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CBSH Stock Forecast: Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$56
+0.95% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) hold a median 12-month price target of $62 — +10.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 36 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$8.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
36/ 100
Median analyst target
$62
Analysts covering
10
Revenue$511.7M+14.7% y/y
Net income$160.2M
Free cash flow$169.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.1%
1M
+1.6%
YTD
+8.9%
1Y
+12.4%
From 52W high
−6.5%
From 52W low
+19.4%
$47
$60
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CBSH stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
36/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
91
Volatility
84
Growth
63
Issuance
50
Momentum
44
Revisions
41
Accruals
23
Value
22
Size
17

Quality (91): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Value (22): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

CBSH stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CBSH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$45$50$55$60$65$70$75$80Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CBSHHigh $77Median $62Low $60

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says10 analysts
2 Buy8 Hold0 Sell
Low $60Median $62High $77

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 Oct 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$63 → $61
21 Oct 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight$64 → $62
5 Oct 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$66 → $63
5 Oct 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
30 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
30 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$63 → $61
28 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$76 → $77
28 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
8 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyUpgradeOverweight$65 → $76
8 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyUpgradeOverweight—
10 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$57 → $63
10 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
20 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$60 → $62
20 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
17 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$59 → $66
17 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
17 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
17 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight$62 → $64
17 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
17 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$62 → $63

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

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CBSH appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

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Performance

CBSH vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) returned +12.4% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CBSH vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
95100105110115120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CBSHS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CBSH analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.3%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) (CBSH) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.5×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.2×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Price / book
1.9×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.9%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
9.5%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
43.2%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Net margin
31.4%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.1%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.8%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.0%

Higher than 79% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) (CBSH) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) has a market value of $8.0B and an enterprise value of $7.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.9B. The latest quarter grew 13.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $590.8M, a 31.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.08.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B.

  • Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) spent $336.9M on share buybacks and $155.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 143.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 13.5×; forward P/E: 12.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.96%, paying out 27% of earnings.

  • Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) employs 4,969 people — $382K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 5 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CBSH vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri)$8.0B36
VLYValley National Bancorp$8.1B63
BOKFBOK Financial Corp.$8.0B55
WALWestern Alliance Bancorp.$8.7B33
PBProsperity Bancshares, Inc.$8.8B29
COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc.$8.9B81
CBCCentral Bancompany, Inc.$9.0B29

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CBSH news & analysis

Commerce Bancshares, Inc. Board of Directors Reauthorizes Share Repurchase Program

Business Wire · 3 Nov 2026positive

Commerce Bancshares’ board reauthorized its share repurchase program for up to 7.5 million total common shares, including shares remaining under the prior authorization. Repurchases may occur through open-market purchases, privately negotiated transactions, or other compliant methods.

Why it matters — The authorization gives CBSH watchers an update on the company’s potential share repurchases.

Commerce Bancshares, Inc. Declares Stock Dividend and Quarterly Cash Dividend on Common Stock

Business Wire · 30 Oct 2026neutral

Commerce Bancshares’ board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.275 per common share, payable December 21, 2026. It also approved a 5% common stock dividend, payable December 22, 2026; both dividends are for shareholders of record at the close of business on December 1, 2026.

Why it matters — CBSH shareholders will receive both a quarterly cash dividend and a stock dividend, subject to the stated record and payment dates.

Why Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research discusses Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) as a top momentum stock for the long term, highlighting Zacks Style Scores as a feature intended to help investors identify stocks across value, growth and momentum styles.

Why it matters — CBSH watchers may note that the article frames the company in a long-term momentum context and points to Zacks’ style-rating approach.

Best Dividend Kings: October 2026

Seeking Alpha · 26 Oct 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha reports that Dividend Kings gained 13.5% year to date through October, ahead of the S&P 500’s 12.32%, and rebounded strongly in October. It identifies 26 Kings as potentially undervalued with expected long-term annualized returns of at least 10%, while average dividend growth for 2026 is 4.65%.

Why it matters — The article provides broad dividend-stock context for a CBSH watcher, but the excerpt does not mention Commerce Bancshares specifically.

Why Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 22 Oct 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research item explains that Zacks Style Scores help investors identify stocks aligned with their investing style and presents why Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) may be considered a top value stock for the long term.

Why it matters — CBSH watchers may find the article relevant as it discusses a style-based framework for evaluating the stock as a long-term value investment.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CBSH stock

What is the CBSH stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) have a median 12-month price target of $62, with estimates ranging from $60 to $77. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CBSH stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri), 2 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) 36 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CBSH?

As at 4 Nov 2026, Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) ranks 36 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (91 of 100).

Will CBSH stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +10.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) 36 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CBSH stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CBSH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $77 over the next 12 months.

How has CBSH stock performed over the past year?

Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) returned +12.4% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri) do?

Commerce Bancshares Inc. is a regional bank holding company based in Kansas City, Missouri.

What is the latest news on CBSH?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 3 Nov 2026): "Commerce Bancshares, Inc. Board of Directors Reauthorizes Share Repurchase Program". Commerce Bancshares’ board reauthorized its share repurchase program for up to 7.5 million total common shares, including shares remaining under the prior authorization. Repurchases may occur through open-market purchases, privately negotiated transactions, or other compliant methods.

Company

About Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri).

Commerce Bancshares Inc. is a regional bank holding company based in Kansas City, Missouri. Through its principal subsidiary, Commerce Bank, it provides a broad range of financial services to individuals, businesses, and municipalities, including consumer and commercial banking, mortgage lending, treasury management, payment solutions, and cash management services. The company also offers wealth management capabilities such as trust, estate planning, brokerage, and investment management through its affiliated businesses. Its operations are organized around consumer, commercial, and wealth segments, supporting everyday banking needs as well as more specialized corporate and advisory services. Commerce Bancshares Inc. plays a diversified role in the U.S. financial services market by serving retail customers, small businesses, large corporations, and institutional clients with deposit, lending, and advisory products.

CEO Mr. John W. Kemper · 4,969 employees · United States · https://www.commercebank.com