CATIndustrials · Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryThe 28 Wall Street analysts covering Caterpillar, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $975 — +15.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 10 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Caterpillar, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (96): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Value (34): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CAT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +15.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 19 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $800 → $900 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $845 → $882 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $877 → $897 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $1,218 → $1,225 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $900 → $925 |
| 29 July 2026 | Baird | Downgrade | Neutral | $1,200 → $900 |
| 14 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $1,020 → $1,100 |
| 13 July 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $980 → $1,105 |
| 2 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $1,043 → $1,218 |
| 23 June 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $1,050 → $1,155 |
| 5 May 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | $820 → $990 |
| 4 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $905 → $1,020 |
| 4 May 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $650 → $845 |
| 1 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $700 → $800 |
| 1 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $860 → $1,125 |
| 1 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | $430 → $915 |
| 1 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $960 → $1,050 |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $870 → $960 |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $786 → $920 |
| 15 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $425 → $430 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CAT appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 22% of US stocks
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 11% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 17% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| CATCaterpillar, Inc. | $387.1B | 64 |
| DEDeere & Co. | $164.8B | 74 |
| PCARPACCAR, Inc. | $69.0B | 69 |
| GEGE Aerospace* | $380.5B | 92 |
| RTXRTX Corp.* | $300.8B | 97 |
| GEVGE Vernova, Inc.* | $266.4B | 54 |
| CNHCNH Industrial NV | $13.0B | 64 |
* Nearest Industrials names by size — few farm & heavy construction machinery companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Caterpillar, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
This Zacks article discusses how investors can build a portfolio that provides monthly dividend income, contrasting it with the more common practice of quarterly dividend payments by most stocks.
Why it matters — CAT watchers following dividend-investing strategies may note that Caterpillar pays quarterly dividends, situating it within the broader discussion of dividend payout frequency.
Data center power needs are driving record gas turbine orders, with GE Vernova and Caterpillar among the leaders in the market. The AI data center boom is fueling this surge in demand.
Why it matters — This indicates growing demand for Caterpillar's gas turbine business, which is positioned among the leaders benefiting from rising data center power needs.
Caterpillar reported record sales, maintained a $72 billion backlog, and raised its 2026 outlook following Q2 earnings. The article weighs these strengths against the company's premium valuation when considering whether to buy, sell, or hold the stock.
Why it matters — CAT watchers would care because record sales, a strong backlog, and a raised 2026 outlook signal sustained demand and forward confidence for the company.
Semiconductor stocks rebounded strongly, and other names tied to the AI trade also recovered, putting pressure on Michael Burry's short positions. Burry, however, is not expected to abandon his positions after issuing a fresh "1987-style" crash warning.
Why it matters — A CAT watcher would care because broader market swings, including the AI-driven rally pressuring prominent shorts and the crash warning, signal increased volatility in the sectors and economic conditions tied to Caterpillar's demand.
Zacks Investment Research examines how Caterpillar (CAT) and Gorman-Rupp (GRC) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Why it matters — CAT watchers can gauge how the stock is faring relative to its industrial products peers and the sector year-to-date.
The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Caterpillar, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $975, with estimates ranging from $575 to $1,225. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 28 analysts covering Caterpillar, Inc., 14 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Caterpillar, Inc. 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 10 Aug 2026, Caterpillar, Inc. ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (96 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +15.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Caterpillar, Inc. 64 out of 100 as at 10 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Caterpillar, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CAT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $575 to $1,225 over the next 12 months.
Caterpillar, Inc. returned +108.3% over the 12 months to 11 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Caterpillar Inc. is a global industrial manufacturer specializing in heavy equipment, engines and related services for infrastructure, resource and energy markets.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 11 Aug 2026): "This 3 Stock Portfolio Pays Monthly Dividends". This Zacks article discusses how investors can build a portfolio that provides monthly dividend income, contrasting it with the more common practice of quarterly dividend payments by most stocks.
Caterpillar Inc. is a global industrial manufacturer specializing in heavy equipment, engines and related services for infrastructure, resource and energy markets. The company designs and produces a broad portfolio of construction and mining machinery, including excavators, loaders, dozers, haul trucks and motor graders, as well as off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines and diesel-electric locomotives. Caterpillar serves customers in construction, mining, aggregates, oil and gas, power generation, rail, agriculture and forestry, supported by an extensive independent dealer network that provides parts, maintenance, rebuilds, remanufacturing and fleet management solutions. Through its Financial Products segment, Caterpillar offers equipment financing, leasing and insurance, helping customers manage capital-intensive assets across cycles. The company organizes its operations into Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Power & Energy and Financial Products, reflecting its diversified presence across global infrastructure and industrial supply chains. Founded in 1925 and headquartered in Irving, Texas, Caterpillar today plays a central role in enabling large-scale construction, resource extraction and energy-related projects worldwide.
CEO Mr. Joseph E. Creed CPA · 118,000 employees · United States · https://www.caterpillar.com