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UNP Stock Forecast: Union Pacific Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$294
−1.38% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Union Pacific Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $337 — +14.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$176.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
89 / 100
Median analyst target
$337
Analysts covering
25
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.2%
1M
+1.9%
YTD
+28.3%
1Y
+35.6%
From 52W high
−4.4%
From 52W low
+38.9%
$211
$307
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

UNP stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Union Pacific Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
89 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
98
Revisions
94
Quality
93
Issuance
92
Momentum
74
Value
56
Accruals
53
Growth
45
Size
2

Volatility (98): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (45): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

UNP stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on UNP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$250$300$350$400Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26UNPHigh $375Median $337Low $245

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says25 analysts
17 Buy7 Hold1 Sell
Low $245Median $337High $375

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 July 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$311 → $344
25 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
24 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$315 → $350
24 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$325 → $335
24 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$285 → $320
24 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$326 → $349
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$304 → $334
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
24 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$289 → $339
24 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$282 → $325
24 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$286 → $310
24 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
24 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$315 → $335
23 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. UNP appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

UNP analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.9%
Analysts raising
18
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Union Pacific Corp. (UNP) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.0×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / sales
6.9×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Price / book
9.1×

Cheaper than 12% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.0×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.5%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
6.2%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Gross margin
45.5%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Operating margin
41.0%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Net margin
28.8%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
39.7%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.3%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.9%

Higher than 43% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

UNP vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRailroads
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
UNPUnion Pacific Corp.$176.9B
89
CSXCSX Corp.$93.2B
87
CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd.$83.9B
53
CNICanadian National Railway Co.$78.0B
84
NSCNorfolk Southern Corp.$75.9B
77
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp.$50.6B
64
ETNEaton Corp. Plc*$175.8B
72

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few railroads companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Union Pacific Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest UNP news & analysis

Cisco, Netflix, CrowdStrike And An Industrial Stock On CNBC's ‘Final Trades'

Benzinga · 14 Aug 2026neutral

CNBC's "Halftime Report Final Trades" featured stock picks including Cisco, Netflix, CrowdStrike, and an undesignated industrial stock. Malcolm Ethridge of Capital Area Planning Group selected Netflix among the final trade recommendations.

Why it matters — Union Pacific Corp., as an industrial stock, may be among the companies highlighted in the segment's industrial pick, though the excerpt does not directly name the company.

3 Railroad Stocks to Buy From the Prospering Industry

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reports that headwinds including high fuel costs, tariff-related tensions, and supply-chain disruptions are hurting the Zacks Transportation - Railroad industry. The report identifies UNP, CSX, and NSC as railroad stocks likely to stand out despite these conditions.

Why it matters — UNP is called out by Zacks as one of the railroad stocks likely to stand out despite industry-wide headwinds, offering context for investors watching the company.

Wall Street Says Hold but Hedge Funds Are Circling NSC's $85 Billion Merger

24/7 Wall Street · 10 Aug 2026neutral

The article reports that opinions on Norfolk Southern's proposed $85 billion merger are divided, with Wall Street generally rating the stock a Hold while hedge funds are reportedly taking an interest in the deal. It notes that the divergence in views among investors matters for the outcome.

Why it matters — As a major competitor to Union Pacific, developments around Norfolk Southern's merger and investor sentiment could influence competitive and industry dynamics in the freight rail sector.

Union Pacific Corporation Announces 3% Dividend Increase for Third Quarter 2026

Business Wire · 29 July 2026positive

Union Pacific Corporation announced a 3% increase in its quarterly dividend to $1.42 per share, payable September 30, 2026, to shareholders of record as of August 31, 2026. The company has paid dividends on its common stock for 127 consecutive years.

Why it matters — A dividend increase signals the company's ongoing financial strength and its continued commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Union Pacific (UNP) is a Great Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an article examining Union Pacific (UNP) as a potential momentum stock, posing the question of whether it qualifies as a top pick for momentum investors.

Why it matters — Investors tracking UNP based on momentum strategies would be interested in this analysis evaluating the stock's momentum characteristics.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about UNP stock

What is the UNP stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Union Pacific Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $337, with estimates ranging from $245 to $375. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is UNP stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering Union Pacific Corp., 17 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Union Pacific Corp. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank UNP?

As at 13 Aug 2026, Union Pacific Corp. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (98 of 100).

Will UNP stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +14.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Union Pacific Corp. 89 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the UNP stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Union Pacific Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for UNP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $245 to $375 over the next 12 months.

How has UNP stock performed over the past year?

Union Pacific Corp. returned +35.6% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Union Pacific Corp. do?

Union Pacific Corporation is a railroad holding company headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, with Union Pacific Railroad as its principal operating company. It provides freight transportation across 23 states in the western two-thirds of the United States, linking major West Coast and Gulf Coast ports with inland markets, Eastern gateways, Canada, and Mexico.

What is the latest news on UNP?

The most recent item we track (Benzinga, 14 Aug 2026): "Cisco, Netflix, CrowdStrike And An Industrial Stock On CNBC's ‘Final Trades'". CNBC's "Halftime Report Final Trades" featured stock picks including Cisco, Netflix, CrowdStrike, and an undesignated industrial stock. Malcolm Ethridge of Capital Area Planning Group selected Netflix among the final trade recommendations.

Company

About Union Pacific Corp.

Union Pacific Corporation is a railroad holding company headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, with Union Pacific Railroad as its principal operating company. It provides freight transportation across 23 states in the western two-thirds of the United States, linking major West Coast and Gulf Coast ports with inland markets, Eastern gateways, Canada, and Mexico. The company serves a broad mix of industries through bulk, industrial, and premium rail services, moving commodities, raw materials, finished goods, automobiles, and intermodal containers. Union Pacific plays a central role in North American logistics by offering a large-scale rail network that supports supply chains for agriculture, energy, manufacturing, chemicals, and automotive customers.

CEO Mr. Vincenzo James Vena · 28,716 employees · United States · https://www.up.com