why Burlington Stores (BURL) is a Strong Value Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Burlington Stores (BURL) as a strong value stock, pointing investors toward the Zacks Style Scores as a tool for picking market-beating stocks. The item identifies BURL as one such candidate based on this methodology.

Why it matters — A BURL watcher would care because the article frames the company favorably as a strong value stock, which could draw attention from investors seeking market-beating opportunities.

Burlington Shrinks Clothing Prices Following $55 Million Tariff Refund

PYMNTS · 31 Aug 2026positive

Burlington Stores is reducing clothing prices after receiving a $55 million tariff refund, as confirmed by CEO Michael O'Sullivan on the company's earnings call. The company said it believes lowering prices for customers is the right thing to do.

Why it matters — This shows how Burlington is using its tariff refund to pass savings on to customers, which could influence its pricing strategy and competitive positioning.

BURL Shares Slide 8% Despite Q2 Earnings Beat, Higher FY26 View

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Aug 2026negative

Burlington Stores shares fell 7.6% after the company reported second-quarter revenues that missed estimates, even though earnings per share beat expectations sharply and the company raised its fiscal 2026 sales, margin, and EPS guidance.

Why it matters — The share decline despite an earnings beat and higher guidance highlights that investors reacted negatively to the revenue miss, which is a key signal for BURL watchers assessing near-term performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BURL stock

What is the BURL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Burlington Stores, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $368, with estimates ranging from $290 to $440. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BURL stock a buy right now?

Of the 19 analysts covering Burlington Stores, Inc., 13 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Burlington Stores, Inc. 53 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BURL?

As at 14 Sept 2026, Burlington Stores, Inc. ranks 53 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (78 of 100).

Will BURL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies +58.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Burlington Stores, Inc. 53 out of 100 as at 14 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BURL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Burlington Stores, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BURL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $290 to $440 over the next 12 months.

How has BURL stock performed over the past year?

Burlington Stores, Inc. returned -13.0% over the 12 months to 14 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Burlington Stores, Inc. do?

Burlington Stores Inc. is a national off-price retail company that offers branded apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty, home goods, toys, gifts, and coats for women, men, children, and families.

What is the latest news on BURL?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 7 Sept 2026): "Here's Why Burlington Stores (BURL) is a Strong Growth Stock". Zacks Investment Research highlights Burlington Stores (BURL) as a strong growth stock, suggesting investors use its Zacks Style Scores system to identify market-beating stocks such as BURL.

Company

About Burlington Stores, Inc.

Burlington Stores Inc. is a national off-price retail company that offers branded apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty, home goods, toys, gifts, and coats for women, men, children, and families. The company focuses on in-season merchandise sold at value-oriented prices, making it a destination for shoppers seeking name-brand products across everyday and seasonal categories. Burlington Stores operates a large network of physical stores across the United States and Puerto Rico, supported by a store-led retail model that emphasizes broad assortment and frequent inventory turnover. Its business spans fashion, home, and lifestyle categories, with products sourced from well-known manufacturers and sold under the Burlington banner. Based in Burlington, New Jersey, Burlington Stores plays a significant role in the U.S. off-price retail market as a widely recognized destination for discounted branded merchandise.

CEO Mr. Michael B. O'Sullivan · 17,495 employees · United States · https://www.burlington.com