DEIndustrials · Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryThe 25 Wall Street analysts covering Deere & Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $728 — +12.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 68 of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Deere & Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (94): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Quality (39): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $585 → $625 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Upgrade | Outperform | $632 → $813 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Baird | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Baird | Upgrade | Outperform | $640 → $800 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $700 → $730 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $640 → $675 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $685 → $760 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 24 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
| 24 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Outperform | $752 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $812 → $804 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | $525 → $640 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $610 → $650 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $570 → $585 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DE appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 13 Oct 2026, Deere & Co. returned +49.7% against +18.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 22% of US stocks
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Cheaper than 16% of US stocks
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 43% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Deere & Co. has a market value of $167.4B and an enterprise value of $225.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $46.9B. The latest quarter grew 4.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $4.9B, a 10.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $18.00.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $3.2B.
Deere & Co. spent $699.0M on share buybacks and $1.8B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 34.5×; forward P/E: 27.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.04%, paying out 36% of earnings.
Deere & Co. employs 73,100 people — $641K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| DEDeere & Co. | $167.4B | 68 |
| CATCaterpillar, Inc. | $371.9B | 75 |
| PCARPACCAR, Inc. | $56.9B | 65 |
| CNHCNH Industrial NV | $14.5B | 73 |
| UNPUnion Pacific Corp.* | $167.3B | 87 |
| ETNEaton Corp. Plc* | $165.5B | 72 |
| OSKOshkosh Corp. | $8.0B | 73 |
* Nearest Industrials names by size — few farm & heavy construction machinery companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Deere & Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
The article compares Deere and Caterpillar, describing Caterpillar as an AI story because of its power systems and Deere as looking forward to increased farm equipment sales.
Why it matters — The comparison highlights the farm equipment sales outlook as the central point for Deere watchers.
The article says Caterpillar’s data center power premium is coming under pressure, while the rest of the heavy machinery group is holding up better. Its headline reports Caterpillar shares down 5% and Deere shares edging higher.
Why it matters — The comparison offers DE watchers context on how Deere is performing relative to Caterpillar amid pressure on Caterpillar’s data center power premium.
On Oct. 7, the FTC and USDA launched a joint public inquiry into the agricultural equipment industry, examining potential anticompetitive conduct in equipment manufacturing and distribution.
Why it matters — The inquiry concerns the industry in which Deere operates and could bring scrutiny to equipment manufacturers’ and distributors’ practices.
Deere (DE) closed at $622.78, down 4.57% from its previous close, while the broader market gained.
Why it matters — The session’s decline relative to market gains is relevant to investors tracking DE’s recent share performance.
The Federal Trade Commission and the Department of Agriculture are seeking public information about the farm equipment market. The headline reports that Caterpillar and Deere shares fell as regulatory pressure continued.
Why it matters — Deere watchers may follow the agencies’ information request as a development in regulatory scrutiny of the farm equipment market.
The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Deere & Co. have a median 12-month price target of $728, with estimates ranging from $500 to $813. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 25 analysts covering Deere & Co., 16 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Deere & Co. 68 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 12 Oct 2026, Deere & Co. ranks 68 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (94 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +12.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Deere & Co. 68 out of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Deere & Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $500 to $813 over the next 12 months.
Deere & Co. returned +49.7% over the 12 months to 13 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Deere & Company is an industrial equipment manufacturer focused on agricultural, construction, forestry, and turf-care machinery. The company designs and distributes tractors, combines, harvesters, loaders, excavators, and related implements, along with precision agriculture technologies and digital tools that help customers manage equipment performance, field operations, and fleet efficiency.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 13 Oct 2026): "Which Industrials Stock Do Analysts Like Better: Deere or Caterpillar?". The article compares Deere and Caterpillar, describing Caterpillar as an AI story because of its power systems and Deere as looking forward to increased farm equipment sales.
Deere & Company is an industrial equipment manufacturer focused on agricultural, construction, forestry, and turf-care machinery. The company designs and distributes tractors, combines, harvesters, loaders, excavators, and related implements, along with precision agriculture technologies and digital tools that help customers manage equipment performance, field operations, and fleet efficiency. Its products serve farmers, contractors, land managers, and forestry operators across commercial and government markets. Deere & Company also provides aftermarket parts, maintenance support, and connected services that extend equipment life and support day-to-day operations. Headquartered in Moline, Illinois, Deere & Company remains a major supplier in global equipment markets, with a business model centered on productive machinery, technology-enabled solutions, and long-term customer support.
CEO Mr. John C. May II · 73,100 employees · United States · https://www.deere.com
