PCARPCARIndustrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

PCAR Stock Forecast: PACCAR, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Sept 2026
$117
−0.73% on the day

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering PACCAR, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $140 — +19.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 69 of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$62.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
69 / 100
Median analyst target
$140
Analysts covering
18
Revenue$7.5B+0.5% y/y
Operating income$879.2M
Net income$752.0M
Free cash flow$309.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.3%
1M
−10.3%
YTD
+8.1%
1Y
+19.2%
From 52W high
−14.9%
From 52W low
+29.3%
$91
$138
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PCAR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores PACCAR, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 17 Sept 2026
69 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
94
Issuance
87
Revisions
78
Momentum
71
Accruals
69
Value
57
Quality
49
Growth
29
Size
4

Volatility (94): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (29): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PCAR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PCAR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140$160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PCARHigh $164Median $140Low $125

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says18 analysts
7 Buy11 Hold0 Sell
Low $125Median $140High $164

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +19.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Sept 2026RBC CapitalUpgradeOutperform$130$150
4 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$119$125
11 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$139$162
11 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$125$140
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$125$157
29 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
29 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$155$164
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$109$113
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$140$155
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
2 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
30 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
29 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
29 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
29 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
13 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PCAR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PCAR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, PACCAR, Inc. returned +19.2% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PCAR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PCARS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PCAR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+5.4%
Analysts raising
8
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

PACCAR, Inc. (PCAR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
25.8×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.2×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Price / book
3.1×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
20.9×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.5%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
3.9%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Gross margin
17.5%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.0%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Net margin
9.0%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.8%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.1%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.2%

Higher than 27% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

PACCAR, Inc. (PCAR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • PACCAR, Inc. has a market value of $62.2B and an enterprise value of $68.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $27.8B. The latest quarter grew 0.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.5B, a 9.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.76.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.0B.

  • PACCAR, Inc. spent $5.9M on share buybacks and $1.4B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 526.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 25.8×; forward P/E: 16.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.18%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • PACCAR, Inc. employs 25,900 people $1.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 17 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PCAR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFarm & Heavy Construction Machinery
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PCARPACCAR, Inc.$62.2B
69
DEDeere & Co.$185.4B
67
CNHCNH Industrial NV$16.8B
65
CATCaterpillar, Inc.$371.6B
70
OSKOshkosh Corp.$9.2B
76
AGCOAGCO Corp.$8.5B
70
FSSFederal Signal Corp.$6.9B
72

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own PACCAR, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PCAR news & analysis

PACCAR Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend

Business Wire · 17 Sept 2026neutral

PACCAR Inc's Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of thirty-five cents ($.35) per share, payable on December 2, 2026, to stockholders of record at the close of business on November 11, 2026.

Why it matters — A PCAR watcher would care because the declaration confirms the company is continuing to return cash to shareholders through a regular quarterly dividend.

Are Auto-Tires-Trucks Stocks Lagging PACCAR (PCAR) This Year?

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research compares Paccar's and Douglas Dynamics' performance against their sector so far this year. The article examines whether auto-tires-trucks stocks are lagging Paccar.

Why it matters — A Paccar watcher would care to see how the company's stock is performing relative to its sector peers this year.

After Plunging 7.3% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for Paccar (PCAR)

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Sept 2026positive

Paccar (PCAR) has fallen 7.3% over the past four weeks and is now considered technically oversold, which may indicate that heavy selling pressure has been exhausted. Wall Street analysts show strong agreement in raising earnings estimates, which could lead to a trend reversal for the stock.

Why it matters — A PCAR watcher would care because oversold technical conditions combined with rising analyst earnings estimates could point to a possible shift in the stock's recent downward trend.

Paccar (PCAR) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Sept 2026negative

Paccar (PCAR) shares fell 3.46% in the latest trading session, closing at $118.22, a larger decline than that of the broader market. The move reflects a down day for the stock relative to the index.

Why it matters — A PCAR watcher would note the stock underperformed the wider market, signaling a notable single-day loss worth monitoring.

Trucking Stocks Have Been Pummeled but Wall Street Sees Four to Buy

Barrons · 10 Sept 2026positive

Barron's reports that trucking stocks have been hit hard, but identifies four names—XPO, Saia, Knight-Swift, and Paccar—as potential buy candidates. The article suggests these companies could benefit from tightening trucking capacity and improving freight rates that outweigh the impact of soaring diesel prices.

Why it matters — Paccar is named among the four trucking stocks that Wall Street sees as buys, indicating a favorable outlook for the company amid tightening capacity and improving freight rates.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PCAR stock

What is the PCAR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering PACCAR, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $140, with estimates ranging from $125 to $164. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PCAR stock a buy right now?

Of the 18 analysts covering PACCAR, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks PACCAR, Inc. 69 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PCAR?

As at 17 Sept 2026, PACCAR, Inc. ranks 69 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (94 of 100).

Will PCAR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +19.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks PACCAR, Inc. 69 out of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PCAR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering PACCAR, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PCAR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $125 to $164 over the next 12 months.

How has PCAR stock performed over the past year?

PACCAR, Inc. returned +19.2% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does PACCAR, Inc. do?

PACCAR Inc. is a global commercial vehicle company that designs, manufactures, and supports light-, medium-, and heavy-duty trucks for freight, construction, and other transportation applications.

What is the latest news on PCAR?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 17 Sept 2026): "PACCAR Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend". PACCAR Inc's Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of thirty-five cents ($.35) per share, payable on December 2, 2026, to stockholders of record at the close of business on November 11, 2026.

Company

About PACCAR, Inc.

PACCAR Inc. is a global commercial vehicle company that designs, manufactures, and supports light-, medium-, and heavy-duty trucks for freight, construction, and other transportation applications. Its truck lineup is marketed under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates, serving customers across North America, Europe, and other international markets. The company also develops diesel engines, distributes truck parts, and provides maintenance and customer support services that help keep commercial fleets operating efficiently. Through its Financial Services segment, PACCAR offers truck and trailer financing, leasing, and related support for dealers and customers. Based in Bellevue, Washington, PACCAR plays an important role in the commercial transportation market by combining vehicle manufacturing, aftermarket parts, and financing services within one integrated business model.

CEO Mr. R. Preston Feight · 25,900 employees · United States · https://www.paccar.com