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UNP Stock Forecast: Union Pacific Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$289
−0.20% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Union Pacific Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $337 — +16.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$172.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
89 / 100
Median analyst target
$337
Analysts covering
25
Revenue$6.9B+11.5% y/y
Operating income$2.8B
Net income$2.0B
Free cash flow$2.2B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−5.6%
1M
−0.3%
YTD
+26.9%
1Y
+33.1%
From 52W high
−6.5%
From 52W low
+37.4%
$210
$309
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

UNP stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Union Pacific Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
89 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
95
Revisions
94
Quality
93
Issuance
92
Momentum
78
Value
56
Accruals
53
Growth
45
Size
2

Volatility (95): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (45): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

UNP stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on UNP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$250$300$350$400Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26UNPHigh $375Median $337Low $245

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says25 analysts
17 Buy7 Hold1 Sell
Low $245Median $337High $375

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 July 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$311 → $344
25 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
24 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$315 → $350
24 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$325 → $335
24 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$285 → $320
24 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$326 → $349
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$304 → $334
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
24 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$289 → $339
24 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$282 → $325
24 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$286 → $310
24 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
24 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$315 → $335
23 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. UNP appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

UNP vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Union Pacific Corp. returned +33.1% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

UNP vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26UNPS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

UNP analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.8%
Analysts raising
20
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Union Pacific Corp. (UNP) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.5×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / sales
6.8×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Price / book
8.9×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.6×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.5%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
6.2%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Gross margin
45.5%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Operating margin
41.0%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Net margin
28.8%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
39.7%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.3%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.0%

Higher than 43% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Union Pacific Corp. (UNP) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Union Pacific Corp. has a market value of $172.1B and an enterprise value of $201.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $25.4B. The latest quarter grew 11.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $7.3B, a 28.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $12.35.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.5B, after $3.8B of capital spending.

  • Union Pacific Corp. spent $26.0M on share buybacks and $3.3B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 594.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 23.5×; forward P/E: 20.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.96%, paying out 45% of earnings.

  • Union Pacific Corp. employs 28,716 people — $885K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

UNP vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRailroads
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
UNPUnion Pacific Corp.$172.1B
89
CSXCSX Corp.$90.5B
84
CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd.$80.0B
52
CNICanadian National Railway Co.$74.2B
84
NSCNorfolk Southern Corp.$74.1B
75
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp.$47.5B
68
BAThe Boeing Co.*$158.8B
48

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few railroads companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Union Pacific Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest UNP news & analysis

All You Need to Know About Union Pacific (UNP) Rating Upgrade to Buy

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Sept 2026positive

Union Pacific (UNP) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) rating, reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The upgrade suggests the stock could move higher in the near term.

Why it matters — UNP watchers would care because the rating upgrade signals improved sentiment around the company's earnings outlook, which could influence near-term stock performance.

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Discusses State of the Railroad and Progress on UPO Southern Merger Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 1 Sept 2026neutral

Union Pacific Corporation held a call titled "State of the Railroad and Progress on UPO Southern Merger," the transcript of which was published by Seeking Alpha. The discussion covered the company's current operational state and merger-related progress.

Why it matters — UNP watchers would gain insight into management's own assessment of railroad operations and the status of the UPO Southern merger.

Union Pacific Sees Norfolk Southern Merger Closing by Late 2027 as STB Review Advances

MarketBeat · 1 Sept 2026positive

Union Pacific executives said the company is entering the merits phase of the Surface Transportation Board review of its proposed merger with Norfolk Southern, expressing confidence the transaction will gain regulatory approval and deliver customer, safety and financial benefits.

Why it matters — A UNP watcher would care because progress in the regulatory review brings the proposed merger with Norfolk Southern closer to completion.

Interactive Brokers highlighted as Zacks Bull and La-Z-Boy Bear of the Day

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Interactive Brokers as its Bull of the Day and La-Z-Boy as its Bear of the Day. The item focuses on those two companies and does not mention Union Pacific Corp.

Why it matters — Union Pacific watchers would find this item neutral because it does not reference or contain information relevant to UNP.

Union Pacific Corporation CEO Jim Vena and CFO Jennifer Hamann to Participate in Virtual Fireside Chat, Hosted by Bernstein Research

Business Wire · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Union Pacific Corporation announced that CEO Jim Vena and CFO Jennifer Hamann will participate in a virtual fireside chat hosted by Bernstein Research on September 1, 2026, at 1:00 p.m. ET. A live webcast of the presentation will be available in the investor relations section of Union Pacific's website, with an audio replay to follow.

Why it matters — UNP watchers would care because the event gives investors the opportunity to hear directly from the company's top executives about its operations and strategy.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about UNP stock

What is the UNP stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Union Pacific Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $337, with estimates ranging from $245 to $375. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is UNP stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering Union Pacific Corp., 17 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Union Pacific Corp. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank UNP?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Union Pacific Corp. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (95 of 100).

Will UNP stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +16.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Union Pacific Corp. 89 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the UNP stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Union Pacific Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for UNP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $245 to $375 over the next 12 months.

How has UNP stock performed over the past year?

Union Pacific Corp. returned +33.1% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Union Pacific Corp. do?

Union Pacific Corp. is a major American railroad company that provides freight transportation across the western two-thirds of the United States.

What is the latest news on UNP?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 2 Sept 2026): "All You Need to Know About Union Pacific (UNP) Rating Upgrade to Buy". Union Pacific (UNP) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) rating, reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The upgrade suggests the stock could move higher in the near term.

Company

About Union Pacific Corp.

Union Pacific Corp. is a major American railroad company that provides freight transportation across the western two-thirds of the United States. Union Pacific operates an extensive rail network that connects ports, industrial centers, agricultural regions, and energy hubs, serving customers in manufacturing, agriculture, chemicals, automotive, and intermodal logistics. The company’s services support the movement of bulk commodities, industrial products, and consumer goods, making it an important part of North American supply chains. Union Pacific Corp. also offers related transportation and logistics solutions that help businesses move freight efficiently over long distances. Headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, Union Pacific remains one of the most significant rail operators in the U.S. freight market, with its network playing a central role in domestic commerce and industrial distribution.

CEO Mr. Vincenzo James Vena · 28,716 employees · United States · https://www.up.com